Meta tags:

Headings (most frequently used words):

2009, stimulus, the, it, not, 000, new, arthurian, economics, saturday, july, debt, accumulation, google, translate, blog, archive, links, labels, january, 2010, december, 19, wednesday, tuesday, sunday, february, 15, that, complicated, surprise, yesterday, newspaper, says, time, is, money, 787b, fiddling, while, rome, burns, context, for, obama, 787, 00, package,

Text of the page (most frequently used words):
the (151), and (48), #stimulus (39), that (34), debt (28), for (20), not (20), has (20), spending (15), economic (15), economy (15), money (14), you (13), than (13), but (12), how (12), with (12), been (12), january (12), krugman (12), july (12), def (12), february (11), this (11), all (10), june (10), says (10), october (10), december (10), arthurian (9), bartlett (9), march (9), april (9), august (9), september (9), november (9), may (9), more (8), will (8), 2009 (8), brauwer (8), most (8), program (8), work (8), what (8), posts (7), comments (7), 000 (7), would (7), new (7), obama (7), from (7), policy (7), inflation (7), labels (6), posted (6), read (6), there (6), 787b (6), have (6), one (6), worse (6), brouwer (6), said (6), credit (6), cost (6), federal (5), can (5), his (5), million (5), much (5), john (5), government (5), then (5), effect (5), say (5), existing (5), implemented (5), unemployment (5), recession (5), thought (5), see (5), about (5), only (5), cochrane (5), they (5), economics (5), growth (5), louis (4), fred (4), know (4), keynes (4), number (4), current (4), now (4), year (4), article (4), 2010 (4), funds (4), quoting (4), must (4), out (4), fact (4), yet (4), problem (4), time (4), was (4), interesting (4), post (4), could (4), false (4), showing (4), economist (4), transaction (4), back (4), stuff (4), gdp (4), data (4), here (4), fed (3), make (3), pay (3), 400 (3), monthly (3), going (3), measure (3), recovery (3), times (3), package (3), end (3), less (3), quarter (3), activity (3), while (3), delivered (3), people (3), update (3), results (3), didn (3), chart (3), made (3), almost (3), evidence (3), obvious (3), little (3), jerry (3), paid (3), way (3), into (3), blogger (3), two (3), charts (3), percent (3), show (3), are (3), ago (3), tobin (3), story (3), idea (3), spur (3), thing (3), add (3), want (3), count (3), various (3), timeline (3), long (3), productivity (3), household (3), financial (3), crisis (3), labor (3), share (3), better (3), page (3), blog (3), graphs (2), reserve (2), bank (2), 2016 (2), org (2), lead (2), him (2), urgency (2), don (2), national (2), income (2), per (2), cent (2), decline (2), 200 (2), probably (2), should (2), quite (2), business (2), set (2), direct (2), part (2), york (2), context (2), withering (2), shoots (2), just (2), efficiency (2), spent (2), even (2), 2011 (2), immediacy (2), essence (2), allow (2), bruce (2), whole (2), immediate (2), surge (2), course (2), promised (2), really (2), expected (2), when (2), fix (2), too (2), impatience (2), point (2), another (2), grave (2), first (2), their (2), policies (2), shows (2), well (2), because (2), might (2), look (2), wants (2), situation (2), sense (2), matter (2), looks (2), like (2), graph (2), reduction (2), projected (2), second (2), call (2), seen (2), before (2), paul (2), yeah (2), however (2), created (2), site (2), where (2), lists (2), thinking (2), today (2), since (2), law (2), some (2), artish (2), road (2), bridge (2), jobs (2), saturday (2), bloomberg (2), discredited (2), decades (2), shopping (2), such (2), use (2), dollar (2), complicated (2), friedman (2), finance (2), investing (2), theory (2), fairy (2), tales (2), very (2), them (2), issue (2), frozen (2), label (2), 2018 (2), taxes (2), sumner (2), price (2), non (2), loops (2), laffer (2), curve (2), historical (2), banking (2), five (2), expectations (2), investment (2), civilization (2), push (2), wealth (2), 2013 (2), 1966 (2), dave (2), ross (2), image (2), google (2), translate (2), html (2), tax (2), rates (2), pdf (2), apparently (2), interest (2), stand (2), venn (2), rights, reserved, appear, courtesy, http, research, stlouisfed, fred2, horse, water, drink, stay, thirsty, friends, subscribe, atom, home, older, came, figure, easy, enough, scale, fit, four, hundred, dollars, aggregate, emergency, expenditure, declining, ground, already, gained, lost, were, rise, confident, strong, revival, autumn, six, months, least, achieved, mainly, depend, degree, production, deliberately, applied, administration, 1934, edition, appeared, maynard, wrote, 