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forces continue to circulate through its territory although us and european officials have called for a ceasefire to allow libyan authorities to better tackle this threat renegade general khalifa haftar has stepped up his offensive in the last few days as he and his backers look to use the rest of the world s distraction to their advantage in tunisia the coronavirus is the first major test for a government that only came to power in february following an election late in 2019 so far the new leadership s actions to combat covid 19 seem to be effective and to enjoy public support despite only reporting a couple of dozen cases tunisia has imposed strong containment measures a curfew a ban on international flights and the closure of its land borders yet even if it limits the spread of covid 19 tunisia is already struggling with persistent economic problems that the virus will only exacerbate given the resulting collapse in income from tourism and likely decline in trade with europe morocco will also take a major economic hit from the virus at a time when years of economic inequality and regional disparities have generated significant public discontent within the country morocco has implemented a series of flight suspensions and containment measures which are largely voluntary at this stage but most moroccans appear to be observing algeria was identified by the who as being at unusually high risk from the coronavirus because of its extensive links with china however only a few dozen cases have been reported in the country algeria has instituted a series of containment measures suspending travel and closing schools and mosques while importing equipment to support its strained healthcare system the biggest obstacle to countering the virus in algeria concerns the government s lack of political legitimacy official measures designed to limit public gatherings are widely seen as an opportunistic attempt to end the year long protest movement that demands change in algeria s political system however many people with influence over the protest movement have called for the suspension of the demonstrations to protect public health and there are signs that protests may at least diminish in the coming months as the movement s supporters look for other ways to show their opposition to the regime anthony dworkin and tarek megerisi share this youtube com c middleeastmediapostllcnorfolk google com middleeastmediapostllcnorfolk share on x opens in new window x share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr print opens in new window print more share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on linkedin opens in new window linkedin share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest email a link to a friend opens in new window email share on whatsapp opens in new window whatsapp share on reddit opens in new window reddit share on telegram opens in new window telegram share on middle east media post llc opens in new window middle east media post llc like loading posted in uncategorized leave a comment iranian cyber activities in the context of regional rivalries and international tensions posted on november 2 2020 by chainsoff introduction iran is a significant actor in the middle east and also in cyberspace because of its history economy religion and political ambitions iran cannot be ignored as a regional power and is considered as a threat by its neighbors while access to certain internet content is strictly controlled inside iran iranian advanced persistent threats apts 3 have become infamous for targeting energy companies in neighboring countries with destructive malware4and cyberespionage campaigns however iran is also known for being the target of highly sophisticated cyberattacks the most famous being stuxnet which was jointly developed by the us and israel this hotspot analysis analyzes cyber activities in relation to iran in the context of its regional rivalry with its neighbors and its relationship with the us which has come under renewed strain in this context cyberattacks are instruments that states can deploy in case of tensions whether to defuse heightened tension e g stuxnet to harass to spy on rivals and dissidentsor as a warfare technique cyber activities also enable weaker states to cause damage to more powerful states in asymmetrical warfare the objective of this hotspot analysis is to better understand the dynamics of cyber activities in regional rivalries and broader international tensions related to iran iranian related cyber activities are primarily focused on spear phishing and credential theft with occasional destructive attacks these cyberattacks which are relatively low level are rooted in the regional rivalry between iran and its neighbors and in the tensions with the us additionally while current open source research suggests that iranian threat actors are highly active it is in reality more likely that iranian systems are regularly targeted by western states information on these latter cyberattacks is unfortunately very limited this hotspot analysis is organized in four sections section 2 gives an account of the historical and international context of iranian cyber activities and cyberattacks against iran the goal of the chronology in this section is to place cyber activities relating to iran within their political and historical setting section 3 describes first some of the multiple actors involved in cyber activities related to iran this section only examines the main apts from iran the main iranian patriotic hackers and actors in the us and israel it details targets of cyber activities related to iran and shows that iranian apts have targeted iranian opposition groups both in iran and abroad while alsocarrying out cyberespionage and destructive campaigns against companies in multiple states in the middle east iranian apts also conducted cyberespionage campaigns 3 abbreviations are listed in section 10 against industries government institutions and non governmental organizations ngos in western statesand in the middle east finally the section looks at tools and techniques used in the iranian context this section demonstrates that iranian patriotic hackers used distributed denial of service ddos attacks that iranian apts created fake personas on social media for spear phishing campaigns and used a mix of freely available commercialand custom made malware in their cyberattacks and that western actors used sophisticated malware against iranian targets section 4 examines the effects of cyber activities at the national and international levels the first subsection analyzes the effects of iranian authorities control over internet content and online surveillance of dissidents the second subsection details the economic effects of destructive cyberattacks on energy companies and the economic effects of ddos attacks the third subsection examines the fact that iranian apts are not technically sophisticated but still manage to achieve their strategic goals this subsection also looks at how the discovery of stuxnet was a wakeup call for the international community the final subsection looks at the effects of cyber activities related to iran on international relations first iran considers cyberspace as a space for asymmetrical warfare against its regional rivals and its more powerful adversaries second proxy wars between iran and its regional rivals unfold primarily in the physical realm but are also transposed to cyberspace third after the joint comprehensive plan of