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description= Musings & Rants by Tim Byrd;
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prescribed them article this antibiotic will ruin you share share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest share on reddit opens in new window reddit email a link to a friend opens in new window email like loading 1 comment posted in life the girl with all the gifts the last of us a dual review with no spoilers feb 26 i watched the girl with all the gifts since i was very interested and decided it would be a good while before i could get to the book well it s okay it s not the revelatory burst of cool originality i d been led to believe and it s nowhere near as good as the other zombie flick i saw recently the korean train to busan which is a revelatory burst of cool and one of the best films in this genre ever made the girl with all the gifts is kind of tedious the characters sketchily drawn and the story underdeveloped that said i d have probably enjoyed it more if it weren t for one thing i ve played the video game the last of us the girl with all the gifts is like a clumsy echo of the last of us it has a similar theme similar setting suspiciously similar ideas the last of us came out a year before the novel i m not saying it s a rip off i doubt it is but the thought occurs and while the girl with all the gifts is a so so zombie flick with a few new ideas the last of us is a goddamned masterpiece the last of us is one of those works of art which elevates its medium it isn t just possibly the greatest narrative game ever made it isn t just a more satisfying cinematic experience than most films it is literature the writing the direction the art design are all phenomenal the acting and acting it is full motion capture by the actors with all the subtleties and complexities of real life and eyes full of humanity is amazing and moving and heartrending and the characters are real the way the best characters in any medium become real we live with them and die with them and feel their pain and occasional bits of joy the settings are gorgeous a civilization fallen and returning to nature and the music good lord the music my wife nydia and i both tear up when we hear just a few notes of this game s theme the last of us all by itself entirely justified the money i spent on my playstation 4 all other pleasures i get out of it are gravy the girl with all the gifts just can t compete the only reason i ll remember it is because it s such a dull shadow of the game that got there first share share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest share on reddit opens in new window reddit email a link to a friend opens in new window email like loading 3 comments posted in gaming movies tv tagged books games horror literature playstation ps3 ps4 reviews the girl with all the gifts the last of us video games zombies election 2016 how we really lost by the numbers part 3 feb 24 this is about the election because so many democratic and progressive voters are still debating what happened and because a forthright postmortem is essential to the democratic party moving forward effectively and is to all indications something they don t actually care to do i ve researched what the numbers actually tell us i find it interesting if you don t that s fine if your highest caliber response is to school me on paying attention to this when you want me to pay attention to something else i m probably also paying attention to just keep it to yourself would bernie sanders have won did hillary clinton lose because of russia fbi mercury retrograde was she a good candidate was he in a discussion elsewhere of factors which led to donald trump s win i pointed out that clinton s favorability ratings throughout her entire 2015 2016 campaign remained historically awful never hitting a point where a majority of voters saw her positively someone asked about the polls before the election which seemed unlike the polls throughout the months prior to show her handily beating trump nate silver was mentioned the thing is though clinton enjoyed bumps in the polls toward the end in most cases her edge remained within the margin of error real clear politics which tracks and averages all the major polls had her lead at only 3 2 going into election day this was just slightly better than her polls against trump had generally been all along you might remember those weak numbers during the primaries because some people said they indicated she might lose the big numbers predicting her win were projections of probability of her winning according to the biases of those making the projections silver for example gave clinton a 71 8 chance of winning and he was actually accused of being too pessimistic this didn t mean he expected her to get 71 8 of the vote in fact he predicted she would get 48 5 and trump would get 45 a margin of only 3 5 a number which was you guessed it within the margin of error but the polls pitting the candidates against each other were only part of the story just as and possibly more important were the candidates favorability polls which indicate how liked and trusted each was this should have been an important consideration because no candidate had ever won the presidency with a net negative favorability with voters when she entered the race in april 2015 hillary clinton s favorability unfavorability rating was 44 52 a net negative of 8 points when he entered the race in april 2015 sanders s favorability unfavorability was 20 27 lower scores in both and a net negative of 7 points but 54 of voters had no opinion because they didn t know him compared to 4 for clinton by november 2015 clinton s favorability unfavorability was 41 52 net negative 11 points by november 2015 sanders s favorability unfavorability was 41 37 net positive 4 points by the democratic national convention at the end of july 2016 clinton s favorability unfavorability was 42 56 net negative 14 points by the democratic national convention sanders s favorability unfavorability was 53 36 net positive 17 points by the election clinton s favorability unfavorability was 43 56 net negative 13 points by the election sanders s favorability unfavorability was 59 33 net positive 26 points so what we see is that throughout the entire primary season and the general election hillary clinton s favorability scores remained roughly static nothing she did after november 2015 months before the email leaks or fbi fishiness boosted her numbers likewise none of the allegedly critical negative events of the election dropped her scores much further she stayed at her net negative score with a constant majority seeing her unfavorably from day one up to her loss voters had pretty much made up their minds about hillary clinton before she even started running would sanders have fared better in the general as so many of us think he did after all go from a 7 net negative as a relative unknown to 26 net positive and he managed to close clinton s initial sixty point lead to give her a very tense fight through the primaries clinton meanwhile not only just got less popular she a globally renowned candidate with a huge war chest of corporate cash and the support of the entire democratic establishment squandered a sixty point lead to a little known grumpy old senator from a small state and of course sanders always beat trump in the polls by double digits while trump was the only gop candidate