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europe led by nyu grossman school of medicine researchers the new study used gene testing to trace the origins of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 sars cov 2 the pandemic virus throughout the new york city region in the spring it showed that the virus first took root in late february seeded by at least 109 different sources that burst into chains of infection rather than from a single patient zero the study revealed that the genetic codes of the virus in new york more closely matched those of strains from europe or other u s states rather than those from china where the virus originated in addition some of the early chains of infection from person to person ran at least 50 people long according to trump supporters because of the restrictions on travel into the united states that trump imposed at the end of january of 2020 the chinese would need to find an alternative way of striking at us europe would be a logical back door but how would they go about doing this to go back to my first question did they send government agents infected with the virus to europe in the hope that they could sneeze and cough on enough people that a critical mass of them would travel to the united states to achieve community spread here within a narrow window of opportunity if someone reading this wants to propose a plausible scenario to explain this i would love to hear from you how could china know how trump would respond if there was one overarching theme to donald trump s 2016 presidential campaign it was that he would protect america from bad people and bad things his infamous speech that kicked off his campaign saw him rail against mexican rapists murderers and drug dealers he called for a complete and total shutdown of all muslims entering the united states during the ebola scare in 2014 trump constantly railed against then president obama for not doing enough to keep the ebola virus out of the united states below is a sampling of his tweets on the subject now based on trump s rhetoric i would have expected and the prc likely as well should have expected that as soon as covid 19 became known to the world trump would have instinctively acted to close off the united states to international travel from all countries to use his words about banning muslims until we can figure out what the hell is going on frankly i was surprised trump did not go what i call fortress america and take this route ironically if he had and it resulted in the united states experiencing significantly fewer covid cases trump would have skated to reelection one can t argue that trump didn t know how serious covid 19 was because bob woodward recorded a conversation he had with trump on february 7 of 2020 it goes through the air trump said in a recording of a feb 7 interview with woodward that s always tougher than the touch you don t have to touch things right but the air you just breathe the air and that s how it s passed and so that s a very tricky one that s a very delicate one it s also more deadly than even your strenuous flus and yet trump waited until march 11 to announce restrictions on travel into the united states from europe that took effect on march 13 a few days afterwards trump confessed to woodward that he likes to downplay the severity of the virus as his public statements consistently claimed that the virus was under control and wouldn t be a problem was donald trump winning the trade war in order for covid 19 to have been intentionally released by the people s republic of china in response to trump s trade war against it it would need to be demonstrated that the trade war was causing serious harm to china s economy i think even trump s most ardent detractors on this issue would admit that his trade policies did have at least some negative impact on china the question is on balance did china lose the trade war this article from npr provides a nuanced take on the matter while noting that china was already beginning to lose its competitive advantage as a country that provided low cost manufacturing but devereux concedes that he had already been considering a move to vietnam when the opening shots of the trade war were fired wages have been going up steadily over the years which happens when you get a more educated populace says u c san diego s shih a more educated population means fewer low skilled workers for production lines in factories like fangjie printing and packaging company factories have to offer higher wages to attract the best workers and those wages eat into the bottom lines of the companies that devereux places in chinese factories if you look at vietnam now you ve got wages being roughly one third of what they are here in china says devereux and so the trade war merely sped up his move out of china and into vietnam two or three of our american customers knowing we were looking in vietnam asked us to accelerate that when the trade war began he says even in the absence of a trade war china s growth rate would have come down the trade war makes it worse but the trade war is not the primary reason says shang jin wei an expert on the chinese economy at columbia university and a former international monetary fund official in response to trump s tariffs china stopped buying soybeans from the united states and turned to brazil as a consequence of this the trump administration had to provide billions of dollars of aid to us soybean farmers oddly enough brazil has the second highest number of covid cases and deaths in the world why would china want this to happen and possibly jeopardize its soybean supplies and if china could micromanage the spread of the pandemic to cause trump to lose in 2020 then why couldn t they micromanage it enough to not infect so many people in brazil what i believe happened and donald trump s missed opportunity i have an alternative theory about what happened with the origin of covid 19 that does not rely on a tin foil hat conspiracy while at the same time not letting china off of the hook while i can t prove it i believe that it is entirely plausible that a lab worker at the wuhan institute of virology was accidentally and probably even unknowingly infected with the virus i found this article dating from 2014 that discusses the problem of dangerous diseases that escape from laboratories this lab worker after getting infected could have easily gone to one of the wet markets or some other public place in the city while asymptomatic and spread the virus to others it s also possible the virus originated in the wet market and it s just a coincidence that the virology institute happens to be in the same city now here is where the problem lies with the people s republic of china the current leader of china xi jinping is probably the most powerful read of the country since mao zedong and is seen as a new mao during the great leap forward china adopted a number of disastrous policies that resulted in the death of millions of people from starvation the misery and suffering went on as long as it did because the policies were decreed by mao zedong therefore no one could tell him that these policies were a failure when covid 19 began to spread in wuhan it was first noticed by an ophthalmologist named li wenliang on december 30 2019 he sent a warning to fellow doctors in a group chat a few days later he was visited by the local police warning him that he was making false statements and disturbing the social order in other