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description=15 posts published by Lars Syll during March 2026;

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the, of, economics, total, nonsense, recent, comments, lars, syll, ça, plane, pour, moi, school, manifesto, for, future, still, shining, after, all, these, years, perfect, day, personal, on, poverty, economic, model, platonism, who, owns, national, debt, rich, critical, realism, morphogenetic, approach, walk, life, what, wrong, with, neoliberal, work, absurd, fiction, habermas, im, unabgeschlossenen, dialog, mit, adorno, real, business, cycles, theory, how, to, make, progress, in, quantitative, analysis, foucault, empirical, insights, and, normative, confusions, nairu, posts, policy, reading, list, categories, archives,

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2013 (12), 2014 (12), 2015 (12), 2016 (12), 2017 (12), 2018 (12), 2019 (12), 2020 (12), 2021 (12), 2022 (12), 2023 (12), 2024 (12), 2025 (12), science (12), time (12), does (12), theoretical (12), empirical (12), which (12), then (12), also (12), often (12), possible (12), you (12), where (12), analytical (12), identity (12), lönebildning (11), och (11), arbetslöshet (11), like (11), economists (11), debt (11), lars (10), 2011 (10), since (10), normative (10), into (10), important (10), different (10), rational (10), able (10), point (10), theories (10), people (10), das (10), vernunft (10), adorno (10), some (10), parts (10), reality (10), life (10), lives (10), will (9), nothing (9), long (9), equilibrium (9), demand (9), foucault (9), was (9), through (9), even (9), rather (9), them (9), true (9), off (9), sie (9), anything (9), approach (9), being (8), den (8), unemployment (8), out (8), problems (8), way (8), power (8), want (8), für (8), would (8), necessary (8), know (8), logic 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pielen sollte während adorno glaubte ein element genealogischen denkens in seine vernunftkritik einbeziehen zu müssen war dies für habermas der eine schritt zu weit der das risiko einer wiederkehr irrationalen gedankenguts mit sich bringen würde wir werden habermas nicht mehr vom gegenteil überzeugen können sein tod bedeutet das ende des fiktiven dialogs den er zeitlebens mit adorno seinem einzigen lehrer geführt hat darin besteht die geistesgeschichtliche tragik seines ablebens für die kritische theorie man stünde so hat habermas am grab von adorno gesagt mit dessen tod philosophisch plötzlich vollkommen nackt dar wie viel mehr gründe haben wir das heute von uns zu behaupten die wir doch an den zielen einer kritischen theorie im frankfurter geist festhalten wollen axel honneth jürgen habermas war zweifellos der prominenteste vertreter der zweiten generation der frankfurter schule als nachfolger von max horkheimer und theodor w adorno doch das verhältnis ist weitaus komplizierter habermas hat das erbe des instituts sowohl angetreten als auch grundlegend neu ausgerichtet der zentrale streitpunkt liegt im projekt der kritischen theorie selbst die erste generation insbesondere adorno und horkheimer in ihrer dialektik der aufklärung entfaltete eine düstere nazu totalisierende kritik der vernunft sie argumentierten dass das versprechen der aufklärung freiheit zu bringen in eine neue form der herrschaft umgeschlagen sei kulminierend in der instrumentellen vernunft einer rationalität die ausschließlich auf effizienz und kontrolle zielt und die sie sowohl im faschismus als auch in der modernen kulturindustrie verwirklicht sahen dies ließ kaum raum für hoffnung oder emanzipation habermas zeigte entscheidend auf dass adorno und horkheimer ihre kritik so radikalisierten dass die vernunft gänzlich in instrumenteller vernunft aufzugehen scheint ohne dass ein restbestand kommunikativer oder emanzipatorischer vernunft erhalten bliebe der die aufklärung noch retten könnte indem sie alle möglichen gründe für rationale rechtfertigung negierten untergruben sie die epistemischen grundlagen auf die sich ihre eigene kritik stützt und verstrickten sich so in einen performativen widerspruch der in einer unauflösbaren aporie endet adornos und horkheimers reduktion der rationalität auf instrumentelle herrschaft lässt keinen raum für kommunikative emanzipatorische vernunft damit untergraben adorno und horkheimer die basis der kritik indem sie der aufklärung jede positive dimension absprechen habermas lehnte wie auch honneth betont den pessimismus adornos und horkheimers grundlegend ab deren kritik war so total dass sie ihre eigenen rationalen fundamente zerstörte wenn vernunft lediglich ein totalisierendes werkzeug der herrschaft ist auf welcher grundlage kann man sie dann kritisieren um dieses problem zu lösen suchte habermas das projekt der moderne zu retten indem er einen anderen vernunftbegriff rekonstruierte und den fokus von der bewusstseinsphilosophie auf die sprachphilosophie und kommunikation verlagerte für habermas ist vernunft nicht primär instrumentell sondern kommunikativ er entwickelte das konzept der idealen sprechsituation und der diskursethik und argumentierte dass normen durch freien und offenen dialog gerechtfertigt werden können die kluft zwischen habermas und der frankfurter schule zeigt sich auch in