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us fangraphs membership fangraphs merchandise gift a membership donate to fangraphs fantasy fantasy tools fantasy player rater auction calculator ottoneu fantasy baseball signup faq blog posts blogs blog roll fangraphs podcasts effectively wild fangraphs prospects rotographs podcasts the sleeper and the bust field of streams beat the shift community research archived blogs the hardball times notgraphs techgraphs fangraphs archived tht tht live dispatch fantasy shysterball archived podcasts fangraphs audio chin music ump the untitled mcdongenhagen project stealing home doing it for bartolo ottographs projections 2026 pre season projections zips zips dc steamer depth charts atc the bat the bat x oopsy 2026 600 pa 200 ip projections steamer600 steamer600 update oopsypeak oopsy peak update 2026 updated in season projections zips ros zips update zips dc ros steamer ros steamer update depth charts ros atc dc ros the bat ros the bat x ros oopsy dc ros 3 year projections zips 2027 zips 2028 on pace leaders every game played games played cy young award projections auction calculator scores today live scoreboard probable pitchers live daily leaderboards season schedule results win probability box scores 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 al games nl games standings 2026 projected standings 2026 playoff odds playoff odds graphs 2026 pythagorean baseruns records 2025 zips postseason game by game odds al east al central al west nl east nl central nl west leaders major league leaders batting 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 career pitching 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 career fielding 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 career major league leaders rank batting ranking grid compare players compare stats pitching ranking grid compare players compare stats splits leaderboards pitch type splits leaderboards season stat grid spring training leaders batting 2026 2025 2024 2023 pitching 2026 2025 2024 2023 college leaders batting pitching minor league leaders aaa international league pacific coast league aa eastern league southern league texas league a midwest league south atlantic league northwest league a california league carolina league florida state league cpx arizona florida r dominican summer league kbo leaders 2026 batting 2026 pitching npb leaders 2026 batting 2026 pitching major league postseason leaders batting 2025 ws lcs lds wcs career pitching 2025 ws lcs lds wcs career war tools combined war leaderboards war graphs wpa tools wpa inquirer rookie leaders batters 2026 pitchers 2026 splits leaders batters vs l vs r home away pitchers vs l vs r home away teams team batting stats 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 team pitching stats 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 team war totals ros al east blue jays dc orioles dc rays dc red sox dc yankees dc al central guardians dc royals dc tigers dc twins dc white sox dc al west angels dc astros dc athletics dc mariners dc rangers dc nl east braves dc marlins dc mets dc nationals dc phillies dc nl central brewers dc cardinals dc cubs dc pirates dc reds dc nl west d backs dc dodgers dc giants dc padres dc rockies dc positional depth charts batters c 1b 2b ss 3b lf cf rf dh pitchers sp rp rosterresource current depth charts al east blue jays orioles rays red sox yankees al central guardians royals tigers twins white sox al west angels astros athletics mariners rangers nl east braves marlins mets nationals phillies nl central brewers cardinals cubs pirates reds nl west d backs dodgers giants padres rockies in season tools 2026 closer depth chart 2026 injury report 2026 payroll pages 2026 transaction tracker 2026 schedule grid 2026 probables grid 2026 lineup tracker 2026 minor league power rankings offseason tools 2026 free agent tracker 2026 offseason tracker 2026 opening day tracker prospects prospects home the board the board scouting stats how to use the board a tutorial farm system rankings top prospects list 2026 2025 al bal chw ath bos cle hou nyy det laa tbr kcr sea tor min tex nl atl chc ari mia cin col nym mil lad phi pit sdp wsn stl sfg 2026 preseason top 100 2026 pre trade deadline top 100 update lab baseball sim heat maps pivot hot streak paired pitches pitchingbot visualizer power rankings board squared up explorer more glossary library guts constants park factors support fangraphs membership merchandise prospects the board scores standings fantasy tools blogs glossary library batting stats woba wrc iso k bb more pitching stats fip xfip babip k 9 bb 9 more defensive stats uzr primer drs fsr tz tzl more more war ubr primer wpa li clutch guts seasonal constants park factors park factors by handedness sign in reference we write about a lot of baseball subjects at tht player and game trends commentary baseball history we ve even been known to rant about steroids once in a while but we are perhaps best known for our baseball research the following is an incomplete list