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description= Commentary on the management of over 160 English football clubs by Dr John Beech, winner of the FSF Writer of the Year Award 2009/10 Twitter: @JohnBeech Curator of Scoop.it! Football Finance;
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in full swing much media emphasis has been placed on the cultural differences of the various competing nations with justification there has been much concern placed on racism the investigative and selective panorama programme highlighted this although a similar programme might have been made about england by polish or ukrainian broadcasters to be met with howls of indignation in england clearly there is an issue here but the scale of the issue is very difficult to gauge especially from the uk it s not this issue that i am looking at though but at another cultural one having spent some of my early years living and working in central europe and having made work visits to eastern europe in the period leading up to the fall of communism and subsequently last week i was in bucharest and i m currently in st petersburg i ve found myself wondering whether eastern europe had caught up with western europe in footballing terms if the emergence of democracy had resulted in improved social conditions such as in the areas of education disposable income access to sports facilities etc now being on a par with western europe this should be reflected in the qualifiers for euro 2012 and in their fifa rankings as an indicator of form leading up to the euros country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified spain 1 1456 y germany 3 1288 y netherlands 4 1234 y england 6 1185 y croatia 8 1053 y denmark 9 1019 y portugal 10 996 y italy 12 977 y russia 13 975 y france 14 964 y greece 15 953 y sweden 17 910 y republic of ireland 18 907 y switzerland 21 868 norway 26 787 czech republic 27 771 y bosnia herzegovina 29 756 slovenia 30 742 hungary 31 735 turkey 33 732 serbia 34 725 wales 38 658 slovakia 39 649 scotland 41 611 montenegro 50 581 armenia 51 579 ukraine 52 572 y h romania 52 572 belgium 54 564 estonia 57 528 austria 58 524 poland 62 518 y h belarus 69 497 finland 75 464 latvia 76 459 albania 79 451 israel 81 427 lithuania 88 380 bulgaria 90 373 georgia 95 359 macedonia 101 338 northern ireland 103 336 azerbaijan 112 300 luxembourg 121 283 faroe islands 122 279 cyprus 125 266 iceland 131 248 moldova 140 212 kazakhstan 141 209 malta 147 195 liechtenstein 148 177 andorra 199 15 san marino 206 0 y yes y h yes as host the first conclusions that one must come to are that fifa points correlate pretty strongly with qualification for euro 2012 which is hardly surprising as the qualifying games are included in the fifa points and that poland and ukraine were unlikely to have qualified had they not been the co hosts the czech republic were the tail end charlies in qualifying and switzerland and to a lesser extent norway must feel disappointed at not qualifying given their recent form the first stage of the euros in its round robin format should also show some correspondence with form the knock out stage probably less so the following table is sorted by points achieved in the first round at the euros country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points germany 3 1288 y 9 spain 1 1456 y 7 england 6 1185 y 7 portugal 10 996 y 6 czech republic 27 771 y 6 italy 12 977 y 5 croatia 8 1053 y 4 russia 13 975 y 4 france 14 964 y 4 greece 15 953 y 4 denmark 9 1019 y 3 sweden 17 910 y 3 ukraine 52 572 y h 3 poland 62 518 y h 2 netherlands 4 1234 y 0 republic of ireland 18 907 y 0 netherlands fans have the most right to feel disappointed at their team failing to progress those of the czech republic the most elated the first difficulty in setting about looking at the relative strengths of different blocks of countries arises with the fact that the e in uefa is not quite the europe we learned about in school as with the eurovision song contest the boundaries of europe have been stretched while it may be obvious that uefa includes ukraine it is perhaps less obvious that uefaland actually stretches as far as the border between kazakhstan and china i have divided the countries into the following blocks the old western europe we the old eastern europe ee the old soviet union sb the old yugoslavia yu which always maintained a position on non alliance and was a country which always allowed its players to work for western european clubs and the others oth who do not fit into the main categories israel and turkey to add the uefanomics dimension i added a column showing the population of each country based on latest actuals or estimates and to allow for size a column showing the number of fifa points per million people the latter is of course a very crude indicator and does not allow for the anomalies at the ends of the spectrum the minnows where the random talent of individuals has a much stronger relevance to success and the giants where the