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1 108 billion from overseas markets the webbed phenom looks set to notch a three peat despite a crowded slate of newcomers leading the pack of new releases is everyone s favorite adventure ready pup squad with paw patrol the dino movie bowing in 3 545 locations after a mysterious prehistoric event rattles adventure bay the pups leap into action to contain dino sized chaos and unravel the source of the disruption as dinosaurs roam the town the team races through a series of high stakes rescues before things spiral out of control cal brunker returns to direct the latest entry in the franchise joining the slate this weekend is the sci fi thriller the end of oak street after a mysterious cosmic event rips oak street from suburbia and transports their neighborhood to someplace unknown the platt family soon discovers that their very survival depends on them sticking together as they navigate their now unrecognizable surroundings the anne hathaway ewan mcgregor thriller bows in 3 446 theaters opening in 2 083 venues the brink of war drops audiences into 1984 where president reagan scrambles to secure a fragile nuclear disarmament deal with soviet leader mikhail gorbachev as tensions spike and negotiations teeter each word carries the weight of global consequence jeff daniels leads as the 40th president with jared harris as gorbachev arriving in 1 461 movie houses this weekend is six the musical live captured at london s vaudeville theatre the pop infused musical reframes the tudor queens as modern icons showcasing their stories through driving anthems standout vocals and a witty contemporary edge making its way back to the big screen for its 25th anniversary release is 2001 s wet hot american summer set on the last full day of summer camp in 1981 at the fictional camp firewood the film follows a group of eccentric counselors as they scramble to resolve their romantic entanglements personal dramas and absurd crises before the campers head home the david wain directed film will re open 681 domestic locations closing out the top five widest releases is spider man brand new day expanding by 52 theaters to reach 4 539 locations the odyssey and one night only follow in fourth and fifth place with 3 215 and 3 012 venues respectively next weekend brings another wave of newcomers including the sci fi drama hot spot the sci fi horror it ends the buddy comedy spa weekend jason statham s actioner mutiny and franchise staple insidious out of the further the latter two films are projected to arrive in 2 700 and 3 000 theaters respectively theater counts for august 14 movie distributor theaters previous theaters change spider man brand new day sony pictures 4 539 4 487 52 paw patrol the dino movie paramount pictures 3 545 new the end of oak street warner bros 3 446 new the odyssey universal 3 215 3 603 388 one night only universal 3 012 3 012 super troopers 3 searchlight pictures 2 760 2 760 the brink of war angel studios 2 083 new toy story 5 walt disney 1 925 2 660 735 minions monsters universal 1 578 2 451 873 moana walt disney 1 480 2 465 985 six the musical live focus features 1 461 new wet hot american summer universal 681 the wrong girls neon 510 new your letter crunchyroll 287 new the invite a24 271 342 71 cookie queens roadside attractions 119 446 327 young washington angel studios 94 275 181 tony a24 37 6 31 backrooms a24 29 47 18 lucky strike roadside attractions 2 3 1 theater counts for august 21 insidious out of the further sony pictures 3 000 new mutiny lionsgate 2 700 new the numbers business report q1 2027 box office prediction august 13 2026 with the first half of 2026 officially wrapped we turn our thoughts to 2027 in this month s business report our feature article provides our first prediction for the first quarter with detailed movie by movie forecasts for the major releases coming out major franchise continuations and sequels dominate the first quarter this year much more than last although the late 2026 film avengers doomsday is predicted to earn 660m in total and 217 8m of that falls into 2027 march s top earner sonic the hedgehog 4 follows closely behind with a 210m predicted gross we also see the latest final installments of major franchises like dune and jumanji from december of this year contribute to the top earners of q1 2027 turning to movies released in q1 2027 by month our current standouts are january the beekeeper 2 59m february ice age boiling point 142m march sonic the hedgehog 4 210m we ll be updating our tracking as the months go on and our full prediction for 2027 releases in november to discover our full official prediction for the first quarter subscribe to the numbers business report also in this edition we have our final pre release predictions for all of august s wide releases including the end of oak street and the dog stars among many others along with our full 2026 and q1 2027 predictions our domestic and international release schedules cover all films being