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for pchem for now and on the contrary traders should view the formation of lower high as a signal to sell support for pchem is at rm 6 80 followed by rm 6 40 conclusion in conclusion other than following the broad market trend one must know the conditions of picking stocks which includes understanding the fundamental of the company together with technical analysis to choose stocks that is in an uptrend and avoid stock trending down because the stock price will directly affect the performance of one s portfolio copyright 2009 straits index m sdn bhdimportant disclaimer these content provided by straits index m sdn bhd is solely for education and information purposes only and do not suggest any investment advices all information displayed are believed to be accurate and reliable interpretation of the data or analysis is at the reader s own risk straits index m sdn bhd reserves the rights but obligations to update admen or even terminate the materials 重要声明 以上的内容由海峡指数 马 私人有限公司提供 纯粹是教育性质 并不是任何的投资忠告 所有资料显示认为是准确和可靠的 对数据或分析的解释和用途是在于用户自己的风险 海峡指数 马 有限公司持有保留及义务更新 甚 至终止材料的权利 posted by hedy at 10 35 am labels dialog investment strategy for klci ioicorp pchem klci ioicorp cimb timecom chart 1 klci as at 44 5 2011 as at the 4th of may the klci has been consolidating in a sideways manner for the past week and as a result the 14 21 31 ema are losing their gradient in other words when the moving average lines are staying flat the significance of their signals is reduced meanwhile as illustrated by the dotted line the klci might be forming a lower high which is an early sign of weakness as indicated by a total market volume remains below the 40 day volume moving average and this suggests that the market is indeed quiet as inflow of fresh capital is also low also it implies that the investors confidence is also low it is like boiling water where you have to keep the heat intact or else once the heat is removed the water cools down don t forget that this is a the entire market volume that we are talking about here and if total market volume is low the chances of individual counters to sustain their uptrend is also affected this week s case studies ioicorp 1961 technical outlook remains weak chart 2 ioicorp 1961 as at 04 05 2011 weekly chart as indicated by a on weekly chart of ioicorp price of ioicorp fell below the rm 5 50 support and the breaking below this level means that all investors who had bought ioicorp and are still holding are losing money now therefore these losers are having negative memory of ioicorp meanwhile the t1 line is illustrating the formation of lower high which means that ioicorp is now in downtrend technically provided that price of ioicorp is staying below the t1 line or the 14 21 31 ema dynamic resistance the technical outlook shall remains on the negative side and it is generally not advisable to trade against the weakness of price movement of course it is normal to have a rebound after falling for some time but if price should rebound and form a lower high again it suggests that the downtrend is expected to continue meanwhile readers can refer to chart 2a the cpo chart chart 2a cpo benchmark index as at 04 05 2011 as indicated by a price of cpo has been trending weak but fortunately still supported by the rm3235 support although price of cpo has been supported by this level the rebounds showed its weakness by forming lower highs technically if cpo should fall below rm3235 level it would be making a 6 months new low and most likely plantation stocks will be affected 4 q rolling per 16 12 times dividend yield 3 18 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 30 06 2010 17 sen 3 28 16 23 30 06 2009 8 sen 1 69 6 74 30 06 2008 17 sen 2 28 15 22 30 06 2007 7 sen 1 35 16 55 30 06 2006 43 5 sen 3 04 13 81 table 1 ioicorp 1961 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio cimb 1023 trendless chart 3 cimb 1023 as at 04 05 2011 as indicated by a price of cimb has been trading in a narrow range and for the last month the fluctuation of price was less than 3 5 as price is entering the narrow sideways movement the 14 21 31 ema has lost its gradient which makes the ema non functioning or the significance of the 14 21 31 ema is greatly reduced although it might not be a good time to study the 14 21 31 ema for cimb now it is a good time to apply the bollinger bands when price is staying in a narrow sideways manner the bollinger bands will contract significantly suggesting that price is consolidating and trendless until the obvious re expansion of the band width when the bollinger bands should re expands it means that price begins to fluctuate if the bollinger bands expands with price above the bollinger middle band it means a positive biased volatility and other wise a negative biased volatility generally after the bollinger bands re expanded and when price should form a higher low or lower high then it is time to apply the 14 21 31 ema again for trailing stop or other trend trading reference purpose based on