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hantulaut hantulaut the blog that gives you most tangible political predictions concise and precise search this blog tuesday may 8 2018 pakatan repeating same mistake pakatan is repeating the same mistake they made in 2013 big show in the cities and towns and heedless and neglect of the rural votes this is their biggest chance to unseat the mighty bn but due to faction friction greed and bad strategy they may again screw up their chance to win the trophy it will be another case of what you see is not what you get they did excellent job of using the social alternative media to disseminate gut wrenching propaganda against bn some are true but most are lies and fabrications which had been effective in mostly urban and some semi urban areas but the overkill also has its side effect in mainly malay rural population who are slighted by some of the derogatory remarks made against their leaders no matter how hard they tried the countrified malays have a deep distrust of the dap chinese making it harder for pakatan to penetrate the malay hinterland in sabah warisan has gained some traction mostly in the east coast and some kadazan chinese dominated areas but not likely to steal the thunder from bn because of the mahathir factor which is still resonating among the local population till now so much so shafie apdal advised mahathir not to come to sabah during the election period indeed it will be a close fight with two possible outcome a hung parliament or razor thin win for either side i wrote the article below 10 days before the 13ge thursday april 25 2013 if you want to win this election take care of the kampongs hantu laut if you want to take over the government you have to win the rural seats in the kampong people only care about food and money they have no time for the luxury of intellectual talks promises of bed of roses that may never bloom or promises of cleaning up the country of corruptions which they do not understand simple kampong folks have simple needs and the least difficult to please unlike their urban counterparts where hypocrisy rules the waves the party that embrace this georgic doctrine will be the first to past the post and take the chequered flag the rural areas are where the real battle should be and where most of the seats are located canvassing and campaigning are made much easier due to smaller population of voters in each constituency however logistic cost could be much higher due to remoteness of some of the places while pr leaders are pampered by the urbanites bn knew the nook and cranny of the back country and knew what the people want based on the result of the 2008 general election where bn won 112 of 139 small constituencies they only need roughly 19 out of the total number of voters to grab enough seats to form the government in 2008 the smallest constituency was putrajaya with just over 6 000 voters and the biggest was kapar with a staggering 115 000 voters the backcountry is bn territory or rather umno territory where the tentacles of the internet had not yet reached out and ripped the marbles out of the village folks after over half a century of running the government bn knew where the feeds for the bastion of power come from the rural areas hold the key to puterjaya on the other hand pakatan rakyat a coalescence of divergent old and new political aspirants appealed to the intellectuals pseudo intellectuals the internet savvy crowd who fully depend their source of news and information on the alternative media but ignored the rustic interior in the urban jungle many are youths who have had no inured journey to adulthood with leaders of the time young and impressionable they are strongly attracted and influenced by pr s promise of fabulist s list of goodies and promise of death blow to corruptions in government should they win the elections anti corruption and calls for free and fair election is the paradigm of anwar ibrahim s campaign to wheedle the people to support him and pakatan rakyat which worked well in the urban areas but failed to stir the rural population bersih an ngo headed by former president of the bar council ambiga sreenevasan is suspected to be covert operation for pakatan rakyat but she vehemently denied the allegation albeit some of her actions betrayed her declaration of bersih non aligned status many suspected her of lying the connection seems obvious one 28 april 2012 ambiga organised a pre planned demonstration called bersih 3 she has organised 2 previous ones under same name that attracted a massive 200 000 people on to the streets of kuala lumpur demanding free and fair elections skeptics believe without pre arrangement of the oppositions help she won t be able to garner more than a thousand let alone tens of thousands of people many that came are members and supporters of opposition political parties and onlookers out for festive mood many in umno suspected it to be a rehearsal for the real one the malaysian spring that may come should pr lose in the 13th ge anwar is known for his street culture from his heydays as student and social activist bersih is a culmination of his mutinous ways pakatan leaders like to bathe in the limelight of the urban jungle where amassing crowd of tens of thousands is not as arduous as in the rural areas if you hang the right carrot they miscalculated that one urban constituency can equal to as many as 5 or more rural constituencies there is nothing illegal in the delineation or gerrymandering of electoral boundaries as made out by amiga and pakatan leaders to hoodwink the people due to better logistic urban areas with better roads and communication facilities are easier to cover than rural areas and higher population density make for bigger number of voters in the constituency listen to ambiga s fuzzy lecture misleading the people most of what she said in the video are half truths and double speak in the u k the same prevails there are small voices that complained but generally the people accept the system that have been with them for few hundred years no british political party had ever complained or made a big issue of the seemingly unfair first past the post system everyone accept defeat in their stride it s a system we inherited from the british colonialists below is the result of the british general election in 1997 uk general election 1997 candidates votes party standing elected gained unseated net of total no net labour 639 418 145 0 