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future of humanity institute menu street address city state zip phone number your custom text here 2005 2024 established in 2005 initially for a 3 year period the future of humanity institute was a multidisciplinary research group at oxford university it was founded by prof nick bostrom and brought together a select set of researchers from disciplines such as philosophy computer science mathematics and economics to study big picture questions for human civilization attempting to shield them from ordinary academic pressures and create an organizational culture conducive to creativity and intellectual progress during its 19 year existence the team at fhi made a series of research contributions that helped change our conversation about the future and contributed to the creation of several new fields and paradigms fhi was involved in the germination of a wide range of ideas including existential risk effective altruism longtermism ai alignment ai governance global catastrophic risk grand futures information hazards the unilateralist s curse and moral uncertainty it also did significant work on anthropics human enhancement ethics systemic risk modeling forecasting and prediction markets the search for extraterrestrial intelligence and on the attributes and strategic implications of key future technologies one major contribution was in showing that it was even possible to do rigorous research on big picture questions about humanity s future over time fhi faced increasing administrative headwinds within the faculty of philosophy the institute s organizational home starting in 2020 the faculty imposed a freeze on fundraising and hiring in late 2023 the faculty of philosophy decided that the contracts of the remaining fhi staff would not be renewed on 16 april 2024 the institute was closed down over the course of its nineteen years fhi inspired the emergence of a vibrant ecosystem of organizations where the kinds of questions that fhi investigated can be explored fhi alumni will continue to research these questions both within oxford and at other places around the world topics that once struggled to eke out a precarious existence at the margins of a single philosophy department are now pursued by leading ai labs government agencies nonprofits and specialized academic research centers with many more in the process of creation resources fhi s final tech report an oral history of the institute a collection of fhi s technical reports and other online pieces historical snapshots of fhi s official website at the internet archive an extensive list of articles by fhi or mentioning fhi via google scholar a magazine article by journalist tom ough about the history of fhi an in depth chapter about fhi from tom ough s book the anti catastrophe league fhi books global catastrophic risks nick bostrom and milan ćirković eds 2008 human enhancement julian savulescu and nick bostrom eds 2009 radical abundance how a revolution in nanotechnology will change civilization eric drexler 2013 superintelligence paths dangers strategies nick bostrom 2014 the precipice existential risk and the future of humanity toby ord 2020 moral uncertainty william macaskill krister bykvist and toby ord 2020 deep utopia life and meaning in a solved world nick bostrom 2024 key fhi papers existential and catastrophic risk existential risks analyzing human extinction scenarios and related hazards nick bostrom 2002 pre fhi astronomical waste the opportunity cost of delayed technological development nick bostrom 2003 pre fhi how unlikely is a doomsday catastrophe max tegmark and nick bostrom 2005 what is a singleton nick bostrom 2005 where are they why i hope the search for extraterrestrial life finds nothing nick bostrom 2008 probing the improbable methodological challenges for risks with low probabilities and high stakes toby ord rafaela hillerbrand and anders sandberg 2010 anthropic shadow observation selection effects and human extinction risks milan ćirković anders sandberg and nick bostrom 2010 information hazards nick bostrom 2011 existential risk prevention as global priority nick bostrom 2013 how much could refuges help us recover from a global catastrophe nick beckstead 2015 existential risk and existential hope definitions owen cotton barratt and toby ord 2015 the unilateralist s curse and the case for a principle of conformity nick bostrom thomas douglas and anders sandberg 2016 an upper bound for the background rate of human extinction andrew snyder beattie toby ord and michael bonsall 2019 the vulnerable world hypothesis nick bostrom 2019 the lifespan of civilizations do societies age or is collapse just bad luck anders sandberg 2023 ai safety thinking inside the box controlling and using an oracle ai stuart armstrong anders sandberg and nick bostrom 2012 the superintelligent will motivation and instrumental rationality in advanced artificial agents nick bostrom 2012 safely interruptible agents laurent orseau and stuart armstrong 2016 future progress in artificial intelligence a survey of expert opinion vincent müller and nick bostrom 2016 modeling agents with probabilistic programs owain evans et al 2017 when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts katja grace et al 2018 reframing superintelligence comprehensive ai services as general intelligence eric drexler 2019 truthful ai developing and governing ai that does not lie owain evans et al 2021 ai governance racing to the precipice a model of artificial intelligence development stuart armstrong carl shulman and nick bostrom 2013 strategic implications of openness in ai development nick bostrom 2017 ai governance a research agenda allan dafoe 2018 the malicious use of artificial intelligence forecasting prevention and mitigation miles brundage et al 2018 beyond privacy trade offs with structured transparency andrew trask et al 2020 the windfall clause distributing the benefits of ai for the common good cullen o keefe et al 2020 institutionalizing ethics in ai through broader impact requirements carina prunkl et al 2021 international control of powerful technology lessons from the baruch plan for nuclear weapons waqar zaidi and allan dafoe 2021 lessons from the development of the atomic bomb toby ord 2022 digital minds quantity of experience brain duplication and degrees of consciousness nick bostrom 2006 propositions concerning digital minds and society nick bostrom and carl shulman 2022 consciousness in artificial intelligence insights from the science of consciousness patrick butlin et al 2023 biological risk information hazards in biotechnology gregory lewis et al 2019 the biosecurity benefits of genetic engineering attribution gregory lewis et al 2020 high risk human caused pathogen exposure events from 1975 2016 david manheim and gregory lewis 2021 inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against covid 19 jan brauner et al 2021 human enhancement the fable of the dragon tyrant nick bostrom 2005 the reversal test nick bostrom and toby ord 2006 the wisdom of nature an evolutionary heuristic for human enhancement nick bostrom and anders sandberg 2009 the superintelligent will motivation and instrumental rationality in advanced artificial agents nick bostrom 2012 embryo selection for cognitive enhancement curiosity or game changer carl shulman and nick bostrom 2014 moral uncertainty statistical normalization methods in interpersonal and intertheoretic comparisons william macaskill owen cotton barratt and toby ord 2020 why maximize expected choice worthiness william macaskill and toby ord 2020 effective altruism the moral imperative towards cost effectiveness in global health toby ord 2013 global poverty and the demands of morality toby ord 2014 moral trade toby ord 2015 grand futures eternity in six hours intergalactic spreading of intelligent life and sharpening the fermi paradox stuart armstrong and anders sandberg 2013 that is not dead which can eternal lie the aestivation hypothesis for resolving fermi s paradox anders sandberg stuart armstrong and milan ćirković 2016 dissolving the fermi paradox anders sandberg eric drexler and toby ord 2018 the edges of our universe toby ord 2021 the timing of evolutionary transitions suggests intelligent life is rare andrew snyder beattie et al 2021 longtermism shaping humanity s longterm trajectory toby ord 2023 the lindy effect toby ord 2023 ethical theory beyond action applying consequentialism to decision making and motivation toby ord 2009 pascal s mugging nick bostrom 2009 infinite ethics nick bostrom 2011 other topics are you living in a computer simulation nick bostrom 2003 pre fhi whole brain emulation a roadmap anders sandberg and nick bostrom 2008 crucial considerations and wise philanthropy nick bostrom 2014