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description= 3 posts published by Reidar Visser during September 2012;
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2012 september iraq and gulf analysis iraq and gulf analysis home about archives august 2015 january 2015 december 2014 october 2014 september 2014 august 2014 july 2014 june 2014 may 2014 april 2014 march 2014 february 2014 january 2014 december 2013 november 2013 october 2013 september 2013 august 2013 july 2013 june 2013 may 2013 april 2013 march 2013 february 2013 january 2013 december 2012 november 2012 october 2012 september 2012 august 2012 july 2012 june 2012 may 2012 april 2012 march 2012 february 2012 january 2012 december 2011 november 2011 october 2011 september 2011 august 2011 july 2011 june 2011 may 2011 april 2011 march 2011 february 2011 january 2011 december 2010 november 2010 october 2010 september 2010 august 2010 july 2010 june 2010 may 2010 april 2010 march 2010 february 2010 january 2010 december 2009 november 2009 october 2009 september 2009 august 2009 july 2009 june 2009 may 2009 april 2009 march 2009 february 2009 january 2009 december 2008 november 2008 october 2008 september 2008 august 2008 july 2008 june 2008 may 2008 april 2008 march 2008 february 2008 january 2008 december 2007 november 2007 october 2007 september 2007 august 2007 july 2007 june 2007 may 2007 april 2007 march 2007 february 2007 january 2007 december 2006 november 2006 october 2006 september 2006 august 2006 july 2006 june 2006 may 2006 april 2006 march 2006 february 2006 january 2006 december 2005 november 2005 october 2005 august 2005 categories basra and southern regionalism 34 de baathification 11 federalism in sunni majority areas of iraq 14 federalism in the middle east 6 iranian influence in iraq 55 iraq regionalism general 27 iraq and soft partition 39 iraq international relations 5 iraq local elections 2013 21 iraq parliament membership 13 iraq parliamentary elections 2014 26 iraq s 2010 parliamentary election 175 iraqi constitutional issues 280 iraqi nationalism 95 kirkuk and disputed territories 47 oil in iraq 46 rule of law 2 sectarian master narrative 55 shiite sectarian federalism 16 uia dynamics 133 uncategorized 59 us policy in iraq leverage issues 67 meta create account log in entries feed comments feed wordpress com my latest book on amazon com from just world books available on amazon com twitter updates tweets by reidarvisser september 2012 m t w t f s s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 aug oct subscribe entries rss comments rss recent posts legality and constitutionality questions in iraq s reform push the federalism dimension in yemen s draft constitution federalism and decentralization in libya s constitutional proposals groundbreaking iraq supreme court ruling on the law on mp replacement after the rise of isis will iraq s shiites secede additional ministers approved for the iraq cabinet the controversial kurdish ministers in the new iraqi cabinet the iraqi parliament fails to approve new security ministers the iraqi parliament approves the abbadi cabinet haydar al abbadi is the new iraq pm candidate maliki the presidency and parliament in the iraq pm nomination battle pm nomination trouble in iraq iraq elects fuad masum as new president for the first time in iraq a large field of presidential candidates the iraqi parliament elects its new speakership archive for september 2012 posted by reidar visser on wednesday 19 september 2012 14 44 posted in uncategorized 2 comments iraq s new independent electoral commission some initial thoughts posted by reidar visser on monday 17 september 2012 15 06 it looks as if it is going to be a long session for iraq s parliament today so here are some initial reflections on the reported vote by parliament to approve 8 out of 9 new members of the country s independent electoral commission ihec all that follows is based on the assumption that initial press reports about the vote and the identity of the new councilors are correct the official parliamentary report is due later today and should be taken as the final word for many weeks the battlefront regarding the make up of the new electoral commission board has concerned its size the decision last week to keep the current size of the board 9 members was seen as a setback for prime minister nuri al maliki who had apparently hoped to expand the board to 15 with the aim of diluting the political influence of his enemies it can be worthwhile therefore to begin with a brief look at the political composition of the new board and compare it to the old one most reports suggest that of the 8 new commissioners 4 are from the shiite alliance two from daawa one from isci one from the sadrists two are from the secular and increasingly sunni backed iraqiyya and two are from the kurdistan alliance there is an unresolved question as to whether a final ninth member of the commission supposedly a minority representative will be a turkmen or a christian compare this with the previous ihec which pre dated maliki s rise to power it also had 4 shiite islamists but only 1 was considered close to maliki the rest being closer to isci fadila and the sadrists respectively there were 2 kurds same as today but iraqiyya had only one commissioner close to them the two remaining members of the board originally having been considered close to the shiite islamist tawafuq alliance on the balance then maliki has apparently seen his position improve slightly but not a lot the isci iraqiyya kurdish sadrist alliance that threatened him earlier this year commands perhaps as many as 6 seats on the new board it makes you understand why maliki had wanted 15 commissioners instead ideally with some space for his newfound allies in the smaller parliamentary blocs among the kurdish opposition and the iraqiyya splinter groups today there were even reports that members of the second branch of maliki s daawa party the tanzim al iraq faction were unhappy that the mainline daawa had monopolized two commissioner seats for the state of law coalition to which they both belong every little will count in other words so it will be interesting to see who the ninth commissioner will be whether turkmen or christian one iraqiyya spokesman has already said he is in favour of the turkmen female candidate gulshan kamal it