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r ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go the views thoughts and opinions expressed in the text belong to the author and not necessarily to the author s employer organization committee or other group or individual whales vs retail https coinmotion com whales vs retail fri 15 dec 2023 06 32 14 0000 https coinmotion com p 78069 the technical analysis of week 49 maps out the technical correction of bitcoin and its subsequent market recovery additionally we review insights from coinbase research macro indices and whale market behavior after the parabolic advance the cryptocurrency market faced a technical correction this week temporarily weakening bitcoin by almost ten percent despite the correction the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization has risen by 158 percent since the beginning of the year david duong from coinbase research estimates that the demand for bitcoin comes from institutional sources with cme s annualized futures prices rising 29 percent higher than spot prices the strength of institutional demand is also supported by google s search engine data indicating the retail segment s weak response to the price increase interestingly a lot of the recent crypto appetite seems to be coming from institutional investors as evidenced by the cme futures basis rising to as much as 29 annualized on bitcoin and 27 on ether early in the week this suggests that institutions without recourse to btc and or eth spot access may have been paying a larger than average premium for crypto exposure david duong coinbase research from a purely technical perspective bitcoin s correction has not invalidated the technical structure of 2023 even though selling pressure is currently testing investors convictions bitcoin is still within the price discovery cycle above 40 000 yellow and the rising trendline of 2023 intersects with a multi year confluence zone white it is worth noting that the current valuation levels of the price discovery cycle are already comparable to the distribution phase of the previous years 2021 2022 purple sources timo oinonen cryptoquant the material indicators s heat map reflects the rapid recovery of spot prices after the technical correction simultaneously a relatively weak support level has formed around 40 000 and a strong support level is established around 38 000 a break below 38 000 would indicate escalating selling pressure cumulative volume delta means diminishing short term demand across all investor groups source material indicators seven day price performance the cryptocurrency market movement has remained mostly sideways since last week with bitcoin recovering almost to its levels before the technical correction a surprise performer among coinmotion s listings is cardano ada with a weekly strengthening reaching 45 percent the federal reserve s fomc meeting on wednesday significantly boosted the s p 500 index which has risen 3 5 percent on a weekly basis the fomc kept the current interest rate unchanged while goldman sachs predicts a 25 basis point cut in march this suggests that the u s central bank policy is again at a turning point shifting from the previous quantitative tightening qt to gradual easing qe source goldman sachs bitcoin btc 1 8 ethereum eth 1 4 litecoin ltc 0 aave aave 2 7 chainlink link 4 4 uniswap uni 3 1 stellar xlm 0 6 xrp 2 2 cardano ada 45 2 polygon matic 5 9 get started with bitcoin litecoin ethereum aave usdc stellar ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go s p 500 index 3 5 gold 1 8 ytd price performance even though the 2023 crypto rocket chainlink link maintains its position at the top of coinmotion s listings the mutual ytd hierarchy of cryptocurrencies is undergoing a significant upheaval bitcoin which long held the second position 158 fell to third place this week as cardano clocked in with a 160 percent ytd figure in the case of cardano a real paradigm shift can be observed as just in october the ada token had a negative ytd performance solana sol exponentially surging 637 percent since the beginning of the year along with chainlink and cardano hint at the dawn of an emerging altseason although it is targeting a narrow range of tokens however the current selective altseason may scale up in 2024 bitcoin ethereum and xrp which received commodity classifications from the u s securities and exchange commission sec this summer continue to maintain strong positions source tradingview the exceptionally weak four percent ytd performance of the legacy crypto litecoin may indicate a rotation among altcoins where older tokens are losing favor with investors despite investor interest in litecoin s august halving event the cryptocurrency suffers from a lack of investment narrative the competition among altcoins seems to be intensifying further with elevated valuation levels increasing the supply of new crypto projects at the same time accommodative central bank policies may result in a cheap