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description= Posts about class written by Phil;
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ho will either join yp on the spot or already be members if you don t know where to start with either of those routes well maybe your area isn t ready to form a branch meanwhile back in the outside world preparations for forming branches are proceeding apace and not only branches there are already cross branch co ordinating bodies bringing together delegates from individual branches although i m not sure what the status of those delegates is when they haven t been elected not least because their branches don t actually exist yet the thinking seems to be that building a hierarchical node and occupying positions within it is a good idea in itself irrespective of whether yp is or isn t in touch with what s going on in the area and hence irrespective of whether the prospective branch is likely to be able to function as a transmission belt in some cases the drive to form these both the individual proto branches and the cross branch networks has been pushed by members of some of the small non electoral socialist groups that have committed to working in yp notably the socialist workers party and their offshoot counterfire which suggests an additional more cynical definition the branch like the party itself is a position of influence which may be occupied by one of a number of rival groups and factions amplifying their voice and their ability to intervene in the broader struggle i m not a member of your party the anxiety which the period of rival membership portals caused me and the relief i felt when i considered the possibility of not joining made my decision for me for those who are and those who like me are still on the party s periphery i think the branch formation process is going to be critical i think we should do whatever we can to make our local branch to be more like a transmission belt to whatever s going on locally and less like a hierarchical node in a structure like an organisational chart all ready for local party veterans to move in once they can swing the necessary votes i am absolutely not in favour of barring members of revolutionary socialist groups in general from yp or even the socialist workers party in particular however i am also absolutely not in favour of rerunning the socialist alliance respect left list débacle with zarah sultana in the role of george galloway and i think this is a genuine danger if we give free rein to time served party activists in search of positions of influence and let yp branches drift into the hierarchical node form i hate to say it but i really think we need to go to the people or at least think seriously about what that would mean it s not language i like using i can t honestly say i ve never been a maoist but it was a very long time ago but when they re right they re right ps which also means that i m not in favour of drumming up enough names to reach the 20 threshold out of our existing whatsapp lists a branch is not a whatsapp list share this print opens in new window print email a link to a friend opens in new window email share on x opens in new window x share on facebook opens in new window facebook like loading by phil also posted in awfully deep pinkoes politics the local news comments 0 staggering revelations 24 january 2025 16 42 phil bc recently asked why the new statesman keeps hyping up the threat posed by nigel farage in the magazine since last june we ve had articles like reform isn t going anywhere reform could haunt a labour government reform is labour s problem now how dangerous is reform to labour and will reform win in your local council the latest entry in the sub genre comes courtesy of george eaton who has set out to explain why farage is turning left as if to prove his point two days later the ns published an article titled will reform supplant the tories as phil rightly comments it s one thing for the right wing press to big up reform and quite another for the centre left s magazine of choice to indulge it so what s going on his own explanation turns on the management of expectations labour are currently offering very little to the people who voted for them last july so some other appeal is needed such as the appeal of being a labour government and as such preferable to the alternative the main alternative the tories are on the ropes which is where the threat of farage comes in invoking the threat of a demon opposition is tough when the tories are bumping along the bottom but with a comparably more dynamic and more extreme threat a la reform some will stick to keir starmer and labour for fear that something even worse than the tories is in the offing i wonder reform uk certainly look scary now they ve been level pegging with the tories in the twelve opinion polls published in 2025 behind them in six polls ahead in four and tied in another two but since last june if the ns was already bigging up the threat of reform uk at the time of the election that surely can t be explained in terms of their perceived importance back then farage was polling around 11 with the tories and labour on 23 and 45 respectively moreover while the new statesman almost certainly doesn t influence many potential reform uk voters it does have an effect when it comes to defining political consensus reality those stories anticipating the threat that reform uk could pose to labour will have helped to keep the party s name in circulation helped keep it part of the political conversation and ultimately helped it get to the position where it s polling in the low 20 s whatever else they may be the people responsible for the new statesman s political coverage aren t novices and they aren t stupid they know how this kind of political media feedback loop works would they really use the threat of farage to shore up labour s waning popularity if they knew that they might just end up attracting support to farage there s a much simpler explanation which is that the new statesman are doing what they re doing for the same reasons that people generally do things because they like doing them and like the results they get in this perspective hyping up the threat of nigel farage isn t a reaction to a particular situation or need it s just what they do and how they think but why 2025 extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of hacks to explain that we need to look at a mindset held quite widely on some parts of the left i have some sympathy with it but ultimately think it s pernicious it starts from the assumption that the far right is substantial deeply rooted and important responding to demands and anxieties that the left belittles and fails to understand rather than assume we re dealing with thugs and bigots we need to understand the far right s positive appeal and the solutions it offers to its followers concerns which in fact the left also needs to address ultimately the far right needs to be defeated however it more urgently needs to be engaged with understood and learnt from if engaging with the far right in the marketplace of ideas means that in the short term they gain greater political representation both in democratic institutions and in the media that s probably better in the long run than brushing them under the carpet if anything it s a salutary reminder of the significant level of support their demands have always had and the scale of the challenge they pose as i say i have some sympathy with this point of view i ve devoted a fair amount of time to studying the