ihren ansichten zur demokratie im gegensatz zu horkheimer und adorno die die liberale demokratie im wesentlichen als einen mechanismus kapitalistischer herrschaft betrachteten argumentierte habermas dass deren rechtliche und verfahrensmäßige rahmenbedingungen nicht nur illusionär seien er vertrat die auffassung dass sie einen normativen gehalt enthielten der es ermöglicht dass der einfluss kommunikativer macht den verwaltungsstaat durchdringt habermas bewahrte das interesse der frankfurter schule an emanzipation und den dysfunktionalitäten der moderne brach jedoch entscheidend mit ihrem sozialtheoretischen reduktionismus und ihren pessimistischen schlussfolgerungen bezüglich der vernunft seine neukonzeption der vernunft in kommunikativer hinsicht und seine bestimmung demokratischer strukturen als orte emanzipatorischen potenzials veränderten die kritische theorie grundlegend habermas transformierte das projekt der kritischen theorie von einer rein negativen dialektik zu einem rekonstruktiven unternehmen er zeigte dass es heute vielleicht mehr denn je unerlässlich ist kritik nicht in ahistorischem reduktionismus und abstrakter negation in den normativen ansprüchen realer sozialer kämpfe zu verankern share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on bluesky opens in new window bluesky real business cycles theory total nonsense 23 mar 2026 at 16 17 posted in economics comments off on real business cycles theory total nonsense they try to explain business cycles solely as problems of information such as asymmetries and imperfections in the information agents have those assumptions are just as arbitrary as the institutional rigidities and inertia they find objectionable in other theories of business fluctuations i try to point out how incapable the new equilibrium business cycles models are of explaining the most obvious observed facts of cyclical fluctuations i don t think that models so far from realistic description should be taken seriously as a guide to policy i don t think that there is a way to write down any model which at one hand respects the possible diversity of agents in taste circumstances and so on and at the other hand also grounds behavior rigorously in utility maximization and which has any substantive content to it james tobin real business cycle theory rbc basically says that economic cycles are caused by technology induced changes in productivity employment goes up or down because people choose to work more when productivity is high and less when it s low this is nothing but pure nonsense and how thomas sargent and company were awarded the sveriges riksbank prize in economic sciences in memory of alfred nobel for this is beyond comprehension in my history of economic theories 4th ed 2007 p 405 i concluded that the problem is that it has turned out to be very difficult to empirically verify the theory s view that economic fluctuations are effects of rational actors optimal intertemporal choices empirical studies have not been able to corroborate the assumption of the sensitivity of labour supply to changes in intertemporal relative prices most studies rather point to expected changes in real wages having only relatively little influence on the supply of labour rigorous models that lack relevance are not to be taken seriously or as a famous british economist once had it share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on bluesky opens in new window bluesky how to make progress in quantitative analysis 22 mar 2026 at 22 04 posted in statistics econometrics comments off on how to make progress in quantitative analysis important questions often require a leap from the empirical evidence to the theoretical claim sociology stands out from other social sciences for its willingness to tackle hard questions even when they require such a leap however burying the estimand obscures those decisions and confuses the link between theory and evidence at best this creates an uncomfortable ambiguity about the author s intentions at worst it can mislead rather than a call for sociologists to narrow their ambitions our framework is a call for sociologists to be explicit about the goals that motivate their projects and transparent about the assumptions needed to believe them a paper that develops a compelling theoretical estimand but relies on less than perfect identification assumptions should be recognized for making an important contribution it sets the stage for future work to explore that theoretical estimand under different identification assumptions while it may be simpler obfuscation of the true goal does not make an argument more compelling if we want to make progress on big theoretical questions we should begin every quantitative analysis with a question that makes its purpose precise what is the estimand ian lundberg rebecca johnson brandon stewart as forcefully argued by the authors quantitative research often suffers from a fundamental oversight researchers devote excessive attention to how to estimate while neglecting to specify what is being estimated every serious study has to begin with defining the precise theoretical quantity of interest the estimand without a clearly stated estimand one cannot judge whether the chosen methods are