787, sunday, discretionary, highways, mass, transit, energy, other, programmes, involving, purchases, fiscal, half, disbursed, unspent, close, closes, god, purpose, create, cannot, declines, further, achieve, equivalent, bigger, wait, after, points, hasn, answer, sufficient, address, bang, buck, truly, wasted, anticipated, congress, settled, small, give, clear, quotes, mistake, justified, extraordinary, circumstances, given, adoption, presents, skyrocketing, obviously, depression, lot, predictions, idunno, implementing, own, agenda, does, prove, wrong, ing, quibbling, wouldn, positive, had, begin, statement, true, optimistic, effects, economists, immediately, totally, likely, without, flies, eyes, reason, completely, misses, watch, gadget, son, perhaps, right, our, comes, joe, biden, gov, total, identifies, day, recipient, reporting, begins, counts, distributed, big, bureaucracy, smaller, bureaucracies, elsewhere, offices, drawing, shovel, ready, projects, doubting, any, found, its, shovels, plan, hardly, 140, days, president, signed, bill, allocated, despite, nobel, laureate, columnist, advocating, opens, observation, mish, mosh, mix, skimming, soup, tale, kurt, alerts, seeking, alpha, include, gem, fiddling, rome, burns, tuesday, ain, wednesday, construction, grinds, halt, winter, budgeted, sidewalk, improvements, region, trudged, through, bureaucratic, obstacles, contract, stage, state, department, transportation, figures, far, incremental, reimbursements, contractors, who, doing, many, local, saved, impossible, chris, mckenna, slow, surprise, yesterday, newspaper, did, james, influence, included, thoughts, subject, getting, paying, producing, developing, leisure, vacations, owning, keep, score, magic, describe, list, kinds, things, produce, ways, spend, suppose, expand, upon, word, behind, yale, guides, eclipsed, oliver, staley, michael, mckee, feb, professor, booth, school, university, chicago, contributions, anybody, taught, graduate, students, 1960s, proved, comforting, stress, heard, children, doesn, borrow, bonds, which, means, investors, buying, treasuries, instead, equities, products, negating, stimulative, also, nothing, unlock, view, copyright, arthur, shipman, zoho, waste, fraud, abuse, verdoorn, unsustainable, umic, ulc, tot, tongue, cheek, tint, knob, supply, side, shift, difference, between, taylor, rule, symmetry, deception, star, trek, standard, deviation, stagflation, spreadsheeting, special, report, slack, simulated, simulacron, serfdom, sequence, scott, reviews, red, green, reading, writing, questions, printing, controls, predicting, pfi, parameters, oil, linear, tools, moving, average, motives, multiplier, mmt, milton, military, medium, account, math, problems, matched, fekete, malaise, variable, limits, ego, captain, introduction, iceberg, couldn, sleep, humor, hover, craft, hodrick, prescott, hoarding, revisionism, phase, rate, calc, gross, domestic, gresham, gold, shortage, gds, gang8, fun, mpc, full, disclosure, free, era, fpi, forget, digit, years, words, financialization, final, feedback, fcm, fallacy, composition, failure, embrace, factors, evolution, excuse, erosion, eroc, forces, echoes, dpd, disarray, demand, pull, deflation, outside, limit, reissue, inside, general, equilibrium, good, bad, bulge, debasement, cycle, chronicles, coping, coinage, civ, calculating, bullard, earthquake, best, put, downs, behavioral, finte, greater, adjusting, accidental, discoveries, accelerated, repayment, argument, 400k, smoothing, revision, 1986, 2000, 1970s, real, calculation, contact, website, your, tufte, analysis, normalized, scaled, mental, workout, numerical, ignorance, kardi, teknomo, jim, organize, supreme, court, jester, prac, vin, faq, nice, bloogger, link, within, color, codes, sentral, test, help, www, schools, menu, host, tips, spoiler, theory2life, irrational, unsettling, broad, oak, redonomics, margin, old, freshman, dolor, rants, dredd, mayday, books, jbpeebles, truth, addicts, anon, arctic, tundra, blended, purple, candid, troublesome, action, nextblog, skeptical, optimist, worthwhile, canadian, father, tim, duy, cybereconomics, crises, businomics, ecometry, william, hummell, flavianopolis, aquinum, razor, crystal, bull, williams, sgs, econompic, secret, mark, wieczorek, perot, historicalstatistics, sources, irs, corp, 2006, dates, top, usgovernmentspending, economagic, stock, 1947, flow, bls, bea, accounts, measuringworth, statistical, abstracts, gavin, kennedy, mason, pages, scribd, links, 361, 571, 476, 2012, 412, 374, 2014, 283, 2015, 318, 274, 2017, maximum, gain, goes, sumer, third, loop, desire, concerns, meets, tell, fixing, never, confuse, again, wages, salaries, arising, employment, inequality, symptom, index, sides, every, advice, eye, ahead, safe, households, hedge, population, 1929, anna, zabai, bis, repetition, helps, name, excessive, dolts, sector, changed, wanna, forgotten, crash, raising, footnote, shiller, drives, these, decade, swings, seeing, past, aberrations, high, archive, versions, model, accumulating, hurts, mine, brings, preview, window, click, template, button, open, introductory, googledocs, file, alone, php, version, accumulation, art, vigor, start, three, few, unusual, get, mess, still, overview, download, life, death, overlap, recommendations, surprising, trends, short, longer, important, views, newer, econcrit, challenging, premisses,

Text of the page (random words):
