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Text of the page (random words):
right view from the left coast january 2016 right view from the left coast saturday january 30 2016 the des moines register poll has good news for the top 3 this really is it folks as the last the des moines register poll before monday s caucus just came out a while ago and while it does show donald j trump in the lead with 28 sen ted cruz is not far behind at 23 and trailing in third place is sen marco rubio with 15 which means that all should get some of the 30 delegates up for grabs in this state each of the top three candidates can point to some good news for their team for the donald his support is the most solid at 71 and 50 think that the donald will actually be feared by foreign leaders the most but the downside is that many feel the donald is not the most knowledgeable or will be respected by friends of the united states in regard to sen cruz he has a higher enthusiasm rating to be the gop nominee compared to the donald sen cruz is in positive territory at 56 while the donald is at 44 sen rubio leads that field at 58 se cruz also is sky high in favorability ratings at 65 compared to the donald s 50 sen cruz is also strong as a second choice at 17 while the donald only manages a seven percent second choice in a caucus where people can and do change their minds at the last minute the good news for sen rubio is that people would be very inclined to be with him if he ends up winning the gop nod with 58 of those voters and sen rubio has strong favorability rating at 70 the problem for sen rubio is that it has not translated to potential votes in the caucus this is usually the most reliable of the polls and does not change my prediction that sen ted cruz will win the caucus donald j trump will come in second and sen marco rubio third in less than 48 hours we will finally see the voting begin and the hand wringing fire up on all sides note i typed in the wrong numbers of the poll results i have corrected that error posted by righty64 at 7 39 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels 2016 iowa republican caucus des moines register poll donald trump marco rubio ted cruz iowa 2016 republican edition monday is the big day as the iowa voters finally will caucus and get the gop presidential nomination show on the road this is a helpful guide as to how the caucus actually works it is not a primary and is somewhat byzantine in how delegates are eventually chosen one thing that it is not is a winner take all caucus delegates are chosen based on the percentage of votes any given candidate receives thus more than likely the top three finishers will walk away with delegates and possibly power at a possibly brokered gop convention in cleveland later this year one bit of digression that is important to note is that most states in the past were winner take all primaries and or caucuses not this time a full 84 of the delegates will be chosen by a form of proportional representation only 16 will be from winner take all primaries and or caucuses thus it is possible that fewer candidates will simply drop out as in the past it is possible that it could be a three way race all the way to cleveland and no one candidate will have the 1 237 delegates needed for a first ballot victory it is possible no one will be close enough in the end so back to iowa according to the real clear politics polling average yes donald j trump still leads all candidates with 31 of the vote texas senator ted cruz is a strong second with 25 and florida senator marco rubio is a surging third place with about 14 the rest of those still standing are in the single digits but history shows and this year is no exception that as much as 40 of the people who will actually caucus can change their minds right up to caucus night what does that mean well it possibly hurts the donald more than anyone since he decided to skip the last debate this past thursday and host a hastily staged support for veteran themed event the potential caucus goers do not like that disrespect it was something that ronald reagan regretted when he skipped the last iowa debate in 1980 mr reagan lost and it lead to the eventual sacking of his campaign manager john sears that is something when people point that out to defend the donald and his decision to bail because he could not take fox news channel s megan kelly and her possible pointed questions that he might actually have to answer not having the donald on the debate stage helped all of the candidates but probably helped sen marco rubio and former florida governor jeb bush more than the others there is a school of thought that a serious caucus attender will have heard all of the candidates at least once in person during this death march of a campaign season they make up their mind and then get to the caucus site and hear all those from the different campaigns and some just change their mind right there on the spot while 40 seems to be a high number it is the way that a caucus works yeah it is a little messy but truly democracy in action what do i think will happen on monday night it will be a nail biter but i think that sen cruz will finish first then it is the battle for the scraps and that will be between the donald and sen rubio my guess is that sen rubio could easily surge to second place based on the past but more than likely the donald will finish second and sen rubio a very strong third the rest well it won t matter except for jeb and his millions that he can stay in hoping that there will be a dreaded brokered convention then it is on to new hampshire only a week later the 2016 presidential death march campaign is finally going to the caucus goers and the voters and not a moment too soon posted by righty64 at 1 17 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels 2016 iowa republican caucus donald trump marco rubio ted cruz ruminations i looked at the last time that i posted and realized wow it has been a while a lot has happened since december 22 2015 too much not to use this post as a spray at all fields so to speak the 2016 presidential campaign is in full swing and finally iowa voters will caucus on monday we are at a point of the campaign in which we will see in the donald j trump campaign is going to steamroll it s way to the gop nomination on the democrat side we will see if voters feel the bern and whether once again as in 2008 they go far left and nominate an open socialist the super bowl is set and next sunday the carolina panthers and the denver broncos will play for all the nfl marbles i m pulling for a bronco win for probably the first time because i do like peyton manning and he has not ruined any chance for my beloved cleveland browns making the super bowl the same way one horse faced looking guy john elway did twice to my browns in the 1980s the reason that mr manning has not done damage is because to be blunt my browns have sucked pure plain and simple on february 28 will be the academy awards truly a waste of time and space yet millions will watch and salivate over people that could not get a serious job oh and there is a manufactured controversy about the fact no black was nominated for best actor and or actress and the movie straight outta compton was not nominated for best picture why there is the hash tag oscarssowhite and i say so what there have been plenty of years in which blacks have been nominated and won last i checked and correct me if i am wrong but the movie 12 years a slave won the academy award for best picture in 2013 it s all arbitrary anyhow and some years are just better than others for blacks and well everyone else some black actors and actresses are boycotting the academy awards this year and i say welcome to my party i too am a boycotter but that is every year not just over some made up controversy i just loathe the whole awards show concept california is still in the toilet and moving to the left at a rapid pace there is still corruption at all levels of government and always the wonder of why maybe essential one party rule is part of it just sayin there is so much to write and so little time but one vow is that i will make an effort to get something in at least once a day from here on in ruminations are not all that easy to do posted by righty64 at 12 37 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest newer posts older posts home subscribe to posts atom subscribe to posts atom posts all comments atom all comments for god so loved the world that he gave his only begotten son that whosoever believeth in him should not perish but have everlasting life john 3 16 kjv blog monitor networked blogs follow this blog ibegin california politics the flash report facebook about me righty64 pasadena california united states i am interested in all current events from the conservative perspective unlike some that you will read i prefer to enlighten not enrage i hope to educate as well as 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