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ut 200 years allowing the authors to make their wild claims above the authors conclude the following notably land atmosphere coupling and temperature variability increases are strongest where soil moisture is climatologically moderate instead of the driest areas thus in the pnw drying may increase temperature variability more than in already arid regions like the southwestern united states in accordance with recent research demonstrating the emergence of heat amplifying land atmosphere feedbacks in regions not historically experiencing them and moreover projections of widespread mid century soil moisture regime shifts including the pnw37 we suggest that the 2021 heatwave may represent an alarming manifestation of a shifting regime across much of the pnw from wet to transitional climate making such events more likely through strengthened soil moisture temperature coupling however further research is required to substantiate this in a final part of this series i ll be looking at this claim posted in climate change extreme weather and tagged heatwaves pacific northwest on january 23 2023 by jaime jessop 1 comment wapo a new climate reality less warming but worse impacts on the planet pmsl the climate change alarmists are being forced to admit that their catastrophic projections of global warming are not happening but rather than admit that they were wrong they re just moving the goal posts plus absurdly claiming that the lack of warming is because of their stupid windmills it s unbelievable these people are pathologically incapable of admitting error here s what the washington post is now claiming in the not so distant past scientists predicted that global temperatures would surge dramatically throughout this century assuming that humans would rely heavily on fossil fuels for decades but they are revising their forecasts as they track both signs of progress and unexpected hazards translation we got it wrong accelerating solar and wind energy adoption means global warming probably will not reach the extremes once feared climate scientists say at the same time recent heat storms and ecological disasters prove they say that climate change impacts could be more severe than predicted even with less warming researchers are increasingly worried about the degree to which even less than extreme increases in global temperatures will intensify heat and storms irreversibly destabilize natural systems and overwhelm even highly developed societies extremes considered virtually impossible not long ago are already occurring translation our silly windmills and solar panels have prevented really catastrophic global warming but extreme weather is worse than we thought even though global warming is not as bad we pretended it would be so we still need more windmills and solar panels and a ban on gas boilers cookers and cars in order to prevent nasty weather this is called wanting to have your cake and eat it in defence of the extreme weather is a lot more extreme than we thought it would be meme they cite the recent heatwave more a very brief flash in the pan actually which occurred in the pacific northwest take for example a heat wave that descended on the pacific northwest in june 2021 portland and seattle hit record highs of 116 degrees and 108 degrees respectively british columbia broke canadian high temperature records three days in a row peaking at 121 degrees more than 40 degrees hotter than normal for that time of year scientists quickly determined the heat was so extreme it could not have occurred without the influence of global warming further research found that in a world with 2 degrees of warming above preindustrial temperatures it may be a once in a decade sort of event it s hard to know where to start with dissecting the bullshit in these statements because when you look at the science which they are quoting it all falls apart spectacularly when they say that the peak maximum daytime temperatures reached in the pacific nw heatwave could not have occurred without global warming what they mean is that even with global warming they were impossible that s what the study found here s the proof the red curve is the current globally warmed climate with 95 confidence intervals the blue curve is the hypothetical climate without alleged man made global warming what do you notice the actual event is way above the red curve even they never intersect this means that the event in question is statistically impossible even with global warming that was the statistical analysis the models were just as bad i wrote about this rapid extreme weather attribution study here climate covid challenging unenlightenment science unraveling attribution pseudoscience no the nw pacific heatwave would not have been virtually impossible without global warming this is what the media is claiming this is what scientists are claiming this is what matt mcgrath at the bbc is claiming the searing heat that scorched western canada and the us at the end of june was virtually impossible without climate change say scientists read more 2 years ago jaime jessop and here climate covid challenging unenlightenment science nw pacific heatwave attribution multiple climate model failure the authors describe the models used thus model simulations from the 6th coupled model intercomparison project cmip6 eyring et al 2016 are assessed we combine the historical simulations 1850 to 2015 with the shared socioeconomic pathway ssp projections o neill et al 2016 for the years 2016 to 2100 here we only use data from ssp5 8 5 alt read more 2 years ago jaime jessop by sleight of hand and via some extremely dubious statistical manipulation the authors managed to conclude that the event in today s climate was as rare as a 1 in a 1000 year event even though their own statistical analysis and climate models showed that it was an impossible event the dishonest media then propagate the myth by telling us that without climate change such a heatwave would have been impossible conveniently neglecting to mention that the scientific study which they so enthusiastically cite demonstrated that it was impossible with climate change meaning that something other than a generalised global warming must have caused it exactly the same thing happened with the 40c heatwave in the uk last year climate covid challenging unenlightenment science it s wired s turn to hero worship friederike otto whilst grossly misleading the public about her uk 40c attribution study fredi is the darling of the lame stream media at the moment who it would seem are singularly intent upon bigging her up by falsely attributing scientific rigour and undeniable evidential value to her extreme weather attribution studies it s pissing me off to be honest no not because i harbour some personal grudge against otto she just happens to read more 11 days ago 11 likes 2 comments jaime jessop as if that wasn t enough the experts and the fawning media then go on to tell us that such impossible events could become routine in 20 years time how well after torturing the data and shoe horning the impossible event into an extremely dubious statistical trend the authors then use extremely unrealistic model projections of global warming over the next 20 years to conclude that the nw pacific heatwave might happen every 5 10 years by the early 2040s omg scary in order to reach 2c above pre industrial global mean surface temperature defined as before 1850 in 20 years time the world would