released domestically over the next month and all major international releases in 15 territories organized by date and by movie for the home market we have a monthly update on the theatrical window for new releases including trend analysis we ve also added information on what films are available or coming soon to streaming services on the talent front we include bankability values for the top 500 creative talents in the business expanding our unique perspective on the people in front of and behind the camera to take our prediction analysis further alongside the business report we are publishing a six week market theatrical forecast every week that has day by day predictions for all movies in the top 10 and the expected market size over the next 42 days subscribers also receive print and digital editions of the report and optional forecast spreadsheets and bankability reports contact the numbers business report team to subscribe to the weekly edition click here to subscribe to the numbers business report monthly edition contact the numbers business report team weekend projections spider man posts 3rd best 2nd weekend of all time august 9 2026 spider man brand new day will post the third best second weekend of all time this weekend according to sony s sunday morning projection a decline of 60 from its opening is expected to take it to 145 million this weekend for a record breaking 10 day total of 655 1 million domestically it will also pass 1 billion internationally for a global total of 1 67 billion that already makes it the 12th highest grossing movie of all time globally with a lot more to come here are the official studio projections for the weekend click the image for a full chart of all films reporting so far the projected 145 million for brand new day is just behind avengers endgame s 147 4 million second weekend and star wars the force awakens which holds the record with 149 2 million both of those totals are within reach if spidey has a good day on sunday what probably isn t within reach is a final box office total over 1 billion domestically as noted on friday brand new day would need to earn about 165 million this weekend to stay on pace for that milestone this weekend points to a final total between 850 million and 950 million which would put brand new day among the top three of all time bruce nash bruce nash the numbers com weekend predictions spider man set to dominate for second weekend as its quest for billionaire status continues august 7 2026 the big question of the weekend is how strong a hold spider man brand new day will enjoy after setting an all time opening weekend record last weekend the all time 2nd weekend record is held by star was the force awakens which grossed 149 2 million on its second weekend helped by the christmas holiday back in 2015 our model reckons that star wars record will likely fall but by how much is an open question if spidey is going to make a run for 1 billion domestically it needs to earn about 165 million this weekend before we get to our spider man prediction here are the model s takes on the openers based on what we know as of this morning all three wide releases look as though they are struggling to gain much traction here s the model s take on the top 10 the model thinks spider man brand new day will fall fractionally short of its 165 million target but there s quite a bit of uncertainty going into the weekend and our second weekend predictions tend to be out by around 10 on average that s a lot of money when we re talking about these kind of earnings breaking the 2nd weekend record looks a good bet and a path to 1 billion at the domestic box office is still a possibility we ll know a lot more once friday s numbers come in look out for tony which lands in six theaters for a24 it should post a great theater average and might just land in the top 10 as usual we ll post numbers as soon as we receive them through the weekend and if you need a head start on the numbers for upcoming movies the numbers business report has predictions and tracking for all movies coming up in the next 12 months and our weekly subscription option puts you first in line for our last minute weekend predictions bruce nash bruce nash the numbers com theater counts record breaking spider man stays widest release in second weekend july 30 2026 spider man brand new day shattered the domestic opening weekend record swinging to a historic 360 million debut that rewrote the all time charts after a blistering first frame and a dominant midweek hold the film heads into its second weekend with momentum to spare three new wide releases arrive on friday but none are expected to pose meaningful competition each targeting narrower audiences and far smaller theater counts with brand new day still commanding the market s attention the path is clear for another towering weekend performance showing in 3 012 theaters the widest of this weekend s newcomers is the callum turner monica barbaro romantic comedy one night only the film