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description= 7 posts published by moctavio during January 2016;
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the (482), and (138), that (91), not (80), for (62), this (49), are (46), has (44), but (43), can (42), was (42), you (37), which (34), will (34), economic (34), #venezuela (33), there (33), with (32), have (31), what (30), they (30), from (27), #assembly (27), january (25), all (25), some (25), may (22), opposition (22), more (20), about (19), new (19), how (19), been (19), only (19), 2016 (18), people (18), even (18), july (17), chavismo (17), were (17), ships (17), march (16), time (16), who (16), maduro (16), october (15), november (15), february (15), april (15), 2014 (15), country (15), august (14), september (14), december (14), june (14), 2015 (14), government (14), did (14), day (14), first (14), its (14), see (14), national (14), when (14), picture (14), now (13), 2006 (13), 2008 (13), would (13), years (13), last (13), one (13), produce (13), other (12), 2003 (12), 2004 (12), 2005 (12), 2007 (12), 2009 (12), 2010 (12), 2011 (12), 2012 (12), 2013 (12), hall (12), get (12), 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right because it seems that all the government has done in 15 years is do exactly that and the results are sort of lacking more than sort of but let s be magnanimous proposal 3 not everything is a matter of engines it is also a matter of actors the democratization of the production system is a necessary and sufficient condition in the new economic era because it is the only way to break the current oligopolistic dependence the communal power must be essential pivot in the new economic order both productive and distributive issue and marketer the commune has to stop being economically marginal the output is certainly not a neoliberal communal output uff as someone once said como se come eso how do you eat that stuff first of all we are talking about a crisis that needs to be resolved today not in five years people need to eat for example people in the communes are concerned about making ends meet getting stuff that they can t get standing in line and surviving under current hardships what are you going to do bring a whiteboard telling they have to produce milk meat tomatoes mangoes chickens and rice has this guy ever considered how it is different to breed cows in the tropics or to grow any sort of plant does he know about how the government nationalized and destroyed agroisleña the only provider of technical advise seeds and even funding to the small producers in order for the communes to get into any of this productive stuff you would need to return agroisleña now agropatria to its original shape before you can even think about educating teaching and training the communes to produce really basic stuff and the government that destroyed it is supposed to do it really to say nothing of obtaining the required medicines and vitamins to grow a healthy chicken which have been lacking for months even to producers that have the money to say nothing of being able to buy the cows that can produce milk in the tropics feed for them and the medicines for when they are ill all very long term and you need a lot of money if you ask me 4 we must avoid falling into the neoliberal trap to address the issue of foreign exchange from the exclusive focus of the nominal value is it important to discuss the exchange rate yes as long as previously defined what the new currency allocation matrix at a time of scarce foreign exchange it is crucial to choose how they will plant to flower currencies other real economy in the shortest possible time it requires a kind of acupuncture so he is they will be given an anti inflationary productive use and pro growth to the available foreign currency the neoliberal trap of focusing on the nominal value is because keeping the nominal value artificially and incredibly low is what has given rise to the biggest corruption racket and trap in the history of venezuela and dozens of billions of dollars lost to government officials as well as to exports to colombia which the government has for years been unable to stop again will we have martians running this does mr serrano even understand what is happening in venezuela every day and how inefficient corrupt and incompetent chavismo has been in the face of all these distortions i will skip 5 but here is 6 6 faced with restrictions outside it is essential to make progress on tax sovereignty there is enough room to do a tax revolution based on principles of social justice it must implement a plan to combat fraud and tax evasion it needs to raise in whatever it takes to ensure social and productive investment and preventing external shock has negative impact internally really who will pay this tax social justice when professionals make less than 30 a month again who will pay companies which ones what is the magnitude of this revolution or uncollected tax does mr serrano understand even who pays taxes in venezuela does he know the cutoff for yearly income to pay or not taxes does he know that banks make money by buying tax free bonds from the government which will be impossible to sell if they were not tax free really with an economy with a 10 gdp contraction the solution is a tax revolution please and the best is the last point i dont know where mr serrano has been but here is point 7 7 another answer is to return to the regional path effectively it would surely trigger special margin sucre plans to import priority goods bypassing the dollar it is essential also import new paths without dollar mercosur with some compensatory methods while a new map of investment is achieved from the region well i will not even comment on this the regional path enough said wonder what macri thinks but i have to wonder has this guy ever been in venezuela for any length of time posted in uncategorized 32 comments some steps forward and some back in venezuela january 17 2016 it has been six weeks since the opposition won the parliamentary election and many things have happened but i do not really want to give you a blow by blow analysis of what happens or is happening in the country but rather try to see and understand the overall picture thus i did not report on the details of maduro s speech to the assembly or many other topics which some may think require some commentary but i think is more important to report on the overall picture of the country six weeks after the elections and what i can say is that there has certainly been some progress some steps forward but the whole picture is still lacking as the country seems to be drifting into a crisis with probably more steps forwards than backwards but too much uncertainty still present in the country to begin with i don t think either side has understood well the message the voters sent in dec 6th on the one hand the maduro administration has not understood that the vote against it represents a vote against the consequence of its badly mismanaged economic policies despite this it continues on a path to radicalize the country blame the economic war all of which will bring little economic benefit precisely the only thing the voters wanted him to pay attention to the opposition on the other hand seems to be understanding its victory as a mandate to get rid of maduro which is probably why most opposition voters cast their vote for but as i have discussed previously the in between both the ni ni s who don t belong to either side and the pro chavista voters were casting a vote to punish chavismo but not necessarily because the opposition electrifies them and wants them to run the country so far the opposition has said little in how it intends to deal with economic problems true it is little that the assembly can do on economic matters but this does not mean that it can not make proposals or counter proposals of which it has done little on these matters perhaps the only exception is the bill to give ownership to the mision vivienda homes which was repudiated by chavismo perhaps the most positive thing to has happened