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n com how to invest in bitcoin complete beginners guide feed 2 are we approaching a new altseason https coinmotion com is a new altseason on the horizon wed 19 apr 2023 12 19 00 0000 https coinmotion com p 68908 the technical analysis of week 15 charts the latest market movements over a seven day period using technical and fundamental indicators we ll explore bitcoin s parabolic advance and the material indicators heat map we also consider the possibility of an altseason and review our successful triple bottom structure prediction the crypto market has climbed in moderately positive moods since last week with the leading cryptocurrency bitcoin strengthening by 0 2 percent ethereum on the other hand has climbed more than 10 percent in a week mainly driven by the shapella shanghai capella update read more exploring ethereum s shapella upgrade what you need to know from a purely technical point of view bitcoin passed its critical inflection point at the turn of the year where the descending and ascending trend lines meet pink the point acts as a watershed and defines the market from 2021 until the halving year of 2024 at the same time bitcoin has formed a parabolic trendline turquoise from december 2022 until today however the parabola is getting steeper now demanding even bigger surges from the spot price the break of the turquoise parabola during the spring would generate short term selling pressure sources timo oinonen cryptoquant in the broader picture bitcoin s market behavior can be segmented into accumulation and distribution phases white which together form a multi year series of cycles institutional money has traditionally favored accumulation cycles while retail investors have been active in distribution cycles bitcoin s history is also defined by halving events which are always preceded by a pre halving accumulation cycle white material indicators heat map shows how bitcoin fell from 30 000 to 29 000 at the beginning of the week when the buy wall disappeared however new buying pressure has now been found below the 30k level which pushed bitcoin over 30 000 again above 31 000 currently lies a moderate sell wall source material indicators bitcoin s bollinger bands purple squeezed the spot price up last week bb squeeze now it seems that an expansion phase is ahead which is characterized by a sideways movement of the spot price bb expansion sources timo oinonen cryptoquant the selling pressure speculations towards ethereum s eth upgrade did not materialize and the cryptocurrency is clearly leading the price development of large cap assets the market for smaller tokens is also clearly waking up with chainlink link rising almost 17 percent in a week at the same time litecoin ltc is up 8 percent in a week and has around 100 days until the halving event read more what is chainlink link crypto guide the price development of the mainstream market has been slower with the s p 500 index rising by one percent and gold weakening by about half a percent the technology index nasdaq 100 has been in a tailwind in april rising more than 20 percent since the beginning of the year 7 day price performance bitcoin btc 0 2 ethereum eth 10 8 litecoin ltc 7 7 aave aave 3 1 chainlink link 16 7 uniswap uni 6 1 stellar xlm 0 2 xrp 2 0 get started with bitcoin litecoin ethereum aave usdc stellar ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go s p 500 index 1 1 gold 0 6 bitcoin seems to repeat its 2020 utxo pattern winged by the price increase bitcoin is now making a clear divergence to the turquoise wave of the realized price which served as a critical battleground at the turn of 2022 and 2023 the realized price has been seen as a watershed in the market as it represents the average price of all bitcoin purchases at the same time the spot exceeding the realized price shows that bitcoin investors are making a profit on their investments the realized price utxo waves have shown the market bottom of bitcoin for many years in 2019 the decline of the 6m 12m wave orange below the 12m 18m wave purple utxo cross indicated a market bottom the same structure was realized again in 2020 additionally the phenomenon was repeated at the end of 2022 when 6m 12m clearly sank below 12m 18m while their divergence increased the meeting of the utxo waves at the end of 2022 can therefore be seen as confirming the market bottom sources timo oinonen cryptoquant now bitcoin is implementing a setup reminiscent of 2020 where the 6m 12m wave orange of realized price coming from above intersects with the spot price coming from below in the chart above the layout of 2020 is represented by the green area on the left and the current situation on the right the end result of that encounter in 2020 was a parabolic price rally which continued well into 2021 bitcoin s dominance and the possibility of an altseason with bitcoin flexing its almost 100 percent ytd gains many traders are now waiting for the movements of alternative cryptocurrencies i e altcoins even though bitcoin s relative dominance has increased throughout the spring its dominance growth can be assumed to be limited to 50 percent in recent years the ceiling of bitcoin s dominance has remained strictly at 50 percent mainly due to retail participation in the bull cycles as bitcoin reaches critical momentum demand for altcoins correlates leading to market saturation and a sideways movement of dominance these factors together enable the birth of an altseason source tradingview according to the efficient market hypothesis emh asset prices reflect all available information however especially speculative higher beta tokens counter this hypothesis there is a clear information asymmetry in the market where certain parties have so called better information in addition particularly new crypto investors prefer new tokens due to their perceived novelty value although ethereum s shapella update exceeded market expectations at least the smart contract platform is not yet developing a flippening situation for bitcoin currently ethereum s market cap is 42 7 percent of bitcoin s at around 250 billion bitcoin s market cap remains at its sovereign level of 588 billion source blockchaincenter our triple bottom structure prediction was recently confirmed the triple bottom structure based on the number of active addresses is now clearly confirmed we presented the model in the previous ta of week nine and the graph of active addresses white now rises outside the turquoise area on chain data from 2018 and 2019 shows how the number of active addresses 30 day weighted moving average 30wma generated three individual bottoms turquoise left as part of the 2018 2019 reversal process the 2021 2023 cycle shows a similar structure turquoise right as active addresses reached three individual lows as well sources timo oinonen cryptoquant we can observe how the number of active addresses started to decline already in the summer of 2021 effectively acting as a leading indicator of the spot price therefore the spring 2021 price action can be considered a de facto peak supported by fundamentals while the november 2021 peak can be considered secondary in summary with bitcoin following the triple bottom structure of the last major cycle the gradual price increase will likely continue during 2023 bitcoin s current fair price is at 38 736 which is aligned with our latest price projection of 46 092 what are we following right now solana mobile says it will start