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ges money relative to gdp rates of growth the volume of trade in the time of charlemagne europe s dark ages ended when charlemagne came al until there s nothing left to give prior to onset of financial crisis the annual adjustment locating a peak that s i e s not i c s at the start versus since the first moment yves is right don t dwell on the monetarism october 26 september 30 august 34 july 35 june 32 may 34 april 33 march 35 february 28 january 37 2013 412 december 33 november 31 october 35 september 32 august 33 july 36 june 31 may 36 april 39 march 40 february 31 january 35 2012 476 december 38 november 35 october 51 september 41 august 35 july 39 june 37 may 31 april 38 march 36 february 44 january 51 2011 571 december 44 november 38 october 41 september 53 august 54 july 52 june 50 may 45 april 54 march 46 february 37 january 57 2010 361 december 51 november 43 october 47 september 43 august 35 july 39 june 31 may 9 april 8 march 12 february 23 january 20 2009 79 december 17 november 10 october 14 september 20 august 3 july 7 june 4 april 1 march 1 february 1 january 1 links the 12 pages pdf html scribd money as credit paul krugman john mason gavin kennedy crisis timeline 1 crisis timeline 2 statistical abstracts measuringworth bea economic accounts bls inflation jobs flow of funds debt st louis fed fred money stock 1947 58 economagic usgovernmentspending top tax rates recession dates corp taxes 2006 irs tax data pk sources historicalstatistics org historical charts perot charts mark wieczorek the secret economist econompic john williams sgs crystal bull aquinum s razor flavianopolis william f hummell ecometry the l curve businomics blog on banking crises cybereconomics tim duy like a father to me worthwhile canadian the skeptical optimist nextblog better of thought action the troublesome economist the candid blogger blended purple frozen arctic tundra truth addicts anon jbpeebles mayday books dredd blog dolor s rants the 40 year old freshman thinking on the margin redonomics broad oak unsettling economics irrational expectations theory2life prac spoiler tips vin s read more faq s image host a very nice menu www w3 schools bloogger help image test and t2 blogger sentral html color codes google translate link within a page supreme court jester dave ross 1 dave ross 2 organize your stuff interesting jim kardi teknomo numerical ignorance mental workout g scaled data g normalized data tufte data analysis arthurian website about me contact labels real is a calculation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1966 1970s growth 1986 2000 2013 revision 400k smoothing a call for better argument a little r n r accelerated repayment of debt accidental discoveries adjusting debt for inflation artish b is greater than a b h finte behavioral ec best put downs bullard s earthquake c d of wealth calculating labor share civ civilization coinage coping cost and productivity cost push cost push inflation credit efficiency crisis chronicles cycle of civilization debasement debt debt and context debt and inflation debt and recovery debt bulge debt good and bad debt is not credit debt productivity debt to gdp debt to gdp in comments def credit def debt def economic activity def financial cost def gdp def general equilibrium def inflation def inside money def investment def issue and reissue def laffer limit def outside money deflation demand pull inflation disarray dpd echoes economic forces economics v the economy eroc erosion of debt evolution of the excuse expectations factors failure s embrace fallacy of composition fcm fed policy federal spending feedback loops final spending financial cost financialization five words five digit years forget about debt fpi fred free banking era full disclosure fun with the mpc gang8 gds gold shortage gresham s law gross domestic spending growth rate calc growth phase growth historical revisionism hoarding hodrick prescott household debt hover craft how to pay for it humor because you might not know if i didn t say i couldn 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copyright 2010 2018 arthur shipman sunday november 30 2014 g7 trying to get the damn door open soon as we got past that first model i hit a brick wall there are five models to consider in part 2 of chapter 1 of part 1 of the craft of economic modeling but it s like they left something out the first model we did that one s not even numbered i guess in part 2 of the chapter they talk about five models starting with number one model 1 just sets out the variables and identities that are central to the system of national accounts used in the united states we may call it a pure accounting model because it makes connections among variables based only on accounting definitions not on economic behavior okay on page 9 he gets into model 1 there is a pretty interesting review of how the nipa categories break down clopper almon explains it well for example business current transfer payments net include legal settlements and theft losses we first subtract the entire amount and then add back in the portion which went to persons the stolen case of bourbon is counted as income to the thief and by the way appears in personal consumption expenditure and thus in gdp and i really like how he every once in a while tells you what he thinks if we may for the moment skip the statistical discrepancy which should be zero conceptually we have reached personal income before government action this item is not in the official accounts but i find it a convenient point of reference but things are missing he writes we can now summarize this first model in the following master file which shows the actual commands to the software we use to compute this model and he provides the text for that master file but is master the name of the file or just a generic term and if it is the name then what is the file extension i think maybe the file is called master add and i m going with that for now but i m not sure and where is the data he did say in passing that the variable names shown in the code column are the ones used in the quarterly income and product quip data bank but i had to dig to find that quote and now i have to dig to find a quip file and then i have to hope i ve been making good guesses things are missing yeah yeah i remember in the intro almon wrote of course as in any craft a book can only help not replace a living teacher yeah yeah update 4 45 pm the master file doesn t have an extension and the first quip zip file i found was an old one from 2002 from the inforum econdata archives you don t want to use that one too many variable names have changed i started fixing errors with some success but it just got to be too much i found a better quip file i hope better i didn t even test it out yet between fixing errors in the first quip and looking for a newer one i didn t have any energy left to look at it once i found it actually what did i find it was the ami file the accelerator multiplier interaction model a zip file with a few versions of