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migration policy work my work on the timeline of immigration detention in the united states and the berks county residential center was also for the loosely related goal of understanding the space i also had a number of private conversations mostly in november 2021 and most of them not directly related to fmp to build understanding of the space tax considerations favored deferring the donation to january content warning technical section highly specific to us income taxes people in high tax states and people within some income brackets this section can be skipped without loss of context my only donation in 2021 was not tax deductible in the united states thanks to the salt deduction cap of 10 000 and the fact that my california state taxes are over 10 000 the total deductions i can take if i itemize deductions are 10 000 charitable donations the standard deduction for 2021 is 12 550 and the standard deduction for 2022 is 12 950 donations to fmp are tax deductible so we can run the two scenarios scenario 1 i donate 3 000 to fmp in 2021 i get to itemize deductions since my itemized deductions of 10 000 3 000 13 000 exceed the standard deduction of 12 550 i save 13 000 12 550 450 in taxable income so something between 100 and 200 in taxes however for 2022 i start from scratch and my first 2 950 of donations are not tax free since that s what s needed to make my itemized deductions reach the standard deduction threshold scenario 2 i donate 3 000 to fmp in 2022 in this case for 2021 i just take the standard deduction of 12 550 i don t get benefits of extra deductions for 2022 since 10 000 3 000 13 000 exceeds the standard deduction of 12 950 i itemize my deductions i save 50 in taxable income which is between 10 and 20 in taxes not a big deal but now all further donations in 2022 are tax free so if i m planning to donate x in tax deductible donations in 2022 over and above this fmp donation my total saving across both years over the standard deduction works out to scenarios case x 2 950 case x 2 950 scenario 1 450 450 x 2 950 x 2 500 scenario 2 50 x 50 x after some further math we find that if x 400 then scenario 2 is preferable to scenario 1 so if i expect to donate at least 400 in 2022 over and above this 3 000 fmp donation i expect to save on taxes by deferring to 2022 the amount i save on taxable income is x 400 for x up to 2 950 and for larger x it s just 2 550 usd the intuitive explanation for this let s say that the standard deduction didn t change across years then it would always make sense to engage in donation bunching aka donation bundling so that as much of your donations as possible are working to reduce your taxable income since i didn t make other donations in 2021 but might in 2022 this argues for deferring to 2022 however the standard deduction increases each year so that is an argument for donating earlier so as to benefit from having more of a reduction in taxable income from exceeding the standard deduction combining both of these considerations we see that the amount we plan to donate in 2022 needs to exceed the standard deduction increase from 2021 to 2022 namely 400 in order for us to benefit from deferring to 2022 although i m not totally sure i actually do expect that i m likely to donate at least 400 in 2022 excluding the fmp 3 000 donation so it makes sense to defer with that said if i ended up donating less than 400 i would not be devastated i m unlikely to deliberately change my donation behavior to get past the 400 point just to prove my past self right i did confirm that deferring from december to january did not meaningfully affect fmp s finances in general tax considerations are only a minor factor in my donation decisions in fact neither my q1 2019 ea hotel donation decision nor my most recent donation were tax deductible for me but i made them fmp is tax deductible and if considerations on the fmp side led me to believe that there was a significant benefit from donating sooner i would have done so however based on the information i had i concluded that donating in january as long as i committed and communicated the donation in december would be good enough potential future donations a lot depends on other donation opportunities i might find it s possible that over the coming months i will find other donation opportunities that i consider a more meaningful use of my donation budget i m not committing anything to fmp beyond this donation moreover since i am exiting the board i won t have any obligations of any sort i would want to understand fmp s role in spreading the idea of free movement and open borders better if i were to donate to fmp in the future or to recommend to others to donate more to it one thing i d like to nail down is a better picture of how exactly fmp is spreading the idea of free migration and open borders and how successful it has been i might have further conversations with dave on this point in the coming weeks and months and might write more about this even if i don t make a further donation as long as i think there s enough value in what fmp is doing to be worth bringing to the attention of others thoughts on fundraising dynamics fmp s overall fundraising strategy eaforum openborders i can t comment too much on the details of fmp s overall fundraising strategy but i will say that the bulk of fmp s funding at present does not seem to come from avid open borders believers or the effective altruist community or its penumbra the funding pattern seems to be reasonably similar to what you would expect of a migrant rights organization even more specifically of a migrant rights organization based in the philadelphia region given fmp s staff expansion in the last few years the organization needs to and is working to expand its fundraising to keep pace with its size i expect the bulk of this expansion to be with the same sort of donor base that has sustained fmp so far most of these donors have fairly different terminal values than i do also instrumentally the fundraising techniques that will work with these donors will be different from the things that would appeal to me the role of donors more broadly similar to me interested in open borders some connections to effective altruism in the sense of interest in doing the most good will likely depend on the extent to which fmp is able to make the case for how its activities help promote open borders more broadly i expect to get a better understanding of this in 2022 the alternative approach of running fundraisers many others on the board are running or considering running end of year fundraisers for fmp using facebook fundraisers i heard that other board members were using stack for fundraisers here are two of the fundraisers jamila hammami jasmine rivera two of the board members are also running a trivia night fundraiser doing a fundraiser did not personally sit well with me though i wish the best of luck to those running them i m articulating below some of my reasons that are partly personal and partly general epistemic considerations eaforum i generally favor making fewer larger donations that have a lot of thought in them over several smaller donations this is based on a more nuanced version of the one charity argument amazingly enough the linked post i wrote over 12 years ago back when i was a much less sophisticated thinker still seems to be one of the best expositions i know on the subject the world of donations in particular in the