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boston bubble boston real estate market analysis newsticker script dhtml menu javascript menu by vadikom more news f or the last several years real estate has been in a pricing bubble prices have been substantially higher than historical relationships to incomes and rents would justify while prices have started to decline they are still abnormally high compared to these core fundamentals this website is focused on analyzing the housing bubble its aftermath and real estate in general as it pertains to the greater boston area site guide discussion forums boston specific info national us info news links boston specific info boston futures for greater boston real estate prices from 1987 through the present and looking several years into the future see the latest s p case shiller boston snapshot with futures both before and after inflation the futures markets are probably the most unbiased predictor of where housing prices are headed price income for a gauge of how overpriced the market is see the latest report on the greater boston price to income ratio inflation adjusted see the latest report on massachusetts single family home prices for prices as typically reported by the local media but adjusted for inflation price rent comparing prices to rents can help illuminate an overpriced market since many hypothetical justifications for higher home prices should raise rents as well see the latest report on the boston msa price to rent ratio the population of the greater boston area was declining as the housing market posted its most exceptional gains during the bubble one of the fallacious arguments which was used to contest the existence of a housing bubble was that a growing population was pushing up the natural price of property while that argument is flawed in general it is especially wrong when the population is declining boston globe boston bubble the wall street journal has identified boston as one of the metropolitan areas in the us where it is cheaper to rent than to buy their data goes from 2001 when it was already cheaper to rent to 2004 when the difference was even more pronounced the economist also published an article showing that renting is cheaper and although it does not focus on boston it is very thorough about including various expenses and tax benefits that the wall street journal left out wall street journal the economist consumer reports has rated real estate in the boston market as overpriced and pegged it at 24 over the affordable price as of q4 2004 consumer reports the number of homes sold in massachusetts has been plummeting for the third quarter of 2006 the most recently reported quarter as of this writing home sales have fallen 23 compared with the same quarter one year earlier this despite the fact that home sales were already on the decline in 2005 worcester telegram wcvb milford daily news foreclosures are rising sharply in greater boston and massachusetts there were more foreclosures in the first nine months of 2006 than in all of 2005 and as of this writing in november 2006 massachusetts is on track to break the all time record in 2006 boston globe lowell sun boston and massachusetts are the typical exceptions that people use to qualify their statements when they say that real estate prices don t fall boston and massachusetts prices have fallen in the past even in nominal terms when adjusted for inflation the fall is even more pronounced bear in mind that even if prices decline merely by the same percent that they have in the past the leverage a k a margin or mortgage used to purchase the homes must be taken into consideration the substantially higher number of zero down and negative amortization loans will leave a lot of people with heavy losses and negative equity businessweek wall street journal sub to compensate for property that fails to sell real estate agents in boston are falling back on the deceptive practice of canceling the listing in mls and then creating a new listing so that the property appears as new to the market there were 10 606 mls cancellations in the first six months of 2005 up from 9 722 cancellations in the first six months of 2004 and 3 736 in 2001 the number of canceled listings in massachusetts has nearly tripled since 2001 in a recent spot check of houses for sale on mls in middlesex county barry nystedt president of the massachusetts association of buyer agents said one in four listings canceled between may 25 and june 25 was recreated by the same firm with a new mls number boston globe discuss the boston bubble now boston mortgage rates 30 year fixed 15 year fixed 5 1 adjustable your browser doesn t support frames visit zillow mortgage marketplace to see this content zillow mortgage marketplace partner links furnished apartments boston stylish apartments throughout the downtown boston area www firstbostonrealty com do it yourself homebuyers think outside the commission 100 buyer agency rebate option realestatecafe com advertise on boston bubble buyer brokers and motivated sellers reach potential buyers www bostonbubble com your ad here national us info visit the wikipedia article on the united states housing bubble for another excellent overview of the bubble on a national scale it is actually now cheaper to rent than to buy in many areas even after you factor in accumulated equity and tax savings the economist yale professor robert j shiller