sheer size of the country makes it perhaps difficult to identify all individual players talents i ll make the same disclaimer that peter snow used to make for the famous swingometer remember it s just for fun country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population block faroe islands 122 279 49 267 56 630 we liechtenstein 148 177 36 010 49 153 we montenegro 50 581 625 266 9 292 yu iceland 131 248 320 060 7 749 we luxembourg 121 283 509 074 5 559 we malta 147 195 452 515 4 309 we estonia 57 528 1 340 194 3 940 sb slovenia 30 742 2 050 189 3 619 yu cyprus 125 266 838 897 3 171 we croatia 8 1053 y 4 4 290 612 2 454 yu wales 38 658 3 006 400 2 189 we latvia 76 459 2 217 053 2 070 sb republic of ireland 18 907 y 0 4 588 252 1 977 we bosnia herzegovina 29 756 3 839 737 1 969 yu northern ireland 103 336 1 799 392 1 867 we denmark 9 1019 y 3 5 543 453 1 838 we andorra 199 15 84 082 1 784 we armenia 51 579 3 262 200 1 775 sb macedonia 101 338 2 055 004 1 645 yu albania 79 451 2 831 741 1 593 ee norway 26 787 4 985 870 1 578 we lithuania 88 380 3 187 176 1 192 sb slovakia 39 649 5 445 324 1 192 ee scotland 41 611 5 254 800 1 163 we switzerland 21 868 7 952 600 1 091 we serbia 34 725 7 120 666 1 018 yu sweden 17 910 y 3 9 415 295 967 we portugal 10 996 y 6 10 578 776 942 we finland 75 464 5 404 956 858 we greece 15 953 y 4 11 305 118 843 we georgia 95 359 4 469 200 803 sb hungary 31 735 10 014 324 734 ee netherlands 4 1234 y 0 16 847 007 732 we czech republic 27 771 y 6 10 562 214 730 ee austria 58 524 8 414 638 623 we moldova 140 212 3 559 500 596 sb israel 81 427 7 869 900 543 oth belarus 69 497 9 503 807 523 sb belgium 54 564 11 007 020 512 we bulgaria 90 373 7 364 570 506 ee azerbaijan 112 300 9 165 000 327 sb spain 1 1456 y 7 46 030 109 316 we romania 52 572 19 042 936 300 ee england 6 1185 y 7 52 234 000 227 we italy 12 977 y 5 60 681 514 161 we germany 3 1288 y 9 81 799 600 157 we france 14 964 y 4 65350000 148 we poland 62 518 y h 2 38 186 860 136 ee kazakhstan 141 209 16 600 000 126 sb ukraine 52 572 y h 3 45 888 000 125 sb turkey 33 732 74 724 269 98 oth russia 13 975 y 4 143 030 106 68 sb san marino 206 0 31 887 0 we can the faroe islanders really be the top achievers well certainly they are no longer the minnows who could be relied on to roll over and be thrashed as scotland infamously discovered i find it particularly interesting that the top four achievers who qualified were croatia the republic of ireland denmark and sweden all deserve credit for qualifying for the euros and commiserations for not making it beyond the first round russia on the other hand emerge as massive underachievers finally to return to my original query i ve sorted the table by country block putting israel and turkey to one side western europe country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population faroe islands 122 279 49 267 56 630 liechtenstein 148 177 36 010 49 153 iceland 131 248 320 060 7 749 luxembourg 121 283 509 074 5 559 malta 147 195 452 515 4 309 cyprus 125 266 838 897 3 171 wales 38 658 3 006 400 2 189 republic of ireland 18 907 y 0 4 588 252 1 977 northern ireland 103 336 1 799 392 1 867 denmark 9 1019 y 3 5 543 453 1 838 andorra 199 15 84 082 1 784 norway 26 787 4 985 870 1 578 scotland 41 611 5 254 800 1 163 switzerland 21 868 7 952 600 1 091 sweden 17 910 y 3 9 415 295 967 portugal 10 996 y 6 10 578 776 942 finland 75 464 5 404 956 858 greece 15 953 y 4 11 305 118 843 netherlands 4 1234 y 0 16 847 007 732 austria 58 524 8 414 638 623 belgium 54 564 11 007 020 512 spain 1 1456 y 7 46 030 109 316 england 6 1185 y 7 52 234 000 227 italy 12 977 y 5 60 681 514 161 germany 3 1288 y 9 81 799 600 157 france 14 964 y 4 65 350 000 148 san marino 206 0 31 887 0 average population of country in western european block 15 352 615 eastern europe country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population albania 79 451 2 831 741 1 593 slovakia 39 649 5 445 324 1 192 hungary 31 735 10 014 324 734 czech republic 27 771 y 6 10 562 214 730 bulgaria 90 373 7 364 570 506 romania 52 572 19 042 936 300 poland 62 518 y h 2 38 186 860 136 average population of country in eastern european block 13 349 710 former soviet block country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population estonia 57 528 1 340 194 3 940 latvia 76 459 2 217 053 2 070 armenia 51 579 3 262 200 1 775 lithuania 88 380 3 187 176 1 192 georgia 95 359 4 469 200 803 moldova 140 212 3 559 500 596 belarus 69 497 9 503 807 523 azerbaijan 112 300 9 165 000 327 kazakhstan 141 209 16 600 000 126 ukraine 52 572 y h 3 45 888 000 125 russia 13 975 y 4 143 030 106 68 average population of country in former soviet block 22 020 203 average population of country in former soviet block excluding russia 9 919 203 former yugoslavia country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population montenegro 50 581 625 266 9 292 slovenia 30 742 2 050 189 3 619 croatia 8 1053 y 4 4 290 612 2 454 bosnia herzegovina 29 756 3 839 737 1 969 macedonia 101 338 2 