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2012 january 25 iraq and gulf analysis iraq and gulf analysis home about archives august 2015 january 2015 december 2014 october 2014 september 2014 august 2014 july 2014 june 2014 may 2014 april 2014 march 2014 february 2014 january 2014 december 2013 november 2013 october 2013 september 2013 august 2013 july 2013 june 2013 may 2013 april 2013 march 2013 february 2013 january 2013 december 2012 november 2012 october 2012 september 2012 august 2012 july 2012 june 2012 may 2012 april 2012 march 2012 february 2012 january 2012 december 2011 november 2011 october 2011 september 2011 august 2011 july 2011 june 2011 may 2011 april 2011 march 2011 february 2011 january 2011 december 2010 november 2010 october 2010 september 2010 august 2010 july 2010 june 2010 may 2010 april 2010 march 2010 february 2010 january 2010 december 2009 november 2009 october 2009 september 2009 august 2009 july 2009 june 2009 may 2009 april 2009 march 2009 february 2009 january 2009 december 2008 november 2008 october 2008 september 2008 august 2008 july 2008 june 2008 may 2008 april 2008 march 2008 february 2008 january 2008 december 2007 november 2007 october 2007 september 2007 august 2007 july 2007 june 2007 may 2007 april 2007 march 2007 february 2007 january 2007 december 2006 november 2006 october 2006 september 2006 august 2006 july 2006 june 2006 may 2006 april 2006 march 2006 february 2006 january 2006 december 2005 november 2005 october 2005 august 2005 categories basra and southern regionalism 34 de baathification 11 federalism in sunni majority areas of iraq 14 federalism in the middle east 6 iranian influence in iraq 55 iraq regionalism general 27 iraq and soft partition 39 iraq international relations 5 iraq local elections 2013 21 iraq parliament membership 13 iraq parliamentary elections 2014 26 iraq s 2010 parliamentary election 175 iraqi constitutional issues 280 iraqi nationalism 95 kirkuk and disputed territories 47 oil in iraq 46 rule of law 2 sectarian master narrative 55 shiite sectarian federalism 16 uia dynamics 133 uncategorized 59 us policy in iraq leverage issues 67 meta create account log in entries feed comments feed wordpress com my latest book on amazon com from just world books available on amazon com twitter updates tweets by reidarvisser january 2012 m t w t f s s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 dec feb subscribe entries rss comments rss recent posts legality and constitutionality questions in iraq s reform push the federalism dimension in yemen s draft constitution federalism and decentralization in libya s constitutional proposals groundbreaking iraq supreme court ruling on the law on mp replacement after the rise of isis will iraq s shiites secede additional ministers approved for the iraq cabinet the controversial kurdish ministers in the new iraqi cabinet the iraqi parliament fails to approve new security ministers the iraqi parliament approves the abbadi cabinet haydar al abbadi is the new iraq pm candidate maliki the presidency and parliament in the iraq pm nomination battle pm nomination trouble in iraq iraq elects fuad masum as new president for the first time in iraq a large field of presidential candidates the iraqi parliament elects its new speakership archive for january 25th 2012 the state of the union and the iraqi enfant terrible posted by reidar visser on wednesday 25 january 2012 18 16 white house speechwriters must be thoroughly annoyed with iraq these days last month barely had the dust settled after the departing us forces and jubilant ceremonies in washington before iraqi politicians began escalating their political antagonisms to levels not seen since 2006 even though the whole thing is somehow still hanging together the signs of warning are arguably more numerous than for many years yesterday just hours before president barack obama was to deliver his state of the union address iraq blew up in his face again close to the capital baghdad mulla nazam al jibburi was killed by a gang of gunmen jibburi was a prominent defector from al qaeda who had helped build the largely sunni sahwa movement in support of the iraqi government this was not quite in harmony with the message of obama s address hours later he told us ending the iraq war has allowed us to strike decisive blows against our enemies from pakistan to yemen the al qaeda operatives who remain are scrambling knowing that they can t escape the reach of the united states of america because in iraq there are no al qaeda anymore right except that they may well have been the ones who opted to assassinate jibburi just hours before president obama s speech the problems in the state of the union address as far as it related to the middle east don t stop there how about iran again according to obama through the power of our diplomacy a world that was once divided about how to deal with iran s nuclear program now stands as one the regime is more isolated than ever before its leaders are faced with crippling sanctions and as long as they shirk their responsibilities this pressure will not relent are we so sure that obama s policies in the region have consistently weakened iran is it not the case that after failed us diplomacy in 2010 nuri al maliki was forced to rely on sectarianism to clinch his second premier term in ways that at least temporarily increased iranian leverage in iraq is not the resultant maintenance and reinforcement of the tehran damascus axis part of what makes iran able to resist other manoeuvres by the international community or maybe us policies towards iran have different goals let there be no doubt america is determined to prevent iran from getting a nuclear weapon and i will take no options off the table to achieve that goal but a peaceful resolution of this issue is still possible and far better and if iran changes course and meets its obligations it can rejoin the community of nations so no nasty nukes please and we ll give you a free hand in iraq in return is that the deal obama is envisaging perhaps iraq is better left for iran and turkey to slug it out bringing the region back as vp biden once called it let s consider the region more broadly as the tide of war recedes a wave of change has washed across the middle east and north africa from tunis to cairo from sanaa to tripoli a year ago qaddafi was one of the world s longest serving dictators a murderer with american blood on his hands today he is gone and in syria i have no doubt that the assad regime will soon discover that the forces of change cannot be reversed and that human dignity cannot be denied saudi no matches found bahrain no matches found what if iranian oil is sufficiently attractive to asian markets to make the likely impact of the boycott higher oil price bigger in crisis hit european economies than in tehran this might well enable iran to hold on to syria and control iraq while preventing obama from talking tough on human rights to the remaining strategic allies in the middle east due to continued reliance on their oil unless obama can maintain a consistent discourse on the middle east perhaps it would be better to leave the region out of the state of the union address altogether posted in us policy in iraq leverage issues 28 comments blog at wordpress com subscribe subscribed iraq and gulf analysis join 203 other subscribers sign me up already have a wordpress com account log in now privacy iraq and gulf analysis subscribe subscribed sign up log in report this content view site in reader manage subscriptions collapse this bar design a site like this with wordpress com get started