is that there has been acceptance of the victory by the opposition even if this has been a reluctant acceptance or not it is there whether thanks to the military or not the opposition found the need for security the first day the deputies were sworn in at the assembly but the routine of at least bi weekly sessions is such that the last time the assembly met in a regular session there were no significant security forces outside the assembly building the same inside where reporters and public can now go in without much hassle this represents some semblance of the return of normal democratic life to the country a huge advancement and this return to normalcy is also present in an increased access to the media by the opposition even if vtv did not want to show ramus allup a negative nomination on which i have opined sufficiently it had no other recourse but to show his speech right after maduro s speech by now some of the old new media such as globovision has begun to hedge it bets increasing its coverage of the opposition more democracy can only be good i think it was a negative for the opposition to go back on the swearing in of the three questioned amazonas deputies it should not have done so if it was not willing to go constitutional conflict on the terrible decision by the electoral hall of the court given the 45 thousand plus decisions in a row by the court in the last 15 years it should not have expected anything else while it was a puzzle why amazonas was picked given how close elections were there the truth may have been revealed this week when it was noted that some chavista deputies have requested the supreme court interpret whether the indigenous representatives to the assembly should be elected by the population of those states at large or only the indigenous population curiously the opposition had raised this issue in the past only to be denied even when chavismo dominated that vote chavismo probably thinks that it can win one of the three assembly members with this trick and deny the 2 majority to the opposition but i doubt it unfortunately maduro did not understand the message about the economy and seems to still be clueless at this time since dec 6th oil has dropped by about us 8 per barrel somewhat less for venezuela s oil basket but the venezuelan president did not mention any concrete measures in his state of the union address and his economic emergency bill only include the possibility of more expropriations despite the dismal failure by chavismo with them over the last 16 years he did say gasoline prices should be increased a decision which is solely in his hands he should talk less and do something and with oil under 30 per barrel less than us 23 for the venezuelan basket this means that foreign currency revenues for the country will be under 50 of what they were during 2015 and as venezuelans line up for food medicines and even to have their deodorant refilled one has to ponder how awful things will get in the upcoming months posted in uncategorized 20 comments first constitutional crisis as supreme court s electoral hall attempts to freeze venezuelan national assembly january 11 2016 well sooner than you could say henry ramos the first big constitutional crisis exploded today in venezuela as the electoral hall made a ruling that sets up a huge confrontation between powers the hall ruled 1 the venezuelan national assembly is in contempt of the court for not obeying its decision to not swear in the deputies from amazonas state 2 because of this says the electoral hall any decision made by the assembly so far and in the future is completely illegal 3 the court orders the national assembly to immediately disincorporate the three deputies the decision is quite bizarre in too many ways but what do you expect from justices some of whom do not qualify to hold the position and violate the law in many cases as they were card carrying members of chavismo s party psuv first of all the legal concept of taking away the proclamation of a deputy does not exist moreover there are precedents for this which are not even mentioned in the decision by the same hall and the constitutional hall of the venezuelan supreme court second once proclaimed according to the venezuelan constitution only the national assembly itself can qualify a deputy nobody else can least of all the electoral hall of the supreme court which only rules on electoral matters once the electoral board proclaimed the candidate this is no longer an electoral matter the same applies to nullifying acts by the national assembly it is not the role of the electoral hall to nullify such acts least of all future acts an absurd legal concept maybe these justices do not understand that the electoral hall rules on electoral matters no on matters which should be the realm if at all of the constitutional hall of the national assembly finally it is sort of stupid to rule invalid decisions by the national assembly that are taken without the three questioned deputies participating in the vote if they had nothing to do with the decision there was nothing illegal about it but the real conflict arises and will explode now for the simple reason that the national assembly can simply not accept the decision for political reasons since the decisions are illegal backing down would imply that the court would simply stop the elected national assembly from doing anything in the future and the key word here is elected a court that was not elected by popular vote and under questionable circumstances from a legal point of view can not pretend to be above the popularly elected national assembly moreover i think the national assembly has no other recourse but begin proceedings against the same justices something that they can do thus we go into an infinite loop of non recognition of one by the other who will be the referee in such a battle meanwhile the economy gets worse the price of oil goes down and the maduro government devotes itself to talking about the removal of chávez pictures form the national assembly building clearly there is no interest in attacking the economic problems and distortions even more clearly there is no intention in recognizing the qualified majority obtained by the opposition who was it that said chavismo was democratic yeah sure posted in uncategorized 31 comments santero economists take over economic policy in venezuela january 7 2016 organizational chart for the new venezuelan cabinet named by president maduro in july i suggested that even with the upcoming elections santero economics the peculiar form of economic management that has taken over venezuela since maduro got to power would not go away with the legislative elections yesterday president maduro named his new cabinet chart above there are so many ministers that it is essentially unreadable and it is clear from it that the santeros have taken over what maduro did was to make luis salas vice president for the economy salas is the center piece of the santero economic team as he represents one third of the group together with tony boza and alfredo serrano who is not venezuelan that has kidnapped maduro s economic mind yes it s meant to be cynical over the last three years there are some positives like naming economist rodolfo medina to the ministry of finance medina is a professor of econometrics at central university he is no milton friedman but at least he knows and understands traditional economic theory he is accompanied by jesus farias a communist economist who at least has been proposing that there should be a single exchange rate who will be the new minister of foreign trade and international investment a newly created post which only proves the level of ignorance involved in forming the cabinet uber leftists ricardo menendez remains in the post of minister of planning one of the first problems of this team is precisely the level of incoherence involved how will medina a practicing economist talk to salas a 100 santero economist how will farías argue with salas when salas is against many of the idea...
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