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rease even in the very early days of playing with sora it s been striking to many of us how open the playing field suddenly feels in particular the ability to put yourself and your friends into a video the team worked very hard on character consistency with the cameo feature is something we have really enjoyed during testing and is to many of us a surprisingly compelling new way to connect we also feel some trepidation social media has had some good effects on the world but it s also had some bad ones we are aware of how addictive a service like this could become and we can imagine many ways it could be used for bullying it is easy to imagine the degenerate case of ai video generation that ends up with us all being sucked into an rl optimized slop feed the team has put great care and thought into trying to figure out how to make a delightful product that doesn t fall into that trap and has come up with a number of promising ideas we will experiment in the early days of the product with different approaches in addition to the mitigations we have already put in place which include things like mitigations to prevent someone from misusing someone s likeness in deepfakes safeguards for disturbing or illegal content periodic checks on how sora is impacting users mood and wellbeing and more we are sure we will discover new things we need to do if sora becomes very successful to help guide us towards more of the good and less of the bad here are some principles we have for this product optimize for long term user satisfaction the majority of users looking back on the past 6 months should feel that their life is better for using sora that it would have been if they hadn t if that s not the case we will make significant changes and if we can t fix it we would discontinue offering the service encourage users to control their feed you should be able to tell sora what you want do you want to see videos that will make you more relaxed or more energized or only videos that fit a specific interest or only for a certain about of time eventually as our technology progresses you will be should to the tell sora what you want in detail in natural language however parental controls for teens include the ability to opt out of a personalized feed and other things like turning off dms prioritize creation we want to make it easy and rewarding for everyone to participate in the creation process we believe people are natural born creators and creating is important to our satisfaction help users achieve their long term goals we want to understand a user s true goals and help them achieve them if you want to be more connected to your friends we will try to help you with that if you want to get fit we can show you fitness content that will motivate you if you want to start a business we want to help teach you the skills you need and if you truly just want to doom scroll and be angry then ok we ll help you with that although we want users to spend time using the app if they think it s time well spent we don t want to be paternalistic about what that means to them up vote up voted 624 tweet posted abundant intelligence growth in the use of ai services has been astonishing we expect it to be even more astonishing going forward as ai gets smarter access to ai will be a fundamental driver of the economy and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right almost everyone will want more ai working on their behalf to be able to deliver what the world needs for inference compute to run these models and for training compute to keep making them better and better we are putting the groundwork in place to be able to significantly expand our ambitions for building out ai infrastructure if ai stays on the trajectory that we think it will then amazing things will be possible maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute ai can figure out how to cure cancer or with 10 gigawatts of compute ai can figure out how to provide customized tutoring to every student on earth if we are limited by compute we ll have to choose which one to prioritize no one wants to make that choice so let s go build our vision is simple we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new ai infrastructure every week the execution of this will be extremely difficult it will take us years to get to this milestone and it will require innovation at every level of the stack from chips to power to building to robotics but we have been hard at work on this and believe it is possible in our opinion it will be the coolest and most important infrastructure project ever we are particularly excited to build a lot of this in the us right now other countries are building things like chips fabs and new energy production much faster than we are and we want to help turn that tide over the next couple of months we ll be talking about some of our plans and the partners we are working with to make this a reality later this year we ll talk about how we are financing it given how increasing compute is the literal key to increasing revenue we have some interesting new ideas up vote up voted 1223 tweet posted jakub and szymon ai has gotten remarkably better in recent years chatgpt can do amazing things that we take for granted this is as it should be and is the story of human progress but behind the blinking circle nicely abstracted away is the greatest story of human ingenuity i have ever seen a lot of people have worked unbelievably hard to discover how to build something that most experts thought was impossible on this timeframe and to build a company to deliver products at massive scale to let people benefit from it most people who use chatgpt will never think about the people that put so much work into it which is totally ok but just to take a minute of your time there are two people i d like to mention that openai would not be openai without jakub pachocki and szymon sidor time and again they combine research and engineering to solve impossible problems they have not gotten enough public credit but they decided to scale up rl as a baseline to see where it broke when the conventional wisdom was that it didn t scale which led to our dota result built much of the infrastructure that enabled a lot of our scientific discoveries led gpt 4 pretraining drove together with ilya and lukasz the initial ideas that led to the reasoning breakthrough and have made significant progress exploring new paradigms jakub is our chief scientist he once described szymon as indefatigable which is as perfect of a use of that word as i have ever heard openai has not yet thrown a problem at them they have not been able to solve i have heard about partnerships like there is research labs of the past where two people are able to complement each other so well but it is very special to get to watch it unfold over the years up vote up voted 928 tweet posted the gentle singularity we are past the event horizon the takeoff has started humanity is close to building digital superintelligence and at least so far it s much less weird than it seems like it should be robots are not yet walking the streets nor are most of us talking to ai all day people still die of disease we still can t easily go to space and there is a lot about the universe we don t understand and yet we have recently built systems that are