nd policies of the venn overlap still with me read a matter of life and death and for an overview download my 12 page pdf art s vigor page debt accumulation two new versions of an economic model showing how accumulating debt hurts economic growth 1 jerry s stand alone php version 2 my googledocs file mine brings up a preview window click the use this template button to open it introductory post google translate blog archive 2018 31 january 31 there is one thing are you high seeing past the aberrations in debt to gdp where we stand shiller what drives these decade long swings in c an interesting footnote on the federal debt on raising interest rates the forgotten crash 1966 you wanna count what my how the story has changed interest cost by sector dolts for better theory keynes on excessive finance non financial in name only repetition helps anna zabai of bis on household debt us population back to 1929 households and hedge funds the eye that looks ahead to the safe course is cl two sides to every story not investment advice labor share as index and as percent inequality is a symptom wages and salaries arising from government employment never confuse them again tell me there s no price fixing going on here labor share there may be more here than meets the apparently they really do have economic concerns desire for wealth as such that is for the apparently i m out of the loop this goes all the way back to sumer in the third the point of maximum gain 2017 274 december 31 november 26 october 21 september 23 august 27 july 21 june 17 may 21 april 13 march 25 february 25 january 24 2016 318 december 26 november 20 october 30 september 27 august 29 july 17 june 30 may 24 april 30 march 30 february 30 january 25 2015 283 december 7 november 11 october 21 september 23 august 26 july 27 june 26 may 30 april 25 march 28 february 27 january 32 2014 374 december 25 november 25 october 26 september 30 august 34 july 35 june 32 may 34 april 33 march 35 february 28 january 37 2013 412 december 33 november 31 october 35 september 32 august 33 july 36 june 31 may 36 april 39 march 40 february 31 january 35 2012 476 december 38 november 35 october 51 september 41 august 35 july 39 june 37 may 31 april 38 march 36 february 44 january 51 2011 571 december 44 november 38 october 41 september 53 august 54 july 52 june 50 may 45 april 54 march 46 february 37 january 57 2010 361 december 51 november 43 october 47 september 43 august 35 july 39 june 31 may 9 april 8 march 12 february 23 january 20 2009 79 december 17 november 10 october 14 september 20 august 3 july 7 june 4 april 1 march 1 february 1 january 1 links the 12 pages pdf html scribd money as credit paul krugman john mason gavin kennedy crisis timeline 1 crisis timeline 2 statistical abstracts measuringworth bea economic accounts bls inflation jobs flow of funds debt st louis fed fred money stock 1947 58 economagic usgovernmentspending top tax rates recession dates corp taxes 2006 irs tax data pk sources historicalstatistics org historical charts perot charts mark wieczorek the secret economist econompic john williams sgs crystal bull aquinum s razor flavianopolis william f hummell ecometry the l curve businomics blog on banking crises cybereconomics tim duy like a father to me worthwhile canadian the skeptical optimist nextblog better of thought action the troublesome economist the candid blogger blended purple frozen arctic tundra truth addicts anon jbpeebles mayday books dredd blog dolor s rants the 40 year old freshman thinking on the margin redonomics broad oak unsettling economics irrational expectations theory2life prac spoiler tips vin s read more faq s image host a very nice menu www w3 schools bloogger help image test and t2 blogger sentral html color codes google translate link within a page supreme court jester dave ross 1 dave ross 2 organize your stuff interesting jim kardi teknomo numerical ignorance mental workout g scaled data g normalized data tufte data analysis arthurian website about me contact labels real is a calculation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1966 1970s growth 1986 2000 2013 revision 400k smoothing a call for better argument a little r n r accelerated repayment of debt accidental discoveries adjusting debt for inflation artish b is greater than a b h finte behavioral ec best put downs bullard s earthquake c d of wealth calculating labor share civ civilization coinage coping cost and productivity cost push cost push inflation credit efficiency crisis chronicles cycle of civilization debasement debt debt and context debt and inflation debt and recovery debt bulge debt good and bad debt is not credit debt productivity debt to gdp debt to gdp in comments def credit def debt def economic activity def financial cost def gdp def general equilibrium def inflation def inside money def investment def issue and reissue def laffer limit def outside money deflation demand pull inflation disarray dpd echoes economic forces economics v the economy