dollar flowing into high beta digital assets in the medium term while sol tokens are not listed on coinmotion our otc team can facilitate their purchases capriole s macro index predicts continuation of bullish trend the latest technical correction has put some investors on edge but bitcoin s spot price appears to be bouncing back towards the 43 000 valuation the technical correction can be viewed as a long flush move in the futures market where long futures positions were cleared similarly the market has witnessed several short squeeze scenarios where short positions were liquidated after a prolonged downtrend in the bigger picture the positive sentiment around bitcoin is supported by capriole investments algorithm based macro index leveraging machine learning the index weighs various fundamental blockchain and macro data from the macro index s perspective after a somewhat uncertain start to the year bitcoin has now entered an expansion phase light green resembling the setup seen at the turn of 2020 2021 following the capitulation of late 2022 the macro index has mainly included contraction red and recovery phases dark green if bitcoin s price trajectory mirrors the 2020 2021 cycle a similar parabolic price trend may be on the horizon propelling the spot price beyond 100 000 in both dollars and euros the macro index also provides crucial data about a potential market cooling when the momentum started to fade in 2021 the macro index signaled the market entering a slowdown phase yellow source capriole investments whales vs retail while the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization bitcoin has strengthened by 158 percent since the beginning of the year the demand still emanates from a relatively narrow sector google search engine metrics indicate that the interest from the retail segment i e individual customers remains subdued what have you done the most during september december 2023 for your crypto positions coinmotion coinmotion december 15 2023 instead of the retail segment the primary driver of demand comes from institutions mainly focused on the anticipated spot etf according to the cme s cot commitment of traders metrics we examined in previous technical analyses asset managers are inclined towards long derivative positions hedge funds on the other hand have traditionally taken short positions on bitcoin sources timo oinonen cryptoquant the thesis of institutional dominance is supported among other things by cryptoquant s exchange whale ratio indicating a significant increase in large exchange based buyers in the last three months meanwhile glassnode s trend accumulation data reveals that entities holding over 10 000 bitcoins were clearly in an accumulation mode from october to november but then moderately reduced their purchases in december according to glassnode s chart entities owning less than 10 000 bitcoins continue to accumulate overall this marks the most significant accumulation trend throughout the year 2023 interpreting glassnode s data the monthly purchase volume for all cohorts is around 36 000 bitcoin units while the monthly issuance of bitcoin is in the ballpark of 27 500 units source glassnode another clear whale indicator is microstrategy mstr which has increased its holdings to a total of 174 530 bitcoin units in 2023 positioned as an institutional pioneer the company has acquired a total of 42 030 bitcoins this year compared to a modest 8109 units in the previous year therefore mstr s purchasing program has grown by 418 percent from 2022 to 2023 in addition to reflecting institutional appetite microstrategy can be considered a leading indicator to the underlying spot price itself source 21metrics what are we following right now asset management firm m g has made a 20 million investment in a platform offering crypto derivatives while the size of the investment is relatively small it signals institutional interest in digital assets as mentioned at the beginning of the analysis david duong from coinbase research estimated that the organic demand for bitcoin is coming from institutions especially as cme futures prices have climbed 29 percent higher than spot prices the asset management arm of pensions giant m g has invested 20 million into a uk crypto derivatives trading platform https t co up3pj0vs40 bloomberg crypto crypto december 11 2023 mike novogratz known for his company galaxy digital provides a market overview discussing the macroeconomic environment fiat and crypto ecosystems and outlooks for the year 2024 tim grant assesses that the spot etf will increase the reflexivity of the cryptocurrency market stay in the loop of the latest crypto events dive into cardano ada a newcomer s comprehensive guide bittrex global shutdown how to move funds from bittrex to coinmotion the next technical resistance at 58 000 usd binance s controversy 150 days to bitcoin s halving polygon matic infrastructure for billion users bitcoin and power law model interest in bitcoin etfs persists in rising