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favicon.ico: bullythebear.blogspot.com/2006/12 - December 2006
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site address: bullythebear.blogspot.com/2006/12

site title: December 2006 ~ BULLy the BEAR

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a cool 900 today for half a day s work seems like my system is working very well on warrant trades since 19 dec where i had a slight loss of around 160 been earning consistently till now losing another 50 yesterday total warrant returns was a staggering 5400 from 29 nov till 28 dec before anyone think sure make money take note the worst i lost from warrants was 1400 plus plus if you cannot take the big losses warrant trading can be very stressful probably won t enter again in the afternoon earn enough for today i m just waiting for my longcheer and pac andes to explode longcheer seems to be on rise today probably due to technical reason not news induced pac andes rise is because china fishery their subsidiary company acquired 2 more ships i think for their fishing business i ll update more tonight as of now total returns is a very good 4k read more wednesday december 27 2006 made 650 today total returns 2460 wednesday december 27 2006 1 comment is it mercury retrograde now taiwan s earthquake affected quite a number of countries in asia it s almost a cyber earthquake here because we can t access most if not all the us based sites it s pretty okay in the morning but around mid morning everything just comes to a standstill imagine if i had bought huge amount i ll have died a heart attack today hsi cheong like crazy 400 it opened 300 up already what a furious gap up after a long break luckily i bought small amount of call warrant half my usual amount to test test and even before market opens i made a paper profit of nearly 1k already little did i expect the live charts for hsi to be down so i didn t sell it because i knew it will go up further when all the live charts got cut off i m basically trading blindly since i ve made enuff for the day i decided to call it quits rather than risk trading without any aids i cut off around 1230pm and quit trading for the day capital preservation is more impt esp after a huge rise who knows if it may downturn but it didn t it s stronger than i thought could have made another 1 1k but alright lah too big a risk to trade blindly i lose around 50 commission by the time i sold another warrant around lunch time too risky cos by then almost all connetions went to turtle speed alright lah overall each day above 500 i happy already not a bad day hope tmr the website is working fine dow seems very strong tonight as of now 70 now total returns 2 460 longcheer cheong slightly read more tuesday december 26 2006 total returns 1 280 tuesday december 26 2006 2 comments a terribly boring market i spent the day posting in cna forum and decipher s website otherwise how to whilst the time away can t trade somemore cos hsi not even open dbs didn t barge a bit yesterday s news not powerful enough i don t know hengxin doing coaxial cable for telco companies had a big runup today longcheer too maybe the long awaited 3g annoucement is coming perhaps tonight i hope so too the rest of my holdings some gained some lost but overall made more because longcheer went up more than the rest which dropped a bit heard ubs downgraded yellowpage not surprisingly yellow page dun have good earning prospects if u ask me i would sell when i m in need of the money which is not much considering it s only 1 lot heard of this company called armstrong today very strong concrete earnings prospect been increasing in profit margin and gross profits for a couple of years already dividend policy is 50 of earnings short term trend looks good long term not so clear will be placing armstrong in my watchlist to check out first nowadays not looking to add on to my stockholdings only looking to sell sell and sell dow futures stands at 83 now the most negative i ve ever seen i wonder what s the bad news tonight i ll see in the morning if dow closed negative too if nikkei and sti also negative wah good i go cheong call warrants betting that hsi will rebound for the last few days of 2006 total returns 1 280 mainly from longcheer runup read more monday december 25 2006 bored market not open today monday december 25 2006 no comments hmm just bored that today the market is not open as a result i did some management of my portfolio spreadsheet i did it once already so this is just some minor adjustments to the calculations etc i believe that good records of portfolio is essential not just for accountability but it serves as a historical profile of the stocks you own maybe i should include why i buy the stocks and why i sell them that will record the psychological aspect of the trading investment moves as well hmm i ll consider revamping again for 2007 i decided to include dividend calculations into my total returns to give a clearer picture of my whole state of affairs in the past i did not include it because i wanted to focus mainly on capital