effective altruist sphere has evolved a lot since that crude argument but i think the general crux the idea that we should keep directing donations to the top charity at the relevant margin until the margins change enough still applies while we can imagine some charities such as the local soup kitchen where the marginal calculus changes after a few hundred dollars most moderate sized charities won t have the margin change at those small amounts as a rule of thumb i set a minimum of 1 000 per donation and generally think in multiples of thousand when thinking about how the marginal value of donations may change if my donation budget were under 1 000 which it isn t right now but was at some points in the past i would allocate it all to at most one charity i know of three kinds of exceptions to the rule favoring larger donations donations as gifts as i noted in my earlier post i would cap such donations at three times the private benefit to me donating to fmp doesn t really fit in this category donations as compensation for effort answering questions in the past i ve had cases where i talked to a nonprofit about donation but became less excited about donation after thinking and talking more however i want to reimburse the nonprofit for the effort of talking to me a donation of a few hundred dollars seems appropriate for this sort of case eaforum donations coordinated with multiple other donors e g as part of something like a s process as andrew critch explains in a video s process funding with multiple funders takes turns allocating small portions of each funder s budget in decreasing order of marginal value for organizations that all funders are similarly excited about this process spreads out the funding for the organization across funders the key is that an individual funder isn t going completely before or after other funders so the marginal value of each additional unit of funding from an individual funder changes not just due to that funder but due to the funds from other funders if there are several highly similar funders participating in a s process all of whom have very similar marginal value functions this process could lead to smaller per funder allocations from individual funders to the organization this donation is not part of an explicit s process nor can i identify even any implicit s process like mechanism here also i as a donor have very different marginal value functions from most of fmp s donor base one possible argument for fundraisers is that they raise awareness of the organization fmp and some of those participating in the fundraiser may form a direct relationship with fmp and donate more in future years i think this is plausible but unlikely if i ran a fundraiser given my friend group though the consideration might be more plausible for some of the others running fundraisers however i am trying to raise awareness in other ways for instance with my open borders action group post and with this blog post you re reading right now if anything i think making a donation sends a more credible and convincing signal though that was a very minor consideration for me when deciding to donate in some cases the pressure to contribute to fundraisers works on a reciprocal basis i donate to your fundraisers you donate to mine since i generally don t donate to others fundraisers this reciprocal basis doesn t really apply to me conclusion all in all i am pretty satisfied with my decision to make a 3 000 donation to fmp after writing about it in more depth i encourage highly aligned donors to make 1 000 donations even without further investigation and to connect with fmp for the latest fundraising information if they are interested in donating more my next step would be understanding more clearly the role that fmp plays in spreading the message of open borders such an understanding might influence me to donate more in the future i might also write more publicly about my understanding in 2022 or later as i acquire more understanding even if i end up not donating further however it s possible i become more interested in other donation opportunities in the future and decide not to investigate this further free migration project open borders conference private charity do right on immigration to save the american republic december 4 2021 nathan smith 14 comments i was a vocal advocate of open borders for many years then after the spring of 2017 or so i fell rather silent not completely i wrote the essay don t restrict immigration tax it for the cato institute in may 2020 summarizing my long held views but i think my relative silence led some to think my convictions must have changed the amusingly titled michael barone essay open borders would produce dystopia says open borders advocate expresses it well i may not have officially recanted but didn t my writings suggest a certain halting reconsideration of long held views not at all or rather i do reconsider my views frequently but usually i conclude that yes i was right the reason i fell rather silent was a i wasn t sure if open borders advocacy was making freer immigration policies any more likely overton window vs backlash and b i had a family to support and open borders advocacy not only absorbed time and attention without usually paying anything but risked alienating people whose help and good will i would need in order to get remunerative work to dispel suspicions that i ve changed my mind though i thought it might be of interest to state the case for open borders as i see it now as far as i know it s the same as it was five years ago but i m restating it now out of my head without particularly reviewing old writings out of curiosity about how consistent i ve been and there is one further reason quite new to add to my case if not necessarily for open borders i ll get to that at the end first there s the utilitarian case for open borders migration restrictions are very inefficient because they force people to stay in countries where they re far less productive than they might be that makes them less happy and thriving it also makes them less able to be of use and contribute to the flourishing of others open borders would empower billions of people to move to opportunity and become much more productive migrants remittances to and feedback on their countries of origin would spread the beneficent effects to non migrants if one believes that policy should serve the greatest happiness of the greatest number in jeremy bentham s time worn and of course somewhat ill defined phrase then open borders should top the priority list economic estimates though highly speculative are the best available guesses as to what a world of open borders would look like and roughly speaking the median guess a conservative guess in many ways far more optimism could be cogently advocated is that open borders would double world gdp second there s what might be called the deontological or rights based case for open borders which grows out of the question of when violence may justly be used i assume that some violence is just for example in self defense or up to a point for the redress of wrongs indeed i d even insist that simple retribution though hopefully without the passions associated with the term revenge is sometimes an adequate justification for the use of force now when an immigrant is prevented by force i e by violence from entering the territory of a country that needs justification since violence is presumptively wrong but the peaceful immigrant has violate...