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efficient and i think we re in the very early innings with these technologies in the nearer term it s more likely human suffering related to agi comes from conflict over the technology s inputs rather than as a result of its outputs taiwan semiconductor tsmc produces most of the chips that drive ai and potentially agi systems china recognizes the strategic importance of taiwan tsmc included and is pushing for reunification given china s global economic power geographic proximity and cultural ties reunification feels inevitable but also unlikely to happen without tragic loss of life escalation of that conflict presents an existential risk in more immediate need of mitigation than dreams of agi at july 07 2024 no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels agi artificial intelligence china existential risk natural stupidity sunday june 23 2024 the end of our dog era that s the end of our joplin era my wife said to my oldest daughter we were still crying and wiping our tears i didn t say it out loud but i thought that was the end of our dog era we d just returned to the car from the vet s office where the three of us through tears accompanied our 15 year old black lab to the end of her life joplin had been the runt of her mother s litter she was a black lab in a mixed litter of black and yellow labs we picked her out before she was weaned and returned to the farm where she was born to bring her home a few weeks later when we brought her home she could be held in one hand she was initially confined to the kitchen as we introduced her to her feline siblings and we started on the house training at night she whimpered and cried i slept through it but my wife found herself laying on the kitchen floor next to joplin comforting her so that they both could sleep joplin was a good dog loyal protective affectionate but not annoyingly so playful well beyond her years though she was a black lab she was not a lover of the water she was never a swimmer she was legs with lungs she could run and run and run she loved open fields and the off leash dog park she took thousands of walks over the years our routine for most of her life was to walk from our house through downtown and back a three mile loop when we moved to sammamish washington in 2012 she was three years old she flew from kansas city to washington in the cargo hold of a plane with her two sibling cats each in their own crate i picked her up from the cargo place at seatac she was stressed from the journey i brought her home to temporary housing in redmond where i was living alone waiting for my family to make the journey in a couple weeks it was 45º f and drizzling when i walked her around the grounds of the apartment complex when i let her into the apartment she immediately shit on the floor she d never done anything like that before and never did again she endured washington s winters 45º f drizzling rain for nine months and adored washington s summers in sammamish we didn t live near downtown anymore sammamish didn t have a downtown it was a bedroom community with strip malls it was a beautiful place usually 45º f and drizzling rain except in the summer when it probably has the best weather on the planet there was a good size lily pad pound in our neighborhood one of the areas many retention ponds joplin loved visiting that pond from the water s edge our neighborhood was filled with the best people and a web of walking trails wove the neighborhood to a central park and pool joplin loved those trails and that park after nearly five years we moved back to the midwest during what was supposed to be a vacation we boarded joplin though she was a 75 pound black lab the staff at dogs a jammin said she liked to play with the smaller dogs we drove from sammamish to lawrence ks to visit our family one summer and when we got there we decided we should move back our families were there my parents lived in a tiny town 60 miles southwest of wichita my dad had had a couple back surgeries in as many years and wasn t doing great we told the kids we drove back to sammamish earlier than planned and packed everything they would need for the move back to kansas we drove back to kansas i flew back to seattle and got the house ready to go on the market and started packing our remaining things i drove our honda pilot from sammamish to lawrence with two very frightened annoyed and annoying cats i flew back to sammamish i finished packing our things in the back of a ryder truck with a car in tow joplin rode in the bed of that ryder truck with me for a few days she paced back and forth in the front seat hot breath in my face then head out the passenger door we slept in rest stop parking lots among the semis she was a good traveler she never complained about my driving we moved back into our old neighborhood and resumed our daily walks through downtown until she got to where she couldn t cover that distance anymore she would leave the house with vigor and return laggardly she was slowing down our walks became short walks around the blocks in our neighborhood she loved going to the middle school down the street and running around without her leash on but the long walks were a thing of the past arthritis and inflammation set in she did well under anti inflammatory medication and suffered without it we started asking ourselves do you think today was a good day for joplin on mornings when she was slow to get up we would look carefully at her to confirm that she was breathing walks became leisurely strolls up and down the block and then just around the house she had occasional seizures but would quickly recover from them through it all she still seemed to enjoy life she grew more tolerant of the cats who loved to attack her wagging tail a couple weeks ago she collapsed in our dining room and went into a seizure i picked her up and carried her into the living room and comforted her she got up and walked to the back door on her own i let her out and her legs gave out on her she face planted and seized again i went to her and reassured her that everything was going to be alright but everything wasn t going to be alright the scales had rapidly tipped in favor of bad days and at 15 she was unlikely to tilt the scale in the other direction she recovered and then collapsed in the yard again and seized again i told my wife what was happening and reminded her that i would be traveling soon and that it seemed the time had come she hesitantly agreed i called the vet we cried the next day we all spent time with joplin individually i told her that she d been a great member of our family and i thanked her for 15 years full of wonderful memories she collapsed and seized again the next day before we got her to the vet i carried her to the car and put her in my oldest daughter sat in the back of the car with her when we arrived at the vet i lifted her out of the car she walked toward the door of the clinic collapsed and seized again i think that was her way of letting us know that it was indeed time and that we were doing the right thing to relieve her suffering the vet was kind and compassionate joplin was made comfortable on a quilt my grandmother had made from polyester pant suits it was the same quilt that i put over the bench seat of the ryder truck when joplin sat next to me for the two plus day road trip from seattle to lawrence joplin breathed her last breath we all cried we all miss her it was the end of our joplin era the end of