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Text of the page (random words):
macroeconomic conditions macro index model the u s stock market and the u s economy generally move in the same direction over the long term however significant declines of 30 or more in the stock market are often contextualized by macroeconomic deterioration while macroeconomic conditions do not always deteriorate before a 30 decline begins the bulk of such declines typically occur after significant macroeconomic deterioration has taken differentiate between temporary economic slowdowns and genuine macroeconomic issues we have developed the macro index which synthesizes 11 diverse economic indicators to provide a comprehensive assessment of the current state of the u s economy these indicators include new home sales housing starts building permits initial claims continued claims heavy truck sales 10 year 3 month treasury yield curve s p 500 vs its 10 month moving average ism manufacturing pmi margin debt year over year headline inflation bear market probability model this is a model outlined by goldman sachs using five fundamental inputs the u s unemployment rate ism manufacturing index yield curve inflation rate and p e ratio each month s reading is ranked versus all other historical readings and assigned a score the higher the score the higher the probability of a bear market in the months ahead as outlined in a report from september 5 2018 see the archives when the model was 20 29 the s p s average one year return was 21 but when the model was 80 89 that average return plunged to 2 so the higher the model the greater the chance for a bear market or at least negative forward returns this section features two key indicators that assess the u s economy s current state and stock market risks offering insights into macroeconomic trends and investment implications last update date s p 500 macro index model bear market probability model spy one month new high and new low spy 4 week high this shows the percentage of stocks in the named exchange traded fund etf that are currently trading at a 4 week high this is a breadth figure so we can see the participation among members of the fund oftentimes at turning points the underlying breadth will diverge positively at bottoms or negatively at tops from the index it is also useful to monitor extremes in the breadth figures when so many components of an index are doing well or poorly we usually see the index make a counter move in the days weeks or months following the extreme spy 4 week low this shows the percentage of stocks in the named exchange traded fund etf that are currently trading at a 4 week low this is a breadth figure so we can see the participation among members of the fund oftentimes at turning points the underlying breadth will diverge positively at bottoms or negatively at tops from the index it is also useful to monitor extremes in the breadth figures when so many components of an index are doing well or poorly we usually see the index make a counter move in the days weeks or months following the extreme this section shows two key indicators for the s p 500 via spy etf tracking the percentage of stocks at four week highs or lows they help assess market breadth and potential turning points last update date spy spy 4 week high spy 4 week low smart money dumb money confidence s p 500 monthly statistics november similar weeks in s p 500 10 year history top stock trend score macroeconomic conditions spy one month new high and new low founded in 2001 sentimentrader is an independent investment research firm that blends qualitative insights from decades of market analysis with a quantitative approach enhanced by machine driven technology solutions our process raw data is meticulously collected and processed to provide data source for our extensive suite of 2800 classic and proprietary indicators and charts leveraging our sophisticated proprietary backtesting engine our seasoned analysts uncover extreme signals within these indicators these machine generated findings lay the groundwork for our technology driven product line portfolioedge the ai stock scanner index trading strategies and comprehensive market reports but that s not all we go beyond we make our indicators and backtesting engine tools available to subscribers empowering them to derive their own distinct market perspectives why sentimentrader is your best choice full suite integration everything investors need from market insight to strategy testing and alerts in one platform professional intelligence made accessible institutional grade quantitative insight presented with clarity simplicity and usability for every investor empowered independence tools reports and education that help investors think and act with confidence human support and education personalized guidance through concierge assistance one on one technical meetings and webinars we offer independence with support proven credibility and data integrity nearly 25 years of trust in financial research built on data that extends as far back as reliable market records exist liz ann sonders chief investment strategist sentimentrader com s smart money dumb money confidence is one of my favorite sentiment indexes charles schwab co inc stuart walton general partner hands down the best value on the street thanks for making my job easier really like your style and your service trek capital mgmt llc dr brett steenbarger psychologist and author other sites that i find helpful for putting data together into a big picture view include sentimentrader lots of good indicators are followed on the site brettsteenbarger com dan fitzpatrick founder sentimentrader is a unique and very valuable resource that i use to help me get a handle on what s really going on stock market mentor todd harrison founder and ceo i ve never seen such a unique and skilled approach to sentiment and its financial applications minyanville jeffrey saut chief investment strategist sentimentrader com is an always insightful website raymond james larry williams trader and author awesome work ireallytrade com don hays president if you are really into a huge and broad examination of a very wide and divergent array of market analysis i would suggest that you try this service in your personal repertoire hays advisory group traders mag com finally there is a website where sentiment data is taken seriously and presented thoroughly and concisely this is no doubt the most complete and accurate collection of sentiment data on the web dr steve sjuggerud founder and editor i highly recommend sentimentrader com i personally subscribe to it and have for years true wealth daily wealth sjuggerud confidential liz ann sonders chief investment strategist sentimentrader com s smart money dumb money confidence is one of my favorite sentiment indexes charles schwab co inc stuart walton general partner hands down the best value on the street thanks for making my job easier really like your style and your service trek capital mgmt llc dr brett steenbarger psychologist and author other sites that i find helpful for putting data together into a big picture view include sentimentrader lots of good indicators are followed on the site brettsteenbarger com dan fitzpatrick founder sentimentrader is a unique and very valuable resource that i use to help me get a handle on what s really going on stock market mentor todd harrison founder and ceo i ve never seen such a unique and skilled approach to sentiment and its financial