words the local government officials in wuhan needed to suppress information about the virus because it was embarrassing for them and in the political climate of the prc it would make xi jinping look bad as well consequently by trying to suppress knowledge of the virus and its severity early on the chinese government officials responsible provided a window for the virus to not only become entrenched in wuhan but to spread beyond it as well sadly doctor li wenliang himself died from the virus in february of 2020 and now to bring donald trump back into this i believe the coronavirus pandemic was potentially a tremendous gift to him it was an opportunity to demonstrate real leadership that he ultimately failed badly due to his defects in character a lot of people mostly on the left criticized trump when he started to refer to covid 19 as the china virus they complained that it was racist and fanned the flames of xenophobia against asian americans and that it was just meant to deflect blame from his own failures i suppose it is possible though i don t know if there is hard data to quantify it some trump supporters countered that why is it okay to refer to other epidemics with names such as the spanish flu or the german measles or mutations of the coronavirus as the uk variant or the south african variant for example but given the political situation i described above in china there was a much better name that trump could have called the virus that squarely blamed the government of china for the pandemic while completely evading any accusations of racism or ethnic hatred donald trump could have and should have called it the xi jinping virus it would have squarely placed the blame for the initial outbreak and spread of the virus on a man and his government i don t know if the idea ever occurred to trump or any of his advisors but if it did there was one reason why he couldn t have done this and the fault for that lies with donald trump on january 24 2020 he posted this now what strikes me as very odd about this tweet is that trump s rhetoric had consistently portrayed the people s republic of china as a bad actor on the world stage that could not be trusted knowing what the government of china is why would trump praise china for its transparency and thank president xi over its handling of the virus was he not receiving briefings from his intelligence advisors about what was happening in china it doesn t make sense to me why he would come across so naive and gullible in making such a public statement had donald trump called the virus the xi jinping virus early on and called on his supporters to wear masks socially distance and accept other measures to help him stifle the spread of the virus in the united states i am absolutely convinced they would have fallen into line and done whatever he wanted instead one gets the impression that trump just didn t want to seriously address the threat and foolishly hoped it would somehow work out alright in the end why he didn t react to the threat of the virus early on like he ranted about ebola in 2014 is a mystery to me trump had a golden opportunity to tackle a threat and defeat it which he foolishly squandered is it possible that communist china allowed the virus to spread out into the world in the hope that somehow it would spread in such a way as to cause the united states to be the worst hit i can t say with 100 certainty that it didn t happen but what seems more likely to me is that the virus was incredibly lucky to encounter a united states helmed by a man who could have done a much better job trying to thwart it if he had really tried posted by tommykey at 7 55 pm 2 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest wednesday march 24 2021 the return of katrina and gilbert last november in my post on becoming a cat person two of the cats i wrote about who had become a part of my life were katrina and gilbert katrina was a frequent guest in our home who occasionally escaped only to be recaptured after a few days weeks or months after her last escape in may of 2020 she went her longest period of time outdoors she never left and basically lived on and under our backyard deck and coming to our patio door when she wanted to be fed with winter approaching in december i decided to try and recapture her again i used the tried and true method to entice her into the house with food and then close the patio screen door but she was wary of this and would bolt out of the house at the slightest suspicion that anything was afoot i decided to play the long game with her and let her come in the house night at night without making any attempt to shut her in so that she might let her guard down then one night in mid december even with me standing right by the back door katrina strode into the dining room amazed at my luck i slid the patio door shut and just like that she was back in the house it was kind of funny as she looked up in shock as she realized what happened to her one change i made after her previous stays with us was to block her access behind the love seat in the living room as she would spend the majority of her day hiding behind or underneath it while katrina is still very shy and won t let us pet her if i put my hand in front of her sometimes she will lean forward to sniff it and then i will touch her on the nose in some ways she is a little less shy than she was before now she follows snickers into the kitchen when he comes in to pester me to give him treats she is also more likely to nap out in the open and often seems unphased by our presence sadly she still has her frequent bouts of asthma attacks and because she won t let me get close to her i can t give her the medicine that i would give to snickers when he would have his semi annual respiratory issues otherwise she seems to have settled back in nicely and often plays around with snickers sometimes even initiating contact with him and getting him to lick her fur the most stunning development though has been the unexpected return of a once daily visitor to our deck around 5 am this past thursday the 17th i was excitedly awoken by my wife who cried out honey gilbert is here the shaggy maine coon had not been seen by us since may of 2019 nearly two years while a part of me had held out hope over that time that gilbert was out there somewhere and might still come back some day i had pretty much written him off as gone for good but when i rolled out of bed and shuffled over to the back door that morning last week there he was looking up at me i went out the front door with a bag of cat food and around the side of the house to the back to feed him as i had done so many times before as was his pattern of behavior in the past he would retreat a few feet and then approach after i had put out the food he alternated between hissing if i got too close for comfort and then switching to a soft meow that belied his large stature one thing different i noticed about him is that the top part of his left ear was clipped off which told me that at some point during the past 22 months someone had captured him and had him neutered we wondered if gilbert was just making a guest appearance or if he would be a regular visitor again well not only did he come back he pretty much didn t leave while we don t see much of him during the day time we believe he is spending that time under our deck gilbert stays on our deck all night not only that he spends much of that time sitting right at our patio door sta...