eroc erosion of debt evolution of the excuse expectations factors failure s embrace fallacy of composition fcm fed policy federal spending feedback loops final spending financial cost financialization five words five digit years forget about debt fpi fred free banking era full disclosure fun with the mpc gang8 gds gold shortage gresham s law gross domestic spending growth rate calc growth phase growth historical revisionism hoarding hodrick prescott household debt hover craft how to pay for it humor because you might not know if i didn t say i couldn t sleep iceberg inflation introduction is it ego captain jerry says krugman laffer curve limits long and variable loops malaise matched set fekete math problems medium of account military spending milton friedman mmt money multiplier more debt than money is policy motives moving average new tools of policy non linear not only household debt oil parameters for debt pfi policy predicting recession price controls printing vs spending problem x productivity questions r reading and writing red and green reduction reviews scott sumner sequence 2 serfdom simulacron simulated evidence slack special report spreadsheeting stagflation standard deviation star trek stimulus sumner symmetry in deception taxes taylor rule the difference between debt and credit the economy is transaction the k r shift the long decline the supply side the tint knob they don t know timeline tongue in cheek tot ulc umic unsustainable urgency verdoorn waste fraud abuse withering shoots zoho the new arthurian economics copyright 2010 2018 arthur shipman showing posts with label stimulus show all posts showing posts with label stimulus show all posts saturday january 9 2010 it s not that complicated back in february 2009 almost a year ago now bloomberg did an article on james tobin s influence on obama s 787b stimulus the story included john cochrane s thoughts on the subject cochrane s view as the article has it is the idea that spending can spur the economy was discredited decades ago john cochrane a finance professor at the booth school of business at the university of chicago said that while tobin made contributions to investing theory the idea that spending can spur the economy was discredited decades ago it s not part of what anybody has taught graduate students since the 1960s cochrane said they are fairy tales that have been proved false it is very comforting in times of stress to go back to the fairy tales we heard as children but it doesn t make them less false to borrow money to pay for the spending the government will issue bonds which means investors will be buying u s treasuries instead of investing in equities or products negating the stimulative effect cochrane said it also will do nothing to unlock frozen credit he said from yale s tobin guides obama from grave as friedman is eclipsed by oliver staley and michael mckee feb 27 2009 bloomberg i m no economist as i ve said before but one thing is obvious to me spending is the economy work and getting paid and shopping and paying this is what the economy is add to that producing stuff and developing stuff if you want but i count that in with work add leisure time and vacations and such if you want but i count that with shopping add owning stuff if you want but that s just how we keep score that s what the economy is that s all it is there s no magic to it and how would you measure the economy the only way is to measure the spending and how would you describe the economy you could list all the various kinds of work people do and all the various things they produce and the various ways they spend their money and i suppose you could expand upon that i use one word transaction the economy is transaction the economy is spending spending is the economy a dollar of spending is a dollar of spur that s the whole idea behind economic stimulus it s not that complicated posted by the arthurian at 11 22 am 0 comments labels stimulus the economy is transaction saturday december 19 2009 surprise yesterday s newspaper says slow going for stimulus funds by chris mckenna as construction grinds to a halt for the winter less than 40 percent of the 47 1 million in federal stimulus money budgeted for road bridge and sidewalk improvements in the region has trudged through bureaucratic obstacles to the contract stage state department of transportation figures show and only about 10 percent of the money has made it into the economy so far as incremental reimbursements to the contractors who are doing the work how many jobs the local road and bridge work has saved or created is impossible to say what i said read more posted by the arthurian at 11 44 am 0 comments labels stimulus wednesday july 8 2009 it s not a stimulus it s not a stimulus it ain t a stimulus read more posted by the arthurian at 9 58 pm 0 comments labels artish stimulus tuesday july 7 2009 time is money fiddling while rome burns 7 july 09 today s alerts from seeking alpha include this gem krugman vs bartlett