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interest labels ministry of education no free lunch pandemic monday 16 august 2021 dosed driving home from palmerston north last night around 6pm a man was waiving a covid 19 vaccination centre banner on the median of the road outside of the onslow medical centre we rolled down the window they had end day extra doses and wanted to get them into arms so the cats had to wait an extra half hour for their dinners and we got dosed all went very smoothly on checking in i offered my nhi number but they didn t need it they pulled it from name and date of birth about five minutes later susan and i got jabbed they wouldn t jab the kids unfortunately while medsafe has approved the vaccine for those aged 12 there is currently no way in new zealand for a 13 year old to be vaccinated and the 11 year old certainly isn t allowed though i d have very happily given her my dose we were told to book in for the second dose along with a workaround for an issue they were having with the website for second dose bookings great that they re getting any spare doses into arms the banner on moorefield road was far more welcome than the set of antivax placards outside of otaki posted by eric crampton at 10 17 00 0 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels pandemic vaccination saturday 14 august 2021 covid costs and quarantine costs i don t like new zealand s film subsidy regime and generally view it to be a good thing when an international film company chooses someone else s subsidy regime instead but it looks like amazon s shifting lord of the rings production to the uk isn t just about the subsidy war however a crew member who asked to remain anonymous told stuff they understood new zealand s covid 19 border restrictions and the requirement that international cast and crew spend 14 days in managed isolation upon arrival was part of the problem the crew member told stuff that while there was a general feeling of surprise over the decision some saw the amazon project leaving new zealand as an opportunity because amazon was holding up some of auckland s prime studio space for a year before season two was even planned to go into production but those opportunities would only eventuate if international productions decided to film here and miq restrictions might turn them off the crew member said unless we change miq there s no other productions they said other production staff told stuff they were disappointed but not surprised to be among the last to hear that production was moving to the uk they said they heard about the move from media and received confirmation via an email on friday morning a year ago i wondered whether nz might be particularly attractive for international film production even without subsidy because the costs of set disruption with a covid case can be substantial shutting down filming for a while because someone s turned up infected is costly this crew member could just have been wrong on stuff reported here maybe the uk just offered a pile more money and nz really shouldn t be in those bidding wars anyway but whatever advantage nz has had in offering a covid free filming experience now seems outweighed by the combination of miq time costs and whatever the difference in subsidies might be miq costs will not have changed substantially over the period although expectations of ongoing miq costs may have i do not know how much easier it is for film types to access rooms at their preferred times of travel but i expect that it s easier for them than for the rest of us they should be expecting that miq restrictions would be easing considerably next year for fully vaccinated and tested cast and crew though there would always be risk of restrictions resuming but the risks and costs of covid cases among a vaccinated crew will be much different from the risks and costs of covid cases in crews before vaccination was available running a tight ship mandating 100 vaccination among crew and maintaining regular testing may be sufficiently close to the experience of working in a covid free place that the certainty of two weeks delay in getting cast and specialist crew in just isn t worth it all else equal is the combination of miq restrictions plus low risk of covid cases better or worse for international film productions than the combination of no miq restrictions plus higher risks of cases and outbreaks now that vaccination is becoming the norm we can t disentangle it from whatever s going on in relative subsidies i would love to know more about this assessment on amazon s side it would be impossible to get a straight answer because it would get into subsidy detail that s probably confidential but i still would love to know more about it you can find the uk s arrival restrictions along with everyone else s at the iata site it looks like vaccinated travelers to the uk from the us only need to complete two covid tests after arriving on days 2 and 8 and fill in forms with location details presumably so they can be found if someone on their flight turned up positive or if they fail to show for their required tests posted by eric crampton at 09 00 00 0 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels pandemic subsidy wednesday 11 august 2021 vaccination class if as the skegg report suggests a delta outbreak is not unlikely before the vaccine rollout completes border restrictions will start easing when the adult vaccination programme reaches completion but under an aggressive containment model that will push hard to knock out any outbreaks that we do get and the degree of community protection will be increased if eligibility for vaccination is extended to people between 12 and 16 years of age then why aren t we aggressively pushing vaccination for 12 16 year olds before the end of the school year medsafe approved it for that group back in june government s said nothing about where those kids sit in the rollout right now kids are in classrooms they will be until december classrooms are risky tightly packed enclosed spaces with poor ventilation if something gets in there it will spread and delta has been proving far worse for kids than prior variants have classrooms are also a massive opportunity if you send public health nurses out to the schools you can jab all of them right there where they are that s how we did the normal kid vaccinations when i was in elementary school in manitoba the public health nurse was beth kissick she d go from school to school and get all the grade whatever kids with whatever jab was needed for them the kids would line up outside the gym then go in to get jabbed each kid was instructed to yell as loud as possible she d tell everyone ahead of time it was a yelling contest to see who could yell the loudest after the jab then nobody who was actually scared would feel bad about screaming this stuff isn t rocket science getting everyone to make appointments to bring their kids to wherever vaccines are being administered is a hassle compared to sending nurses and jabs out to the schools where the kids are if we do this there s less risk to kids there s less risk of the virus being spread by kids if it gets out here and there s less chance that the risk posed by a big unvaccinated population would cause problems in any planned easing of border restrictions later if we don t do this there s every chance that when the adult vaccination programme completes we ll get the