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the new arthurian economics a second look at the heteconomist post the new arthurian economics challenging the premisses newer posts at econcrit start with the debt problem three views of it and the most important thing here s a longer look at the debt problem here s a short one on economic policy some surprising trends and a few unusual policy recommendations how d we get into this mess read policy venn and policies of the venn overlap still with me read a matter of life and death and for an overview download my 12 page pdf art s vigor page debt accumulation two new versions of an economic model showing how accumulating debt hurts economic growth 1 jerry s stand alone php version 2 my googledocs file mine brings up a preview window click the use this template button to open it introductory post google translate blog archive 2018 31 january 31 2017 274 december 31 november 26 october 21 september 23 august 27 july 21 june 17 may 21 april 13 march 25 february 25 january 24 2016 318 december 26 november 20 october 30 september 27 august 29 july 17 june 30 may 24 april 30 march 30 february 30 january 25 2015 283 december 7 november 11 october 21 september 23 august 26 july 27 june 26 may 30 april 25 march 28 february 27 january 32 2014 374 december 25 november 25 october 26 september 30 august 34 july 35 june 32 may 34 april 33 march 35 february 28 january 37 2013 412 december 33 november 31 october 35 september 32 august 33 july 36 june 31 may 36 april 39 just checking do we really want to wait till things are that bad other things equal how can you even know if it s not a problem a second look i see red without the pleadings of self interest time doesn t run backwards checking my work two factors that are important for growth something else entirely zoho it is then the same old story wrong problem redux four times they call it a coding error ya just gotta laugh wrong problem john law s financial system it sounds oddly fam jim tankersley is slow growth america s new norm dunno how i missed this average it is then analyzing the present seeing for myself hindsight krugman figures it right logging dkuehn on fdr in 2013 malaise a second look at the heteconomist post de trending don t give up jw via random eyes thus are our troubles explained a computer only does what you tell it federal debt red and other debt blue unlearningspeak about the growth of debt alex matt and dave the weather and the one percent march 40 february 31 january 35 2012 476 december 38 november 35 october 51 september 41 august 35 july 39 june 37 may 31 april 38 march 36 february 44 january 51 2011 571 december 44 november 38 october 41 september 53 august 54 july 52 june 50 may 45 april 54 march 46 february 37 january 57 2010 361 december 51 november 43 october 47 september 43 august 35 july 39 june 31 may 9 april 8 march 12 february 23 january 20 2009 79 december 17 november 10 october 14 september 20 august 3 july 7 june 4 april 1 march 1 february 1 january 1 links the 12 pages pdf html scribd money as credit paul krugman john mason gavin kennedy crisis timeline 1 crisis timeline 2 statistical abstracts measuringworth bea economic accounts bls inflation jobs flow of funds debt st louis fed fred money stock 1947 58 economagic usgovernmentspending top tax rates recession dates corp taxes 2006 irs tax data pk sources historicalstatistics org historical charts perot charts mark wieczorek the secret economist econompic john williams sgs crystal bull aquinum s razor flavianopolis william f hummell ecometry the l curve businomics blog on banking crises cybereconomics tim duy like a father to me worthwhile canadian the skeptical optimist nextblog better of thought action the troublesome economist the candid blogger blended purple frozen arctic tundra truth addicts anon jbpeebles mayday books dredd blog dolor s rants the 40 year old freshman thinking on the margin redonomics broad oak unsettling economics irrational expectations theory2life prac spoiler tips vin s read more faq s image host a very nice menu www w3 schools bloogger help image test and t2 blogger sentral html color codes google translate link within a page supreme court jester dave ross 1 dave ross 2 organize your stuff interesting jim kardi teknomo numerical ignorance mental workout g scaled data g normalized data tufte data analysis arthurian website about me contact labels real is a calculation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1966 1970s growth 1986 2000 2013 revision 400k smoothing a call for better argument a little r n r accelerated repayment of debt accidental discoveries adjusting debt for inflation artish b is greater than a b h finte behavioral ec best put downs bullard s earthquake c d of wealth calculating labor share civ civilization coinage coping cost and productivity cost push cost push inflation credit efficiency crisis chronicles cycle of civilization debasement