smarter than people in many ways and are able to significantly amplify the output of people using them the least likely part of the work is behind us the scientific insights that got us to systems like gpt 4 and o3 were hard won but will take us very far ai will contribute to the world in many ways but the gains to quality of life from ai driving faster scientific progress and increased productivity will be enormous the future can be vastly better than the present scientific progress is the biggest driver of overall progress it s hugely exciting to think about how much more we could have in some big sense chatgpt is already more powerful than any human who has ever lived hundreds of millions of people rely on it every day and for increasingly important tasks a small new capability can create a hugely positive impact a small misalignment multiplied by hundreds of millions of people can cause a great deal of negative impact 2025 has seen the arrival of agents that can do real cognitive work writing computer code will never be the same 2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world a lot more people will be able to create software and art but the world wants a lot more of both and experts will probably still be much better than novices as long as they embrace the new tools generally speaking the ability for one person to get much more done in 2030 than they could in 2020 will be a striking change and one many people will figure out how to benefit from in the most important ways the 2030s may not be wildly different people will still love their families express their creativity play games and swim in lakes but in still very important ways the 2030s are likely going to be wildly different from any time that has come before we do not know how far beyond human level intelligence we can go but we are about to find out in the 2030s intelligence and energy ideas and the ability to make ideas happen are going to become wildly abundant these two have been the fundamental limiters on human progress for a long time with abundant intelligence and energy and good governance we can theoretically have anything else already we live with incredible digital intelligence and after some initial shock most of us are pretty used to it very quickly we go from being amazed that ai can generate a beautifully written paragraph to wondering when it can generate a beautifully written novel or from being amazed that it can make live saving medical diagnoses to wondering when it can develop the cures or from being amazed it can create a small computer program to wondering when it can create an entire new company this is how the singularity goes wonders become routine and then table stakes we already hear from scientists that they are two or three times more productive than they were before ai advanced ai is interesting for many reasons but perhaps nothing is quite as significant as the fact that we can use it to do faster ai research we may be able to discover new computing substrates better algorithms and who knows what else if we can do a decade s worth of research in a year or a month then the rate of progress will obviously be quite different from here on the tools we have already built will help us find further scientific insights and aid us in creating better ai systems of course this isn t the same thing as an ai system completely autonomously updating its own code but nevertheless this is a larval version of recursive self improvement there are other self reinforcing loops at play the economic value creation has started a flywheel of compounding infrastructure buildout to run these increasingly powerful ai systems and robots that can build other robots and in some sense datacenters that can build other datacenters aren t that far off if we have to make the first million humanoid robots the old fashioned way but then they can operate the entire supply chain digging and refining minerals driving trucks running factories etc to build more robots which can build more chip fabrication facilities data centers etc then the rate of progress will obviously be quite different as datacenter production gets automated the cost of intelligence should eventually converge to near the cost of electricity people are often curious about how much energy a chatgpt query uses the average query uses about 0 34 watt hours about what an oven would use in a little over one second or a high efficiency lightbulb would use in a couple of minutes it also uses about 0 000085 gallons of water roughly one fifteenth of a teaspoon the rate of technological progress will keep accelerating and it will continue to be the case that people are capable of adapting to almost anything there will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before we probably won t adopt a new social contract all at once but when we look back in a few decades the gradual changes will have amounted to something big if history is any guide we will figure out new things to do and new things to want and assimilate new tools quickly job change after the industrial revolution is a good recent example expectations will go up but capabilities will go up equally quickly and we ll all get better stuff we will build ever more wonderful things for each other people have a long term important and curious advantage over ai we are hard wired to care about other people and what they think and do and we don t care very much about machines a subsistence farmer from a thousand years ago would look at what many of us do and say we have fake jobs and think that we are just playing games to entertain ourselves since we have plenty of food and unimaginable luxuries i hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs and i have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them the rate of new wonders being achieved will be immense it s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035 maybe we will go from solving high energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year or from a major materials science breakthrough one year to true high bandwidth brain computer interfaces the next year many people will choose to live their lives in much the same way but at least some people will probably decide to plug in looking forward this sounds hard to wrap our heads around but probably living through it will feel impressive but manageable from a relativistic perspective the singularity happens bit by bit and the merge happens slowly we are climbing the long arc of exponential technological progress it always looks vertical looking forward and flat going backwards but it s one smooth curve think back to 2020 and what it would have sounded like to have something close to agi by 2025 versus what the last 5 years have actually been like there are serious challenges to confront along with the huge upsides we do need to solve the safety issues technically and societally but then it s critically important to widely distribute access to superintelligence given the economic implications the best path forward might be something like solve the alignment problem meaning that we can robustly guarantee that we get ai systems to learn and act towards what we collectively really want over the long term social media feeds are an example of misaligned ai the algorithms that power those ar...
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