far right academically and otherwise i don t think the vocabulary of fascism can be reduced to crush kill destroy and i think it s interesting and useful to distinguish one strand of the far right from another i ve also got some experience of workplaces where almost everyone was white and hardly anyone had gone to university i know what day to day unthinking racism sounds like and i strongly suspect that it s alive and well out there so i agree that far right ideas are interesting in themselves i also agree that those ideas have a definite appeal to substantial numbers of people in the words of a then senior member of ukip t here are hundreds of thousands of bigots in the united kingdom and they deserve representation where i part company with the mindset i m describing and i think with the new statesman is that i don t think the far right has anything to offer not to the left not to the political sphere not even to the people who support it at least i don t think it has anything good to offer to quote a blog post i wrote in 2016 after the assassination of jo cox racism is both a handicap a map with the wrong borders marked in and a morbid symptom of powerlessness in the last analysis racism and xenophobia and other degenerate lever pressing forms of politics are a distraction from the identification of the working class s real concerns which is also why our response to those who foment racism and lies should be so obdurate think of them as ideological plague spreaders take the far right seriously by all means but take them seriously as an enemy as spreaders of division and lies purveyors of false and destructive solutions to real problems i may not have the solutions myself what with just being some guy on the internet but i m pretty confident i know what assumptions a valid solution would start from and they aren t right wing assumptions the crucial thing about the mindset i m describing is that it lacks this basic level of confidence in the left or self confidence as part of the left without it those who hold it are left worrying away at the challenge of the far right fretfully perseverating over the question of whether there s any validity to their ideas it s worth keeping an eye on these people even though they re obviously wrong but still worth listening to even though it s obviously not the answer still shouldn t just ignore them might be useful though it s obviously not and repeat i m talking about a culture a set of shared assumptions which i believe characterises the new statesman s political output but i m also talking about people with names a key role predictably has been played by jason cowley editor of the ns from 2008 to 2024 george eaton the promoter of nigel farage s supposed left turn was recruited to the ns by cowley in 2009 and has held senior posts since 2014 including his current role of political editor we should also mention stephen bush now of the financial times who joined the ns in 2015 and was political editor from 2018 to 2022 now this blog s memory goes back a fair way and it turns out that these people have form insert wobbly dissolve or tardis sound effects to taste 2011 already dead to me to find a reference to george eaton we have to go right back to 2011 the early days of the coalition before nick clegg had even said sorry but it s an interesting one in 2011 to quote myself a big and unpredictable change was proposed and it was rejected it wasn t an outstandingly good change there were plenty of good arguments against it and almost all of its main proponents had been in favour of something else a year ago its effects weren t explained very well and the campaign in its favour was spectacularly bad the entirely unsurprising result was that only 30 of the people bought it it s the referendum on av you know alternative vote not the current system but also not pr that one two instant reactions recorded on the bbc s results liveblog caught my eye 20 50 no campaign director matthew elliott gets a massive cheer as he address supporters at the official count in london he says the result is emphatic and will settle the debate on voting change for the next generation yes that matthew elliott founder of the taxpayers alliance and future ceo of vote leave forty minutes later 21 30 new statesman journalist george eaton tweets those who said no to av yes to pr couldn t look more foolish tonight electoral reform dead for a generation on a naive reading eaton s reaction prompts two big questions first why would a left wing journalist echo the analysis and even the language of someone like matthew elliott second left right positioning aside why would someone sympathetic to electoral reform so vehemently endorse someone opposed to it let alone someone declaring victory over a reform campaign it doesn t make any sense unless you add one additional assumption that as i said above the far right is substantial deeply rooted and important responding to demands and anxieties that the left belittles and fails to understand and that the left will never get anywhere unless we take them seriously and listen to them we lost of course we lost we were bound to lose we lost for a generation 2015 ok how about the way to foldham fast forward to 2015 when the labour party had a new leader and nobody outside of his supporters could quite believe it or believe that he hadn t failed yet as one journalist put it a couple of years later corbyn was simply written off as a future failure after each of his victories one such victory was the first by election of the 2015 parliament when labour held oldham west and royton after the death of michael meacher the outlook had been decidedly bleak admittedly labour had held the seat with a majority of over 20 at every general election since 1997 but that was then now we had ukip to contend with and they were gobbling up labour s white working class support in the words of rafael behr in the graun by responding to a sense of labour s capture by arrogant southern elites and a deeper alienation connected to the decline of secure manufacturing jobs and to mass migration might a wave of enthusiasm for the new broom of corbynism turn things round not likely said raf it feels more like a catalyst for decline distinct from blairism only in the sense that they are opposite sides of one islington coin doomed stephen bush was and is a thoughtful guy and he published an articulate and informative account of the future facing labour in seats like this one at least as seen through the mindset we re looking at here unfortunately he published it while the polls in oldham west were still open and in the form of to be as charitable as possible what could easily be read as a reflection on labour s anticipated defeat the title why oldham west could be just the start of labour s worries does nothing to dispel this reading particularly as it s hard to see why winning a seat with 62 of the vote should be the start of the winner s worries i should also say that i put this to stephen at the time and he explained that he was referring to the 2015 general election not the by election anyway what had if you chose to read it this way just happened under ed miliband as the academic tim bale put it labour was divided between people who drink wine and people who drink lager wine drinkers drifted away to the green party lager drinkers trickled away to ukip the result thumping defeats across england and wales under corbyn that greenward drift has gone into reverse the ukip trickle however is turning into a ...
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