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and (19), may (16), weather (12), probabilities (12), the (11), severe (11), area (11), tornado (10), published (10), pdf (10), center (9), climatology (9), prediction (8), 2026 (7), spc (7), storm (7), page (6), national (6), wind (6), wea (6), forecasting (6), jirak (6), about (5), modified (5), noaa (5), hail (5), derechos (5), wildfire (5), forecast (5), fire (5), utc (4), for (4), environmental (4), archive (4), more (4), 2023 (4), convective (4), contiguous (4), squitieri (4), wade (4), bull (4), amer (4), meteor (4), soc (4), overview (4), part (4), 2025 (4), acres (4), thunderstorm (4), watch (4), products (4), ncep (4), nws (4), news (4), last (3), latest (3), research (3), thompson (3), moving (3), supercell (3), united (3), states (3), 2024 (3), radar (3), definition (3), browser (3), mesoanalysis (3), sref (3), significant (3), outlooks (3), watches (3), critical (3), enhanced (3), hazards (3), reports (3), outlook (3), central (3), home (3), information (2), feedback (2), centers (2), service (2), right (2), tornadoes (2), 2003 (2), historical (2), science (2), conditions (2), history (2), forecasts (2), mp4 (2), supplemental (2), loop (2), enhancements (2), with (2), series (2), derecho (2), across (2), harrison (2), mcgovern (2), karstens (2), bostrom (2), marsh (2), how (2), operational (2), meteorology (2), operations (2), publications (2), data (2), here (2), summary (2), upper (2), air (2), maps (2), environment (2), observed (2), href (2), tools (2), safety (2), what (2), risk (2), damaging (2), mds (2), all (2), marginal (2), sun (2), mon (2), large (2), excess (2), possible (2), texas (2), are (2), into (2), details (2), see (2), sounding (2), map (2), product (2), career, opportunities, freedom, act, foia, privacy, policy, glossary, help, quality, disclaimer, 120, david, boren, blvd, norman, 73072, gov, posts, nwsspc, 124, case, find, articles, publication, 4539k, comparison, quasi, linear, system, 6899k, identification, societal, impacts, 10595k, parent, structure, numerical, edwards, 15153k, 27170k, 33950k, colorblind, standard, tornadogenesis, during, interaction, left, rear, flank, outflow, moore, 6768k, investigating, near, surface, fields, downbursts, using, high, resolution, idealized, simulations, 5585k, construction, quantitative, criteria, identifying, future, over, 3250k, updated, spatial, 16916k, assessment, domain, experts, evaluate, machine, learning, 6601k, leveraging, coproduction, bridge, lyons, smith, weinman, dean, 19600, mode, classification, distribution, events, from, 5000, 1000, 300, 100, 1992, 2020, soundings, tornadostrong, partnership, flash, tips, made, tormenta, factor, riesgo, did, you, know, sig, any, 1994, sat, fri, thu, wed, tue, hazard, conv, some, inches, diameter, gusts, potentially, mph, will, sunday, afternoon, evening, parts, north, sporadic, occurrences, farther, east, lower, mississippi, valley, portions, florida, peninsula, new, mexico, far, west, additional, day, thunderstorms, today, tonight, wpc, space, swpc, ocean, opc, hurricane, nhc, nco, modeling, emc, climate, cpc, aviation, awc, public, tours, staff, listing, communications, video, lecture, fujita, scale, wcm, faq, outreach, nssl, hazardous, testbed, violent, outbreaks, event, compmap, plumes, hrrr, analysis, radio, warning, yearly, summaries, report, trends, prototype, info, email, alerts, rss, feeds, gis, file, formats, experimental, mesoscale, discussions, classic, site, organization, mobile, javascript, must, enabled, current, time, gmt, zulu,

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noaa nws storm prediction center current time in utc gmt zulu javascript must be enabled feedback mobile about us organization site map home home page classic home page news nws news ncep news spc news spc products all forecasts severe thunderstorm tornado watches mesoscale discussions convective outlooks thunderstorm outlook fire weather outlooks product overview experimental products products in gis file formats rss feeds email alerts weather info storm reports storm reports prototype storm report trends hazards climatology yearly summaries product archive watch warning map national radar noaa weather radio forecast tools mesoanalysis observed sounding analysis sounding climatology hazards climatology upper air maps href hrrr browser sref sref plumes compmap research publications severe thunderstorm event archive tornado environment browser violent tornado outbreaks spc nssl hazardous weather testbed outreach about faq wcm page about tornadoes about derechos severe weather safety enhanced fujita scale video lecture series history noaa communications staff listing public tours nws ncep national weather service nws national centers for environmental