whom clinton would usually beat though always by a narrow margin like that 3 5 nate silver spun into a 72 probability of victory sanders now has 56 favorability 32 unfavorability clinton has 40 favorable 54 unfavorable among democrats he has 80 among republicans he has 31 that s right nearly a third of gop voters actually like and trust bernie sanders among trump voters 27 favorable you know those voters we re told would never have crossed over to vote for him and how does he score with clinton voters 86 favorable that s twice clinton s favorability on election day while the majority of her voters 54 said they were voting for her only to vote against trump a lot of people run with that line about how the republicans would have attacked bernie in the primary and maybe his numbers would have fallen to clintonesque levels as a result they never seem to grok the fact that clinton was already down there and bernie would have had to fall thirty one points in the short time after the convention to sink to her level i think the numbers tell the tale i tell you only because i m sick of seeing clinton fans slander sanders and blame her loss on him one i saw just before starting to put this post together said omg bernie people just stfu and think about how you ruined everything all the data indicates that bernie had a big chance of winning while hillary had a slender chance and was so relentlessly unpopular that the slightest puff of ill wind an ambiguous fbi announcement evidence of unethical collusion with the dnc refusal to take a stand on the dakota pipeline might destroy her shot the fact is hillary clinton ended her race as she began the single most unpopular democratic candidate in history while bernie sanders started as a relatively unknown impossible long shot and finished as literally the most popular politician in the united states anyone who thinks that wouldn t have probably made all the difference is in denial by the numbers part 1 how democrats continue to lose by the numbers part 2 who s our champion now share share on facebook opens in new window facebook share on x opens in new window x share on tumblr opens in new window tumblr share on pinterest opens in new window pinterest share on reddit opens in new window reddit email a link to a friend opens in new window email like loading 7 comments posted in life politics tagged bernie sanders democrats dnc donald trump election gop hillary clinton liberals life politics primaries progressives republicans rnc by the numbers part 2 who s our champion now feb 17 this is the second of three posts regarding democratic attitudes and performance both in the election and at present part 1 showed how the democratic party has rapidly shrunk even after the election and showed the public attitudes toward its leaders and their gop counterparts there will be some overlap in my references to certain data through the three posts i m often accused of relitigating the democratic primaries because i still vocally support bernie sanders who is now in democratic party leadership and is their frontman in most of their actions against trump and i occasionally still criticize hillary clinton who is now uh tweeting sometimes i guess the main reason i do this is because i am like many progressives fighting to strengthen the party through reform trying to force a failing party away from the corporatist policies and out of the calcified bubble of privilege which led to its catastrophic failures in the past quarter century part of that is very much a frank look at where it failed in the last election both with its presidential candidate and with its national strategies another part is actively countering those who do not want the party to change or who are themselves still litigating the primaries while i may post things like hillary clinton not only didn t even go to wisconsin to campaign she bought seven times more tv ads in los angeles than she did in milwaukee i see other folks post things like i fucking hate bernie sanders trump is his fault i hope you ll recognize that my posts are generally a sharing of information not invective while much of what i see from those standing in defense of clinton and the entrenched party establishment is pure venom i often feel my skin crawl after reading through a thread from these folks mind you notallclintonistas i m not saying no clinton supporters offer reasoned arguments nor am i saying all sanders supporters avoid nasty invective there is a lot of anger out there and a hell of a lot of people are blinded by it and often not actually as informed as they should be there are a few lefty folks in my feed who are my natural allies who share very good information but will often veer into crazy land and make their posts unshareable because i don t want to be associated with irrational nonsense even if offered up with otherwise sound info while many on the left who disagree with me seem to detest progressive voters i harbor no ill will toward clinton supporters though i do think all of the data we have available strongly indicates that the nader effect during this election wasn t a third party vote in the general it was a clinton vote in the primaries i understand why some folks thought she was the better choice even though i don t agree those voters voted for her because they believed in her or at least believed in her greater electability and to whatever degree they support a democratic party which serves the actual needs of the american people they are my allies as for the folks who spew hate toward bernie and toward the left i am relieved to discover that though very loud they are in a nasty little minority even among democrats just as the nasty bernie supporters are a sliver of the community just as they always were no matter how much the dnc and clinton campaign tried to insist otherwise according to a recent poll by yougov and the economist bernie sanders has 56 favorability among all americans higher even than obama s 53 80 favorability among registered democrats 85 favorability among liberals 31 favorability among republicans that s right almost a third of republicans actually like bernie 53 favorability among all men 58 favorability among all women note that s higher than among men because you know bernie bros 52 favorability among all whites 64 favorability among all blacks note that s higher than among whites and most bernie bros are supposed to be white 58 favorability among all hispanics ditto 61 favorability among other races ditto 86 favorability among those who voted for hillary note that on the day of the election hillary had 43 favorability exactly half bernie s number here not even a majority and 56 unfavorability 27 favorability among those who voted for trump you know all those voters we re told bernie absolutely couldn t have gotten trump by the way had 39 favorable 60 unfavorable on election day bernie sanders finished the primaries as the most popular politician in the country and he remains so so don t be surprised when people champion him for continuing to champion us or when they voice regret that he didn t get the chance to beat trump or when they simply say good things about him he isn t old news he is arguably the current leader of the democratic party at least to the american people and to the degree the democrats embrace him and his policies they have a greater chance to prevail oh and in case you re in...
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