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Text of the page (random words):
page debt accumulation two new versions of an economic model showing how accumulating debt hurts economic growth 1 jerry s stand alone php version 2 my googledocs file mine brings up a preview window click the use this template button to open it introductory post google translate blog archive 2018 31 january 31 2017 274 december 31 november 26 october 21 september 23 august 27 july 21 june 17 may 21 april 13 march 25 february 25 january 24 2016 318 december 26 november 20 october 30 september 27 august 29 july 17 june 30 may 24 april 30 march 30 february 30 january 25 2015 283 december 7 november 11 october 21 september 23 august 26 july 27 june 26 may 30 april 25 march 28 february 27 january 32 2014 374 december 25 november 25 october 26 september 30 august 34 july 35 june 32 may 34 april 33 march 35 february 28 january 37 2013 412 december 33 november 31 october 35 september 32 august 33 july 36 june 31 may 36 april 39 march 40 february 31 january 35 2012 476 december 38 november 35 october 51 september 41 august 35 july 39 june 37 may 31 april 38 march 36 february 44 january 51 2011 571 december 44 november 38 october 41 september 53 august 54 july 52 june 50 may 45 april 54 march 46 february 37 january 57 2010 361 december 51 november 43 october 47 september 43 august 35 july 39 june 31 may 9 april 8 march 12 february 23 january 20 2009 79 december 17 i hereby resolve gresham s law redux gresham s law like a coin samuelson surprise yesterday s newspaper says the missing puzzle piece clarity debt does not exist well this is depressing part four of three supply side economics jake jake on the growth of government part 1 of 3 on the growth of government part 2 of 3 on the growth of government part 3 of 3 jacob claus november 10 october 14 september 20 august 3 july 7 june 4 april 1 march 1 february 1 january 1 links the 12 pages pdf html scribd money as credit paul krugman john mason gavin kennedy crisis timeline 1 crisis timeline 2 statistical abstracts measuringworth bea economic accounts bls inflation jobs flow of funds debt st louis fed fred money stock 1947 58 economagic usgovernmentspending top tax rates recession dates corp taxes 2006 irs tax data pk sources historicalstatistics org historical charts perot charts mark wieczorek the secret economist econompic john williams sgs crystal bull aquinum s razor flavianopolis william f hummell ecometry the l curve businomics blog on banking crises cybereconomics tim duy like a father to me worthwhile canadian the skeptical optimist nextblog better of thought action the troublesome economist the candid blogger blended purple frozen arctic tundra truth addicts anon jbpeebles mayday books dredd blog dolor s rants the 40 year old freshman thinking on the margin redonomics broad oak unsettling economics irrational expectations theory2life prac spoiler tips vin s read more faq s image host a very nice menu www w3 schools bloogger help image test and t2 blogger sentral html color codes google translate link within a page supreme court jester dave ross 1 dave ross 2 organize your stuff interesting jim kardi teknomo numerical ignorance mental workout g scaled data g normalized data tufte data analysis arthurian website about me contact labels real is a calculation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1966 1970s growth 1986 2000 2013 revision 400k smoothing a call for better argument a little r n r accelerated repayment of debt accidental discoveries adjusting debt for inflation artish b is greater than a b h finte behavioral ec best put downs bullard s earthquake c d of wealth calculating labor share civ civilization coinage coping cost and productivity cost push cost push inflation credit efficiency crisis chronicles cycle of civilization debasement debt debt and context debt and inflation debt and recovery debt bulge debt good and bad debt is not credit debt productivity debt to gdp debt to gdp in comments def credit def debt def economic activity def financial cost def gdp def general equilibrium def inflation def inside money def investment def issue and reissue def laffer limit def outside money deflation demand pull inflation disarray dpd echoes economic forces economics v the economy eroc erosion of debt evolution of the excuse expectations factors failure s embrace fallacy of composition fcm fed policy federal spending feedback loops final spending financial cost financialization five words five digit years forget about debt fpi fred free banking era full disclosure fun with the mpc gang8 gds gold shortage gresham s law gross domestic spending growth rate calc growth phase growth historical revisionism hoarding hodrick prescott household debt hover craft how to pay for it humor because you might not know if i didn t say i couldn t sleep iceberg inflation introduction is it ego captain jerry says krugman laffer curve limits long and variable loops malaise matched set fekete math problems medium of account military