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imperfect information rajiv sethi substack imperfect information subscribe sign in home notes archive about a pincer grip the following remarks were prepared for delivery to the board of the teagle foundation a couple of weeks ago jun 3 rajiv sethi 16 5 latest top discussions a conversation with matt jackson back in february of this year i had the opportunity to speak with matt jackson for the human centered podcast this is the official podcast of the jun 1 rajiv sethi 6 3 information contagion at around 6 50am et on march 24 there was an unusually large spike in trading volume in oil and stock futures markets mar 31 rajiv sethi 26 5 7 trading on violence insider trading on prediction markets is turning into a dog bites man type of story mar 2 19 7 3 claude anthropic on the tariff case there s so much information now available at our fingertips and we face increasingly frequent and challenging decisions regarding the allocation of feb 20 rajiv sethi 13 3 2 the second coming the price of a contract that pays a dollar if jesus christ returns this year is currently trading at about four cents on polymarket up from about two feb 16 rajiv sethi 25 3 10 guessing games in my last post i discussed the case of a polymarket trader who placed a series of well timed bets on the ouster of nicolás maduro and made a profit of jan 18 rajiv sethi 26 6 the venezuela windfall major economic political and military decisions move asset prices and those with foreknowledge of such things can make significant trading profits jan 8 rajiv sethi 21 8 5 see all imperfect information on economics identity justice and discourse subscribe imperfect information subscribe about archive recommendations sitemap 2026 rajiv sethi privacy terms collection notice start your substack get the app substack is the home for great culture this site requires javascript to run correctly please turn on javascript or unblock scripts