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alfred burne wikipedia jump to content main menu main menu move to sidebar hide navigation main page contents current events random article about wikipedia contact us contribute help learn to edit community portal recent changes upload file special pages search search appearance donate create account log in personal tools donate create account log in contents move to sidebar hide top 1 career 2 inherent military probability 3 bibliography 4 references toggle the table of contents alfred burne 3 languages فارسی français italiano edit links article talk english read edit view history tools tools move to sidebar hide actions read edit view history general what links here related changes upload file permanent link page information cite this page get shortened url switch to legacy parser print export download as pdf printable version in other projects wikidata item appearance move to sidebar hide from wikipedia the free encyclopedia english soldier and military historian 1886 1959 alfred burne dso born 1886 1886 died 1959 aged 72 73 occupation military historian military career allegiance united kingdom branch british army service years 1906 1945 rank lieutenant colonel unit royal artillery commands 121st officer cadet training unit awards distinguished service order alfred higgins burne dso 1886 1959 was a soldier and military historian 1 he invented the concept of inherent military probability in battles and campaigns where there is some doubt over what action was taken burne believed that the action taken would be one which a trained staff officer of the twentieth century would take career edit alfred burne was educated at winchester college and rma woolwich before being commissioned into the royal artillery in 1906 he was awarded the dso during the first world war and during the second world war was commandant of the 121st officer cadet training unit 1 he retired as a lieutenant colonel 2 he was military editor of chambers encyclopedia from 1938 to 1957 and became an authority on the history of land warfare 1 he was a contributor to the dictionary of national biography 3 burne lived in kensington and his funeral was held at st mary abbots there 2 inherent military probability edit burne introduced the concept of inherent military probability imp to the study of military history he himself defined it thus my method here is to start with what appear to be undisputed facts then to place myself in the shoes of each commander in turn and to ask myself in each case what i would have done this i call working on inherent military probability i then compare the resulting action with the existing record in order to see whether it discloses any incompatibility with the existing facts if not i then go on to the next debatable or obscure point in the battle and repeat the operation 1 more succinctly john keegan defined imp as the solution of an obscurity by an estimate of what a trained soldier would have done in the circumstances 4 bibliography edit the royal artillery mess woolwich and its surroundings 1935 abridged revised as the woolwich mess 1954 mesopotamia the last phase 1936 revised 2nd edition 1938 lee grant and sherman 1938 the art of war on land 1944 strategy as exemplified in the second world war 1946 the noble duke of york 1949 the battlefields of england 1950 more battlefields of england 1953 the crecy war 1954 the agincourt war 1956 a military history of the first civil war 1642 1646 with peter young 1959 references edit 1 2 3 4 a h burne the battlefields of england isbn 9781473819023 1 2 the times 6 june 1959 deaths alfred burne campbell john charles 1894 1942 rev k d reynolds oxford dictionary of national biography oxford university press 2004 keegan john 1976 the face of battle a study of agincourt waterloo and the somme p 32 penguin classics isbn 978 0 14 004897 1 authority control databases international isni viaf gnd worldcat national united states france bnf data netherlands norway korea sweden poland israel academics cinii people trove deutsche biographie other idref open library snac yale lux retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title alfred_burne oldid 1362712513 categories 1886 births 1959 deaths people educated at winchester college graduates of the royal military academy woolwich royal artillery officers companions of the distinguished service order english military historians hidden categories articles with short description short description is different from wikidata use dmy dates from april 2022 pages where birth or death is being automatically determined articles with hcards pages using infobox military person with embed this page was last edited on 5 july 2026 at 19 33 utc page was rendered with parsoid text is available under the creative commons attribution sharealike 4 0 license additional terms may apply by using this site you agree to the terms of use and privacy policy wikipedia is a registered trademark of the wikimedia foundation inc a non profit organization privacy policy about wikipedia disclaimers contact wikipedia legal safety contacts code of conduct developers statistics cookie statement mobile view search search toggle the table of contents alfred burne 3 languages add topic