of our best known work articles that broke new ground or can be used as references for others it is presented here for your convenience and don t worry this little website of ours won t go away anytime soon nor will we become a subscription only site these free articles are here to stay for your long term enjoyment it s a long list so we ve broken it into sections click on a link to go directly to one the basic concepts of sabermetrics fantasy baseball batters vs pitchers team offense evaluating batters baserunning lineups pitching bullpen pitching mechanics pitchf x fielding batted ball analysis pythagoras and run distribution win probability added postseason umpires minor leagues college ball ballparks baseball management the business of baseball projecting players ranking players win shares baseball history the hall of fame other cool stuff the basic concepts of sabermetrics link the hierarchy of sabermetric analysis sal baxamusa apr 2008 adjusting statistics craig burley mar 2004 a treatise on true talent david gassko jul 2009 the one about sample size colin wyers jun 2009 tony larussa and the search for significance dan fox nov 2005 scouts and stats from the old moneyball days dan fox jul 2005 regression to the mean dave studeman jan 2007 what s past is prologue more about regression colin wyers jul 2009 why does pujols regress to the mean colin wyers aug 2009 does reliever use lead to poor subsequent performance another example of regression mitchel lichtman dec 2007 databases for sabermetricians colin wyers nov 2009 fantasy baseball link are saves predictable derek carty feb 2008 asymmetric dominance and trade proposals marco fujimoto mar 2009 category influence michael lerra dec 2008 confessions of a market skeptic derek ambrosino may 2011 the endowment effect and trade proposals marco fujimoto mar 2009 follow the leader strategies for the fantasy gm patrick dicaprio jul 2007 fortify the strong or build up the weak michael lerra oct 2008 i don t need to know my role i know my rights derek ambrosino aug 2010 introducing xw xbabip xlob xhr fb and more derek carty jan 2007 the kemp speed theory do bigger players slow down earlier derek carty oct 2009 valuing players with your e y e s jeffrey gross feb 2011 what makes a successful fantasy gm patrick dicaprio jun 2007 why head to head derek ambrosino jan 2011 xwhip and efip jeffrey gross may2011 batters vs pitchers link when a pitcher meets a hitter david gassko jun 2010 and here s the pitch dan fox sep 2005 the importance of strike one craig burley oct 2004 the importance of strike one part two craig burley oct 2004 three and oh john walsh feb 2006 handling 3 0 situations sal baxamusa jul 2007 long short plate appearances sal baxamusa sep 2007 the long and short of plate appearances it s up to the hitter pitch sequencing sal baxamusa dec 2006 the memory remains more on pitch sequences thanks for the memories when to walk mitchel lichtman may 2008 part one part two hit em where they ain t if you can john walsh may 2008 going the other way john walsh apr 2007 the advantage of batting lefthanded john walsh nov 2007 it makes sense to swing john walsh sep 2007 which pitches benefit from being thrown back to back josh kalk feb 2009 why fly balls go one way and grounders go the other matt lentzer jul 2007 team offense link how teams score dave studeman august 2004 how teams can avoid being shut out sal baxamusa nov 2006 evaluating batters link how to evaluate hitters dave studeman jan 2008 what are little runs made of colin wyers sep 2009 bases and out ad nauseum brandon heipp apr 2008 factoring in the double play john walsh feb 2009 the great run estimator shootout colin wyers apr 2009 part one part two of pluses and minuses a look at those plus and minus stats brandon heipp mar 2014 why woba works dave studeman mar 2014 woba calculator jt jordan nov 2010 exploring plate discipline z swings and o swings david appelman feb 2006 part one part two baserunning link circle the wagons dan fox jul 2005 part one part two part three base stealer intangibles john walsh jan 2006 base stealer intangibles part 2 john walsh jan 2006 adjusting steals for win value dan turkenkopf jun 2009 lineups link constructing lineups dave studeman mar 2006 batting the pitcher eighth john beamer oct 2007 lineup balance david gassko dec 2006 pitching link batted balls and dips david gassko aug 2005 confessions of a dips apostate mike fast mar 2009 how much control do pitchers have john walsh dec 2008 another look at dips jc bradbury may 2005 dips 3 0 david gassko feb 2006 dips again david gassko jun 2006 uncovering dips david gassko jan 2007 explaining lips david gassko jun 2009 ground ball pitchers david gassko may 2006 dusty baker and pitch counts david gassko may 2006 have pitchers become more fragile david gassko oct 2007 do strikeout pitchers last longer david gassko feb 2008 maybe walks are key to longevity david gassko feb 2008 perhaps longevity is all about pitch counts david gassko mar 2008 should pitchers waste pitches dan turkenkopf may 2009 