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essays gwern net skip to main content warning javascript disabled for support of key website features link annotation popups popovers transclusions collapsible sections backlinks tablesorting image zooming sidenotes etc you must enable javascript site me new blog links patreon substack essays newest popular notable newest blog statistics meta science decision theory order statistics crypto bitcoin ai safety generative ai image generative ai fiction generative ai poetry deep learning computer science haskell cognition psychology behavior genetics economics economics tech domestic cats practical design qs sleep qs politics epistemology philosophy literary criticism anime fiction prose fiction verse docs docs science docs crypto docs anime docs nge wikipedia reviews reviews books personal this is the website of gwern branwen i write about ai psychology statistics i am best known for my writings about ai scaling poetry anime neural networks darknet markets and bitcoin blinded self experiments and dual n back spaced repetition navigation for information about my site s philosophy method see the about page for the website features implementation see the design page for information about myself my use of other websites and contact information see the about me page for new pages see the changelog new short blog posts or new links or subscribe to the newsletter archives features to use dark mode or reader mode or disable popups or search the site use the floating toggle bar in the lower right upper right corner for more see the help page newest idea lean scaling laws sand rain wood chapter 6 mime molting what to expect guardian angels deep llm personalization human like neural nets by catapulting style aware generative models nyt vaping how to lie with the truth top k reading don t polish median essays try score change rl for children the city of counted stars elegy in a craneyard apollonian 2 the river that forgets spoilage popular the nn scaling hypothesis death note anonymity silk road 1 tutorial dnm archives 201 3 201 5 spaced repetition learning commoditize your complement banner ads considered harmful generating anime faces melancholy of subculture society ordinary life improvements notable guardian angels deep llm personalization existential risks math errors danbooru2021 anime dataset dnm archives 201 3 201 5 correlation causality embryo selection for traits longevity meta analyses tool ais want to be agent ais internet research tips in defense of inclusionism newest blog most recent 29 blog posts statistics predicting google closures judging 2012 14ya election forecasts google alerts over time modeling fiction review rates lw ea donations 2013 2014 12ya miscellaneous stats notes regression to mean fallacy fermi problem examples the math of hunting lions cqk is the first unused tla how many shower controls are there meta science why correlation causation eg everything is correlated how to critique research the replication crisis citation leprechaun hunting origin of littlewood s law does mouse utopia exist hydrocephalus iq open questions topics fake journal club decision theory banner ads considered harmful when should i check the mail my prediction market trades twin power milk experiment running lights as complex disaster try score change rl for children candy japan s box a b test a b testing css html frank p ramsey papers order statistics gaussian expected maximums interactive list sorting multi stage selection demo goodreads abandoned books genius revisited school flaws leaky pipeline log normals selection scenarios best student ever speedrunning is not such a waste crypto bitcoin bitcoin is worse is better time lock crypto timestamp co 2 coin carbon blockchain trustless trade 2 of 2 nashx dark net markets silk road 1 buyers guide dnm archive 201 3 201 5 dnm arrests 201 1 201 5 dnm lifetime census ai safety gpt 3 the scaling hypothesis evolution as learning backstop guardian angels deep llm personalization human like neural nets by catapulting tool ais want to be agent ais complexity is no bar to agi looks like you re taking over the world the nn tank photo urban legend hyperbolic time chambers ai generative ai image danbooru2021 anime dataset palm hand detection crops danbooru2019 figures danbooru2019 portraits anime faces biggan failures dropcap generation with ai this waifu does not exist details generative ai fiction gpt 3 creative nonfiction benchmarking llm creativity cyoa ai dungeons gpt 2 folk music preference learning music superhuman rubik s cube solving writing non biblical sentences my 2025 llm system prompts spoilage the city of counted stars chapter 6 mime molting what to expect claude 2 bats with baby faces generative ai poetry apollonian 1 counted crowned 2 the river that forgets your hands and mine tilakkhana silver bird above sf elegy in a craneyard the fourth truth of pain failures a christmas protestation sand rain wood bell crow moon poetic variations a strict pindaric meter human perception at a red light writing experiment old gpt 3 poems fiction gpt 2 rnn deep learning kelly coin flip game machine learning scaling efficient transformer attention the mlp fc nn rebirth neural nets are oversized the end to end principle absolute unit nns mlp everything how to write for llms project ideas lean scaling laws style aware generative models number search engine novelty net sampling free play period daydreaming spfn bayesian llm by reversing stan towards a better hutter prize computer science surprisingly turing complete archiving urls gwtar static efficient single file html the sort key trick internet wifi improvement the 3 grenades computers in computers computers are fast utext rich unicode documents unsorting lists for diversity rock paper scissors as game mechanic haskell haskell summer of code gambling problem 14 archiving github wikipedia archive bot wp rss archive bot resilient haskell software evolutionary licenses elegant run length