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contain myself i can t believe someone as great as you exists every inch of their body is used to make the dog s caretaker feel important waging tail happy dog sounds rolling running around jumping up the owner s legs etc i love that there can be such different strategies to make humans do reproductive work for other organisms posted in uncategorized leave a comment incentivizing bias june 30 2015 by neq1 every profession has incentive to increase the perceived value of what it does as a result we receive large doses of propaganda from every profession as a kid every profession can seem pretty impressive if you picture every profession as a tower these towers are much taller in our minds than they are in reality but what happens when you get to the top of one of these towers i e when you become a certified plumber md teacher yoga instructor attorney 1 some people become very self important and have no interest in correcting people s overestimation of the tower height i don t know if they notice the inaccuracy or not but they become in their eyes as important as their prior perception 2 other people notice that it s not as impressive as they once thought and adjust their perspective accordingly 3 finally some people think the tower is still really tall and they must just be an imposter i e the other people must be as smart as i thought they were before i got into this profession but somehow i managed to sneak in i think that is where career imposter syndrome comes from here s the thing though in order for a profession to very effectively over inflate perceived value relative to actual value it kind of needs its members to buy into it i e it needs a lot of people like i describe in 1 i guess this happens naturally because most people enjoy being admired however i wonder what things can be done to deceive people about their own intelligence skills how do professional organizations accomplish this what are effective methods is putting up more hurdles and making the profession more exclusive enough can people tell the difference between there were a lot of hurdles but most people could jump them if they wanted to and this is extremely difficult and you need unusual skills posted in uncategorized leave a comment how good stories ruin our brains emily rosa case study may 24 2015 by neq1 until today i hadn t heard of the story of emily rosa quoting wikipedia at age nine rosa conceived and executed a scientific study of therapeutic touch which was published in the journal of the american medical association in 1998 she won the james randi skeptic of the year award in 1998 she received a great deal of media attention after publication of the article my first thoughts were that s really cool i love it that she did an experiment and got it published then i read the article i have never read an article more littered with errors almost every statement in it related to statistics is wrong the basic experiment was described in the abstract therapists were tested under blinded conditions to determine whether they could correctly identify which of their hands was closest to the investigator s hand placement of the investigator s hand was determined by flipping a coin in 1996 15 practitioners were tested at their homes or offices on different days for a period of several months in 1997 13 practitioners including 7 from the first series my emphasis were tested in a single day despite the repeated measures design some practitioners were tested 10 times others were tested 20 times the data appear to have been analyzed as if they were independent trials although it s hard to tell what they actually did because the description of the methods is so terrible they did a one sided test and failed to reject the null however the therapists did worse than would be expected with random guessing 44 success rate with p value of about 0 04 i can t give a precise p value because it s impossible to reconstruct their data it could be just chance that they performed worse than you d expect if they were just guessing but it does suggest that something might be going on was the experimenter tipping them off in the wrong direction in some way were they really sensing a difference in what they feel but attributed it to the wrong thing none of that was discussed it would take me too long to list all of the errors and potential sources of bias but trust me it s that bad i get that a child is one of the authors and it s cute and we could provide them some slack but the jama editors could have helped make the paper better most importantly i am extremely disappointed in my fellow skeptics they let a sensational story blind them it s a story that has all of the elements needed to go viral a 9 year old took on those pseudoscientists and won yay us so then the skeptic community turned off their skeptical brains and just endorsed the whole story shame posted in uncategorized 1 comment of mice and parking tickets april 11 2015 by neq1 think of your house as a cell with membranes walls roof windows and channels doors pipes windows you re the immune system of this cell in general this cell is quite appealing to other living things due to temperature regulation and sources of food most of what makes it through your house s membranes via channels will go undetected however sometimes you will detect unwanted invaders for example mice might go undetected for a while but eventually you might notice mice feces or that they ve eaten food you ve left out you could ignore the mice but to some degree that is only inviting more mice in addition most people don t want mice in their houses or bugs but we ll stick to the mice example another option is to try to kill the mice however mice are cute you will probably feel mean if you kill them instead you could catch them and let them go outside how sweet consider the letting them go scenario the mice will likely either die or find another home if they find another home someone else is stuck with deciding between killing them or catching them and letting them go you have basically passed the problem on to someone else the mice will likely still die either from cold starvation or a mouse trap however you get to feel like a good person every system has membranes channels and immune systems to patrol for intruders this appears to be a universe universal or literally universal attaching morality to it is a difficult questionable business i see this pattern a lot where people make something someone else s problem and look down on them while feeling good about themselves think about many of the jobs that seem very unpleasant as an example consider the people whose job it is to write parking tickets in large cities parking meters are intended to prevent people from parking in one spot for a long time because of this when you drive to a city you are far more likely to find an available parking spot someone needs to enforce the parking meter rules or people would just park there for long periods of time if you like this system then you should be thankful for the people who write parking tickets however i see a lot of anger directed at them of course it doesn t feel good to get a parking ticket but getting angry at them only makes their job worse i think most people want parking meter enforcement except when they get a ticket the people who have better job options don t have to write parking tickets to pay their bills they can reap the benefits of parking meter