following from the prime minister maybe december maybe january we have now completed the adult vaccination programme vaccination rates have been high if you haven t gotten yours we still urge you to get yours and our plan has always been to ease border restrictions at the completion of the vaccination rollout but now that we have had time to think about it delta looks very scary for children and those aged 12 16 have not yet been included in our vaccination rollout if we opened now to vaccinated travelers there s a high chance that covid would get through into the schools we cannot take that chance we ask you all to wait just a little longer unfortunately it looks like the most effective way of doing that will be when school starts in february everyone is out on summer holiday now and we can t expect people to make vaccination appointments for their teenagers during that time the programme will begin mid february and should complete by mid march it won t take that much longer we are aware that international regulators approved the pfizer vaccine for those aged 5 to 11 years old back in late september 2021 we have today asked medsafe to begin its evaluation of the vaccine for that younger cohort we have decided that we cannot order any vaccines until medsafe approves them we blame pfizer for not submitting applications to medsafe to start this process earlier we will start thinking about whether to finalise orders for vaccines for that cohort after medsafe approves them and we will start thinking about how to roll out vaccines to younger children after they have been delivered surely there s a case for shifting some of the sequencing to get kids done before summer holidays hit make vaccination at school the default provide an opt out mechanism for those with a doctor s certificate if there s any kid for whom there d be a real medical risk in providing the shot but otherwise line em up outside the gym and jab em i cannot remember a single kid who opted out of in school vaccination in the 1980s we all just lined up and got the shots it was fine this will be fine too we just need to do it posted by eric crampton at 15 11 00 0 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels pandemic vaccination monday 9 august 2021 afternoon roundup the afternoon s closing of the browser tabs tons of port workers have been avoiding getting vaccinated in principle this should have been simple have public health nurses drive out to the sites and administer it but it s not been compulsory antivax stuff has been influential among those workers and they re probably and rightly pissed off with the regular nasal swab test requirements that could have been replaced by saliva testing over seven months ago which would feed into a strong not gonna do whatcha told me attitude more results are out on the effectiveness of the illinois protocol saliva tests the one that the government doesn t want to use and just for fun a plague ship berthed at taranaki where port worker vaccination rates are low let s hope we keep getting lucky despite tapdancing on landmines looks now like only 11 of 98 border workers involved in this one had any vaccine bernard hickey has a chat with me and oliver about oliver s column last week the prior link is to his column the podcast is here our insights newsletter column reprinted in the stuff papers called on the government to extend residence to everyone who has been here with us since last year s march april lockdowns as a way of rectifying some of the harm that our immigration system has imposed since then oliver matt and i chatted about it here as well we ll be getting proof of vaccination that can work as a vaccine passport but so far only intended for use in international travel if covid is ever here circulating i will be happy to pay a premium to exclusively attend establishments requiring proof of vaccination for entry damian grant has a superb column on corporate social responsibility union leader matt mccarten on the merits of not banning speech i agree with him the taxpayers union points to some odd looking public health grants this stuff wouldn t bug me so much if they were also putting appropriate funding into classical public health contagious disease vaccination promotion the usual kinds of stuff that you might expect in the context of a global pandemic but i could only see two grants in the whole set that seemed to have anything to do with the pandemic and a third on measles just under 900k to try to get an assessment tool gauging barriers to vaccination and 1 2m looking at mucosal delivery for vaccines not specifically to covid but in general both of those seem like really good ideas they re also putting 1 16m toward waning measles immunity good but they re also putting 1 2m toward research on alcohol warning labels it feels like infectious disease is still the poor cousin of whatever public health has more recently turned into donal summarizes the competition conference that was on in wellington this past weekend i missed it these things usually cost an arm and a leg presumably due to cartel activity by conference organisers in preventing other conferences from emerging plus i was in christchurch friday and saturday teaching canterbury s mba students about the emissions trading scheme the session on three waters regulation would have been excellent posted by eric crampton at 17 16 00 0 comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels antitrust bernard hickey censorship corporate social responsibility damien grant donal curtin immigration pandemic public health vaccination reader mailbag electricity edition an informed reader provided a heads up about problems in a recent daft dom post piece on power markets our reader writes what a great idea let s set up a government agency to pay existing suppliers of electricity what the agency believes to be their srmc plus depreciated historic construction costs and to sell power to all retailers at what it pays it s such a good idea why not apply this in other markets and have government agencies determine all prices what could go wrong max bradford s main role was to force the separation of retailing electricity and generation from owning lines he had nothing to do with designing the market in the 1990s the ministers during the time the market was designed were john luxton and doug kidd the market started operating on 1 october 1996 bradford became minister in mid december 1996 after the 1996 election easily checked on wikipedia why did the journalist not check what he was told on this probably by geoff bertram the core issue at present is that some smaller retailers think the retail price of electricity is too low relative to the wholesale price or the wholesale price is too high relative to the retail their obvious solution is to build some generation or operate a long term hedge policy but that requires taking on risk better to moan and get a political hedge the hhi of the generation market is around 2000 at least workably competitive and there are few instances of generators being net pivotal their supply needed to meet demand and they win by jacking up prices after you take into account all their forward sales the natural situation of meridian is to lose truck loads of money when a dry year forces up wholesale prices most of its generation is hydro and so its output capacity falls in dry years it also has a big commitment to tiwai and to its own retail customer ...