debt debt and context debt and inflation debt and recovery debt bulge debt good and bad debt is not credit debt productivity debt to gdp debt to gdp in comments def credit def debt def economic activity def financial cost def gdp def general equilibrium def inflation def inside money def investment def issue and reissue def laffer limit def outside money deflation demand pull inflation disarray dpd echoes economic forces economics v the economy eroc erosion of debt evolution of the excuse expectations factors failure s embrace fallacy of composition fcm fed policy federal spending feedback loops final spending financial cost financialization five words five digit years forget about debt fpi fred free banking era full disclosure fun with the mpc gang8 gds gold shortage gresham s law gross domestic spending growth rate calc growth phase growth historical revisionism hoarding hodrick prescott household debt hover craft how to pay for it humor because you might not know if i didn t say i couldn t sleep iceberg inflation introduction is it ego captain jerry says krugman laffer curve limits long and variable loops malaise matched set fekete math problems medium of account military spending milton friedman mmt money multiplier more debt than money is policy motives moving average new tools of policy non linear not only household debt oil parameters for debt pfi policy predicting recession price controls printing vs spending problem x productivity questions r reading and writing red and green reduction reviews scott sumner sequence 2 serfdom simulacron simulated evidence slack special report spreadsheeting stagflation standard deviation star trek stimulus sumner symmetry in deception taxes taylor rule the difference between debt and credit the economy is transaction the k r shift the long decline the supply side the tint knob they don t know timeline tongue in cheek tot ulc umic unsustainable urgency verdoorn waste fraud abuse withering shoots zoho the new arthurian economics copyright 2010 2018 arthur shipman monday april 8 2013 a second look at the heteconomist post the other day i looked briefly at peterc s why neoliberals pretend private debt doesn t matter and public debt does time for a second look consider the opening sentence of the post peterc writes the neoliberal policy approach in the decades leading up to the crisis basically amounted to enticing or pushing people into increasing levels of private debt what is neoliberal wikipedia doesn t help bill mitchell writes of the early 1980s as the neo liberal onslaught began in earnest the early 1980s then since reagan basically same as my k r shift and actually in his post peterc writes the neoliberal attack on workers pay and conditions from the early 1980s onwards was highly orchestrated the early 1980s it is so reconsider peter s opening thought revised the policy approach since the early 1980s and up to the crisis basically amounted to enticing or pushing people into increasing levels of private debt is it true it must be true right i mean how else did we end up with all this debt yeah but take a look at the rate of debt growth since the 1950s graph 2 percent change in the non federal portion of tcmdo blue if i did it right the red line is a hodrick prescott trend of the debt data the first thing that happened after the early 1980s was a slowdown in debt growth a slowdown beginning in the mid 1980s immediately after the early 1980s there was a major downtrend in the growth of debt but by the late 1990s the growth rate of debt was back to normal back to 10 annual give or take back where it was before the neoliberals took over back where it was in the keynesian years what s different is that in the keynesian years excessive debt growth led to inflation in the neoliberal years excessive debt growth led to unemployment that s the main difference the problem is the excessive debt growth the excessive reliance on credit the excessive cost of circulating money excessive finance excessive accumulated savings excessive accumulated debt all the same thing it s a cost push problem the liberal solution to the cost push problem is inflation the conservative solution is unemployment the arthurian solution is to reduce financial costs by reducing the size of finance providing more money to balance against less debt using policy to limit the amount of creditmoney that can be generated from a dollar of money the arthurian solution is to reduce the factor cost of money posted by the arthurian at 4 00 am labels hodrick prescott no comments post a comment newer post older post home subscribe to post comments atom you can lead a horse to water but you can t make him drink stay thirsty my friends fred graphs federal reserve bank of st louis 2016 all rights reserved all fred graphs appear courtesy of federal reserve bank of st louis http research stlouisfed org fred2 the st louis fed
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