spending milton friedman mmt money multiplier more debt than money is policy motives moving average new tools of policy non linear not only household debt oil parameters for debt pfi policy predicting recession price controls printing vs spending problem x productivity questions r reading and writing red and green reduction reviews scott sumner sequence 2 serfdom simulacron simulated evidence slack special report spreadsheeting stagflation standard deviation star trek stimulus sumner symmetry in deception taxes taylor rule the difference between debt and credit the economy is transaction the k r shift the long decline the supply side the tint knob they don t know timeline tongue in cheek tot ulc umic unsustainable urgency verdoorn waste fraud abuse withering shoots zoho the new arthurian economics copyright 2010 2018 arthur shipman thursday december 31 2009 i hereby resolve how to get out of debt in 10 that s the page one teaser in my local paper get out of debt story page 32 from page 32 get your financial house in order it may be difficult but it s not that complicated much of it is what our grandparents taught us don t owe a lot of money don t buy what you can t afford put something aside for a rainy day after the year the economy s had no doubt many people are making resolutions to get their own finances in order and really who could blame them read more posted by the arthurian at 5 36 pm 0 comments labels accelerated repayment of debt debt and recovery tuesday december 29 2009 gresham s law redux good money bad money not debased debased heavier lighter more valuable less valuable more expense less expense more costly cheaper reviewing the previous post one finds a number of ways to describe good and bad money see table at right these days we associate fiat money with inflation but the debasement of gold or silver coin also caused inflation and sometimes the debasement was government action the way printing money is government action but sometimes it was not sometimes the debasement was by the public people did it scraping a little gold off the edge of a coin before passing it on to the next guy today we worry about the government causing inflation we forget that given the chance people will also do things that cause inflation we forget that inflation may come from human nature if inflation is a natural result of human nature and you can t change human nature then the only way to avoid inflation is to put a device in the system to prevent it that may be one reason many people support the gold standard it s one reason that i do not totally reject the gold standard but that s not why i called this meeting read more posted by the arthurian at 10 39 am 0 comments labels gresham s law sunday december 27 2009 gresham s law this evening the wikipedia article gresham s law opens with this statement gresham s law is commonly stated bad money drives out good but more accurately stated bad money drives out good under legal tender laws well i never heard it put that way before the more accurate version is probably a twist of history inserted by the austrians you have to be careful with the economics in wikipedia the wik is full of austrianisms made to look like part of mainstream thought i ve heard the five words bad money drives out good i came looking for more because i wanted to know what gresham meant not what somebody wanted to make it sound like read more posted by the arthurian at 9 15 pm 1 comments labels gresham s law like a coin like a story there are two sides to every economic act for every buyer there is a seller for every borrower a lender for every dollar of debt a dollar of credit in use for every dollar received a dollar paid out for every purchase a sale the economy is transaction posted by the arthurian at 12 08 pm 0 comments sunday december 20 2009 samuelson excerpts from chapter 1 of paul samuelson s economics 1958 edition take a good look at the man on your right and the man on your left because next year one of you won t be here read more posted by the arthurian at 9 58 am 0 comments saturday december 19 2009 surprise yesterday s newspaper says slow going for stimulus funds by chris mckenna as construction grinds to a halt for the winter less than 40 percent of the 47 1 million in federal stimulus money budgeted for road bridge and sidewalk improvements in the region has trudged through bureaucratic obstacles to the contract stage state department of transportation figures show and only about 10 percent of the money has made it into the economy so far as incremental reimbursements to the contractors who are doing the work how many jobs the local road and bridge work has saved or created is impossible to say what i said read more posted by the arthurian at 11 44 am 0 comments labels stimulus the missing puzzle piece so i read this animal spirits post on john williams prediction of hyperinflation and it got me thinking we don t have an anti inflation policy anymore yeah we have the fed but the fed s policy these days seems to be to avoid deflation that s