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reality index what inflation actually costs the american family reality index reality index american dream index methodology cpi changes news monthly reports an independent media intelligence project grabien news what inflation actually costs the american family the consumer price index gets the cheap stuff right and the expensive stuff wrong the reality index measures the gap between what the government reports and what families actually pay 01 the reality index a weighted basket of the goods and services families actually buy using bls consumer expenditure weights with real retail prices instead of cpi s methodology the headline inflation rate reality index measures vs the one the government reports 5 22 100 of 1980 goods 522 today vs 391 per cpi see the headline rate 02 american dream index the total annual cost of a fixed 1980 middle class lifestyle four bedroom home three children two cars employer health coverage priced every year from 1980 to 2025 against median household income 145 dream cost as of median income 2025 see the index 03 dashboard every chart every methodology document every individual item organized by category the full project surface 28 live charts methodology documents browse everything 01 reality index where cpi matches reality and where it doesn t each item below shows what consumers actually paid at retail the bls cpi subindex for the same category and the official cpi all items rate across the longest available history housing 6 11 health care 15 60 transportation 4 72 food 3 03 energy 3 09 housing the largest gap see all housing where prices ran fastest above cpi rent of primary residence 1940 2025 1 15 cpi home prices fhfa 1975 2025 1 93 cpi health care education see all health care the second largest divergences from cpi family health insurance 1999 2025 2 41 cpi college tuition 1980 2022 3 42 cpi taxes the counterintuitive finding direct tax burden actually fell direct tax burden 1980 2024 1 8 pp food at home 13 retail items see all food where cpi mostly gets it right eggs 1980 2025 1 29 cpi ground beef 1984 2025 1 53 cpi potatoes 1986 2025 1 30 cpi white bread 1980 2025 cpi tomatoes 1980 2025 0 70 cpi flour 1980 2025 0 68 cpi coffee 1980 2025 0 66 cpi cheese 1984 2025 0 62 cpi pasta 1984 2025 0 58 cpi bananas 1980 2025 0 48 cpi breakfast cereal 1978 2025 cpi whole milk 1995 2025 0 78 cpi chicken breast 1980 2025 0 43 cpi energy see all energy utilities where global supply chains kept prices in check gasoline 1950 2023 below cpi electricity 1979 2025 0 83 cpi services single item benchmarks first class postage stamp 1971 2025 cpi 02 dashboard everything else methodology documents basket specifications the original headline composite prototype and supporting reference materials methodology how we built it how to critique it methodology one pager for the general reader methodology paper anticipates technical objections how cpi methodology has changed plain language timeline since 1983 faq anticipated objections 15 common questions answered sensitivity analysis 5 weighting scenarios gap range 29 61 what reality index doesn t measure reverse hedonics time costs hidden fees adi basket specification every quantity every source for journalists researchers citation workflows press contact about reality index origin story team and editorial premise composite views reality index headline earlier reference views reality index composite all 18 items cpi baseline bucket filters sectional buckets early share of budget view superseded reality index an independent media intelligence project from grabien news measuring the gap between what the government reports about inflation and what families actually pay at the register project about reality index american dream index basket specification sensitivity analysis cpi methodology timeline faq what we don t measure for journalists reality index by item methodology one pager full paper contact info grabien com grabien news realityindex co v1 prototype internal to do list
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