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irst time bz had been suggested as part of syria s cw capabilities is it something the libyans had july august a red line threat or offer 13 july prior to although many others have expressed the idea in different words before and later the exact phrase red line relating to syrian cw use is of special interest william van wagenen s creative chaos cites a wall street journal report saying this talk started with israeli officials who used the term in private discussions with their american counterparts sometime prior to next entry william van wagenen creative chaos p 245 13 july following reports said regime was moving cws in homs perhaps to prevent advancing insurgents from seizing them pentagon spokesman george little said we would caution them strongly against any intention to use those weapons that would cross a serious red line 23 july syrian foreign ministry spokesman jihad makdissi any stock of w m d or unconventional weapons that the syrian army possesses will never never be used against the syrian people or civilians during this crisis under any circumstances 11 august hillary clinton in turkey in the horrible event that chemical weapons were used and everyone has made that clear that is a red line to the world and the world needs to do what needs to be done to secure those stocks from ever being used or falling into to wrong hands voa 20 august van wagenen s book also cites a new york times report that american intelligence agencies began picking up communications with ominous signals that mr assad s military was moving chemical weapons again perhaps to prevent advancing insurgents from seizing them and possibly mixing them in preparation for use a series of urgent meetings led up to obama s famous statement of august 20 we have been very clear to the assad regime but also to other players on the ground that a red line for us is we start seeing a whole bunch of chemical weapons moving around or being utilized that would change my calculus that would change my equation i e it would increase the chance of direct u s military intervention against syria he also stressed we cannot have a situation where chemical or biological weapons are falling into the hands of the wrong people if he meant al qaeda wrong and he should have they were advancing on cw sites with us assistance movements of cws could be simply to prevent their capture but obama also considers cws moving around to be a violation assad cannot use cws cannot send them to an ally cannot leave them around to be captured by us backed and aq affiliated groups and also cannot secure them somewhere else to prevent capture it s clear what he needed to do leave them be and somehow prevent those bases ever getting overrun or just surrender i guess this was a threat to assad but also an offer to the insurgents create the appearance of an assad cw attack and you might get direct us military support as a former us ambassador to the middle east told journalist charles glass the red line was an open invitation to a false flag operation van wagenen p 245 obama s remarks edited down to this core directive we have been very clear to other players on the ground change my calculus change my equation probably by using chemical weapons and blaming assad for it 25 september recently prior to as dr piers robinson notes a report published by the foundation for defence of democracies based upon a trip report to turkey by ammar abdulhamid and which had involved interviews with free syrian army officers in antakya as well as rebel leaders and political activist from syria stated that an attempt had been made to frame the syrian government the cited passage recently and following a take over by rebels of a missile base near damascus one of the people affiliated with the old operations room encouraged rebels to claim that some missiles had chemical warheads in the hope that this will show the americans that their redline was being challenged the claim of course was ludicrous a statement from the fsa denying this development was made but the damage was done the lack of consistent expert advice continues to plague the opposition in every effort they undertake uk column fdd report van wagenen p 251 november william van wagenen s book creative chaos cites a nyt report that israeli officials told the pentagon how satellite imagery showed syrian troops mixing chemicals likely sarin precursors at two facilities and using it to fill 500 pound bombs that could be airborne quicker than anyone could stop it this sparked renewed discussion of destroying syria s air force in a no fly zone as was done in libya the previous year van wagenen p 251 these serious allegations were never borne out with evidence and as dr piers robinson writes these reports were according to seymour hersh overreacting to what were simply standard military exercises uk column september november getting things set up 15 september douma civil defense and cw worries as liwa al islam nears full control of douma on 4 september an allied civil defense an earlier version of the white helmets was re formed from an even earlier version 11 days later they would publish an announcement described as information about dealing with chemical weapons specifying nerve agent or blister agents sarin or mustard gas could be used they don t say what sparked the worry except for this in the closing note we do not say that the criminal regime will use the chemical but we must take all precautions because this nusayri alawite system does not have anything that is haraam forbidden the sectarian overtones are clear aclos october chemical violations documentation center cvdc formed syrian ambassador bashar al jaafari explains schiller institute video around 38 00 in how in october or maybe september 2012 syrian opposition activists founded in turkey an office of documenting the use of chemical weapons in syria as he says the opcw quickly gave consultative status to this office endorsing it and inviting information they might channel jaafari says this perplexed syrian officials at the time because they didn t expect any chemical attacks to occur even after all that red line talk the office for documenting the chemical file in syria odcfs established in october 2012 with headquarters in brussels allegedly made up of syrian army deserters the same name was used until at least april 2014 then later changed to chemical violations documentation center cvdc nidal shikhani was spokesperson of odcfs and aron lund interviews him in 2017 says he is now manager of cvdcs still in brussels research by william van wagenen collected at aclos incident 2 17 october salquin idlib turkish border un report december 2013 in its aforementioned letter dated 26 march 2013 the government of france reported the alleged use of chemical weapons at salquin near the border with turkey on 17 october 2012 in the end the united nations mission did not receive sufficient or credible information to further investigate this allegation un report but it counts as our second specific allegation of cw use october or november defector abdulrazaq claims that cws were tested in eastern aleppo with the assistance of iranians in late october or early november dead link https clarionproject org new signs assad preparing use chemical weapons this is close in time and space to the above and to the insurgent conquest of the kurdish border village ras al ayn this could refer to the previous entry but with a different area further east and