have to warm another 0 8c which is 0 4c per decade but we have already seen that since 1979 the world has warmed by just 0 13c per decade and it s currently not warming at all climate covid challenging unenlightenment science two terrifying graphs which reveal the climate crisis read more 12 days ago 24 likes 10 comments jaime jessop so the authors of this attribution study quoted by wapo which include the infamous fredi otto are using extremely unrealistic projections of global warming and unscientific statistical analyses to conclude that extreme weather which would have been impossible without global warming is going to become a regular occurrence in just a few short years the supreme irony here of course is that wapo are simultaneously claiming that global warming is not as bad as we thought nor likely to be as extreme as was thought ergo the extreme weather which they claim is worse than we thought even though global warming is less than feared that so called catastrophic weather which they claim is becoming a lot more frequent and will become even more frequent can only become a lot more frequent if the world is warming and does warm a lot more rapidly than it has in reality or likely will their position is entirely contradictory but they re either too stupid or too pig headed to realise it posted in uncategorized on january 16 2023 by jaime jessop leave a comment it s wired s turn to hero worship friederike otto whilst grossly misleading the public about her uk 40c attribution study fredi is the darling of the lame stream media at the moment who it would seem are singularly intent upon bigging her up by falsely attributing scientific rigour and undeniable evidential value to her extreme weather attribution studies it s pissing me off to be honest no not because i harbour some personal grudge against otto she just happens to be the public face of wwa and a climate activist but because of their dishonesty and misdirection which they carry out so easily reaching a wide audience but which takes a lot of thought time and effort to try and correct whilst reaching a very limited audience after the guardian extolled the virtues of climate change wonder woman and her magical miraculous marvellous extreme weather attribution studies wired have now picked up where they left off and have decided to concentrate on the extreme marvellousness of her 2022 uk 40c extreme heatwave all sixty seconds of it at raf coningsby attribution study at least wired managed a more flattering photo than the guardian although i m not so sure about the purple jumpsuit hand knitted by someone s granny wired think that her attribution studies are so forensically scientifically watertight that they can be used in a court of law which would be hilarious if it were not for the fact that sooner or later the climate lawfare rabble will attempt to use one of these attribution studies to try and ascribe blame to countries or corporations for an individual extreme weather event and thereby exact financial compensation for damages caused by that event seeing as how the judiciary like all other institutions is captured by the globalists this is a worrying development if attribution studies can tell us that a disaster was made more severe because of climate change they also point toward something else who might be held responsible richard heede a geographer from california has spent decades delving through archives to estimate companies carbon emissions all the way back to before the industrial revolution the result is known as the carbon majors a database of the world s biggest polluters up to the present moment the 2017 carbon majors report found that half of all industrial emissions since 1988 could be traced to just 25 corporate or state owned entities the state owned fossil fuel firm saudi aramco alone is responsible for 4 5 percent of the world s industrial greenhouse gas emissions between 1988 and 2015 this data is extremely useful for people trying to bring legal cases against fossil fuel firms in may 2022 a group of scientists and lawyers traveled to the peruvian andes to inspect a giant glacier that looms over the crystalline waters of lake palcacocha if the glacier collapses into the lake scientists fear it could submerge the nearby city of huarez peruvian farmer saúl luciano lliuya thinks that polluters should foot the cost of defending the city from floodwater as global warming has shrunk glaciers around lake palcacocha increasing the risk of dangerous flooding the target of the lawsuit is the german energy firm rwe which was responsible for 0 47 percent of all industrial greenhouse gas emissions between 1751 and 2010 according to heede s data lliuya is suing for just 14 250 17 170 that s 0 47 percent of the cost of protecting huaraz if lliuya wins the case it could set a precedent that polluters can be held legally responsible for the effects of their emissions anywhere on the planet that would really change this narrative that we re operating in otto says it would also make the work of weather attribution even more critical if scientists know that climate change had made flooding in an area twice as severe as it would have been for example they can use that evidence to estimate how much individual companies and states contributed to that disaster one of otto s students is already working on a legal case in brazil that involves weather attribution we have seen a huge interest in that it s not just journalists calling and wanting to know but also lawyers otto says you can see where this is going can t you and you can see why otto and her admirers in the left wing media are getting so excited about this science of extreme weather attribution which can supposedly dust the fingerprints off extreme weather events to find the guilty party man made climate change i m not going there right at this moment and law is not my thing all i know is that these attribution studies are crap and should never pass the high bar required for use as scientific evidence in a court of law where i am going is back to this wretched uk 40c heatwave attribution wired says in the case of the uk heat wave world weather attribution was ready with its report just nine days after temperatures reached their peak the findings revealed the unprecedented scale of the record breaking temperatures otto s team estimated that climate change had made the uk heat wave at least 10 times more likely and that in a world without global warming peak temperatures would have been about 2 degrees celsius lower the weather was so unusual that in a world without climate change it would have been statistically impossible to reach such high temperatures in two out of the three weather stations the scientists studied in the world of climate attribution science this is about as close as you get to a smoking gun people always want the number and sometimes you can t give a very satisfactory number otto says this time however otto had no shortage of numbers to share with the reporters who were ringing her up smoking gun you ve got to be kidding somebody s obviously smoking something but it s not a gun firstly yes they did find that in a world which was 1 2c cooler than today 1850 pre industrial this heatwave would have been 2c cooler but guess what the actual heatwave according to observations facts empirical data was 4c hotter than pre industrial which means that the models only project half the warming in maximum daytime temperatures 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