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gold and forex ew analysis skip to main skip to sidebar gold and forex ew analysis tuesday july 7 2015 eur usd triangle wave x there s a possibility for a triangle count for wave x as shown in the chart below should price break the wave a of the triangle low wave x will finish just a bit lower yet another possibility is that wave x is already finished and this price action is part of wave y 3 possibilities all have in common that price is near a bottom on a side note the chart has a different look because i have made it at tradingview com you can find me there under the name jdemunter geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 6 47 pm 4 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels eurusd saturday may 30 2015 eur usd here come the bulls in the last update i was looking for a decline price went a little higher first but declined anyway this decline was in 3 waves which look finished now i am now once again looking for a rally i would also like to point out the weekly candle is a hammer which lays on the 61 8 fibonacci retracement from the entire rally from the february low i labelled the rally as a wave w and the decline as a wave x because price action from the wave x low is corrective the rally will be wave y in a complex double 3 as for alternative counts wave x could extend further or become a triangle geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 2 32 pm 3 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels eurusd sunday may 3 2015 eur usd when will the uptrend resume the alternative count from the last update proved to be the correct count wave w what followed could be considered a triangle but wave a of this triangle wave x is very large compared to the rest of the waves inside this triangle i think the important thing to watch is the resistance around 1 10 which was broken last week if the count presented is correct expect a retest of this former resistance now support zone after which price will rise again and looking at the speed of the decline from 1 40 i suspect the same speed in the other direction watch for surprises to the upside and small corrective waves to the downside geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 6 28 pm 3 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels eurusd tuesday april 7 2015 eur usd triangle wave b i can see a possible triangle for wave b the alternative has wave a finishing one leg higher as a complex double three and will see wave b finish below 1 0712 geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 11 30 am 4 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels eurusd thursday march 19 2015 eur usd start of wave b after yesterdays big rally there s a good chance the euro has bottomed and started a longterm corrective rally a new trend does not always start in 5 waves otherwise corrective waves would always have to start with a double zigzag 5 3 5 in this case a flat 3 3 5 could be at the start of a big wave b geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 1 00 pm 1 comment email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels eurusd wednesday october 2 2013 xau usd wave b to retest resistance it s been a while since i posted but the last post was about gold against the us dollar and things turned out as expected perhaps just a little deeper end of wave a but still against valid fib targets 150 for wave c more common is 100 of a complex double three 3 3 3 and wave c was a flat wave 3 3 5 with wave c of c being 161 8 of wave a of c since the wave a low at 1180 price has gone up in what appears to be a corrective way which is what i am looking for since price is in a wave b the decline from 1433 is possibly allready finished because price is at a 61 8 fibonacci retracement and wave c is 76 4 of wave a but could very well go lower one more time to test the 76 4 fib retracement and the wave c is 100 of wave a level geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 12 05 pm 2 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels gold saturday april 13 2013 xau usd big support broken price followed the count very well the triangle had smaller waves d and e than i expected but nonetheless price went lower and how the big support level around 1550 which held for the last 2 years or so was broken causing a very big and quick sell off elliott wave analysis tells us that this could very well be a wave 3 inside a wave c alternatives are possible but the direction is clear 1400 remains the target after that price could slow down and rebound to retest the big support turned resistance around 1550 in the form of wave b yes this means i believe gold is in a long term bear market and could go as low as 1000 in 2014 2015 geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 4 31 pm 4 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels gold sunday march 24 2013 xau usd looking for 1400 price has come down nicely as expected but has found some support around 1 567 a fibonacci extention level this was probably the end of a first corrective wave down from the 1795 top the next wave could turn out to be a triangle wave b if this is correct the downtrend will remain strong for the next couple of weeks months untill price reaches 1400 geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 8 14 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels gold thursday january 31 2013 sp500 end of the rally the previous count i had for the sp500 is no longer valid so here is the new count there are still other counts possible but looking at the macd we can see a clear bearish divergence in this count wave c is 61 8 of wave a a classic flat pattern with wave c as an ending diagonal the alternative is that the max price level for wave 5 of the ending diagonal at 1554 05 gets broken turning the ending diagonal into a double three combination in other words wave 1 becomes wave w wave 3 and 5 becomes wave y geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 9 09 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels sp500 saturday january 26 2013 xau usd still in a downtrend in the previous xau usd or gold post price was at the high of the channel since then price has come down nicely but has done so in 3 waves which is corrective this means that price is most likely in a wave y the third leg in a double three combination the 3 waves down from the wave x top are finished and price had a small rally which is also corrective it is possible that this countertrend rally is allready finished since we are in a strong downtrend but it could transform into a bigger corrective pattern watch the alternative on the chart geplaatst door jeremy demunter op 6 41 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels gold older posts home subscribe to posts atom labels gold 23 sp500 4 audusd 14 euraud 2 eurchf 1 eurgbp 1 eurjpy 2 eurusd 228 gbpjpy 2 gbpusd 6 usdcad 3 usdjpy 3 followers blog archive 2015 5 july 1 eur usd triangle wave x may 2 april 1 march 1 2013 5 october 1 april 1 march 1 january 2 2012 40 december 2 november 3 october 1 september 3 august 3 july 4 june 2 may 2 april 2 march 3 february 6 january 9 2011 194 december 4 november 8 october 11 september 21 august 31 july 16 june 10 may 10 april 13 march 25 february 21 january 24 2010 195 december 37 november 21 october 19 september 16 august 22 july 16 june 20 may 9 april 13 march 19 february 3 2009 17 september 1 august 2 july 2 june 3 may 4 april 5 about me jeremy demunter blankenberge westvlaanderen belgium i was born on july 20th 1983 i have been trading since 2007 and using elliott wave analysis since 2008 i also use trendlines fibonaci candlesticks and various indicators to determine a future direction of price view my complete profile total pageviews my blog list elliott wave india taking technical analysis to next level nifty reversal above gann levels you cannot miss again 1 year ago 5waves ️ ️ 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