it s called testing not use so i won t call this incident 3 november december four deadly cw attacks claimed in the damascus suburbs four low key cw attacks were alleged in about three weeks all in damascus suburbs with fatalities in perhaps every case first two attacks by warplane bombing in eastern ghouta each saw one child and no one else killed then two incidents in western ghouta daraya moadamiya killing 3 4 men and no one or perhaps a baby incident 3 17 november al bahariya damascus suburbs east ghouta an entry in the now defunct vdc opposition aligned database listed odai haroun a boy of about 10 estimate from photo displaced from douma but killed in bahariah cause of death other no cw category at the time the notes explain he was martyred after suffocating due to poisonous chemical gas dropped from the regime s warplanes on al bahariya town in what appears to be the first time such thing happens however the attached photo shows possible neck bruising as if he actually died from manual strangulation monitor incident 4 23 november rihan damascus suburbs east ghouta baby girl fatma mohammad shalhoub died in the town of rihan there are no images this time the notes specify she was reported on 10 5 2013 after going unreported at the time with new cause of death chemical and toxic gases also from douma she was martyred after her family flee to rihan area she is one month old according the doctor reason of death is the cold or inhalation of chemical gases as a result of the bombing reports to be validated they allege there was an attack which might be what killed her and apparently no one else repeating the pattern of a week earlier but as if for backup the doctor says it could be just the cold there was no photo with this entry monitor both children were of families reported as displaced from douma at around the time liwa al islam gained full control there on october 23 some 25 people were reportedly killed by shabiha usually meaning armed or unarmed alawite men of any kind including more than 20 civilians who lived near the shabiha checkpoint the vdc listed just 20 civilians 8 men 8 women 1 boy and 3 girls of 3 families and 3 rebel fighters killed by shelling and snipers not during any attack on the checkpoint or nearby homes it guarded and any shabiha killed went uncounted the government claimed terrorist members of the so called liwa al islam were to blame and that douma was rebel held and outside their control by this time suggesting the shabiha were locals armed for self defense rather than agents of the state aclos perhaps these haroun and shalhoub families fled douma around then fearing persecution then were found and persecuted as liwa al islam conquered surrounding villages in november if so it seems the toll was one child of each family sacrificed to start fleshing out the syrian chemical file with some of that abundant syrian blood incident 5 november 28 moadamiya west ghouta 3 4 civilian men killed abdulrahim sharbaji aka abu musab defied the regime in 2011 was arrested brutally held for 28 days then released by court order well before he died on november 28 2012 in an air strike on his house with a rocket believed to carry poisonous gases also present were his nephew marwan and his friend mohammed qraitem the ceo of local opposition newspaper enab baladi mig warplanes dropped missiles which likely carried toxic gas substances killing all 3 the bodies were only found 2 days later in a very bad shape because many missiles dropped on the house and no one could reach them a 4th body shown with them was salem abu al laban 17 a fsa fighter killed in shelling that left no visible marks nor the strange chemical signs displayed by the others monitor despite the reported many missiles dropped on the house it appears fully intact as activists enter it in a video a mysterious black fluid was present in quantity and it almost seems splashed in the victims faces or poured over their heads mr qraitem was found with face and hands verily soaked in it in a bathroom smeared with the stuff amid signs of a struggle or some thrashing around or maybe a missile strike in the bathroom he and marwan wound up with faces stained deep gray with a number of darker spots marwan evidences foam from the mouth as well abdulrahim right looks more like someone splashed some acid in his face while his glasses were on or maybe something flammable that was ignited flashing away his eyebrows and burning his nose almost black but there is also light gray staining along the bottom edge of that tying in with the others it should be noted that the sarin used in syria seems to be a black fluid and it has at least mild caustic acidic properties no effect like this has been noticed in later attacks with sarin but victims usually aren t splashed or doused with it still it s most likely something else was used here there s black sludge but no sludge syndrome evident people pour liquids and soil themselves in a fatal sarin case this incident seems quite mysterious and unexplained incident 6 6 december daraya damascus suburbs west ghouta the local coordination committees reported that the military threw toxic gases in daraya this day as if by artillery rather than dropping them from warplanes this final alleged incident of 4 made slight noise in the outside world with a next day times of israel report i noted at the time it was the first allegation i saw watching for takers on obama s 3 december red line re offer see below but there were no further details reported a video showed a purple smoke bomb it seems as if it were related monitor although no deaths were reported with this attack there was just one daraya martyr listed by the vdc on this day a baby of 9 months mohammad ali al khouli from daraya not displaced killed by other notes martyred due to suffocation by the smoke from shells a photo shows a pale baby s face with strange blue spots across the scalp maybe just ruptured capillaries from severe coughing possible eye damage and apparent blood residue around the mouth and nose as from breathing a severely caustic substance ominous developments in early december 3 december u s intelligence has detected syrian movement of its chemical weapons stockpile again perhaps to keep insurgents from seizing them the white house warned that use of chemical weapons by the syrian military is a red line and president obama later stated i want to make it absolutely clear to assad and those under his command the world is watching the use of chemical weapons is and would be totally unacceptable and if you make the tragic mistake of using these weapons there will be consequences and you will be held accountable abc news 4 6 december east of aleppo militants led by jabhat a nusra seize control of the sysaco chemical plant many many tons of compressed chlorine gas is seized available to jabhat al nusra and others syrian sources warn of its use in chemical attacks monitor however chlorine works very poorly as a cw and until new properties would be invented in 2014 almost no chlorine attacks would be reported for either side until then just a few murky precursor events in late 2013 5 december unclear location perhaps in turkey reeh sarsar video a masked militant kills 2 rabbits in a glass cage with a pale gas synthesized by dropping a clear liquid on a dark powder he boasts of a reeh sarsar shrieking wind chemical battalion that plans the same fate for the nusayris alawites of syria although details of how ...
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