the master file no extension and a g cfg and the quip bank files and some other stuff this is starting to come together a lot of work but i m making progress pretty soon i ll be able to get thru that first chapter i m itching to do more posted by the arthurian at 7 12 am 3 comments saturday november 29 2014 some little things i ve learned about g7 when i first double clicked the icon on my desktop to start g7 it opened a configuration utility that said my present working directory was c g7 demo basic_g actually at the time it said c pdg demo basic_g but i have since changed the name of the installation folder to g7 because pdg doesn t mean anything to me i will just refer to it as the g7 folder and pretend it was always thus the configuration utility identified my present working directory my workspace bank ws bnk and my default bank mrts bnk when i clicked ok the configuration utility closed and two other windows opened the g7 program and an editor containing the basicg add script when i closed the program and came back to it later it identified the same working directory and the same banks and it opened showing the same text it showed the first time i went around that circle a few times but then i renamed my g7 installation folder from c pdg to c g7 and after that the original demo wouldn t work i finally solved that problem by using the browse button in the configuration utility the button opens a regular windows looking file open window and lets you change the working directory and select a configuration file in the demo folder for example is a graph folder and in the graph folder is a g cfg file when i opened that config file the present working directory and the default bank changed in the configuration utility when i clicked ok to close the utility g7 opened in the graph folder with a graph add file open in the editor if i then close g7 and open it up again it comes back with the graph folder as the working directory and graph add in the editor just as it was when i closed g7 so this tells me how to get the original demo back start the configuration utility click browse move from the demo graph folder to the demo folder to the demo basic_g folder and open the g cfg file i find there click ok to close the configuration utility and you are back to the original demo that came up the first time you started g7 almost the text field at the right end of the g7 toolbar says the graph add file is still loaded and ready to run even though you can see the basicg add file in the editor plain as day so i clicked the load button on the g7 toolbar and double clicked the basicg add file to make it replace the graph add file after that the original demo worked just like it did at the start so what did i learn g7 wants to start up where it left off that makes the browse button a very useful tool and it makes the load button a very useful tool it seems a little odd maybe that one script file is loaded in the editor and a different script file is loaded in g7 but i ve seen that before with lisp files and autocad you have the lisp file open in the editor and you add some code to it and you run the thing and it doesn t work no because the changes you made are only in the file you are editing not in the file that is loaded into autocad the lisp editor solves the problem by giving you a way to load the file into autocad they don t say that you re loading it into autocad they just say that you re loading it but after you do it autocad knows about the changes you made and now you can test them out with g7 after you use the browse button and change things in the configuration utility when you get to g7 you have to click the load button to load the script into g7 even though it is already loaded into the editor it s strange how similar this is what happens in autocad and what happens in g7 posted by the arthurian at 10 12 am 0 comments thursday november 27 2014 thankful for g7 this series of posts began on 18 november happy thanksgiving first chance i ve had to take a look at g7 since installing it when you first run g7 a configuration window opens i don t understand the settings so i just click ok the configuration window closes and two new windows open the bigger window is the g7 program the smaller one is a demo file there is no activity the g7 window tells my present working directory and provides the title of the data that s been loaded in looks like a setting in the configuration window determines which data gets loaded in the smaller window is more interesting you can read it this demo script provides the user with a solid foundation several lines of text there with a crosshatch before each line i guess we should call it a hash symbol now several lines a hash prefix then cls addp n cls means clear the screen i know that one that s from basic gw basic had the cls command back in the days of dos i don t know what the addp n is next there are several more lines of text ic if you have any trouble with this demo script but this time the lines all start with the letters ic instead of a hash symbol that tells me these lines are for a different purpose than those other lines of text when you run the script the lines with the ic prefix are displayed as text the lines with the hash symbol prefix are not displayed i conclude that the hash symbol means the line is a comment in the g7 language then there is the line pause when you are done reading click ok followed by another cls command back in the bigger window g7 i can type and see what i m typing but nothing happens when i press enter i played with this a bit and had a thought the smaller window is an editor the smaller window is for user input the bigger window is for g7 s output so then if enter doesn t work in the big window it s not a problem that window isn t for my input in g7 the bigger window across the top there is a toolbar with a few buttons g editor change directory change font i clicked on g reference a windows window popped up instead of the g reference the window said windows vista can t read older style windows help files there was a link to a download an enhancement to vista that lets me read the older help files it was easy to resolve this problem but file it under stupid problems windows can t read windows help files give me a break so now the g reference button opens the g reference and that ll be a handy thing i went there and went to the basic 11 g7 commands first as they suggest this is amazing look what they have for the f command f variable expression f variable date1 date2 expression defines variable on left in terms of variables in expression on right f x gnp 1 unemp 1 exp 25 time f index x x 85 1 note denotes lags t 1 is denoted 1 introduces a function see list of functions date on the right hand side denotes a specific observation date on the left hand side assigns values over the given range of periods first impression wow they give two forms for the f command shown in green the first one looks like a pretty simple assignment of value variable expression...
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