fit for purpose leaving the study s conclusions utterly ambiguous share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on bluesky opens in new window bluesky foucault empirical insights and normative confusions 22 mar 2026 at 16 04 posted in politics society 1 comment foucault writes as though he were oblivious to the existence of the whole body of weberian social theory with its careful distinctions between such notions as authority force violence domination and legitimation phenomena that are capable of being distinguished through such concepts are simply lumped together under his catchall concept of power as a consequence the potential for a broad range of normative nuances is surrendered and the result is a certain normative one dimensionality i mentioned earlier that though foucault s genealogy of modern power was related to the study of modernization as rationalization there was one very important difference this difference was foucault s lack of any bipolar normative contrast comparable to say jürgen habermas s contrast between a partial and one sided instrumental rationality on the one hand and a fuller practical political rationality on the other hand the consequences of this lack are now more fully apparent because foucault has no basis for distinguishing for example forms of power that involve domination from those that do not he appears to endorse a one sided wholesale rejection of modernity as such furthermore he appears to do so without any conception of what is to replace it in fact foucault vacillates between two equally inadequate stances on the one hand he adopts a concept of power that permits him no condemnation of any objectionable features of modern societies but at the same time and on the other hand his rhetoric betrays the conviction that modern societies are utterly without redeeming features clearly what foucault needs and needs desperately are normative criteria for distinguishing acceptable from unacceptable forms of power as it stands now the unquestionably original and valuable dimensions of his work stand in danger of being misunderstood for lack of an adequate normative perspective nancy fraser nancy fraser and jürgen habermas unite on a sharp verdict foucault s power lacks normative foundations without normative foundations resistance becomes arbitrary lacking any principled justification he meticulously maps power s micro physics but offers no principled way to distinguish emancipation from mere domination without normative standards critique collapses into cynicism social freedom must be grounded in shared intersubjective accountable and justifiable norms foucault s refusal to say why resistance is preferable leaves his own project normatively adrift ultimately undermining its emancipatory claims share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on bluesky opens in new window bluesky nairu total nonsense 21 mar 2026 at 17 02 posted in economics 1 comment many politicians and economists subscribe to the nairu story and its policy implication that attempts to promote full employment are doomed to fail since governments and central banks cannot push unemployment below the critical nairu threshold without causing harmful runaway inflation although this may sound convincing it is totally wrong one of the main problems with nairu is that it is essentially a timeless long run equilibrium attractor to which actual unemployment allegedly must adjust but if that equilibrium is itself changing and in ways that depend on the process of getting to the equilibrium well then we cannot really be sure what that equilibrium will be without contextualising unemployment in real historical time and when we do we will see how seriously wrong we go if we omit demand from the analysis demand policy has long run effects and matters also for structural unemployment and governments and central banks cannot just look the other way and legitimise their passivity on unemployment by referring to nairu the existence of long run equilibrium is a very handy modelling assumption to use but that does not make it easily applicable to real world economies why because it is basically a timeless concept utterly incompatible with real historical events in the real world it is the second law of thermodynamics and historical not logical time that rules this importantly means that long run equilibrium is an awfully bad guide for macroeconomic policies in a world full of genuine uncertainty multiple equilibria asymmetric information and market failures the long run equilibrium is a non existent unicorn nairu does not hold water simply because it does not exist and to base economic policies on such a weak theoretical and empirical construct is nothing short of writing out a prescription for self inflicted economic havoc the concept of natural unemployment is complete nonsense the sooner we bury it the better share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on bluesky opens in new window bluesky next page recent posts arbetslöshetssiffran som styr den ekonomiska politiken 50 år efter studenten personal finding the late student stuff love s secret stein s paradox a lesson on precision and unbiasedness 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