145 63 4 43 2 13 518 167 8 8 conservative 648 165 0 178 178 25 0 30 7 9 600 943 11 2 liberal democrat 639 46 30 2 28 7 0 16 8 5 242 947 1 0 referendum party 547 0 0 0 0 2 6 811 849 n a snp 72 6 3 0 3 0 9 2 0 621 550 0 1 ulster unionist 16 10 1 0 1 1 5 0 8 258 349 0 0 sdlp 18 3 0 1 1 0 5 0 6 190 814 0 1 the table shows labour gets 43 of the popular votes but 63 of the seats to form the government on their own and there had been many elections like this in the u k yet there was never accusation of cheating or unfair electoral practices the malaysian electoral rolls may be not all that perfect but i doubt there have been massive cheating by the government to deprive the people of choosing the government of their choice in spite of allegations of cheating the oppositions won 5 states and 82 parliamentary seats and deprived the bn of two thirds majority in 2008 it was unpremeditated accidental and unexpected no one expected the result many expected a strong oppositions showing but never expected bn to lose 5 states today things are different the new man is not the same as the man who rest on his laurel and had perennial fascination of his landslide victory which precipitated in political disaster for him and his party in 2008 najib in spite of all the odds against him is working hard to change the face of malaysian politics and bring reforms to the party and country given a strong mandate i believe he can and will do it while najib is romancing the poor and the economically challenged our much loved opposition leader anwar ibrahim prefers the glitz and glittering lights of the city where tens of thousands of his fans can applaud him he is also fond of transversing the globe to meet other world leaders to prepare himself to be lord of the flies read william golding s book of the same name if you don t know what it is in a soon to be paradisiacal nation he must have a huge war chest but can he wins the elections posted by gram kong at 10 42 am email this blogthis share to twitter share to facebook share to pinterest labels anwar ibrahim dirty politics kampong politics najib tun razak pakatan rakyat pkr umno posted by gram kong at 5 08 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest thursday april 9 2015 pembangkang panas panas tahi ayam hantu laut i feel sorry for all the pakatan supporters who put so much faith in their quirky and unreliable elected representatives who promised them heaven and hell to change the face and fate of this country for the better if they were given a chance to govern what happened in parliament recently has shown that they prefer their beauty sleep over the promise of making the country a better place for everyone they failed their first test big time due to absence of many of their mps they have allowed the government to pass another repressive law to make thing worse they are now making excuses for their irresponsible act and inaptitude read it s a matter of principle wong chen if that was the case why the need to attend parliament at all might as well all of them stay at home it s so much easier taking defeatist attitude ain t it inilah pembangkang yang hanya panas panas tahi ayam posted by gram kong at 10 43 am 3 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels isa mps pakatan rakyat wednesday april 1 2015 gst shame on you hantu laut nepal where i am at the moment i have been here close to two months and was in turkey and greece a week ago fuel price here diesel 0 78 euro rm3 09 per litre petrol 0 98 euro rm3 89 per litre vat gst 13 nepal is one of the poorest nations on the globe yet people take everything in their stride malaysia gst come into effect on 1st april 2015 today after almost a year of deafening political crescendo against its implementation fuelled by the opposition s overzealousness in pushing on a hurried demolition of the beleaguered government malaysia per capita fuel consumption in 2013 was 265 litre pop 30 million see countries below for comparison thailand 74l 67 indonesia 86l 252 u k 220l 63 japan 329l 126 we consumed more sic fuel per person than industrial japan they complained about everything from the prices of fuel to the price of their underwear when we are one of the cheapest in the world try figure out how wasteful and useless malaysians are when come to saving our household debt was 87 of gdp in 2013 in the top 10 in the world they never stop complaining and whining about how expensive everything are but are awful wasters and gas guzzlers themselves want everything cheap and free spoilt by years of government subsidies just 6 gst they make so much noise like the world falling apart on them the irony the biggest squanderers are not the poor but the middle class and the wealthy http www thestar com my story and so are those who ceaselessly complaining the same group of people shame on you malaysians posted by gram kong at 9 55 pm 7 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels gst malaysia friday march 13 2015 to all malaysia s prophets of doom here s from the godfather imf of the global economy hantu laut i am not going to say much about 1mdb in relation to the overall performance of the economy but as long as it stays afloat the malaysian economy will not be seriously affected the fundamentals are still good pm najib should not be too happy the political situation will not change until there is some semblance of radical transformation of good governance below is a review of the 2014 malaysian economy by imf posted by gram kong at 10 55 pm 1 comment email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels 2015 economy imf malaysia older posts home subscribe to posts atom translate search this blog total pageviews kinabalu biking in malaysia twitter tweets by hantulautan current moon phase past and future moon phases 2002 2009 calculatorcat com subscribe to google reader posts atom posts all comments atom all comments past articles in asia sentinel will sabah change shirts in the malaysian elections badawi s state of euphoria badawi faces a precarious future historical exchange rates rm usd rm sterling pound rm euro get the oil price widget and many other great free widgets at widgetbox palm oil prices malaysian crude palm oil futures fcpo live gold price charts followers blogroll dr mahathir mohammad 1 malaysia the other malaysia life as i see it wiseup tok mommy zorro unmasked kadazan man in new york euphoria in misery can you see it 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