our dog era at june 23 2024 no comments email this blogthis share to x share to facebook share to pinterest labels death dogs life personal friday march 22 2024 other thoughts from lean in my previous posts in this series have touched on the core issues that sheryl sandberg addresses in her book lean in women work and the will to lead if you re interested in these issues i encourage you to read the book and read the criticism as well in this post i want to cover some of the other things i found valuable or interesting from the book even if you disagree with sandberg s core thesis she was a key leader at google and facebook you may not like google or facebook but it s undeniable that they are two of the most successful companies of all time sandberg s track record demonstrates that she s an effective leader here are some random insights not necessarily tied to the central theme of the book that influenced or that aligned with my experiences and thinking on negotiation on career progression it s a jungle gym not a ladder on being liked v being effective on evaluating and choosing opportunities on leadership power and getting things done on communication feedback and performance on feminism the last word on negotiation sandberg tells us that a study that looked at the starting salaries of students graduating with a master s degree from carnegie mellon university found that 57 percent of the male students but only 7 percent of the female students tried to negotiate for a higher offer sandberg 2013 p 45 is this another example of a lack of confidence or not wanting to come off as self promoting it may be i was deep into my own career before i ever bothered to negotiate for a higher salary i had a co worker tell me about his hiring process at our employer he explained that he d asked for 5k more than he was offered i don t know what this represented in terms of his base pay but i m guessing it was around three percent the company agreed to his request on the spot a conversation lasting less than five minutes resulted in a three percent raise that paid out during all the years he worked for the company if they d said no he would have accepted the original offer sandberg tells us of her own experience negotiating with mark zuckerberg at facebook she tells mark of course you realize that you re hiring me to run your deal teams so you want me to be a good negotiator this is the only time you and i will ever be on opposite sides of the table then i negotiated hard sandberg 2013 p 46 i love her strategy she s demonstrating the skills that mark was hiring her for during the hiring process even if you re not going to run deal teams in a role you re interviewing for you may be able to position your negotiation process in similar terms on career progression it s a jungle gym not a ladder another tale from the book that i enjoyed was about lori goler a senior director of marketing at ebay who reached out to sandberg saying i want to apply to work with you at facebook so i thought about calling you and telling you all of the things i m good at and all of the things i like to do then i figured that everyone was doing that so instead i want to ask you what is your biggest problem and how can i solve it sandberg 2013 pp 52 53 sandberg tells us that her problem was recruiting and that goler had no experience in recruiting but agreed to a less senior position to learn those skills she was willing to trade seniority for acquiring new skills sandberg 2013 pp 52 53 the most common metaphor for careers is a ladder but this concept no longer applies to most workers as of 2010 the average american had eleven jobs from the ages of eighteen to forty six alone this means that the days of joining an organization or corporation and staying there to climb that one ladder are long gone pattie sellers conceived a much better metaphor careers are a jungle gym not a ladder sandberg 2013 p 53 people want to show ever increasing responsibility and titles that reflect that in their resumes which is completely reasonable but this is also a good way to paint oneself into a corner career wise there are benefits to lateral moves with different experiences my own career has been a bit of a jungle gym i ve been in deep technical roles for most of my career then moved to technical lead roles where i was doing technical work and directing others but not really managing them but it gave me some management exposure i then moved back into a technical role with some sales engineering exposure where i got to do deep technical work that was also customer facing then i moved into a technical manager role directing a team of people doing technical work with some sales engineering after doing that for a few years i went back into an individual contributor role doing deep technical work and now i m in a technical manager role these experiences don t have titles showing consistent upward progress going from a senior director title to a principal engineering title was more of a jungle gym style lateral move than an up the ladder move but i think i m better for it that move gave me a deeper understanding of the detection engineering space and a chance to get back into software development consider the story above about lori goler who left her senior director role at ebay to work for sandberg at facebook in a role with a more junior title recruiting people that move gave her an opportunity to learn an entirely new skillset i see that today goler is the head of people at meta i d say that jungle gym move paid off for her seeking out diverse experiences is useful preparation for leadership sandberg 2013 p 62 on being liked v being effective less than six months after i started at facebook mark and i sat down for my first formal review one of the things he told me was that my desire to be liked by everyone would hold me back if you try to please everyone you aren t making enough progress sandber 2013 p 51 great insight here from zuckerberg it reminds me of a section of phil fisher s book common stocks and uncommon profits where fisher talks about how to evaluate companies for investment one of the things he looks at is the relationship between management and labor he wants the relationship to be good obviously but tells us that an absence of conflict may not mean a basically happy relationship so much as fear or the consequences of conflict fisher 1958 p 66 if you re universally loved you may not be making enough progress on evaluating and choosing opportunities when sandberg was thinking of joining google she had a spreadsheet where she was tracking pros and cons eric responded with perhaps the best piece of career advice that i have ever heard he covered my spreadsheet with his hand and told me not to be an idiot also a great piece of advice the he explained that only one criterion mattered when picking a job fast growth when companies grow quickly there are more things to do than there are people to do them when companies grow more slowly or stop growing there is less to do and too many people to not be doing them politics and stagnation set in and everyone falters if you re offered a seat on a rocket ship you don t ask what seat you just get on sandberg 2013 p 58 on joining facebook as coo when other companies were offering to hire her as ceo as i did when i joined google i prioritized potential for fast growth and the mission of the company above title i have seen both men and women miss out on great opp...
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