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description=  My name is Graham Wayne. I live in Devon, England and I spend as much of my time as I can writing, principally about the science and sociology of climate change. Recently I ve concentrated on fiction; my first novel, Cities of Refuge, is now published, and there s another novel already finished (needs a bit of…;

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lls in sound engineering live and studio arranging for orchestras and to producing records during most of my life i ve also been a compulsive writer i subscribe to hemingway s view that a writer doesn t want to write he has to write after getting a bursary to attend a course at the arvon foundation a writing school with four centres in the uk i ve enjoyed several spells as a full time journalist writing has also frequently complemented and even broadened my business interests there s a quote from andrew miller on the arvon site an arvon course can change your life it s as simple as that he s absolutely correct it changed my life and i remain profoundly grateful to arvon and to my instructors john brunner and liza tuttle creatively after arvon my creative course seemed to be set a mixture of experimental writing terrible and making music then something happened that changed my life i met the computer the bond was instant i understood exactly what it was doing was fascinated by it and started programming straight away i altered course in a way i never expected and after a spell in software publishing i established one of the first digital pre press design companies in london combining all i d learned about management in show biz quite an ordeal by fire in many respects and later training at bt i started advising companies on their it adoption on their business methods and this broad spread of experiences lead to my becoming a full time business consultant accredited by the then department of trade and industry eventually after spells in germany and canada in management roles i accepted the position of cio on the board of the mastertronic group of companies my last full time role which i left in 2006 these days i m focused on my writing with a plan to make more music in a while i ve written a lot for my blog occasional pieces for the guardian and for the excellent skepticalscience web site now it s time to get my fiction in front of an audience and to broaden my blogging to address not just climate change but other issues that concern me share this share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on reddit opens in new window reddit email a link to a friend opens in new window email share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr share on telegram opens in new window telegram share on whatsapp opens in new window whatsapp more print opens in new window print like loading 20 comments leave one graham wayne permalink january 31 2011 7 40 am please only post in this section if you want to contact me or say nice things that make me feel important regarding contact it isn t necessary to include an email address in an enquiry as the raw post contains your email address which can only be seen in the admin panel of my blog richard smith permalink december 11 2014 7 21 pm graham i m writing a climate fiction novel in which i would like to introduce a concept that i d like to bounce past you you can get an idea about my view of the world on my facebook page below the concept is a genetically modified form of grass that is white instead of green and thus if adopted in fairly large chunks would offset some of the albedo lost through melting arctic antarctic greenland ice the concept isn t central to the book but it would allow me to do lots of fun things my commitment to myself is that i won t put anything into the book that isn t scientifically plausible in the year 2050 so genetically modified grass check white grass that still functions for photosynthesis checking maybe it doesn t matter white grass that could in any meaningful way produce a helpful albedo don t know it may be sufficient just to make it slightly positive to the extent that someone could make a marketing thing out of it though i would hope for much more efficacy than that i don t need to know with enough confidence to write a patent application but i also won t just say and then a miracle happened do you have any thoughts or suggestions richard graham wayne permalink december 12 2014 9 09 am hi richard i don t believe your white grass can work because chlorophyll has evolved to absorb those frequencies of the em spectrum it can use most efficiently to produce energy changing the colour to white is in effect engineering a plant to absorb no light at all plants are green because chlorophyll absorbs blue and some red frequencies what we see as green is what is being reflected if we see white that is because nothing is being absorbed which is why albedo works for white surfaces on top of that if photosynthesis efficiency is reduced then plants would convert less co2 now the global warming problem has got worse you d also need to account for the demand for grassland for agriculture given the rate of population increase and finally you should read up on albedo whose direct contribution to the planet s energy budget is actually quite small it is the indirect contribution that matters most where for example a body with a large heat capacity like an ocean is regulated by ice cover reduce the ice cover and more heat is not only absorbed but stored richard smith permalink december 12 2014 5 45 pm bummer but thanks for your response back to the drawing board will shirley permalink may 14 2016 10 38 am mr wayne i appreciate your writings on climate change very insightful stuff as an american i get to live in the information reduced and modified atmosphere of a nation hellbent on falling back into the early iron age when men were men and women were property i read a great deal on science issues and climate change is a big one it occurs to me a couple of things when trying to understand why men and women with a college education would want to turn off their brains and work off emotions i think it possible that the uber wealthy see an excellent opportunity in climate change billions will die and real estate will soar in price big cities being abandoned as their subways flood and foundations are eaten away from salt water people like trump could become trillionaires and the effectiveness of the government to enforce the law will greatly diminish we d be lucky to stop at feudalism then there is the concept that floating on enormous yachts the uber wealthy could simply expect to wait out the exterminations offshore and return when the riots have settled down expecting their wealth to insulate them from the worst of the effects this last has such a huge hole in it when you wonder if they expect their wealth to be there when governments aren t unless their wealth is being held in stores of grain and clean water that would work and with the collapse of world governments there would be only market principles to protect the survivors do you think i am too cynical or is there not some logic to these concepts i ve been a radical since the 60 s and it sems to me that all of our warnings ignored by msm turned out to be correct the viet nam war was lost the war on drug users has failed democratic reforms are over with yet we still get ignored when we shout out about changing climate ah well again thanks for the good writing and keep it up graham wayne permalink may 14 2016 1 27 pm hi will and let s not stand on formality call me graham you ask if i think you too cynical but given the state of the nation as it