coding choosing software cognition spaced repetition learning dual n back faq dual n back meta analysis iodine adult iq meta analysis conscientiousness online ed smpy g t bibliography creatine cognition meta analysis how complex human differences anne roe s elite scientists intelligence of portia spiders anti spaced repetition lw anchoring experiment psychology are sunk costs fallacies lithium in drinking water morning writing effect the collecting mindset why do hipsters steal stuff progress in beauty ordinary incompetence finding feynman s maze story elon musk potent drugs as psychological warfare why to not write a book why so few matt levines behavior genetics embryo selection for traits bakewell s invention breeding dog cloning for special forces history of ies drug evolutionary heuristics genetics in herbert s dune genetics in my little pony amusing ourselves to death emergenesis genius genetics non gene variance components could deer evolve away accidents economics ordinary life improvements girl scouts good governance console insurance buying greenland long bets s design problems copyright deadweight loss local optima greedy choice iq income self funding harberger copyright tax copyright economics tech commoditize your complement timing tech media lab lessons darpa the sci vc program the garden of forking paths moore s law chip fabs holy wars coordination problem startup ideas automation colonization wave domestic cats cat psychology domestication catnip rate meta analysis solving catnip pomdps catnip breeding catnip surveys cat caused accidents why cats like earwax cats as horror movie villains cat itecture better cat window boxes what is it like to be a cat tail practical internet search tips on having enough socks plastination vs cryonics vitamin d longevity falling head injuries bjorksten aging papers oldest possible food how long would weird al survive in a freezer design gwern net design lessons traffic feature test page manual of style invertornot com sidenotes in web design rubrication design examples poetry html typesetting top k reading against polishing median essays who buys fonts on subscripting citations use rarer greek variables twitter follow ux problems website colors red vs blue grow speech specification go speech qs sleep melatonin for sleep modafinil as stimulant modafinil use survey self experiments caffeine potassium redshift vitamin d zma mix wooden pillows lunar sleep rhythms qs nootropics experiments lsd microdosing blind mineral water taste test spirulina allergy experiment bitter melon blood glucose meditation math errors weather my mood treadmill memory typing bacopa quasi experiment 2013 lllt self experiment acne a good qs topic politics melancholy of subculture society terrorism is not about terror terrorism is not effective colder wars in space parasocial relationships online unreasonable small groups efficacy political fashions best of abandoned footnotes epistemology existential risks math errors hacker mindset seeing through on powerful natural languages littlewood s law the global media the lizardman constant internet community design one man s modus ponens newton s cosmology comets simulation inferences hacking smartphone esp apps philosophy culture is not about esthetics video games as art impossibility of retrocognition ontological pantheism on disrespect against the miletians nyt vaping how to lie with the truth ethics the narrowing circle an abortion dialogue immoral books justifications ethicists ethics anencephaly infant organ donation survey literary criticism time travel story of your life time travel r scott bakker s second apocalypse timecrimes time travel in hell mlp immanetizing the equestrian wolfe s suzanne delage is dracula scanners live in vain realism screwfly solution solution tragedy of grand admiral thrawn anime the melancholy of kyon death note anonymity ending movie script authors hafu gender ratios in anime aria s past present future fmp parodies on development hell why ovas why ugly western animation why space battleship yamato fiction prose october the first is too late the gift of the amygdali second life sentences the ones who walk towards acre three missing cities the erl king men of iron gilles goullet blindsight author how the panther got black the palace of wonders dinosaur comics comics epigrams humor fiction verse miscellaneous poems brave poem dying outside poems on genshiken theme safecracker hybrid rainbow the mulberry tree the snowbanks of time docs browse by tag newest bounties rotten com library archives okcupid statistics blog archives shiny balls of mud gibson even more aphorisms 10s essays nor the summers as golden wolfe loyal to the group of 17 s story docs science radiance carter scholz the iron law of evaluation you and your research hamming sanity survival hofstadter hope function in fruitless search climb mount improbable dawkins the sword of achilles asimov norvir s vanishing polymorphs docs crypto cryptography p np nash 1955 wei dai satoshi nakamoto emails bitcoin s mysterious inventor drugs 2 0 crack s in the post jed mccaleb mtgox interview docs anime talk about rahxephon yutaka izubuchi anno otaku talk okada et al earth in my window little boy utena 2011 15ya boxset commentary on the battlefield of superflat ero anime manga comes alive docs nge evangelion source anthology the notenki memoirs takeda rebuild 2 0 crc conscience of the otaking michael house on gainax 1996 1997 anno interview wikipedia in defense of inclusionism wp google knol wp google youtube wp darkside editing wp other wikis my old wp edits reviews anime princess kaguya last unicorn movies crumb the bridge operas teas why is microwaving bad reviews books book reviews mcnamara s folly the cultural revolution umineko no naku koro ni the quantum thief i remember lemuria personal about website links about me interview with dwarkesh patel inkhaven interview on ideas interview on risk taking self experiment old 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