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tained their loyalty and operational effectiveness and there are no signs of significant defections in the armed forces artesh the situation may become slightly more favorable for the uprising if israel and the united states carry out a more extensive attack on the structures of iran s theocratic repressive regime than last year s 12 day war israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu visited the united states to discuss regional issues in the middle east with us president donald trump and his aides particularly the coordination of a possible joint attack on iran president trump also stated after the talks i m going to talk to the iranians as long as i want if we don t make a deal with them we ll go to phase two phase two is going to be very difficult for them i don t expect that trump also asked prime minister netanyahu not to surprise him with iran which was described as possibly implying that israel would not launch a preemptive strike us strike readiness strong and growing the inss interactive map below highlights the deployment of us military assets and other relevant actors in the region the current configuration conveys deterrence and readiness for offensive military operations while reflecting a strong desire to avoid a protracted conflict combined with israeli actions and diplomatic communications this configuration supports coercive diplomacy the map is updated regularly and as accurately as possible based on open source intelligence and media reporting credit inss us forces in the region are 40 000 the uss abraham lincoln led carrier strike group operates off the coast of oman with the ais system disabled with the carrier carrying f 35c f a 18e f ea 18g and e 2d squadrons in addition 8 arleigh burke class destroyers in the arabian sea eastern mediterranean and red sea the air force continues to operate mainly in jordan with 36 f 15e strike eagle fighters as anti strike assets as well as increased strategic and tactical airlift operations c 5 c 17 kc 135 kc 46 the mobility of us air defenses and the deployment of thaad systems underscore regional readiness satellite images show us forces at al udeid air base in qatar loading missiles onto truck mounted launchers allowing for faster movement and rapid deployment as well as the repositioning of strike or defensive positions amid rising tensions with iran the us has deployed all thaad systems at muwaffaq al salt air base in eastern jordan including a command and control unit an an tpy 2 radar and six launchers for a total of 36 interceptor missiles iranian media released a video threatening to strike muwaffaq al salt air base in the event of war the force in the region is also set to grow in the coming weeks the us has ordered the uss gerald r ford led carrier strike group to move from the caribbean to the middle east the uss gerald r ford is the world s largest and most advanced aircraft carrier and is expected to arrive in the region in the coming weeks where it is expected to operate alongside existing us naval forces the trump administration also secretly sent about 6 000 starlink satellite internet terminals to iran after tehran cracked down on nationwide protests and the subsequent internet shutdown last month israel ready to strike israel has been ready to strike iran since late last year as well as to repel a potential attack from iran in recent weeks readiness has been increased including by increasing reservist air warfare exercises the operational readiness of iron dome has also been significantly increased in recent weeks reflecting enhanced preparations for possible future conflict scenarios israel has continued to equip and expand its already extensive local field organization in iran these cellular groups are tasked with monitoring targets missile installations research facilities factories irgc and basij command centers as well as their researchers and leaders and if necessary carrying out sabotage operations this is precisely the intelligence that israel provided to the united states during netanyahu s visit israel announced on february 11 2026 that it had completed tests of its upgraded david s sling air defense system the israeli defense ministry said in a statement that the tests were conducted by the israel missile defense agency in cooperation with the us missile defense agency and rafael advanced defense systems the test series was built on operational experience gained from recent combat and included a wide range of challenging scenarios that simulated existing and emerging threats the statement said the david sling is designed to counter a variety of threats including rockets missiles cruise missiles aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles according to unconfirmed reports the upgraded david sling can also be used to counter ballistic missiles if so the cost of countering it would be reduced from about 2 5 million to about 1 million per interception compared to the arrow system which is mainly used my final assessment strike before summer 26 iran s diplomatic negotiations with the united states appear to be about buying time rather than a genuine effort to defuse the situation the united states has signaled that it is open to a diplomatic solution to the nuclear issue although it is unclear whether this reflects a sustainable or comprehensive approach iran in turn has stated that it refuses to negotiate on its nuclear and missile programs or support for its foreign proxy armies on this basis any kind of agreement at least one that is acceptable to israel is highly unlikely and a military solution is expected the movements of us israeli and also iranian forces suggest preparation for a possible us attack on iranian resources rather than mere symbolic posturing the composition and messages of the forces reflect a credible readiness for military action albeit with ongoing efforts to keep diplomatic channels open in my opinion the attack on iran will take place by early summer at the latest so that the excessive strengthening of iran s missile forces capacity development work moving launch sites further east restoration of underground production facilities can be prevented president trump is setting aside about a month for negotiations and during this time israel will not attack iran independently but together with the us or alone when the negotiation path has been exhausted sources include e g inss and social media the article first appeared in the online publication ariel israelista suomeksi share this email a link to a friend opens in new window email share on facebook opens in new window facebook print opens in new window print share on reddit opens in new window reddit share on linkedin opens in new window linkedin share on x opens in new window x share on whatsapp opens in new window whatsapp share on addthis opens in new window addthis share on delicious opens in new window delicious share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr share on telegram opens in new window telegram more share on addthis opens in new window addthis like loading comments off on the countdown is ending for an attack on iran conflicts tagged iran israel middle east news politics permalink posted by ariel rusila somaliland s strategic importance january 7 2026 look at somaliland s strategic location and you will understand everything israeli political official after recognizing somaliland s independence israeli foreign minister gideon