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Text of the page (random words):
list of concepts conceptually conceptually about list of concepts conceptually about list of concepts list of concepts some of the concepts you ll need to better understand the world spreading out your learning improves your ability to recall information this is called the spacing effect instead of trying to learn all of these concepts at once get an email with one new concept each week it s free email address get started signalling and countersignalling why do we spend so much on wedding rings do springbok s jump in the air and is college so expensive explore exploit tradeoff when should you try something new or stick with what you already know and like thinking on the margin how to think about the value of anything extra dual process theory how should we use our 2 systems of thought gut feeling and rational thought efficient markets why is it so damn hard to find the perfect park or partner heuristics how do we make decisions under uncertainty take a shortcut the overton window how do we change the world shift the overton window cognitive dissonance theory oh boy do we not like receiving conflicting information why and how do we resolve it cognitive dissonance theory counterfactuals what would happen if reference class forecasting how long will your project take how much will it cost increase your accuracy with reference class forecasting expected value playing with chances and values scope insensitivity how does our intuition process large numbers it doesn t coordination problems coordination problems are at the root of some of the largest problems we have in society like climate change discounting how much more valuable is it today vs tomorrow cialdini s 6 principles of influence 6 principles to explain how marketing and sales tactics work comparative advantage what s the use in trade and specialisation and how should you choose a career regression to the mean why the champion team won t win next season and early results in science are so often wrong bayes rule how to deal with conflicting information of different strengths and get the right answer on your statistics test zero vs positive sum who gets what share of the pie and what s the best negotiation strategy ex ante and ex post was it right to buy that lottery ticket well it depends on whether you re talking ex ante or ex post cognitive biases we re all wrong in our unique way but we re also all wrong in the same ways isn t that cute strawmen and steelwomen how do you win an argument debate against a strawman how do you get to the truth steelwoman signal and noise a concept for thinking about what the meaningful information you re trying to detect is occam s razor cut through the crap with a tool from your mate occam principal agent problems moral hazard adverse selection information asymmetry causing problems left right and center empirical evidence franky bacon the science god armchair reasoning and a rationalist empiricist rumble determinism is there really not that much you can do cue existential dread elasticity stretch your mind moral foundations theory where do feelings of rightness and wrongness come from false positives and false negatives how to distinguish evidence from reality efficiency how to get the most out of anything decline of violence why has violence declined across the globe over the course of history fox vs hedgehog how should we view the world and forecast the future option value what s the cost of keeping all your doors open objective vs subjective what does it even mean for something to be objective or subjective equilibrium an equilibrium is a state of balance where opposing forces are equal to each other the map is not the territory the map and territory is a metaphor used to illustrate the difference between the actual world and our understanding of the world as we perceive it to be the map is our understanding of the territory of reality and we must be careful to remember that the map is not the territory externalities why the free market gives us too much pollution and too few vaccines pareto principle the pareto principle is the idea that for many things roughly 80 of the results come from 20 of the inputs this is why the pareto principle is also known as the 80 20 rule abstraction abstraction is the process of generalising complex events in the real world to the abstract ideas that underly them tucking away the complexities of the situation meta something is meta if it is self referential if it follows the scheme a thing about a thing learn how meta analysis metacognition and going meta all help you in your life natural selection and memes natural selection is the process by which the natural environment causes different organisms to survive or die based on their different traits it s where the term survival of the fittest comes from longer list of concepts coming soon understand the world better with 40 concepts email address start reading conceptually about list of concepts popular concepts occam s razor overton window empirical evidence heuristics dual processing theory
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