were it s hard to find the dividing line between realism and cynicism i certainly find it likely that the rich and powerful believe their wealth will insulate them from the worst of what s coming but i don t think there s as much planning going on as you suggest more a case of complacency perhaps however there is at least potentially a silver lining to this enormous cloud in order to build something new first the old must be demolished and if the establishment will not willingly knock down the corrupt edifice they constructed for themselves it might be that nature will do the job for them our best hope now in my opinion is that out of the ashes of a civilisation that set fire to itself future generations will build something better anyway thanks for the kind and constructive comment my best wishes to you and yours jeffrey morrison permalink may 17 2016 7 55 pm hi there i tried to download the pdf for the epiphanies essays and the link is dead do you still make your book available elsewhere i like your writing jeff graham wayne permalink may 18 2016 6 41 am thanks jeff glad you get some enjoyment from reading my work i ve fixed the link now so thanks also for pointing that out dan bloom do_you_cli_fi_ permalink october 31 2016 5 38 am my review on amazon should looke like this 5 stars a cli fi novel set in a near future world that could become our world tomorrow if we are not careful mr wayne lives in devon england and spends as much of his time as he can writing principally about the science and sociology of climate change recently he s been concentrating on no0vels and his first one cities of refuge is a gripping read of what tomorrow the near future that is might bring i hope it gets a wide readership worldwide because the issuse are global i am also looking for to mr wayne s next novel life below decks which is set to published before christmas this is a british writer to watch this is a british writer to watch kai permalink september 29 2017 4 17 pm i very much enjoyed your writing about the tour with sham 69 just thought i d let you know graham wayne permalink september 29 2017 5 53 pm thanks kai nice of you to take the time as above permalink june 4 2019 11 03 pm your cover for life below jumped out at me i have an identical pic of the woolwich foot tunnel in my mn memoir which is titled below decks peter troy were you an august baby too i lived for a while in torquay encountering a coincidence like this makes the globe seem smaller be lucky graham wayne permalink june 5 2019 6 13 am hi peter nice to hear from you although in fact my cover pic is of the greenwich foot tunnel which i have to admit looks remarkably like the woolwich tunnel joris geelen permalink december 11 2019 8 49 am where can i find a more extensive rebuttal of that one chart often used to argue to the contrary but it s got some serious problems and ignores most of the data on the difference between climate models and satellite data graham wayne permalink december 11 2019 12 25 pm there s a layman s explanation here https www theguardian com environment climate consensus 97 per cent 2016 feb 19 republicans favorite climate chart has some serious problems if you want more detailed discussions of the science then there s a good article here http www realclimate org index php archives 2016 05 comparing models to the satellite datasets ivo welch permalink november 25 2021 10 46 pm can you please drop me an email i plan to cite your guide to rcps in our economics of climate change textbook sanjoy sanyal permalink november 26 2021 12 32 pm graham i have been inspired by your work to make climate change knowledge accessible i wrote a three part series summarising some key lessons from the ipcc special reports on land and ocean you can see the last one here https medium com new ventures asia climate change and the asean societies 9cfddc59763a i have read your rcps guide and i feel that is exactly the sort of helping people understand primers we need but one question is bugging me the socio economic assumptions behind the rcps and the sres scenarios behind them seems to assume a generally improving world different degrees of improvement for sure but generally improving is this correct graham wayne permalink november 26 2021 2 35 pm hi sanjoy the creation of the rpcs did not assume one general pattern for socio economic trajectories this is best explained in van vuuren s paper on the genesis of the rpc format the rcps were selected from the existing literature on the basis of their emissions and associated concentration levels this implies that the socio economic assumptions of the different modeling teams were based on individual model assumptions made within the context of the original publication and that there is no consistent design behind the position of the different rcps relative to each other for these parameters scenario development after the rcp phase section 1 will focus on developing a new set of socio economic scenarios therefore socio economic parameters have not been included in the rcp information available for download still this information does form part of the underlying individual scenario development and thus provides useful information on internal logic and the plausibility of each of the individual rcps here their primary characteristics are discussed only in this context you can also find more information on the background and methodology in this free access paper the representative concentration pathways an overview from which i ve quoted on springerlink https link springer com article 10 1007 s10584 011 0148 z interestingly the modelling community decided early on to allow for constant updating of the socio economic projections largely by decoupling them from the rpc baselines so that one was never dependent on the other also note that there are trajectories for population and gdp for each pathway as described on page 18 of the rcp guide based on un projections for population and other literature for the economic data neil winder permalink august 11 2022 8 03 pm hello graham i miss your insightful and well written blog entries on climate change i really did find your views accessible informed and helpful i ve sometimes thought that maybe you stopped because it simply become too depressing reflecting on the constant inevitable failure of any meaningful action happening as still seems to be the case to me all the best to you neil winder graham wayne permalink august 12 2022 8 17 am hi neil thanks for your kind comment in fact the main reasons i stopped were that in the first place i started writing about climate change science and scientists in order to offer some defence of science the scientific method and those who follow it from scurrilous ignorant and pernicious agenda driven attacks at a certain point around 2015 it seemed clear to me that what vulnerabilities the young science of climate change had previously suffered were fast eliminated by the evidence that supported and validated the theory science no longer required any defence it had won the debate the other reason was that i felt very comfortable writing about science i did not offer opinions i merely paraphrased the science itself with commentary for context my arguments were always as sound as science could make them but then the subject matter changed to write about climate change after 2016 was not to write about the science and demonstrate the fallacious arguments of climate change deniers the debate changed it was and still is about what to do about it and there i can offer opinions about society politics and economics which from a debating standpoint are only as valid as anyone else s opinions i could no longer count on t...