shipping the saga smartphone on april 20th the retail price of the device is 1000 dollars in the usa i e around 912 euros in the euro area in connection with the shipping solana has shed light on the functionality of the device and the ecosystem the new owner of saga will receive an nft called saga genesis token which is promised to guarantee access to exclusive content and offers a saga user is also promised a starter pack that includes a set of 20 usdc and 0 01 sol tokens for transactions we are closely following the development of this crypto native smartphone saga is the phone that keeps giving the solana dapp store offers an experience like no other app store alongside saga we are also launching a device bound saga genesis token which will be your key to the saga rewards program let s get into the details pic twitter com vgn0dim3wu solana mobile solanamobile april 17 2023 in his interview with kitco investment expert lawrence lepard shares his views on bitcoin and why the cryptocurrency can reach 100 000 next year bitcoin og matthew mezinskis known for his crypto voices podcast explains how central banks have historically prevented free banking in addition mezinskis shares his views on the state of the credit market stay in the loop of the latest crypto events exploring ethereum s shapella upgrade what you need to know bitcoin breaks the 30 000 key resistance level ethereum s shanghai upgrade how can decentralization save us in a world driven by ai the market reflects tightening regulatory environment what has happened in the crypto market in q1 and what is to come microstrategy as market s leading indicator why is bitcoin rising in 2023 bitcoin retains its momentum amid the chaos aave launches native stablecoin gho get started with bitcoin litecoin ethereum aave usdc stellar ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go the views thoughts and opinions expressed in the text belong to the author and not necessarily to the author s employer organization committee or other group or individual exploring ethereum s shapella upgrade what you need to know https coinmotion com exploring ethereums shapella upgrade tue 18 apr 2023 12 53 08 0000 https coinmotion com p 68811 shapella update is the first major upgrade after the merge for ethereum the shapella update was finalized last wednesday with the shapella update the validators of the ethereum blockchain can unstake the ether they have staked in the ethereum network if they want to this has not been possible before in this recap we ll delve deeper into what ethereum s shapella update brings the ethereum network is updating the previous major update of the ethereum network was the merge where the ethereum network moved away from the proof of work operating model the main goal of the merge was to reduce the tokenomics of the ethereum network resulting in the network s energy consumption decrease the merge update went as expected and most ethereum network users were satisfied the only problem the merge didn t fix was the unstaking of the ether staked in the network by the validators this problem is finally fixed with the shapella update shapella upgrade during the shapella update the ethereum network experienced two different updates these upgrades were the shanghai update and the capella upgrade when you combine the names of those upgrades you get shapella the shanghai and capella updates took place on the ethereum network simultaneously these updates updated the code on ethereum s two main network layers the consensus layer and the execution layer since the merge update staking ether into the ethereum network has been a one way system this means that you can stake ether into the ethereum network but you cannot unstake it the shapella update aims to fix this and give the validators of the ethereum network as well as other users of the network the opportunity to unstake the ethers staked in the network with the update users of the ethereum network will have access to approximately 18 million ethers that were previously locked in the network the main feature of the shapella upgrade is the ability to unstake network locked ether officially the feature in question is called ethereum improvement proposal eip 4895 the developers have also planned more minor updates in shapella so that certain functions of the network and transaction fees can be optimized more efficiently ethereum developers have been successfully testing the shapella upgrade on the public testnet for several months partial and full withdrawals now after the shapella update ethereum network users as well as validators can perform two types of withdrawals partial and full withdrawals with a partial withdrawal a validator on the ethereum network can withdraw the rewards accumulated by the ether they have staked into the network but not the original 32 ether that served as payment for establishing the validator node a full withdrawal is more significant than a partial withdrawal because it allows validators to withdraw all the ether they ve staked in the ethereum network this means that the validator can withdraw the 32 ethers required to establish a validator node and all the block rewards accumulated by that amount when the validators complete a full withdrawal they also shut down their validator node by leaving the chain the validator stops participating in the block validation process potentially negatively affecting the network s security full withdrawals do not happen automatically so validators who wish to complete a full withdrawal must send a message to the blockchain to be added to the queue how much ether commercial operators have staked into the ethereum network why does the unstaking opportunity only come months after the merge there are several reasons why the ability to withdraw network locked ether was unavailable when the merge happened the main reason is that the merge was ethereum s first significant upgrade because of this the developers of the ethereum network assumed that the upgrade would be a complex process that required careful planning and execution the merge merged the ethereum network with the beacon chain previously the beacon chain and the ethereum network operated side by side if the network developers had allowed users to withdraw ethers locked in the ethereum network already during the transition it could have caused unexpected problems and unnecessary risks to an already challenging upgrade by splitting the changes into two parts the developers of the ethereum network had more time to test the updates that took place in the merge and verify their functionality additionally the ethereum network relies on a sufficient amount of ether locked in the network to guarantee the network s security and maintain the proof of stake consensus mechanism by delaying the unstaking the developers created a more controlled environment allowing a smoother transition to the proof of stake consensus mechanism what s next for ethereum withdrawing earlier locked ether permits users to use previously locked funds offering them more flexibility in allocating them in the short term the ability to use these previously locked funds could lead to volatility in ethereum s price however it is good to note that the price of ethereum is currently lower than when many users staked their funds in the network for this reason it is likely that these validators will not want to unstake the funds they have locked in the ...
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