investment not income investment the dividend that i get from holding stocks should be the bonus that i get from capital appreciation of my stocks not the main thing i still believe in that too after my robinson dividend incident haha oh just read about the news that dbs was awarded retail banking license in china this is going to affect the shares price positively because if everyone in china just put 1 yuan that s going to a hell lot of deposits that dbs is going to get if i didn t remember wrongly 9 other banks got in dbs however is the only singapore bank to get in to china since dbs already as big presence in hong kong i think with the addition of china dbs shares can have the potential to hit sky height and overshadow its rivals excellent blue chip to hold for long term if you have the moo lah i just checked last closing price of mother share for dbs is 22 2 to own even 1 lot i would need 22 200 i m not rich how to own it so if i want to ride on this what should i do buy warrants but warrants expire in months times so i cannot ride fully on the shares and no dividends too i guess i need to put in most of my savings into shares it s a hell lot better than the miserable interest they give you invest in maybe 1 lot a year that will take a million years man i checked that last dec the share price for dbs was 16 5 if i invested 1 lot last dec i would only have gained 5700 excluding dividend that s a cool 34 5 roi however i don t think its worth it 16 5k tied up like that is too much sometimes it s not the roi that matters but the absolute amount 16 5k tied up for one year is 16 5 k tied for for one year unless i have around 3 5 lots otherwise 5700 is too little trading warrants abeit more risky the returns can be much more for less capital held just take a look at my warrant trading for the past one month i ve lost money and gained money but overall my returns from warrants stands at 3 9k with no capital held up of course there are some sleepless nights but that s all part of the game and i m only a newbie i think it s possible to do both since investment requires your capital to be tied up while contra ing warrants do not i can actually do both at the same time but before i do that i really need to build up my investment capital otherwise it ll take far too long to see good returns it s a much more balanced strategy in the long run too what do i suggest 1 hold plenty of cash 2 wait for major bear market or smaller bear raid 3 buy good quality bluechips meaning less susceptible to geopolitics oil natural disasters banking stocks is clearly a good one together with f n deals with consumer products reit what else haven t they touched 3a can consider etf also not cheap but can buy in 100 lots still very good 4 keep on accumulating holding for super long term 5 hope to make it big before you age and return your ic the rich really gets richer i don t see how they can t get rich if they anyhow whack blue chips in huge amounts to hell with meritocracy total returns includes dividend from now on 890 read more sunday december 24 2006 reflections for the week total returns 640 sunday december 24 2006 no comments sidenote it was well worth the 1 4k for the christmas party is not everything i believe in trading skills are important for the long run while you can lose money you musn t lose your confidence and we have to keep on honing our skills on hinder hindsight i think it was wise to sell off the warrant initially my plan was to hold it till market reopens on tues i think it was not a wise move at all 4 days would have passed and the time decay of warrants would not make it advisable to hold on besides there is too much uncertainty over 4 days that can happen word s of advice 1 learn to survive the market first 2 make small profits 3 make huge profits i believe i m somewhere between 1 and 2 now i survived the may crashdown and it didn t affected my interest in stocks i lost 18k and comeback again learning and reading up to hone my skills making small profits and learning to discipline to cut losses and capture profits better and better so i guess i m on the right track big profits can come later now i ll be contented to make small ones along the way dow didn t turn out too well on fri night it closed negative at 70 pts down nasdaq dropped 14 pts too it s actually a good sign what i hope to see is that when hongkong market opens on wed it drops substantially to support level then i ll buy in knowing that it will rebound before reaching new heights again before the end of the year sti too i think problem is while sti opens on tues hsi opens on wed one day of difference can change the sentiment and the plan might not work we ll see how this develops when market opens on tues for singapore total returns so far 640 read more friday december 22 2006 could have made 1 4k more friday december 22 2006 no comments didn t expect hsi and sti to close strongly today on hindsight i shouldn t have cashed out on my call warrants too early because it rises up to 0 71 by the time the market closed i could have earned another 1400k if i cashed out later aiya