the current chart of cimb the rm7 80 is an important support level for the year 2011 if price of cimb should break below this level it means those investors whom had bought cimb in 2011 and are still holding will turn their profit into losses thus creating more selling pressure 4 q rolling per 16 71 times dividend yield 3 18 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 31 12 2010 26 07 sen 3 23 29 81 31 12 2009 18 50 sen 1 46 26 31 31 12 2008 25 sen 4 27 25 22 31 12 2007 25 sen 2 27 31 00 31 12 2006 15 sen 1 94 23 53 table 2 cimb 1023 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio revision of last week s case study timecom 5031 testing support level chart 4 timecom 5031 as at 04 05 2011 as shown on chart 4 after breaking above the resistance on the 22nd of april price of timecom started to retreat as a pull back effect and price of timecom retreated to rm0 89 rm0 90 support level technically if price should failed to stay above this level the breakout would be a faulty one as indicated by a fortunately price of timecom managed to stay above the 14 21 31 ema dynamic support and therefore the technical outlook remains positive if price could rebound from the 14 21 31 ema the uptrend is likely to remain intact on the contrary if price should continue to pull back and later break below the 14 21 31 ema the uptrend would be violated then investors will have to honor their own trading plan by cutting loss or taking profit for example for those whom had previously set a base line if price of timecom should fall below this base line they have to cut loss as for those whom had bought much earlier they would have a choice to apply the 14 21 31 ema as a trailing stop reference 4 q rolling per 21 16 times dividend yield 0 00 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 31 12 2010 0 sen 0 00 33 35 31 12 2009 0 sen 0 00 11 54 31 12 2008 0 sen 0 00 331 43 31 12 2007 0 sen 0 00 53 37 31 12 2006 0 sen 0 00 53 01 table 3 timecom 5031 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio conclusion when the broad market direction is unclear it is harder to follow and stock pick will be more difficult therefore if one should find it difficult to making any buying picks the natural thing to do is to avoid buying at all copyright 2009 straits index m sdn bhdimportant disclaimer these content provided by straits index m sdn bhd is solely for education and information purposes only and do not suggest any investment advices all information displayed are believed to be accurate and reliable interpretation of the data or analysis is at the reader s own risk straits index m sdn bhd reserves the rights but obligations to update admen or even terminate the materials 重要声明 以上的内容由海峡指数 马 私人有限公司提供 纯粹是教育性质 并不是任何的投资忠告 所有资料显示认为是准确和可靠的 对数据或分析的解释和用途是在于用户自己的风险 海峡指数 马 有限公司持有保留及义务更新 甚 至终止材料的权利 posted by hedy at 10 30 am labels cimb investment strategy for klci ioicorp timecom klci uemland perisai eo chart 1 klci as at 44 5 2011 as at the 4th of may the klci has been consolidating in a sideways manner for the past week and as a result the 14 21 31 ema are losing their gradient in other words when the moving average lines are staying flat the significance of their signals is reduced meanwhile as illustrated by the dotted line the klci might be forming a lower high which is an early sign of weakness as indicated by a total market volume remains below the 40 day volume moving average and this suggests that the market is indeed quiet as inflow of fresh capital is also low also it implies that the investors confidence is also low it is like boiling water where you have to keep the heat intact or else once the heat is removed the water cools down don t forget that this is a the entire market volume that we are talking about here and if total market volume is low the chances of individual counters to sustain their uptrend is also affected this week s case studies uemland 5148 remains in consolidation chart 2 uemland 5148 as at 04 05 2011 as shown on chart 2 price of uemland has been consolidating in a rectangular pattern with rm3 00 being the resistance and the rm2 65 being the support technically when price is staying in a rectangular pattern or a trading range the direction is usually unclear thus not suitable for trading although price of uemland been supported by the rm2 65 the recent rebounds has shown some weakness as price failed to touch rm3 00 but instead forming lower highs as illustrated by the dotted line the lower high is showing an early weakening signal for uemland if price should later break below rm2 65 it would be making a 4 months new low it means that all investors whom have been holding in this 4 months will be turning their profit if any into losses thus creating more negative memory and eventually increasing the selling pressure therefore at this time where the weakness is still in place it is not a good time to buy if price should reverse then it should first form a higher low then breaking above rm3 00 with strong volume if price should break below rm2 65 the next