055 004 1 645 serbia 34 725 7 120 666 1 018 average population of country in former yugoslav block 3 330 246 the results are not entirely surprising with the exceptions of croatia the czech republic and russia all the teams who made it to the euros through competition were from western europe is this an indication that eastern europe has not caught up with western europe over the last twenty years well possibly but there are other reasons notably the issue of the population of each country the next table ranks countries by population country fifa ranking july 2012 fifa points july 2012 qualified first round points population points 000 000s of population block russia 13 975 y 4 143 030 106 68 sb germany 3 1288 y 9 81 799 600 157 we turkey 33 732 74 724 269 98 oth france 14 964 y 4 65350000 148 we italy 12 977 y 5 60 681 514 161 we england 6 1185 y 7 52 234 000 227 we spain 1 1456 y 7 46 030 109 316 we ukraine 52 572 y h 3 45 888 000 125 sb poland 62 518 y h 2 38 186 860 136 ee romania 52 572 19 042 936 300 ee netherlands 4 1234 y 0 16 847 007 732 we kazakhstan 141 209 16 600 000 126 sb greece 15 953 y 4 11 305 118 843 we belgium 54 564 11 007 020 512 we portugal 10 996 y 6 10 578 776 942 we czech republic 27 771 y 6 10 562 214 730 ee of the 16 largest countries in euroland only poland at no 9 in population romania no 10 and the czech republic no 16 appear in the list together with russia no 1 ukraine no 8 and kazakhstan no 12 from the old soviet block the remainder consisting of nine western european countries plus turkey could it be that eastern europe suffers in football success from consisting of smaller countries of the 16 largest countries in euroland only poland at no 9 in population romania no 10 and the czech republic no 16 appear in the list together with russia no 1 ukraine no 8 and kazakhstan no 12 from the old soviet block the remainder consisting of nine western european countries plus turkey could it be that eastern europe suffers in football success from consisting of smaller countries consider which countries have actually reached the finals country winners runners up finalists germany 3 3 6 soviet union 1 3 4 spain 2 1 3 czech republic 1 1 2 france 2 2 italy 1 1 2 denmark 1 1 greece 1 1 netherlands 1 1 yugoslavia 2 2 belgium 1 1 portugal 1 1 yugoslavia were losing finalists in 1960 and 1968 a reconstituted yugoslavia today would have a combined population today of 19 981 474 ranking it as the tenth largest uefa country by population these musings of course prove nothing but they do suggest that being big helps and if you are an eastern european country you are generally a bit disadvantaged in this respect this has implications for euro 2016 when the number of countries qualifying will increase from 16 to 24 eastern european countries will be no better placed to win but statistically we should expect to see them make up a greater percentage of the qualifying countries which will be good for them in terms of exposure and international experience as for this evening well using uefa points as a predictor of form england seem to have the edge maybe i shouldn t tempt providence though and in any case form is a worse predictor in the knockout stages than in the first round because it is being applied to a single game rather than three games apologies for way the tables appear wordpress com is not very helpful at formating tables prepared in word share this share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on reddit opens in new window reddit like loading posted in uefa tagged uefa 3 comments so is it really goodbye bluebirds hello red dragons posted by john beech on june 7 2012 like the old joke about anti social behaviour in a lift what is happening at cardiff city is just plain wrong at so many levels the root causes of the problem lie in sam hammam s decision to build a new stadium the resulting deep financial difficulty that cardiff got themselves into with langston and the damoclean debt hanging over the club as a result and peter ridsdale s decision to involve the club in what was from the first described as a strategic marketing alliance with malaysian investors 1 as he said at the time it will be a long term alliance it will include youth development it will include the opportunity to explore the whole fan base it will certainly include sponsorship we are already talking to them about shirt sponsorship and stadium naming rights without any definite conclusions at this stage we are also talking about their assistance in trying to put this club on the sort of financial footing that we would have liked to dream of when i first arrived at this football club needless to say there was no public talk of the shirt sponsorship involving what has just been announced indeed as recently as 10 may dato chan tien ghee said in an open letter to fans wrote the new club crest and home colours which were being discussed were intended to demonstrate the symbolic fusi...
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