action jcpoa between iran the us china france germany russia and the uk was signed in 2015 malicious cyber activities between the us and iran seemed to diminish but restarted after the us withdrawal this change in malicious activities shows that cyber activities evolvetogetherwith the development of relations between the two states fourth iranian apts started to conduct online influence campaigns targeting us citizens they copied russian tactics and tried to influence political opinion in favor of iranian interests finally section 5 contributes some generic policy recommendations for mitigating the risks of being impacted by cyberattacks from the iranian context this section recommends that cybersecurity be improved information about iranian apts be shared awareness about iranian influence campaigns be raised and us iran relations be monitored this hotspot analysis will be updated as new information concerning cyber activities relating to iran is published the goal is to keep the hotspot analysis as accurate as possible this report will also be integrated in a broader study comparing multiple hotspot analyses click to access 20190507_mb_hs_irn 20v1_rev pdf share this youtube com c middleeastmediapostllcnorfolk google com middleeastmediapostllcnorfolk share on x opens in new window x share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr print opens in new window print more share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on linkedin opens in new window linkedin share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest email a link to a friend opens in new window email share on whatsapp opens in new window whatsapp share on reddit opens in new window reddit share on telegram opens in new window telegram share on middle east media post llc opens in new window middle east media post llc like loading posted in cyber terrorism leave a comment america has a golden opportunity to forge a more stable middle east stephen horenstein posted on november 1 2020 by chainsoff the obama administration s outlook on the middle east was to blame past american mistakes rather than hard line islamists for the regions woes it is an error of perspective that has borne very real consequences today his presidency was essentially to engage with america s foes as seen with the muslim brotherhood in egypt and the mullahs in iran the price of this was eschewing close relations with traditional u s allies in the region and generating greater instability today the trump administration have been struggling to find a solution to these deep rooted problems this has especially proven the case in syria where american abandonment of the kurds left them exposed to turkish aggression however despite a number of missteps the prospect of stability across the region looks rosier than when he stepped into office just under 4 years ago the normalisation deals between the uae bahrain and israel has created a more stable platform for the region s like minded countries to cooperate against iranian and turkish backed aggression in the form of violent proxies such as hezbollah and hamas whereas obama cooled relations with these long standing allies trump has recognised that an america less involved in the region needs these nations to band together however the next administration whoever is at the helm has some major middle east issues in the intray that must be dealt with and can help further the slow march to stability breaking out across the region firstly the kurdish issue understandably they feel let down by american actions last year however there is still the potential to foster a close alliance with them america must play carrot and stick offering greater support for the self administration but demand they cut all links and ties to the pkk a stable unified and autonomous kurdish nation is potentially a silver lining of the very dark cloud of violence in iraq and syria over the past decade an independent kurdistan would act as a bulwark against turkish and the iranian regime likely forming close parntership with the alliance already blossoming between the gulf and israel simultaneously the new administration would be able to also curb russian inflience in the region without a large american troop presence in the region through a strong kurdish state secondly countering the narrative of political islam across the region should be a major strand of american middle east policy obama sought an accommodation with groups such as the muslim brotherhood failing to recognise the harder line undemocratic societies they sought to implement trump has gone some way to rectify this however his admiration of the increasling islamist erdogan shows there is a considerable way to go biden or trump should therefore make repudiating the damaging impacts of islamism a top priortiy of their middle east policy in this respect biden arguably recognises the threat erdogan and his ideology poses better than his opponent who has shown a penchant for courting autocratic leaders the former has labelled him an autocrat and called on them to recommit to their nato commitments in light of closer partnership with russia and aggression in the eastern mediterranean and libya the difficulty in assessing which candidate is best placed to take the opportunity of building a more stable middle east which rejects the violent ideology of islamism is that foreign policy has barely featured in the race for the white house the two debates we ve had between the candidates have been dominated by name calling and mud slinging in biden concerns are that his foreign policy team doesn t get the true nature of the islamist threat given the approach the previous administration took conversely trump s mistreatment of the kurds and apparent cozyness with president erdogan is also an impediment the obama administration s outlook on the middle east was to blame past american mistakes rather than hard line islamists for the regions woes it is an error of perspective that has borne very real consequences today his presidency was essentially to engage with america s foes as seen with the muslim brotherhood in egypt and the mullahs in iran the price of this was eschewing close relations with traditional u s allies in the region and generating greater instability today the trump administration have been struggling to find a solution to these deep rooted problems this has especially proven the case in syria where american abandonment of the kurds left them exposed to turkish aggression however despite a number of missteps the prospect of stability across the region looks rosier than when he stepped into office just under 4 years ago the normalisation deals between the uae bahrain and israel has created a more stable platform for the region s like minded countries to cooperate against iranian and turkish backed aggression in the form of violent proxies such as hezbollah and hamas whereas obama cooled relations with these long standing allies trump has recognised that an america less involved in the region needs these nations to band together however the next administration whoever is at the helm has some major middle east issues in the intray that must be dealt with and can help further the slow march to stability breaking out across the region firstly the kurdish issue understandably they feel let down by american actions last year however there is still the potential to foster a close alliance with them america must play carrot and stick offering greater support for the sel...
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