prediction ncep aviation weather center awc climate prediction center cpc environmental modeling center emc ncep central operations nco national hurricane center nhc ocean prediction center opc space weather prediction center swpc weather prediction center wpc an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms is forecast today and or tonight large hail some in excess of 2 inches in diameter and severe wind gusts potentially in excess of 75 mph will be possible sunday afternoon evening across parts of central and north texas more sporadic occurrences of damaging wind and large hail are possible farther east into the lower mississippi valley portions of the florida peninsula and central new mexico into far west texas for additional details see the latest day 1 convective outlook critical fire weather conditions are forecast on mon 05 11 see details overview conv outlook watches mds storm reports mesoanalysis fire hazards hazard sun 05 10 mon 05 11 tue 05 12 wed 05 13 thu 05 14 fri 05 15 sat 05 16 sun 05 17 severe enhanced marginal marginal no area no area no area no area no area fire no critical critical no area no area no area no area no area no area all products watches mds outlooks fire severe weather climatology 1994 2024 any severe probabilities 10 may sig severe probabilities 10 may tornado probabilities 10 may damaging wind probabilities 10 may severe hail probabilities 10 may significant tornado probabilities 10 may significant wind probabilities 10 may significant hail probabilities 10 may more climatology data here 2026 tornado watch summary page last modified may 09 2026 12 26 utc did you know what s my risk la tormenta factor de riesgo what s a watch how s a forecast made tornado safety tips tornadostrong a partnership with flash forecast tools href sref mesoanalysis observed soundings tornado environment browser upper air maps 2026 severe thunderstorm watch summary page last modified may 09 2026 12 26 utc wildfire climatology 1992 2020 100 acres wildfire probabilities 10 may 300 acres wildfire probabilities 10 may 1000 acres wildfire probabilities 10 may 5000 acres wildfire probabilities 10 may more climatology data here latest spc publications lyons a d r l thompson b t smith h g weinman and a r dean 2026 convective mode classification and distribution of contiguous u s tornado events from 2003 to 2023 published in wea forecasting 19600 pdf harrison d r a mcgovern c d karstens a bostrom i l jirak and p t marsh 2025 leveraging coproduction to bridge research and operations in operational meteorology published in wea forecasting 6601k pdf harrison d r a mcgovern c d karstens a bostrom i l jirak and p t marsh 2025 an assessment of how domain experts evaluate machine learning in operational meteorology published in wea forecasting 16916k pdf squitieri b j a r wade and i l jirak 2025 on a modified definition of a derecho part ii an updated spatial climatology of derechos across the contiguous united states published in bull amer meteor soc 3250k pdf squitieri b j a r wade and i l jirak 2025 on a modified definition of a derecho part i construction of the definition and quantitative criteria for identifying future derechos over the contiguous united states published in bull amer meteor soc 5585k pdf moore a 2024 investigating the near surface wind fields of downbursts using a series of high resolution idealized simulations published in wea forecasting 6768k pdf edwards r and r l thompson 2024 right moving supercell tornadogenesis during interaction with a left moving supercell s rear flank outflow published in wea forecasting 15153k pdf supplemental radar loop standard enhancements 27170k mp4 supplemental radar loop colorblind enhancements 33950k mp4 squitieri b j a r wade and i l jirak 2023 a historical overview on the science of derechos part ii parent storm structure environmental conditions and history of numerical forecasts published in bull amer meteor soc 10595k pdf squitieri b j a r wade and i l jirak 2023 a historical overview on the science of derechos part i identification climatology and societal impacts published in bull amer meteor soc 6899k pdf thompson r l 2023 a comparison of right moving supercell and quasi linear convective system tornadoes in the contiguous united states 2003 21 published in wea forecasting 4539k pdf find more research articles at the spc publication archive latest spc case archive may 08 2026 tornado 0 wind 20 hail 124 x posts by nwsspc noaa national weather service national centers for environmental prediction storm prediction center 120 david l boren blvd norman ok 73072 u s a spc feedback noaa gov page last modified may 10 2026 07 05 utc disclaimer information quality help glossary privacy policy freedom of information act foia about us career opportunities