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he rage these days yet high end analytics are useless without data at the same time with data even simple analytics can be extremely useful and provide important insights mapping to the drama comparison the data is the script the analytics is the acting and production is everything else visualization communication etc analytics can play a critical role in bringing meaning from the data visualization and communication the latter is my part of the business are critical for making the findings interpretable to decision makers and meaningful to the public the importance of both of these elements should not be underplayed but without data there is nothing i ve been to meetings where potential users get very excited over a flashy visualization not recognizing the dearth of substance beneath it to people outside of this world it should be understood that in many cases the data on a particular issue or problem is not collected or is not collected consistently there are a range of social and policy issues around this we are seeing it now in the pandemic response where data on covid 19 cases is collected inconsistently there are divergences in timing delivery data format and a plethora of issues that complicate obtaining an accurate read on the national situation caveat this is not to fuel conspiracy theories that covid 19 isn t a big deal it is the data we have is imperfect but undeniable millions have been infected and over 170 000 people have died most needlessly the point is more accurate data would enable more effective policy response identifying points of origin trajectory of spread and more accurate projections of future outbreaks in many cases what is called algorithmic bias is really a matter of data bias the data was collected improperly or annotated and curated improperly this is a vast issue the way data is collected reflects institutional priorities and the way in which instances are categorized as types shapes what kinds of analytics can be run bad analytics can generate lousy findings from good data just as a lousy actor can ruin a great scene glossy visualizations and smooth patter can sell weak conclusions who hasn t gone to a lousy movie because of a great looking trailer but if you don t start with good data that as much as possible reflects reality and takes into account the multiple facets of reality you are unlikely to end up with quality results this is hard to do just like writing is hard i complain about it constantly but good writing and good data both share a quality of the real and can unlock deep truths posted by aaron mannes at 12 11 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest tuesday august 11 2020 advice for joe biden s 2020 running mate in usa today usa today opinion the vice presidency is a good gig here s some advice for joe biden s 2020 running mate aaron mannes opinion contributor published 5 02 a m et aug 2 2020 https www usatoday com story opinion 2020 08 02 biden vice president running mate history advice column 5547954002 you didn t become vice president just for future opportunities you want to make a difference now there s good news and bad news congratulations on being selected as joe biden s running mate if the polls hold you ll be the first female vice president of the united states don t take too much credit for the win or blame if you lose research shows that the vice presidential candidate doesn t make much difference the vice presidency is a good gig it comes with a plane a nice house and lots of high profile appearances it provides a good chance of becoming president of the 48 vice presidents 14 have become president 15 if biden is elected again if biden is elected then in the past 14 presidential elections three vice presidents have been elected president nixon bush and biden and two others came very close humphrey and gore but you didn t become vice president just for future opportunities you want to make a difference now there s good news and bad news good news first good news for the potential next vp in 1976 democratic presidential nominee jimmy carter revolutionized the vice presidency historically the office was mostly the butt of jokes what historian arthur schlesinger jr called a constitutional appendix carter viewed this as waste the former georgia governor chose walter mondale a respected democratic senator from minnesota for their personal and political compatibility this was an innovation in its own right previous presidential nominees hadn t given it much thought carter ensured his vice president would have access to the president and the white house policy process this included a weekly private lunch with the president and entrée for the vice president and his staff to white house meetings and paper flow at every level most important was giving mondale a west wing office in the white house things happen on the fly but unlike his predecessors mondale could look in on the national security adviser or chief of staff whose offices are right next door or see the president in the oval office down the hall these vice presidential perquisites have continued and expanded mondale s chief of staff was also made a member of the white house staff giving him access to the white house by 2016 the final full year of biden s vice presidency under president barack obama eight people from his office were also on the white house staff biden as a two term vice president chose you for the ticket because you are simpatico biden won t cut you out of the process like president richard nixon did to vice president spiro agnew who he despised you will see the president often and know what s going on in the white house there s stuff you should do to keep things this way presidents hate leaks you can give the president unvarnished advice even disagree with him but do it privately stories of president vice president disagreements will be bad for both of you don t let your staff leak either dan quayle didn t have a great hand to play as vice president in president george h w bush s administration but his staffers leaking white house dirt didn t help and when the president makes a decision like it or not publicly support it bad news for biden s vp candidate now the bad news biden knows how to president the expansion of the vice president s role has coincided with a string of outsider presidents who came to office with little or no experience in d c governors and also obama who had only been in the senate for four years they turned to their vice presidents when they faced new issues such as national security and unfamiliar washington institutions like congress biden was vice president for eight years and a senator from delaware for 36 years what can you tell him about congress or world affairs that he won t already know further biden has plenty of experienced advisers outsider presidents have turned to the experienced staffers of their insider vice presidents when incoming president ronald reagan saw his team needed more washington experience he turned to james baker campaign manager and close friend of his gop primary rival turned vice president george h w bush as white house chief of staff the uber effective baker played a critical role in making the reagan revolution a reality serving an insider president puts you in a similar position to dan quayle who found the job mostly fundraising and funerals all is not hopeless one presidential