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marc autotrading marc autotrading helping people navigate the risky world of autotrading lunes 7 de noviembre de 2011 favorite filters filter 1 best systems open positions 1 to 6 in 12 months profitable account best trade worst trade running weeks from 10 ordered by zulutrade ranking filter 2 candidates to reverse running weeks 12 max dd 40 not anymore i limit the trades to the first ones max open trades 8 last 12 months best trade worst trade inverse system avg pips 20 not necessary provider slippage 1 it would be a to filter by numbert of broken systems publicado por marc en 0 48 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas sp selection jueves 6 de octubre de 2011 extract the time series from the trade series the best way to do it is to find the date in the matrix and take the cum value using the vlookup formula if it doesn t exist it means there has been no trade closed and then we take the last quote si error buscarv b43 entero calculos e 1 l 1181 8 falso c44 publicado por marc en 12 10 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest domingo 18 de septiembre de 2011 richter analysis hi all vladimir asked me to analyze the former number 1 in zulutrade ranking richter first of all pay attention that it has dropped to position 83 in just one week so be cautious of zulutrade ranking here it goes the analysis as always feel free to share whatever ideas come up to your mind about the analysis before analyzing stats let s begin analyzing the official statistics and profit drawdown chart running weeks 53 and number of trades 1500 so ok about system maturity max open trades 31 and keeps on having this number in the last 3 months ok here is the point to be analyzed what is he doing with 30 positions open worst trade 875 pips wow compared to best trade 494 inverse system profit dd chart a deep dd in april 40k to 20k worthy of investigation how did he recovered from the dd did he have a healthy recovery or did he martingale to recover martingaling with up to 30 positions you have a nice chance to recover but also a chance to completely blow your account ok let s begin the analysis crunching the numbers scenario 1 no limits in number of positions and maximum negative excursions ok we can see almost the same chart with some differences because in the trade strategy history only open and close are reported and not the close of every day so my plot is only updated at close the important thing here is to look at his behavior on the big dd the trades shown here in reverse chronological order cause richter to have its biggest number of open positions ever 31 positions as soon as it begins to have losers it will add more sell trades at increasing prices martingaling look at how the first positions open bottom trades have a worst drawdown of 875 pips which he closes only after it has regained the losses at 58 pips the thing to think about here is what would had happened if it had never come back and you would keep 31 positions losing 800pips the answer is you played martingale you lost your account all that thinking that if you select a system with 31 positions open either you play with a super small lot size or you will not be able to support 31 losing positions margin and playing with a super small lot size you have a small profit so be very careful with richter scenario 2 limiting the risk limit number of positions to 8 and stop loss to 600 i like to stress the system out a little bit what would had happened if i just let richter to open 8 positions max and cut losses at 600pips where i think you have lost control of the position here is the result we have made the system less risky so that we don t risk blowing your account the result is a huge drawdown and a much less attractive system so my final decision is not to play the lucky guy with this system hope that helps regards marc publicado por marc en 14 13 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas sp analysis martingale index martingale consists in adding further positions to your bet once you are losing expecting to average your losses for the calculus of a martingale index one has to detect the martingale conditions a trade in the same direction of the net open position the trade is taken when your net position is in red numbers let s see an example of a martingale index pos1 ok closed with profit pos 2 ok closed with profit pos 3 loss pos 4 martingale pos 5 martingale close 3 4 5 with profit although pos3 is a loser but the average is ok pos 6 ok closed with profit pos 7 ok closed with profit what is the mg index total trades 7 martingale trades 2 so we could say mg index 2 7 28 5 this index is ok but is dependent on the number of trades that already close with profit so we could try to find out how the system adds up positions in the example it has had 2 additions and he always has opted for martingaling so another index could be when the system opens more than 1 position is it in the martingale direction in our example martingale trades 2 trades with more than 1 open trade 2 so the mg index2 2 2 100 but a system can be opening trades based on some rule and not for the sake of martingale in this case the mgindex 2 should tend to go to 50 sometimes in the net position direction sometimes opposite so a better mg index would be mg index3 mg index2 50 2 the problem with this approach is when the system opens constantly many positions many adding up if a system stubbornly opens positions in the same direction at some time the net position will be positive and the mg index won t say it is martingaling a martingale has another thing having positions with high drawdowns at the same time with the martingaling