released the first edition of his prophetic book warning of a stock market bubble weeks before the stock market began its epic crash in 2000 he recently released an updated second edition in late february 2005 with similar warnings of froth in the real estate market this book is very highly recommended and is quite readable despite the complexity of the subject irrational exuberance amazon com the current nationwide housing boom has been fueled in large part by historically low interest rates and an increase in the use of risky mortgages buyers may find that their monthly payments will skyrocket once the introductory period of their mortgage ends and the adjustable rate kicks in in 2005 only 83 billion or 1 percent of mortgage debt will switch to an adjustable rate in 2007 this number will leap to 1 trillion or about 12 percent herald tribune discuss the national and worldwide housing bubbles now boston bubble news interesting links get updates rss feed what s rss rss readers feedly firefox suggest a link news reference suggestion forum legend info broken discuss 2024 04 03 the real estate industry on trial 2023 01 09 mortgage buydowns are the hot new thing helping the housing market 2023 01 06 home sellers are basically throwing money at buyers right now 2022 04 27 crypto mortgages let homebuyers keep bitcoin put down nothing 2021 11 02 zillow seeks to sell 7 000 homes for 2 8 billion after flipping halt 2021 02 20 rent prices are falling in east boston sort of 2020 08 19 renter s market in boston 2020 04 13 jpmorgan chase to raise mortgage borrowing standards as economic outlook darkens 2019 12 27 boston s housing market hits a tepid patch 2019 11 20 boston home price futures nov 2019 update 2019 03 25 trading activity on bos case shiller home price index futures 2019 01 25 boston housing futures drop 3 for nov 2020 2018 10 14 thousands line up for zero down payment subprime mortgages 2018 09 14 nouriel roubini we are due a recession in 2020 and we will lack the tools to fight it 2018 06 21 boston home price futures jun 2018 update 2018 06 21 bezos buffett dimon health venture will be based in boston 2018 04 17 2018 q1 boston housing futures update slowing appreciation expected zero real appreciation in 2020 2018 03 19 masshousing reintroduces zero down mortgages 2017 12 15 boston home price futures dec 2017 update 2017 11 06 urban institute boston may be in a real estate bubble 2017 11 03 tax plan could hit boston area homebuyers if it happens 2017 10 16 boston home price futures oct 2017 update 2017 04 11 boston s broken real estate market is getting worse 2017 02 22 burkeyloan to offer 120 ltv mortgage that also pays student loans 2017 02 22 why trump s immigration crackdown could sink u s home prices 2017 02 21 fannie freddie shares dive after u s appeals court ruling 2017 01 20 hud suspends fha mortgage insurance rate cut an hour after trump takes office 2016 12 12 prepare your portfolio now for trumpflation 2016 07 06 treasury yields plunge to all time lows 2016 04 29 boston housing inventory trends apr 2007 mar 2016 2016 04 18 updated graph of boston home price futures nominal 2016 04 14 top broker warns boston area homebuyers to stop making crazy offers 2016 04 08 boston suburban home prices are down in 2016 2016 01 23 forbes boston 3rd most overpriced us city 2016 01 06 middlesex north 2015 recording statistics 2016 01 06 mortgage rate watch farewell 3 percent 2016 01 05 boston housing inventory trends apr 2007 nov 2015 2016 01 01 ma sfh nov 2015 vs nov 2014 mar nominal median up 4 5 volume up 8 1 2016 01 01 ma sfh nov 2015 vs nov 2014 warren group nominal median up 2 2 volume up 10 3 2015 12 31 boston area real estate stocks disappoint in 2015 2015 12 30 surging house prices almost entirely responsible for growing returns on capital 2015 12 16 fed raises rates for 1st time in nearly a decade 2015 12 14 boston among metros that experts worry are headed toward a housing bubble 2015 12 10 cancellation of expensive mbta green line extension remains on the table for massdot 2015 12 09 home prices are jumping in boston suburbs that border even pricier towns news interesting links index recent all jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec 2024 1 2023 2 2022 1 2021 1 1 2020 1 1 2019 1 1 1 1 2018 1 1 2 1 1 2017 1 3 1 1 2 1 2016 6 4 1 1 2015 1 1 3 1 10 14 9 2014 10 11 13 6 6 3 4 3 4 6 2 2013 25 14 13 6 12 18 11 18 8 15 11 9 2012 24 23 27 19 16 6 9 11 7 7 8 13 2011 38 46 45 44 38 45 41 33 21 22 26 31 2010 51 40 63 63 42 48 45 42 40 52 36 43 2009 52 52 59 63 56 37 53 50 52 68 56 54 2008 76 79 77 71 69 51 56 49 66 61 42 48 2007 63 36 85 60 55 45 62 59 52 76 60 60 2006 24 19 40 46 59 45 34 42 44 50 57 49 2005 41 28 18 17 23 partner links advertise on boston bubble buyer brokers and motivated sellers reach potential buyers www bostonbubble com your ad here all content on this website copyright 2005 2026 bostonbubble com except where noted all rights reserved privacy policy in effect disclaimer the information provided on this website and in the associated forums comes with absolutely no warranty expressed or implied you assume all risk for your own use of the information provided as the accuracy of the information is in no way guaranteed as always cross check information that you would deem useful against multiple reliable independent resources the opinions expressed belong to the individual authors and not necessarily to other parties