enforcement while acting morally superior to the people who do take on these jobs it s like making mice someone else s problem and then judging them if they kill them posted in behavior leave a comment authoritative communication linking claims with status march 21 2015 by neq1 i ve noticed that people tend to be more likely to believe someone when they make a claim using an authoritative communication style i ve also noticed that i am less likely to correct their objectively false claims what i mean by authoritative is that someone makes a claim with extreme confidence as displayed by their body language tone of voice and the statement itself this is in contrast to someone who makes a statement where they make it clear that they aren t certain it s correct and that they are open to discussion the authoritative person links the claim with their status you cannot challenge one without the other i find it stressful to challenge someone s status and am therefore less likely to respond i would really like to discuss the claim without challenging the status but that doesn t seem possible by not challenging them however i have done nothing to reduce the amount of unjustified authority in the world i wonder the degree to which this is why confident people who are less competent often get further ahead in the corporate world assuming that s true posted in uncategorized leave a comment argument by analogy in debates is an epistemic sin february 28 2015 by neq1 in beverly hills 90210 donna martin responded to critics of a plan to have condom machines in the high school it s like if you have a swimming pool in your backyard you can tell your children not to go in it you can even build a fence around it but if you know that they re going to find a way in to that water don t you think you ought to teach those kids how to swim and donna martin drops the mic how can one respond to that you don t want to take a chance that kids will drown do you the analogy is powerful because everyone has heard about kids who drowned in pools it is really disturbing to think about especially given our desire to protect children it hits the right emotions that prevent most people from being able to look critically at it for this reason it s both an effective strategy if well executed and harmful to those who hoped the debate would lead to better policy i feel like this strategy is so effective and so awful that schopenhauer should have featured it in his list of ways to win an argument however there are effective ways to respond to these cheap emotional analogies send an analogy back in return one strategy is to use the same analogy to make a different argument one that is unpopular that will show flaws in the argument for example when i was in high school there was an official school sanctioned smoking area on school grounds the principal argued that kids will smoke anyway but if they re not allowed to smoke outside they will smoke in the bathroom and damage school property you don t want school property damaged do you sure you can tell kids not to smoke but we know that they will anyway if you know they re going to swim shouldn t you give them a safe place to do it another strategy is to come up with an absurd example that follows the same line of logic in this case you could argue we can tell kids to not use pot but we know many of them will anyway and if they are buying it from their friends who knows what it will be laced with therefore there should be marijuana dispensers at school finally you could use exactly the same argument but change one thing to make it seem absurd you could in this example argue for condom machines in restrooms at businesses it s against company policy for people to have sex in their offices however we know office sex takes place anyway and stis are a real problem shouldn t we at least make it easier for people to be safe it s like if you have a swimming pool in your backyard you can tell your children not to go in it you can even build a fence around it but if you know that they re going to find a way in to that water don t you think you ought to teach those kids how to swim pick it apart another but probably less effective strategy is to point out specific hidden ish assumptions it s helpful if you can relate it to the analogy for example you could argue that a condom machine doesn t teach kids how to have safe sex so it s not like teaching kids to swim it s more like making a life preserver available at a location far away from the pool since most kids don t have sex at school you could also point out that the analogy is based on the assumption that making condoms available will decrease the number of instances of unprotected sex however condoms available in schools could feel like an endorsement that could affect the total number of sexual encounters in a given year either positively or negatively even if condom availability increased the rate of condom use if it also increased the number of sexual encounters then it s possible there could be more instances of unprotected sex in other words if it lead to an increase in the number of sexual encounters that s like building more pools posted in uncategorized leave a comment conversations february 24 2015 by neq1 communication is sometimes primarily tribal sometimes primarily social in other ways e g friendly small talk conversations about family and sometimes primarily about knowledge academic logistical etc if you respond to a primarily tribal sentence with a primarily knowledge point your sentence will be interpreted tribally because it has already been established that this is a tribal conversation if you start a knowledge conversation and somebody responds tribally their tribal language will likely be judged based on its accuracy for example if terrorists are described as cowards that s a tribal conversation if you respond by saying terrorists are terrible people but i don t necessarily think they re cowards it will be interpreted as you defending terrorists because it was a tribal conversation so everything you say will be interpreted as either with or against if your liberal friends excitedly tell you about the bold speech at the academy awards that s a tribal conversation if you respond by questioning whether it is really bold to express liberal ideas to a liberal audience in tribal language that means i don t support the cause now imagine that you were having a very non tribal discussion about the pros and cons of raising the minimum wage with the goal of really coming to a better understanding about the topic if someone responds with a joke about how democrats just want to make sure that no one is rich it would be interpreted as i m not smart enough to contribute anything meaningful to this conversation most people whether consciously or not know what type of conversation is taking place and interpret everything in that context in general however i think it s always easier to shift the conversation from knowledge social tribal than in the other direction jumping from tribal to knowledge is the worst offense posted in behavior language 2 comments older posts recent posts better than tree jumpers lack of li l sebastians all in favor of kids for cash everyone aye lawns incentivizing bias how good stories ruin our brains emily rosa case study of mice and parking tickets authoritative communication linking claims with status recent comments joseph ratliff on john gray and cultural evolution bela scheiber on how good stories ruin o...