should be added in this respect that there is no legal or constitutional requirement that any sect be represented the ihec law from 2007 only stipulates that there should be at least 2 lawyers on the board that the rest should be experts in electoral affairs that they should be politically independent and that the representation of women should be taken into regard it seems the female representation requirement has been given only a very symbolic nod today in the possible ninth seat for a turkmen female the political independence criterion hasn t been taken seriously at any point since the ihec law was passed from the legal point of view perhaps the most glaring question is whether a parliament vote on 8 members is valid when 9 are called for by the law in any case attention will now turn to the local elections scheduled for 2013 perhaps those elections in turn can produce some new alliances that can help breathe life into iraq s stalemated politics posted in iraq local elections 2013 3 comments parliamentary setback for maliki in the electoral commission struggle posted by reidar visser on friday 14 september 2012 9 23 iraqi parliamentary politics briefly got exciting again on thursday as one of the first contested votes in a long time divided the chamber along interesting lines contested votes are comparatively rare in iraqi politics usually bills never come up for a vote until the political leaders have ruminated on them for so long that consensus is achieved through sheer exhaustion or not infrequently by watering down the bills to the point where they are meaningless and or contradictive and hence acceptable dissent is often marginal and not taken note of at all parliamentary records typically include a notice to the effect that this or that bill passed with a majority usually this will have meant that the chamber rarely more than two thirds full even on the best of days will have passed the bill with a solid margin of maybe 80 or 90 of deputies voting in favour for this reason the comparatively rare contested votes in the iraqi parliament tend to receive attention memorable past ones include the cliffhanger vote on the law for forming federal regions in october 2006 the battle over the provincial elections law in 2008 and the fight over a new parliamentary speaker in the first part of 2009 interestingly most of those votes to some extent touched on disputes relating to fundamental issues of state structure with the kurds and advocates of stronger centralization siding with opposite camps on all three occasions yesterday s developments in parliament belong to the long running saga of installing a new electoral commission for iraq ihec in fact that process has already seen one contested vote last year when prime minister nuri al maliki tried to sack the existing board but lost the vote in parliament the term of the current ihec board has now expired and it survives only through monthly extensions of its mandate granted by parliament in lieu of agreement on a new board the big decisions relate to how many seats the board will have there are currently nine commissioners and who should fill them in this dispute maliki has identified himself with a proposal to extend the number of commissioners from 9 to 15 presumably the thinking behind this is that a big commission could be more susceptible to divide and rule strategies and maliki is probably also eager to find seats on the commission for newfound friends of his in splinter groups from the secular iraqiyya and the kurds goran maliki allies have said openly that they fear a 9 person board would have a too strong pro iraqiyya contingent maybe 3 commissioners a law featuring proposed changes to the existing law for the electoral board including the maliki sponsored increase of the number of commissioner has been making its way forward in the iraqi parliament and yesterday was ready for a vote however instead of adopting the changes parliament voted to cancel the proposed changes this is where the political dimension comes into play the official parliamentary record says 233 deputies were present when parliament opened press accounts say pro maliki deputies from his own state of law coalition white iraqiyya breakaway group fadila and goran kurdish opposition party left the chamber in protest leaving deputies from iraqiyya the kurdistan alliance isci and the sadrists to vote down the changes just to complicate matters further there are two accounts of how many mps were present during the contested vote parliament speaker nujayfi of iraqiyya says 169 deputies were in the chamber above the quorum level at 163 maliki ally khalid al atiyya says there were 156 deputies less than the required quorum whichever interpretation is correct the vote yesterday should serve as another wakeup call for maliki with respect to his narrow support base in parliament essentially the forces who threw out his attempt to increase the number of ihec commissioners were the same that tried to unseat him earlier this spring even though maliki appears to have made some progress in drawing parts of iraqiyya closer to him than to their nominal leader ayyad allawi this is of limited consequence unless he can get them to vote with him in key parliamentary contests like this one earlier this week allawi who is technically a deputy but who rarely visits the national assembly appeared briefly at the parliament building to discuss with the components of the iraqiyya alliance allawi will likely see this latest vote as something of a vindication after a rather bumpy ride and multiple iraqiyya defections during the first half of 2012 absent any supreme court challenges regarding the quorum the debate about ihec is now likely to focus on the identity of the 9 commissioners the legal requirement that they be independent from party politics has long been forgotten across the board posted in iraq local elections 2013 4 comments create a free website or blog at wordpress com subscribe subscribed iraq and gulf analysis join 203 other subscribers sign me up already have a wordpress com account log in now privacy iraq and gulf analysis subscribe subscribed sign up log in report this content view site in reader manage subscriptions collapse this bar design a site like this with wordpress com get started
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