sometimes i think i should become a full time trader instead of working there are easier way to earn money than to work for people this is a career move that i am thinking about lately the rest of my stocks is as usual not moving much nor dropping longcheer stays at 1 9 pac andes dropped a bit to 0 76 still okay as long as it doesn t fall below 0 72 i don t have my spreadsheet with me now so i can t calculate my total returns i think a slight drop from my previous report hiaz still a bit sore about my would be earnings read more made 400 on yesterday s call warrant friday december 22 2006 no comments today is half day trading for me because i need to prepare for a christmas party tmr dow didn t close positive today nikkei looks weak trading range i think hsi too go up go down actually today would be the perfect day to trade range trading is good for me because i think i ve trained enough to recognise the top and bottom usually in days like this i will buy in series of 10 lots when i see the stochastic is reversing from a minimum this is to catch the bottom of the curve if it drops i ll buy another 10 lots more but before that have to check that rsi and ema is reversing trend too otherwise wait further once the curve truly rebound should be able to see ema u turning rsi should ideally be low but stopping its downtrend and stochastics u turning too with the red line above the blue selling is the reverse i ll buy in and sell out a few times to make small amounts but today i cashed out all my call warrants just in case if there s going to be a santa claus rally i ll buy again i think i need to be safe than sorry my hard earned profits need to be protected first and foremost so far all my trades are positive no losses consecutive for 3 4 days already actually this is not very healthy because i might become overconfident and ruin everything as in stocks it s always good to have small losses with big winnings yin and yang this dec i traded 25 times in and out that s a lot if you compared with previous months where i traded at most 5 or 6 times i think fundamentally there s a change in the way i operate last time i was investing without knowing what i m doing now i was trading with a clearer mind it s good to have both because i recognise that investing for the long term will reap more returns and is less volatile than trading i ll work on it today i m holding no warrants and 3 stocks total returns as of now 580 loncheer should close higher than now which is 1 19 pac andes hopefully retain the price now at 0 765 pac andes might undergo window dressing because i think it s held by quite a no of big fund houses we ll see when trade starts on tues oh ya hsi will open on wed instead i ll update more when i can read more total returns 10 friday december 22 2006 no comments dow as of now is at 9 i think it might close ve tonight but we ll see how it might affect hsi tmr one camp is saying that hsi is consolidating now and preparing to rebound anytime soon another is that hsi is going to go down aiya for me no point anticipating we ll know in a few hours time i m still holding my call warrants if tmr i can t sell off i ll hold it till market opens again on tues mon is christmas day i should expect a strong rally next week if our dear capricorn effect really works hmm tmr afterall is a fri and we all know what happens on fri esp on a long weekend because longcheer closed badly for this market day it dragged down my total returns to 10 okay lah i should expect it to reach 1 35 and above soon probably in another week or 2 china is going to announce their 3g plans and i really hope longcheer will cheong because of that oh pac andes rise a lot today some say it s window dressing for funds so that it ll look good and they ll get a fat bonus as a result might be looking to add more if necessary tmr is half day trading for me need to prepare for christmas party on sat let s see if i can sell off my call warrants before lunch if not i might have to keep for some time i pretty confident hsi will reach 19400 by march next yr though good luck tmr read more thursday december 21 2006 fengshui predictions for stock market 2007 thursday december 21 2006 no comments feng shui investors brace for year of fire on water thursday december 21 1 34 am et by james pomfret and ian chua hong kong reuters forget fund flows and profit predictions 2007 is about fire sitting on water buy oil avoid metals and don t get your fingers burned feng shui experts steeped in the ancient chinese knowledge of geomancy or natural energies see a turbulent year ahead for both markets and mankind the elements they are in conflict said raymond lo a practitioner for more than 10 years whose office close to hong kong s victoria harbor is considered a repository of positive feng shui energies in this hotbed of capitalism because it s fire and water and they re not in harmony so therefore next year in january it s not so peaceful lo expects a stock market boom in the first half of the year with hong kong s hang seng index hkse hsi news...
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