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9 years ago donald lambro as trump nears first 100 days 9 years ago victor davis hanson townhall com apocalyptic progressivism 9 years ago ann coulter your choice a green america or a brown america 9 years ago walter e williams worse than racists 9 years ago john c goodman we already have school choice 9 years ago peter ferrara trump encourages conservatives with appointments demonstrating that people are policy 9 years ago victor davis hanson works and days end college football 10 years ago hugh hewitt what gop candidates need to speak to now 11 years ago nro articles ben carson to gun owners trust me 11 years ago matt patterson scott walker walks the walk 11 years ago daniel hannan so long and thanks for all the clicks 11 years ago politico live s blog issa iraqi government delusional 11 years ago david limbaugh did jesus really exist 11 years ago oliver north cover up 13 years ago christopher hitchens last post and closing remarks 13 years ago washington whispers really palin dismisses presidency as a title 14 years ago cartoon nazi time is running out 15 years ago washington examiner beltway confidential dick morris the weekly standard human events frontpage magazine david s blog hugh hewitt s townhall blog byron york s townhall com column david horowitz freedom center tony blankley karl rove newsmax inside cover michael barone realclearpolitics byron york washington examiner power by wikipediamindmap blogger template by blogcrowds saturday december 06 2014 on a roll suddenly things look up for the gop we can hope t republicans have lost the last two presidential elections but not much else over the past six years they ve captured the house and senate they now hold 31 governorships and 69 of the 99 state legislative chambers what this means is pretty simple there s an emerging republican majority the gop still has significant emerging to do before reaching majority status it may never get there the rise this year may be republicans peak for now they may have achieved nothing more than what university of virginia professor larry sabato calls the emerging outline of possible gop victory in 2016 at the very least a republican must win the white house in 2016 while maintaining control of congress republicans need to attract more votes from minorities particularly hispanics they must continue to improve their appeal to women most of all republicans must avoid self inflicted wounds such as prompting another government shutdown or nominating a poor presidential candidate that s a lot to pull off but republicans have advantages they lacked in the presidential years of 2008 and 2012 one is the eight year itch that s the tendency of voters to change parties in the white house after a two term presidency the only exception in the last seven instances of such a presidency was the election of george h w bush in 1988 after reagan s two terms and president obama is likely to make things worse for the democratic candidate in 2016 he is not only unpopular but also appears committed to an unpopular agenda every poll shows americans want compromise in washington obama s preference is for confrontation then there s the ideological direction of the democratic party it s tilting left all the energy and passion is on the left the party is being mcgovernized moderates have about as much influence as liberals do in the republican party the democratic agenda bigger government higher taxes increased spending and cultural nihilism isn t a winning combination for 2016 midterm elections are not predictive of presidential outcomes we know that from recent history after winning in a landslide in the 2010 midterm republicans lost the presidential race two years later still the 2014 election offers some clues about political trends for instance it suggests the obama coalition is not the same as the democratic coalition obama was a great presidential candidate he maximized the democratic vote but when he wasn t on the ballot in 2010 and 2014 democrats lost badly their turnout machine didn t work as effectively without him on the ticket so the democratic coalition will probably be less broad in 2016 democrats think they have a number of current issues on their side but issues that poll well don t always cause voters to back candidates of the party associated with those issues raising the minimum wage is a good example it s clearly a democratic issue in november voters in arkansas nebraska south dakota and alaska backed increases in the minimum wage at the same time they elected republicans to the senate and by large margins except in alaska among the major democratic issues today are global warming same sex marriage abortion and voter id global warming is so far down the list of issues that voters care about it has dropped out of sight the fight over gay marriage is over democrats benefited in two election cycles from blaming republicans for a war on women involving abortion and contraception that issue died in 2014 opposing voter id laws may galvanize african americans and the party base but that s it besides there s no evidence such laws prevent voting immigration is different it divides the country it s a problem for republicans who need 40 percent or more of hispanic voters to win the presidency it is one of the few issues that actually may help democrats even so republicans fared better with hispanic voters in 2014 than in 2012 in texas republican greg abbott got 44 percent of the hispanic vote in winning the governor s race the hispanic vote is growing but it s voters over 65 who are increasing the fastest as a share of the electorate according to one estimate seniors will be 30 percent of voters in 2030 hispanics only 15 percent and older voters tend to be more conservative thus inclined to vote for republicans the youngest voters 18 to 29 are beginning to slip away from democrats too exit polls showed house democrats had half the advantage with voters under 30 this year than they did in 2006 the party s grip on the young may be loosening wrote mark bauerlein in the new york times virginia governor terry mcauliffe said democrats ought to have touted aggressively the economy in the 2014 campaign he should know better employment has improved especially if you re happy with a part time job but the recovery from the 2008 2009 recession is the slowest in many decades as average middle class income stagnates and the exodus of americans from the job market continues assuming obama sticks to his unimaginative