support are found at rm2 38 followed by the rm2 00 psychological level 4 q rolling per 44 83 times dividend yield 0 00 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 31 12 2010 0 sen 0 00 41 42 31 12 2009 0 sen 0 00 28 44 31 12 2008 0 sen 0 00 14 50 table 1 uemland 5148 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio perisai 0047 uptrend was violated chart 3 perisai 0047 as at 04 05 2011 as indicated by a on chart 3 price of perisai formed a lower high as illustrated by the dotted line which suggests a weakness of price movement price of perisai also broke below the 14 21 31 ema as well as the rm0 79 support thus the uptrend was violated although no one knows where the weakening price movement shall continue one must honor his or her own trading plan which was set before or at the time buying this stock since the uptrend is violated it is logic to cut loss or to take profit technically provided that price of perisai is still staying below the falling 14 21 31 ema the technical outlook for perisai is on the negative side and there is no buying signal until a valid break out above the 14 21 31 ema with a formation of higher low 4 q rolling per 50 32 times dividend yield 0 00 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 31 12 2010 0 sen 0 00 13 63 31 12 2009 0 sen 0 00 32 60 31 12 2008 0 sen 0 00 20 98 31 12 2007 0 sen 0 00 7 55 31 12 2006 0 sen 0 00 4 28 table 2 perisai 0047 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio e o 3417 pullback effect chart 4 e o 3417 as at 04 05 2011 as indicated by a price of e o has been staying in a short term uptrend since last month and even broke above the rm1 38 resistance on the 28th of april breaking a 3 months new high after the breakout price of e o has its high reaching rm 1 54 but profit taking started to kick in and price retreated as a pullback effect it is quite normal to have a pull back after breaking above a resistance and technically price should stay above its recently broken resistance rm 1 38 and the break out shall remains intact ideally volume has to be reduced during the pull back this means that the selling pressure was not too strong but as price rebound again volume has to be significantly higher in order to resume its uptrend on the other hand if price should break below rm1 38 the break out would be a faulty one nevertheless for those whom are already in position it is a good idea to use the 14 21 31 ema as a trailing stop reference by lifting the cut loss or profit taking level gradually higher according to the 14 21 31 ema this way it will gradually reduce your trading risk 4 q rolling per 25 60 times dividend yield 2 53 dividend dividend yield net profit ratio 31 03 2010 3 80 sen 4 29 20 12 31 03 2009 0 sen 0 00 12 45 31 03 2008 5 sen 2 78 24 95 31 03 2007 4 sen 1 84 5 76 31 03 2006 0 sen 0 00 12 93 table 3 e o 3417 yearly dividend dividend yield and net profit ratio conclusion as an investor or trader one should realize that there are times where the market is bullish bearish and also in an unclear trendless situation it is said that different strategies are being applied for different market situation for example some choose to short the market during a bearish trend but the point is it requires different skills for different strategies and one does not have to imitate what others do we have to first know what we are capable of our trading style capital allocation and emotional control we will have to always remind ourselves that we don t have to trade all the time when situation is uncertain or if one should feel uncomfortable it is perfectly ok to stay out of the market copyright 2009 straits index m sdn bhdimportant disclaimer these content provided by straits index m sdn bhd is solely for education and information purposes only and do not suggest any investment advices all information displayed are believed to be accurate and reliable interpretation of the data or analysis is at the reader s own risk straits index m sdn bhd reserves the rights but obligations to update admen or even terminate the materials 重要声明 以上的内容由海峡指数 马 私人有限公司提供 纯粹是教育性质 并不是任何的投资忠告 所有资料显示认为是准确和可靠的 对数据或分析的解释和用途是在于用户自己的风险 海峡指数 马 有限公司持有保留及义务更新 甚 至终止材料的权利 posted by hedy at 10 24 am labels eo investment strategy for klci perisai uemland klci axiata benalec tenaga chart 1 klci as at 20 4 2011 as indicated by a the fbm klci rebounded near the 1513 support on the 20th of april and now testing the 14 21 31 ema if the klci could successfully break above the 14 21 31 ema it would likely to form a higher low which is a first characteristic of an uptrend formation next resistance for the klci is at the recent high of 1566 and the historical high of 1577 meanwhile as indicated by b total market volume remains low despite increasing slightly generally with volume below the 40 day volume moving average it suggests that the market participation is low and the inflow of fresh capital is also low therefore the klci is less likely to pickup its strength this week s ca...
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