sa ar revealed that somaliland president abdirahman mohamed abdullahi secretly visited israel last summer meeting with prime minister benjamin netanyahu foreign minister sa ar defense minister israel katz and mossad director david barnea sa ar also posted a photo of himself with the president sa ar arrived on an official visit to somaliland on january 6 2026 where he also met with the country s president since israel announced its recognition of somaliland on december 26 2025 a wave of condemnatory statements has swept across the arab world expressing support for the somali state and its right to self determination as part of the growing backlash somalia has requested an urgent debate in the united nations security council on israeli recognition of somaliland the debate took place on december 29 2025 and did not result in any condemnatory resolutions or even votes uae one country that did not explicitly condemn israel was the united arab emirates uae which is also a member of the abraham accords this was no coincidence in recent years reports have indicated that the uae has been developing relations with somaliland even though it has not officially recognized it as a state credit grey dynamics public domain the united arab emirates has a military base in the port city of berbera on the gulf of aden after the somaliland parliament approved the base in 2017 in return the uae was to train somaliland s armed forces berbera is located less than 300 kilometers south of war torn yemen where uae forces have been fighting the iran allied houthi group since 2015 the berbera military base includes an air base a naval base hangars and logistics berbera s runway is about four kilometers long allowing heavy aircraft and fighter jets to land the field is also planned to be used for civilian air traffic credit grey dynamics public domain satellite images show expansions by 2025 including underground hangars new piers on december 28 2025 paltimesnews claimed that israel had built 12 underground hangars for fighter jets and drones somaliland denied the claims of an israeli military base or the reception of palestinians in exchange for recognition in january 2026 credit grey dynamics public domain while the somaliland defense forces strength of about 12 500 soldiers in mechanized brigades focus mainly on internal operations in the border areas logistics and maritime surveillance piracy smuggling have been carried out from berbera the uae operates yemen related operations from there e g drones navy no active offensive operations of somaliland it should be noted that the uae has already shown its activity in addition to operations in yemen striking among other things a clan leader who opposed their access to puntland s gold and mineral deposits somaliland security environment grey dynamics is a london based independent intelligence firm founded in 2017 specialising in advanced analysis and threat intelligence providing actionable insights to government military and private sector clients a recent somalia analysis summary published on 29 december 2025 states the following the armed conflict between the federal government of somalia fgs and the jubaland administration shows no signs of abating despite mediation efforts by their mutual ally kenya the fgs and jubaland administration are likely to continue military coordination to retake towns captured by al shabaab in july 2025 the fgs has a unique political and economic dynamic it has six federal member states two of which are the semi autonomous jubaland state and puntland state including the self declared republic of somaliland since july 2025 the fgs and the jubaland administration have been engaged in a violent conflict that has resulted in civilian deaths this is likely to continue unabated unless the allied countries engage in immediate mediation somalia is also a victim of the al qaeda linked islamist extremist group al shabaab in july 2025 alone it captured several strategic towns across somalia in order to retake the towns captured by al shabaab the federal federal armed forces and the jubaland administration must continue to coordinate their military operations puntland somaliland and jubaland are rich in natural resources including hydrocarbons and critical rare earth minerals the potential for economic growth has attracted several countries and non state actors all competing for control of these natural resources new confrontation with turkey turkey has significantly expanded its influence in somalia in recent decades this is based on a strategy combining soft and hard power humanitarian aid infrastructure projects military cooperation and economic investments turkey maintains its largest foreign military base in somalia camp turksom in mogadishu opened in 2017 has trained over 15 000 somali soldiers including special forces gorgor commandos under a 10 year defense and economic agreement signed in 2024 turkey will protect somali maritime areas build a navy and patrol the waters in exchange for economic benefits turkey supplies drones e g bayraktar weapons and intelligence support making it a key partner of the somali national army sna as au forces withdraw turkey also controls key infrastructure including the mogadishu airport and port president erdogan called israel s recognition of somaliland illegal and unacceptable accusing israel of destabilizing the region my view somaliland was historically a british protectorate and briefly gained independence in 1960 before merging with somalia due to political instability and conflict it later declared independence somaliland is located near the bab el mandeb strait a major global shipping route an estimated 12 of world trade passes through it now the port of berbera is becoming a strategically important trade and logistics hub the port and military base are seen as a vantage point for monitoring the red sea and the bab el mandab strait monitoring yemeni military activity including missile and drone launches and monitoring iranian naval movements this role fits in with israel s broader efforts to balance the influence of key regional powers particularly egypt and saudi arabia and turkey s expanding strategic presence in somalia in particular the recognition of somaliland creates a new hamas gaza syria kurds confrontation between israel and turkey logistical and military access to the port of berbera could provide broader options for naval or air force deployments and facilitate supply and support operations in the horn of africa sources include ynetnews grey dynamics aljazeera some appendix main points of the background of somaliland president abdirahman mohamed abdullahi irro according to ai grok abdirahman mohamed abdullahi commonly known as irro or cirro is the sixth and current president of somaliland assumed office on 12 december 2024 he is an experienced diplomat politician and statesman whose career spans diplomacy business and politics born on 24 or 29 april 1955 in hargeisa his father was a member of the british colonial police force his mother amina jama ashuur died when irro was a child primary and secondary education in somaliland master of business administration mba from the united states degrees and diplomas in african studies conflict resolution and economics from institutions in russia the united states and ethiopia began his career in somalia in the 1980s worked at the settlement development agency dan wadaagaha and the ministry of foreign affairs from 1981 to 1996 moved to finland wit...