follows two strangers racing to find someone to sleep with on the one night each year when premarital sex is legal it s directed by will gluck whose last feature was the sydney sweeney glen powell hit anyone but you that film opened in 3 055 theaters in december 2023 and went on to clear more than 88m domestically across a 17 week run arriving in 2 760 cinemas is super troopers 3 the third installment in the super troopers franchise written by and starring the comedy troupe broken lizard and directed by jay chandrasekhar the film follows the troopers as they blunder into a new case that quickly spirals out of control with their trademark blend of deadpan idiocy rogue policing and escalating misfires the crew once again finds itself facing a threat far beyond its collective competence also hitting north american theaters this weekend is eli roth s horror entry ice cream man the film charts the unraveling of an idyllic summer town as an ice cream vendor s sweet treats yield horrifying consequences ari millen stars as the titular character with the release set to scoop into roughly 1 700 movie houses rounding out the top five widest releases this weekend is the aforementioned blockbuster spider man brand new day looking to build on its six day domestic haul of 482m the film holds steady at its massive opening footprint of 4 487 theaters still cruising along is the odyssey a 423m earner that sheds 258 locations yet remains widely available in 3 603 cinemas occupying the fifth widest slot is another 400m plus performer toy story 5 playing in 2 660 locations looking ahead to next weekend a bevy of newcomers is set to make their theatrical entrance the slate includes the 1980s cold war drama the brink of war the animated feature paw patrol the dino movie matthew mcconaughey s thriller the rivals of amziah king the comedy the wrong girls and ewan mcgregor and anne hathaway s sci fi thriller the end of oak street the latter is expected to arrive in approximately 3 400 theaters while paw patrol will debut in about 3 200 theaters theater counts for august 7 movie distributor theaters previous theaters change spider man brand new day sony pictures 4 487 4 487 the odyssey universal 3 603 3 861 258 one night only universal 3 012 new super troopers 3 searchlight pictures 2 760 new toy story 5 walt disney 2 660 3 035 375 moana walt disney 2 465 3 010 545 minions monsters universal 2 451 3 023 572 ice cream man iconic releasing 1 700 new cookie queens roadside attractions 446 new the invite a24 423 792 369 young washington angel studios 275 623 348 obsession focus features 186 430 244 evil dead burn warner bros 178 642 464 supergirl warner bros 75 148 73 olmo greenwich entertainment 51 new backrooms a24 47 85 38 boyhood ifc entertainment group 45 110 65 motor city ifc entertainment group 33 600 567 tony a24 6 new lucky strike roadside attractions 3 3 theater counts for august 14 the end of oak street warner bros 3 400 new paw patrol the dino movie paramount pictures 3 200 new weekend predictions 300 million or more on cards for spider man after monster 72 million from previews july 31 2026 spider man brand new day set out on its theatrical journey on wednesday with special screenings on that day followed by preview shows yesterday the movie has already earned a monster 72 million over two days giving it the biggest preview total of all time ahead of avengers endgame which earned 60 million on april 25 2019 on its way to the best weeekend of all time for a movie at the box office 357 million the question going into this weekend is whether brand new day can beat that number while no one can say for sure right now it is a possibility and 300 million is looking like a good bet here s our model s take on the situation brand new day has been tracking very well for a long time and our model has had it favorite to be the top earner of 2026 for several months tracking over the past few weeks had increased the model s prediction to forecast an opening well over 200 million the preview numbers point to something well over 300 million whether brand new day can hit 350 million or more will depend heavily on factors such as word of mouth repeat viewings and the continued showing of the odyssey in imax and other premium screens note that the wednesday special screenings do factor into our prediction but don t have a huge impact the timing of the previews on thursday are not factored into the prediction and could have a bearing on the final result endgame s previews started at 6pm while brand new day was playing from noon that s cause for a little caution on the prediction and is reflected in the final predicted opening of 323 million here s the model s take on the top 10 the odyssey faces its first major test this weekend and could drop more steeply than the model expects there is a possibility it will benefit from walk up moviegoers who can t find a seat to see spider man as usual we ll post numbers as soon as we 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