applications minyanville jeffrey saut chief investment strategist sentimentrader com is an always insightful website raymond james larry williams trader and author awesome work ireallytrade com don hays president if you are really into a huge and broad examination of a very wide and divergent array of market analysis i would suggest that you try this service in your personal repertoire hays advisory group traders mag com finally there is a website where sentiment data is taken seriously and presented thoroughly and concisely this is no doubt the most complete and accurate collection of sentiment data on the web dr steve sjuggerud founder and editor i highly recommend sentimentrader com i personally subscribe to it and have for years true wealth daily wealth sjuggerud confidential jared dillian former head of etf trading at lehman publisher of daily dirtnap author of street freak and 10th man sentimentrader does some good work art cashin director of floor operations sharp eyed a dispassionate and respected market veteran josh brown chief executive officer sentimentrader is pretty influential among people who watch things like market internals ritholtz wealth management llc jc parets cmt founder sentiment is one of the most important tools we have as technicians there is a lot of data out there and i think sentimentrader does the best job of compiling it all and making it available for both professional and retail investors all star charts andrew thrasher cmt portfolio manager founder through my studying for the chartered market technician designation i learned more of the importance of sentiment data sentimentrader is the gold standard in my opinion for curating all that is sentiment from surveys to fund flows to proprietary data sets to cot data they have it all each morning i make a point to read their daily newsletter and often learn something new about a market move i wouldn t have been able to read about anywhere else thrasher analytics bill fleckenstein fleckenstein capital sentimentrader s unique blend of daily market analysis and historical precedent provides readers with a balanced technical view of the market at a very fair price fleckenstein capital napatree capital we ve been subscribing to sentimentrader for many years the sentimentrader team do a great job of disseminating investor behavior tony dwyer u s portfolio strategist without question sentimentrader com is the best value on the web sentimentrader s analysis enables traders investors to understand and take advantage of stock market behavior canaccord genuity dr alexander elder author trading for a living sentimentrader is a hard worker always looking for new angles from which to read the mass mind if you are interested in how mass psychology affects the markets and the signals it generates i suggest you follow the link below needless to say i receive zero compensation for this recommendation i mention this only as a service to you spiketrade com keith richards portfolio manager i believe that sentimentrader is one of the best analytical tools out there giving traders a genuine edge in today s uncertain markets sentimentrader provides a full list of sentiment and breadth indicators along with instructions for their interpretation it also sends subscribers a daily emailed newsletter that i consider worth the subscription cost by itself valuetrend wealth management fari hamzei founder sentimentrader s daily report is in a class by itself over the years the data and analysis provided by this publication have proved insightful to me in my own analysis of the market helping me maintain my top ranking nationally as a market timer with timer digest this is the first time i have endorsed a market letter and i am pleased to do so hamzei analytics llc gary b smith fox news contributor and hedge fund manager sentimentrader is a master at looking at data to see if it has any usefulness in predicting future market moves brettsteenbarger com barry ritholtz co founder and chief investment officer of ritholtz wealth management llc we need to find more objective ways to view and measure sentiment that is why i find sentimentrader website so intriguing it follows an extraordinary number of indicators that track investor sentiment walter deemer founding member of cmt association if you want all the sentiment indicators monitored for you sentimentrader is the place to go author of deemer on technical analysis adam koós ria wealth management advisor i ve been using sentimentrader for years years i analyze a plethora of charts on a weekly basis but i don t have the time to crunch data in the way they do which also happens to be in a manner that is both informative and make sense i ve unsubscribed from several resources over the years but i can never bring myself to turn off the switch on st there s just too much value for the cost client prior to 2018 paul c asset management consulting sentimentrader is a fantastic resource for traders researched and written by professionals with distinct and complementary views of the market it provides not only timely information on the state of various markets but also a plethora of tools indicators and strategies to dig as deep as you want highly recommended client since 2020 bruno estier financial market technical analyst very good analysis client prior to 2018 simon maierhofer financial newsletter writer sentimentrader has set the standard for a fact based approach to investing client prior to 2018 elliott wave principal sentimentrader is a great resource that gives me a comprehensive take on the status of market sentiment at any point in time client prior to 2018 ziad n hedge fund trader a lot of stock market myths have been dispelled thanks to sentimentrader client prior to 2018 stephen shipman long short institutional investor having been an institutional investor for forty years i know that sentimentrader com is the essential sentiment tool to have in your toolbox client prior to 2018 peter nitsche i appreciate the richness of data provided client prior to 2018 christopher e professional trader i have been a subscriber to sentimentrader for many many years i thoroughly recommend the service to any trader client prior to 2012 professional trader professional trader sentiment hedgers data and seasonality are absolute essentials for any serious analysts or professional traders out there in my humble view client prior to 2018 casual retail trader as a long time sentimentrader subscriber i really find value in your service your insights are unique and timely client prior to 2018 william s retired cio excellent balanced research product client prior to 2018 frank c casual retail trader very easy to use informative research tool i would not want to manage my portfolio without the tools and research provided client prior to 2018 serious retail investor worth every penny provides insights into sector and market direction client prior to 2018 douglas d casual retail trader these guys will keep you on the right side of the market all data no emotions or bs the research they provide has helped alleviate the fear and anxiety that come with trading and investing client since 2019 aongus f non casual retail investor brilliant pertinent information on what s going on in the markets helps with the big picture thank you client since 2019 casual retail trader i read sentimentrader every day and always check in before making any investment decision client since 2020 professional trader sentimentrader provides a large amount of hig...