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the day s action a green arrow the other indexes were slightly in the red today with the ru2000 getting the worst of it a day of reckoning is coming and after the ultimate all time hi whenever that is the market will have lo to negative returns for a decade or more it might be in two years i don t think it s in two weeks elliott waver avi gilburt is giving it 2 years or more of robust gains for now though enjoy the ride changes dji30 0 20 sp500 0 06 nasdaq 0 34 russell 2000 0 72 dji30 closings 02 15 19 25883 02 14 20 29398 01 15 21 30814 02 16 21 31522 nyse internals a d 1515 1745 0 87 a d vol 1 41 new hi lo 382 9 42 44 wednesday february 17 2021 read more posted by jazzbumpa at 7 37 pm no comments thursday february 11 2021 the fed is not as powerful as you think it s been almost 9 years since i wrote this post at angry bear i ll admit that the idea isn t original i got it from elliott wave international but my own look at the data confirmed it the fed does not control short term interest rates the fed sets the federal funds rate but this is a close follower of 3 month t bill rates which are set by an open market auction the ffr always lags 3 mo t bills and never leads the lag can be very short or as much as 4 months at major turning points now i see another elliott waver making this same point and providing these graphs posted by jazzbumpa at 7 17 pm no comments labels economics interest rates the evil of the right wing i ve said repeatedly and for years that trump is what the rethugs have wanted for years this is why they stick with him now he is them what attracts the trump follower at this late date is not any sort of conservative value system but rather his crudeness his cruelty his racism his sexism his contempt for social and political norms and likely even his ignorance conservatism at it s best is never too far from authoritarianism and can easily devolve into this kind of demented right wingery people say the conflict is not left right but rather decent indecent but right now and perhaps always indecent far right it has never been about trump per se but rather about whatever cipher could represent the evil and ugliness of the right wing raw id perhaps trump is uniquely suited because he is negatively charismatic in a way that appeals to these deplorables but it was never about trump the person it was always about trump as a symbol of what a certain class of right wing extremist wants and needs more here posted by jazzbumpa at 12 07 pm no comments monday february 8 2021 taking stock week of february 8 2021 monday february 8 2021 green arrow up dji30 index at the close 31 385 76 237 52 0 76 the index opened at 31191 up 43 points i reached 31359 short y after 10 00 there was slump hitting 21240 before noon followed by sideways motion staying below 31310 until 3 30 it then rose with a 50 point spike in the last 3 minutes on a volume surge to close within 1 point of the hi this is a clearly up day with the hi and lo up by 134 and 108 points respectively these are not big numbers but the index did burst through to new all time intra day and closing highs so that has to be acknowledged with that out of the way the sky is now the limit this market is overvalued by any rational measure you can think of but none of that matters since the market is fueled by emotion i think there is now new hope in the air with the loathsome trump regime in the rear view mirror and vaccines stimulus money and reopening on the horizon these things are anticipated and imho the anticipated effects over blown but here we are i bought a basket of hi yielding and or hi dividend growth issues today my hope is that they will continue to pump out cash and weather whatever down turns may be ahead of us changes dji30 0 76 sp500 0 74 nasdaq _ 0 93 russell 2000 2 53 dji30 closings 02 08 19 25106 02 07 20 29103 01 08 20 30174 02 08 21 31386 nyse internals a d 2353 861 2 73 a d vol 2 95 new hi lo 315 2 157 50 tuesday february 9 2021 read more posted by jazzbumpa at 7 36 pm no comments labels stock market tuesday february 2 2021 taking stock week of february 1 2021 monday february 1 2021 yellow arrow sideways dji30 index at the close 30 211 91 229 29 0 76 the index opened at 30055 up 72 points it dropped 40 points to 30315 before 10 00 and bounced off lows in that range several times before rising to 30250 up 232 at 11 45 it stayed above 30200 and below 30270 until 2 15 when it rose hitting 30336 up 353 at 2 45 from there it was a bumpy 124 point slide into the close including a 55 point drop in the last 6 minutes on a volume spike this is an inside day with the the hi lower by 218 points and the lo higher by 229 hence the yellow arrow the 320 point spread is well centered in friday s 798 the 229 point rise is rather anemic given the 1400 point drop 4 5 from the 1 21 all time hi to friday s lo momentum is still sharply down this looks very much like a counter current move and i think the main trend is still down the drop in the day s last 1 hour is consistent with this idea for what it s worth the other indexes has significantly larger gains today changes dji30 0 76 sp500 1 61 nasdaq 2 55 russell 2000 2 53 dji30 closings 02 01 19 25064 01 31 20 28256 12 31 20 30606 02 01 21 30212 nyse internals a d 2522 702 3 59 a d vol 4 40 new hi lo 89 2 44 5 tuesday february 2 2021 read more posted by jazzbumpa at 7 09 pm no comments newer posts older posts home subscribe to posts atom change in plans no 2 stock market musings are now located at amateur elliott amateur elliott welcome readers i know you re out there come on say something topic label list and links are at the bottom of this column have fun disclaimer do i need to point out that i am not a financial adviser registered stock analyst or anything other than a guy playing with ideas for his own amusement get your own data do your own thinking make your own decisions i am not telling anybody to do anything with even a single penny of their assets happy speculating gold via www kitco com change in plans starting sunday feb 6 2010 light hearted stuff has been moved to a new blog if you are meant to find it you probably will if you need directions write me meanwhile the heavy hearted and heavy handed stuff stays here cheers jzb rules of engagement over at angry bear mike kimel has posted a list of things to think about if you want to be taken seriously it might be worth your time to check it out a few are specific to his situation most are not examples 1 don t cite authority as proof 2 get your data from a reputable source 7 do not argue by assertion 15 time moves in a single direction about me jazzbumpa somewhere great lakes basin united states mediocre trombonist excellent grandfather reasonably decent husband concerned thinking citizen left leaning pseudo intellectual shallow analytical thinker versifier parodist snarkmeister amateur philologist grey haired old man occasional cook congenital smart ass view my complete profile about 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