know your no hitters sal baxamusa may 2010 which pitchers work fast and are their defenses helped mike fast jun 2008 bullpen link a short history of the bullpen steve treder aug 2004 relief usagepatterns dave studeman feb 2005 a history of the loogy part one part two steve treder apr 2005 pitching mechanics link a mechanical model of pitching matt lentzer oct 2008 how release points matter matt lentzer nov 2008 daisuke matsuzaka carlos gomez feb 2007 rich harden carlos gomez mar 2007 mark prior carlos gomez apr 2007 carlos zambrano carlos gomez may 2007 josh beckett carlos gomez may 2007 dontrelle willis carlos gomez jul 2007 jake peavy carlos gomez aug 2007 pitchf x link pdf file mike fast s intro to pitchf x from the tht annual 2010 an early pitch identification tutorial john walsh sep 2007 the internet cried a bit when you wrote that on it mike fast jun 2010 how fast should a fastball be john walsh apr 2008 lose a tick gain a tick mike fast apr 2010 does the stretch cost a pitcher speed on his fastball mike fast apr 2010 how fatigue affects a pitcher s fastball josh kalk jun 2008 a preliminary aging curve for fastball speed josh kalk may 2008 the four basic pitches an analysis john walsh nov 2007 searching for the game s best pitch john walsh feb 2008 anatomy of a pitch curveball josh kalk may 2008 anatomy of a pitch slider josh kalk may 2008 inside the changeup jon hale may 2009 the inside changeup courage or folly john walsh jul 2008 the elusive knuckleball john walsh nov 2007 why do sinking fastballs cause ground balls chris constancio aug 2007 a look at spray angles off the bat max marchi may 2009 when to guard the lines max marchi jul 2009 where to shift pitch by pitch jon hale aug 2009 do relief pitchers suffer from pitching back to back days josh kalk apr 2008 the injury zone josh kalk feb 2009 does release point impact a pitcher s success josh kalk sep 2008 pitching to the corners max marchi apr 2009 what makes a home run pitch jon hale apr 2009 why it s important to include the count on pitch specific analysis max marchi dec 2009 fielding link infield defense the basics john walsh may 2007 the basics of infield defense infield defense part two simple zone rating colin wyers may 2009 infield outfield totalzone sean smith totalzone intro jan 2008 totalzone part two mar 2008 totalzone takes on the minors feb 2009 using gameday to build a fielding metric peter jensen mar 2009 part one part two part three ghosts in the outfield michael humphreys aug 2007 doing the math on outfield defense michael humphreys aug 2007 measuring range david gassko sep 2005 how to rate outfield arms john walsh feb 2006 approaching catcher defense david gassko more detailed wowy analysis of catcher skills max marchi mar 2010 left handed catchers john walsh apr 2006 left handed catchers part two john walsh apr 2006 fielding aging curves tom tango feb 2008 batted ball analysis link never swat an infield fly the beginnings of batted ball analysis dave studeman june 2004 an early look at line drives and babip dave studeman mar 2005 pictures of batted balls dave studeman jan 2006 home run classifications greg rybarczyk apr 2007 why did home run rates jump in 1994 tom tango feb 2008 what s a batted ball to do colin wyers feb 2009 when is a fly ball a line drive colin wyers dec 2009 during the 2009 season dave studeman wrote a weekly column called the batted ball report it was a subscription service with a lot of in season commentary and new research but you can download all the reports in this single pdf file pythagoras and run distribution link pondering pythagoras david gassko may 2007 ten things about one run games dave studeman june 2005 is a run saved worth more than a run scored colin wyers dec 2008 outsmarting pythagoras sal baxamusa sep 2007 inconsistency is better david gassko apr 2006 consistency and run game distribution sal baxamusa dec 2007 consistency is key consistency is key part two win probability added link the one about win probability dave studeman the wpa inquirer dave studeman jun 2009 a different use of wpa dave studeman sept 2007 crucial situations leverage index tom tango may 2006 part one part two part three win probability game graphs dave studeman apr 2006 developments in the baseball blogosphere the game of the century what make a game exciting max marchi dec 2010 drama index and postseason probability added dave studeman dec 2008 the drama index postseason probability added postseason link so billy what does work in the postseason vinay kumar may 2004 does experience matter in the postseason david gassko nov 2008 do experienced players perform better in the postseason david gassko nov 2008 momentum in the postseason dave studeman sep 2005 top world series games of all time chris jaffe nov 2007 game one game two game three game four game five game six game seven ten worst world series games of all time chris jaffe oct 2009 umpires link how much effect does an umpire have colin wyers may 2009 the outside corner a quick history and overview of umpiring david gas...