a tale of two charts by kurt brouwer the post is a mish mosh of brouwer quoting krugman quoting bartlett with some brouwer quoting bartlett in the mix and now i m skimming that soup brouwer opens with an interesting observation despite the fact that most of the existing economic stimulus program has not yet been implemented a nobel laureate economist and new york times columnist and blogger has been advocating a second government stimulus program yeah the existing stimulus plan has hardly been implemented at all as of today 140 days since president obama signed the stimulus bill into law only about 7 2 of the 787b has been allocated on the little stimulus watch gadget my son jerry created for me we say 7 2 has been spent perhaps that s not quite right our number comes from vp joe biden s recovery gov site where he lists it as the total paid out however that site identifies 10 october 09 as the day that recipient reporting begins so i m thinking the paid out number counts money distributed from the big bureaucracy in d c to smaller bureaucracies in d c and elsewhere government offices that have been drawing up lists of shovel ready projects i m doubting that any of that 7 2 has found its way to people with shovels so yeah as brauwer says it s a fact that most of the existing economic stimulus program has not yet been implemented and it is obvious to me that this could be the reason we ve seen little effect from the stimulus brauwer however completely misses the obvious he has flies in his eyes paul krugman s comments on bruce bartlett s article bartlett says obama was much too optimistic about effects of the stimulus package he says obama s economists expected results almost immediately and krugman says that s totally false krugman s evidence is a graph you ve likely seen before showing projected unemployment with and without the stimulus now what i see in that graph is a reduction of unemployment projected to begin in the second quarter of 2009 i would call that an almost immediate effect of first quarter activity so i would say krugman s evidence shows bartlett s statement to be true not false but what do i know brouwer says krugman is quibbling and then he says wouldn t it have made sense for krugman to update the chart to see how much of a positive effect the stimulus program has had well no krugman didn t post the chart so we could see the most current situation he posted the chart to prove bartlett wrong it didn t work but that s another matter looks to me like brouwer is im ing krugman brauwer has his own agenda he wants to see the most current results of the stimulus he wants to see the most current unemployment situation so does it make sense for him to post the update well idunno because it is as brauwer says fact that most of the existing economic stimulus program has not yet been implemented but then it might be interesting to look at the results of not implementing the stimulus so brauwer presents his update it shows unemployment skyrocketing obviously this recession or depression is a lot worse than we thought worse than obama thought worse than the january predictions and then brauwer says at this point it is clear that the economic stimulus program has not delivered as promised and he quotes bartlett another stimulus would be a grave mistake the first one was justified by extraordinary circumstances but it must be given time to work people should not allow their impatience to lead to the adoption of policies impatience give it time to work really unemployment is much worse than expected worse than we anticipated when congress settled on the 787b number the recession is worse than we thought when we thought a 787b stimulus would fix it so the 787b must be too small to fix this recession if a stimulus package is the answer then it must be sufficient to address the problem or there is no bang for the buck and the money is truly wasted the economic stimulus program has not delivered as promised but how can brauwer say this after all he points out the fact that most of the existing economic stimulus program has not yet been implemented so of course it hasn t delivered my god the whole purpose of stimulus spending is to create an immediate surge of economic activity immediacy is the essence one cannot wait while the economy declines further for then to achieve the equivalent effect the surge must be even bigger immediacy is the essence allow me to close as brauwer closes by quoting bruce bartlett just 11 per cent of the discretionary spending on highways mass transit energy efficiency and other programmes involving direct government purchases will have been spent by the end of this fiscal year even by the end of 2010 less than half the funds will have been disbursed and by the end of 2011 more than a quarter of the money will be unspent posted by the arthurian at 5 36 pm 2 comments labels stimulus withering shoots sunday february 15 2009 the 787b stimulus a context for obama s 787 000 000 000 00 stimulus pac...