positions so another condition for martingale is that one of the positions open has a high drawdown another question is adding positions when you lose is always a martingale one could say not if the system is a mean reversion system i think a way to differentiate would be the number of positions that the system adds adding many positions is a clear sign of martingaling but adding just one after having used this type of indicators i can say they do not perform well as there are many inverse systems that open a high number of positions either adding up or averaging down but the net result does not differentiate well another indicator could just focus on the number of martingale positions open at any given moment a dangerous system is a system that martingales up to more than 8 positions so the number of max martingale positions open is a good indicator as it is very possible the system can repeat it again it would be mg index4 max martingale positions open at any given time adding all up mg index1 martingale trades total trades indicates how many mg trades are takes 10 is suspicious not used mg index3 martingale trades trades with more than 1 open trade 50 2 mg index4 max martingale positions open at any given time publicado por marc en 2 23 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas risk analysis martes 26 de abril de 2011 the matrix selected sps as of 26 04 11 another release on sp performance let me share with you this time a classification matrix of some sps the ones that right now look more consolidated or promising to me the matrix is done according to the 2 most significant parameters to me maturity of the system taking into account only the published and downloadable trading history this parameter takes into account not only the trading life of the system but also the number of different trades the sp has executed risk adjusted return rar the return adjusted to the volatility of the drawdown a system very volatile must pay with an increased return according to these 2 parameters we obtain the matrix more to the top better risk adjusted return more to the right more consolidated mature systems note the systems that appear with the pair like waveridereurgbp are tradency sps all the rest are zulutrade sps systems like firemoon are very young but can show great unstability so they are promising systems or just fruit of a statistical abnormality that will not endure i don t like to bet on them systems like agire fx from renato are still young in terms of zulutrade accountable history but it doesn t mean the trading system is not older we can audit history just from zulutrade downloadable excel so right now it remains a promise systems like mercury or forextechno systema are very rare in zulutrade right now you must cope with a great deal of volatility if you want to obtain returns good autotrading publicado por marc en 15 58 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas sp analysis jueves 21 de abril de 2011 a nice advanced search configuration for zulutrade just one hi all i wanted to share a nice configuration for the advanced search filter to detect interesting sps in zulu it is not magical as it will filter some interesting providers and will show some not so good providers but is is an interesting search to do from time to time limit positions to 10 demand more than 20 weeks and 250 trades to have some significant trading life demand less than 35 dd demand at least 3 pips average so that the possible slippage is not eating your profits limit the worst trade to 300 we want providers who don t let their losses run best trade worst trade to filter inverse schemes that let their losses run more than their profits here you have the filter variations on this are also interesting if you have any other ideas consider contributing to the blog hope that helps good autotrading publicado por marc en 16 53 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas sp selection is autotrading so easy the 2 most common tricks used by sps today in zulutrade forum there was a discussion about which is really the best sp in a proposed ranking a signal provider called profix was said to be number 1 let s look at his profile to see if we like what we see it seems quite good easy money obviously that s not the case almost always money is hard to gain in the markets a so neat gain curve with sharp gains and losses should make us suspicious immediately first step is looking into zulu interface for the drawdown curve and statistics what we see in the dd curve is suspicious again short bursts of dd indicate possible martingale and inverse schemes we will enter into this in more detail as for the statistics max open trades is 52 wow maybe used for the sake of martingale i think a trader does not need 52 positions to trade the market best trade 254 while worst trade 647 pips mmmm i thought a good trading practice was cutting losses early and let your gains run why is this system doing the opposite maybe because in this way the system gain curve is better during more time let me work alone with these two parameters to show you the 2 most common tricks sp use to advance in the rankings these 2 tricks aim at having good results in the short run no matter they will blow your account in the long run i will show you 2 simulations i have made myself with the excel trading history provided by zulu to see the results of the system while we reduce the number of positions and the stop loss to more reasonable levels to improve the safety of our account first simulation limit positions to 20 and stop loss to 300pips 20x300 possible 6000pips bursts of dd wow the effect of cutting the number of positions to 20 still high and letting a loose