resource is finite time find areas that are important but the president lacks the time to address quayle did useful diplomacy in latin america and asia where the president s national security team focused on europe and the middle east didn t have time alternately the president may have an issue in which he is heavily invested and assigns you to reinforce this commitment president bill clinton was deeply interested in russia and assigned vice president al gore to oversee a bilateral commission to strengthen those ties unattached to any bureaucracy and with a unique convening power vice presidents can be a force multiplier and bring focus to key issues george h w bush oversaw regulatory reform and a counter terror task force besides several bilateral commissions gore ran the reinventing government initiative biden managed the stimulus spending for obama biden will probably give you a few such assignments biden is famously friendly you ll get along great with him but that doesn t mean that your efforts mesh politically with the white house which is a big bureaucracy in its own right having some of your staffers in senior white house positions would be great but unlikely encourage your staff to get close to their white house counterparts and consider bringing experienced biden staffers onto your team your job is to help the president any way that you can everything you know about the president what he s worried about what he needs what he doesn t know that he should can help you help him congratulations and good luck we all are wishing you every success we re all counting on you aaron mannes is a lecturer at the university of maryland school of public policy he wrote his dissertation on vice presidential influence follow him on twitter awmannes posted by aaron mannes at 3 04 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest sunday july 5 2020 independence day the morning after we hold these truths to be self evident that all men are created equal that they are endowed by their creator with certain unalienable rights that among these are life liberty and the pursuit of happiness that to secure these rights governments are instituted among men deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed that whenever any form of government becomes destructive of these ends it is the right of the people to alter or to abolish it and to institute new government laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form as to them shall seem most likely to effect their safety and happiness yesterday we celebrated independence day today we woke up to a complicated messy reality the ideals of the united states of america so eloquently expressed in the declaration of independence are inspiring but we see almost constantly how we fail to live up to them the national failure of covid 19 has exposed so many ways in which the united states is failing to secure the inalienable rights of the american people from poor public health infrastructure to the weakened social safety net the rest of the economically developed world has managed the pandemic at high cost to be sure and is ready to go back to business the united states is wallowing in an ongoing and at least to some extent avoidable crisis there are other failures beyond those linked to covid 19 the criminal justice system institutional racism and sexism and the way in which the financial industry preys upon those who have the least are just a few of the issues highlighted in recent years we are in an era of what samuel huntington called creedal passion in which the american people seek to bring american reality into alignment with our core values our creed these are periods of enormous ferment and tumult like the sixties or the progressive era in such times the nation s history comes under scrutiny we have never lived up to our values building the united states involved massive crimes against the native americans the slavery of african americans and other terrible depredations reputed golden ages such as the fifties were built on systematic repression of african americans women were constrained in their choices while corporations were able to harm the environment and consumers with limited oversight but this bleak view is not completely fair our values are not just a sham we do in fact strive for them it took too long but slavery was destroyed it took too long but women received the right vote the united states has accepted immigrants from around the world and allowed them to enjoy life liberty and the pursuit of happiness in a way they could not in their nation of origin i have a personal stake in this my people were at the bottom rung of the latter across europe for over a millennium here in the united states we have prospered been accepted and have been safe in a way unprecedented in our long history i love this country for what it has meant for me my family and so very many i want all americans and ultimately all people to enjoy their inalienable rights there is much to be done posted by aaron mannes at 8 42 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest sunday august 11 2019 a note of hope on anti semitism in america today is tisha b av the saddest day in the jewish year it is the day we remember the destruction of the ancient temples it is a day of mourning fasting and contemplation as it ends however it turns to a message of hope that what was lost will be rebuilt and renewed as it is nearly over let me offer a message of hope i too am horrified by the seemingly endless cycle of massacres and sadly american jews have been an all too frequent target the massacre at the pittsburgh synagogue was the deadliest attack on jews in american history and has since been followed by shootings at synagogues in san diego and miami where s the hope at synagogue after one of these incidents the rabbi asked for thoughts when the room was silent i offered this none of us have any illusions that anti semites are out there and want our blood but they are a fringe unlike so many times in our history there are no mobs gathering the streets calling for our blood and the government is not complicit it is absolutely opposed when anti semitic incidents occur does anyone doubt that the police are committed to protecting us when an incident occurred here and the fbi became involved was there any question that they were not investigating diligently when incidents occur do our neighbors say like they may have said in germany or poland where our ancestors fled well jews what can you expect the answer is no i am sad that we have felt the need to hire a policeman to sit outside our synagogue on shabbat but i do not doubt that he will do his uttermost to protect us if something did happen our neighbors of every faith or none would be here to support us our political leaders would condemn it vehemently i am horrified by the violence like all of you but i am still heartened that in this country we are not alone that is my message of hope for those observing i hope you had a meaningful fast posted by aaron mannes at 8 59 pm no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest wednesday october 24 2018 political violence in an age of creedal passion my regular readers and pretty much everyone i talk to knows that i am trying to write about some deep cycles in u s history that are shaping our current political environment i want it to be a book and am writing academic papers for various conferenc...