keynesian policies it s doubtful the economy will be any better in 2016 and a mediocre or worse economy won t boost democratic candidates quite the contrary finally it s worth looking at the democratic presidential candidates they re old hillary clinton will be 69 in 2016 vermont senator bernie sanders a ripe old 75 and jim webb the former virginia senator 70 outgoing governor martin o malley of maryland will be a mere 53 but the main feature of his governorship tax hike after tax hike was repudiated in this year s election true younger candidates may jump in the republican presidential race in contrast is brimming with potential candidates in their 40s or early 50s a partial list includes bobby jindal paul ryan marco rubio chris christie rand paul scott walker and ted cruz who s likely to be a more exciting candidate in 2016 hillary clinton or marco rubio favorable trends guarantee nothing in politics but if they didn t exist republicans wouldn t have emerged in 2014 should they continue in 2016 republicans will emerge again and in the not too distant future they ll be the majority party full article in new window via blog this related articles obama unbelievably uses turkey pardon to gloat about executive amnesty with arrogant insulting joke is it better to lose the white house posted by navitor at 12 25 pm 0 comments labels barack obama conservative vs moderate republicanism democratic party anti american election news friday october 31 2014 voters are ready for sweeping change not only are all the political prognosticators forecasting that the gop will take control of the senate they re also predicting the republicans will strengthen their majority in the house hold the majority of state governorships and win a record number of state legislative chambers across the country washington it s almost a foregone conclusion that president obama and the democrats are going to suffer a humiliating defeat in next week s midterm elections but what would that mean for the last two years of his deeply unpopular presidency the outcome of the 2015 16 presidential election cycle and the republicans chances of winning back the white house certainly a huge game changing win for republicans on nov 4 will dramatically reorder the political dynamics of the next two years and this election is shaping up as a very big victory for the gop across the nation not only are all the political prognosticators forecasting that the gop will take control of the senate they re also predicting the republicans will strengthen their majority in the house hold the majority of state governorships and win a record number of state legislative chambers across the country when you look at the number of major elective offices across the nation you discover that the gop whatever the polls say about it in congress now controls a hefty chunk of the nation s political power structure the republicans already have a tight hold on the house are within six seats of taking the senate control 29 of the nation s 50 state governorships and rule 59 of the country s 98 partisan legislative chambers democrats hold only 39 a washington post survey of the 6 049 state legislative races in 46 states says a record number of statehouses could go republican in next week s elections after looking at these lopsided gop numbers all the stories from the liberal news media about how unpopular the republican brand has become now seem positively laughable if the gop is that unpopular why are the voters putting it in charge of the lion s share of the country it should be clear by now that it s the democrats who are unpopular or at least the democrats who have been in lockstep with obama s agenda to move the country in a sharply leftward direction one where more government more spending and still more regulations are the answers to every problem so how will all of this play out over the next two years it s certainly going to have a profound impact on the 2015 16 presidential campaign which will officially begin the day after tuesday s results hardly a day goes by it seems that some news story doesn t appear in one of the nation s major newspapers usually on the front page extolling hillary clinton as the savior of the democratic party and who is on a fast track to follow obama into the white house that she appears to be the overwhelming choice of her party is unarguable but she also faces a hornet s nest of political obstacles that no one wants to mention first and foremost is that the nation s electorate has grown tired of the democrats botched mismanaged handling of the economy and has turned bitterly against them a majority of voters now say the government s ability to address the nation s biggest problems has declined in the last several years and by an overwhelming 3 to 1 ratio far more voters blame obama and the democrats than the gop according to a recent washington post abc news poll clinton is certainly not immune from this deep hostility toward obama s big government anti business approach to domestic issues as well as his bungled handling of national security foreign policy matters which she oversaw and carried out as the president s secretary of state she coldly turned a deaf ear to the desperate pleas for added security from the doomed embassy officials who lost their lives in a fiery terrorist attack in benghazi libya one does not have to be politically clairvoyant to know that the gop s campaign cry in 2016 will be it s time for a change and that means putting the republicans back in charge of the government meantime what can we expect from the white house if the republicans end up in charge of congress in the last two years of obama s presidency it s hard to see him signing any of the economic reforms the gop wants enacted to accelerate growth significantly boost new business formation job creation and higher middle class incomes which have remained flat but gop congressional leaders will want to show the american people the kind of changes that are needed to turn the country around especially in the run up to the 2016 presidential election to do that they will have to pass pro growth legislation to reform the tax code by cleansing it of costly corporate tax exemptions and other loopholes and lowering the tax rates on business families individuals and investors they will have to tackle a common sense replacement for obamacare that lowers health care costs including the rising cost of medical insurance premiums they should dare obam...
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