stop at 300 pips is impressive here we begin to see the real hidden nature of the system at any moment if the martingale and inverse schemes don t work at full power we may loose everything in just one day as it happened in january 2010 with a 12248 pips drawdown second simulation limit positions to 10 and stop loss at 200pips wow with 10 positions open and a 200 pips stoploss the system shows a really dark side the stop at 200 pips closes a lot of positions this provider would let run with the hope they would recover either themselves or their companion martingale trades so morale of the day suspect of a smooth gain curve with sharp losses or gains and always look at the max open trades and worst trade to see if they seem acceptable good autotrading publicado por marc en 10 27 no hay comentarios enviar por correo electrónico escribe un blog compartir con twitter compartir con facebook compartir en pinterest etiquetas risk analysis entradas antiguas inicio suscribirse a entradas atom etiquetas risk analysis 2 sp analysis 4 sp selection 3 buscar este blog links zulutrade tradency analysis group my linkedin archivo del blog 2011 11 noviembre 1 favorite filters octubre 1 septiembre 2 abril 7 entradas populares the matrix selected sps as of 26 04 11 another release on sp performance let me share with you this time a classification matrix of some sps the ones that right now look more a nice advanced search configuration for zulutrade just one hi all i wanted to share a nice configuration for the advanced search filter to detect interesting sps in zulu it is not magical as extract the time series from the trade series the best way to do it is to find the date in the matrix and take the cum value using the vlookup formula if it doesn t exist it means favorite filters filter 1 best systems open positions 1 to 6 in 12 months profitable account best trade worst trade running weeks from 10 richter analysis hi all vladimir asked me to analyze the former number 1 in zulutrade ranking richter first of all pay attention that it has dropped to interesting sp forextechno forextechno com is a company that provides investment services in the form of trading signals and managed accounts they joined zulutrade martingale index martingale consists in adding further positions to your bet once you are losing expecting to average your losses for the calculus of a is autotrading so easy the 2 most common tricks used by sps today in zulutrade forum there was a discussion about which is really the best sp in a proposed ranking a signal provider called p how do you quickly disregard an sp is zulutrade ranking reliable in this discussion we will look at the nr1 as of today sp in zulutrade ranking but first let s discuss a way to easily disregar mercury fx mercury fx is imho the most interesting system right now quite a long history with 441 different trades executed low drawdowns th vistas de página en total seguidores tema fantástico s a con la tecnología de blogger
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SEO From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Search engine optimization (SEO) is the process of affecting the online visibility of a website or a web page in a web search engines unpaid results—often referred to as `natural`, `organic`, or `earned` results. In general, the earlier (or higher ranked on the search results page), and more frequently a website appears in the search results list, the more visitors it will receive from the search engines users; these visitors can then be converted into customers. SEO may target different kinds of search, including image search, video search, academic search, news search, and industry-specific vertical search engines. SEO differs from local search engine optimization in that the latter is focused on optimizing a business online presence so that its web pages will be displayed by search engines when a user enters a local search for its products or services. The former instead is more focused on national or international searches. and ADS Publishers From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Advertising is an audio or visual form of marketing communication that employs an openly sponsored, non-personal message to promote or sell a product, service or idea. Sponsors of advertising are often businesses wishing to promote their products or services. Advertising is differentiated from public relations in that an advertiser pays for and has control over the message. It differs from personal selling in that the message is non-personal, i.e., not directed to a particular individual. Advertising is communicated through various mass media, including traditional media such as newspapers, magazines, television, radio, outdoor advertising or direct mail; and new media such as search results, blogs, social media, websites or text messages. The actual presentation of the message in a medium is referred to as an advertisement or `ad` for short.
Commercial ads often seek to generate increased consumption of their products or services through `branding`, which associates a product name or image with certain qualities in the minds of consumers. On the other hand, ads that intend to elicit an immediate sale are known as direct-response advertising. Non-commercial entities that advertise more than consumer products or services include political parties, interest groups, religious organizations and governmental agencies. Non-profit organizations may use free modes of persuasion, such as a public service announcement. Advertising may also be used to reassure employees or shareholders that a company is viable or successful., wall of links.


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