bitcoin value climbs 28 in october get started with bitcoin litecoin ethereum aave usdc stellar ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go the views thoughts and opinions expressed in the text belong to the author and not necessarily to the author s employer organization committee or other group or individual the next technical resistance at 58 000 usd https coinmotion com an examination of bitcoins 58000 resistance level thu 07 dec 2023 14 20 48 0000 https coinmotion com p 77664 the technical analysis of week 48 scans the recent crypto rally and bitcoin s essential 58 000 resistance level additionally we analyze the year to date hierarchy of cryptocurrencies listed on coinmotion and the performance of ethereum the cryptocurrency market has maintained exceptional upward momentum over the past seven days with bitcoin strengthening by over 15 percent the market now reflects significant investor optimism as they attempt to price in the expected spot etf and the spring 2024 halving event charles edwards attributes crypto market s bullish trend to the strengthening liquidity environment of the united states raoul pal has long predicted a shift from central banks tightening measures qt to a moderate quantitative easing qe the return of quantitative easing is a significant driver for bitcoin s value as the global m2 money supply has been observed to correlate with bitcoin s price us liquidity is trending up strongly much like it did at the start of all prior bitcoin bull runs the relationship between us liquidity and bitcoin s price is incredible qe number go up qt number go down charles edwards from a purely technical perspective bitcoin has pierced through several weak resistance levels within the past two weeks and the next significant technical resistance level is at 58 000 us dollars bitcoin s price discovery cycle propels it higher as selling pressure decreases in inverse correlation currently there are significantly more buyers than sellers in the market and the number of long term hodlers is increasing the growing number of hodlers could potentially lead to a phenomenon known as a supply shock where the supply of liquid units decreases rapidly sources timo oinonen cryptoquant the material indicators heat map reflects a shift in the technical setup as bitcoin breaks through several critical resistance levels at the same time a robust support level has formed at 41 000 the cumulative volume delta cvd indicates a pause in demand after the nearly parabolic price surge source material indicators 7 day price performance in the past seven days the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization bitcoin has distinctly separated itself from altcoins posting a gain of 15 7 ethereum which was previously strongly correlated with bitcoin saw a weekly increase of less than ten percent while litecoin rose by less than four percent a surprising performer in the altcoin space is cardano s ada token which strengthened by 16 4 over the week bitcoin btc 15 7 ethereum eth 9 9 litecoin ltc 3 7 aave aave 0 chainlink link 5 2 uniswap uni 0 4 stellar xlm 5 4 xrp 4 5 cardano ada 16 4 polygon matic 7 9 get started with bitcoin litecoin ethereum aave usdc stellar ripple join coinmotion and buy your first cryptocurrencies within minutes let s go s p 500 index 0 03 gold 0 9 ytd price performance the crypto rocket chainlink link narrowly holds its position at the top of coinmotion s listings strengthening by 173 percent year to date bitcoin which has surged almost parabolically in the past seven days is closely trailing chainlink recording a ytd figure of 163 percent while all cryptocurrencies listed on coinmotion are currently ytd positive many of them are at risk of falling behind the pace set by bitcoin and chainlink xrp which received a commodity classification from the u s securities and exchange commission sec in july has gained 87 percent since the beginning of the year however xrp s upward momentum seems to be waning ethereum is also likely to fall below the one hundred percent mark in its ytd performance source tradingview having skyrocketed over 500 percent year to date solana sol is flirting towards an altseason although significant price surges in the altcoin space have been limited to a few currencies for now currently the correct term would be a selective altseason where a few chosen cryptocurrencies outperform bitcoin however bitcoin s rise will likely lead to an altseason eventually as indicated by previous cycles in the transition between 2017 and 2018 altcoins experienced a significant surge months after bitcoin reached its peak the forthcoming high beta rally may be further confirmed next year by the shift from quantitative tightening qt to quantitative easing qe while the sol token is not listed on coinmotion its purchase can be facilitated through our otc team ethereum underperforms despite significant supply decrease as indicated by the year to date ytd char...
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