pro inflation policy what else have we got nothing we ve got fiscal policy which is always stimulative because the budget is never in balance and we ve got the tax code which is always pro growth or pro spending or pro investment but investment is spending and therefore pro inflation and we ve got the fed trying to keep prices from dropping no anti inflation policy read more posted by the arthurian at 3 47 am 2 comments friday december 18 2009 clarity this is a summary of the december 16 post the problem is debt we need to reduce debt read more posted by the arthurian at 10 03 am 0 comments wednesday december 16 2009 debt does not exist debt does not exist except as a measure of credit in use debt is an accounting of the use of credit if you borrow a dollar you put credit to use if you borrow a dollar and spend it the credit remains in use until you repay what you borrowed debt is just a measure of money borrowed the only way to reduce debt is to reduce credit in use read more posted by the arthurian at 2 49 am 2 comments labels new tools of policy saturday december 12 2009 well this is depressing in his 1995 book to renew america newt gingrich wrote the power of economic growth was driven home to me by a study that suggested that a 1 percent increase in our economic growth rate would shrink the federal deficit by 640 billion over the next seven years would increase federal tax revenues by 716 billion without a tax increase and that each and every adult citizen would earn 9 600 more than they would in the current growth projection in this world of merely 1 percent higher growth the social security trust fund never runs out of money read more posted by the arthurian at 8 07 pm 4 comments labels new tools of policy star trek part four of three you have to go where the numbers take you that s what i think but after i finished the first three posts of my on the growth of government series i realized that i could have achieved the same result by making just one adjustment to federal spending instead of three i adjusted for inflation population and living standards but in the living standards adjustment i had to disallow inflation and population because those adjustment were already made so i ended up using real gdp per capita if i didn t adjust for inflation separately i could use nominal gdp per capita and if i didn t adjust for population separately i could drop the per capita so now i want to look at federal spending growth again adjusted only for the growth of nominal gdp the accuracy will be much better i think using this approach using only one tweak i really don t see how this unified graph annual change in federal spending growth less annual change in nominal gdp can look like my final graph from part 3 because i ve heard too many horror stories of federal spending relative to gdp those stories always tell the tale of excessive federal spending okay so now it s even more important to do the new graph read more posted by the arthurian at 6 32 am 0 comments labels federal spending friday december 11 2009 supply side economics scouring a set of drawings for some key information i ran across this note at work read more posted by the arthurian at 9 07 pm 1 comments labels the supply side wednesday december 9 2009 jake jake awww read more posted by the arthurian at 8 49 pm 2 comments labels tot monday december 7 2009 on the growth of government part 1 of 3 if you run a business you ll probably compare this year s sales to last year s to see how much your business has grown if sales are up 6 you could say your business has grown 6 i want to look at government spending by that standard year over year change read more posted by the arthurian at 3 54 pm 0 comments labels federal spending on the growth of government part 2 of 3 if you run a business you may compare this year s sales to last year s to see how much your business has grown if sales are up 6 you could say your business has grown 6 but if prices went up 4 then really your business grew only 2 to get a better gauge of how much your business grew you have to adjust for inflation i want to look at government spending by that standard adjusted for inflation read more posted by the arthurian at 3 53 pm 0 comments labels federal spending on the growth of government part 3 of 3 so your business got 6 bigger but 4 was inflation and only 2 was growth you re not doing as well as you hoped so then how are you doing how does your business growth compare to your competition how does it compare with the economy overall and can we ask similar questions of government spending read more posted by the arthurian at 3 52 pm 0 comments labels federal spending tuesday december 1 2009 jacob claus my grandson at 12 weeks read more posted by the arthurian at 1 40 pm 0 comments labels tot newer posts older posts home subscribe to posts atom you can lead a horse to water but you can t make him drink stay thirsty my friends fred graphs federal reserve bank of st louis 2016 all rights r...
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