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y well if they really mean to compete in the crowded fantasy solo friendly mmo niche posted by green armadillo at 8 14 pm 8 comments labels pvd rift warhammer wednesday october 13 2010 incorrect blizzcon predictions for 2010 blizzcon is coming up in just over a week so time to put predictions that are usually proven wrong to electronic paper is running out here are my best guesses for this year s event diablo iii and the first sc2 expansion called the second game in a trilogy so that bobby kotick can charge the new game price instead of the expansion price will be playable i really am not following either game at this point so there s not much else i can predict about them cataclysm s cinematic introduction will make its debut my guess is that it will finally include gnomes though i suppose we can t put it entirely past blizzard to make a point of including goblins and worgen over gnomes as a running gag with most of the juicy cataclysm news out on live servers ptr s and the no nda beta wow news will include discussion of patch 4 1 the patch will include a major feature that has not been announced or discussed publicly sorry dance studio blizzard will have to announce the mystery fourth project confirmed to be an mmo based on a new ip if they do not want the event to be widely viewed as a disappointment my guess is that the new game will be more action based will be designed with some form of item shop or other transaction system in mind and will not be a straight up fantasy setting perhaps steampunk sci fi or cyberpunk date mmo champion leaks the juicy details monday oct 18th we ll see how much of a laugh we have over this post sometime next week posted by green armadillo at 7 37 pm 4 comments labels baseless speculation blizzcon wow tuesday october 12 2010 improvements to f2p lotro and eq2x two news tidbits from september s two big free to play conversion stories today lotro lowbie sale via syp comes news of a major one day sale in lotro the three lowest level quest packs are all going 75 for one day only on 10 13 i got 245 tp for new deeds that were added in the f2p launch and i can now convert these points into two entire zones worth of content at discounts far steeper than anything that i ve seen in lotro or ddo though turbine is obviously fond of sales my guess is that they re really looking to lower the entry barrier to those first paid areas as they try to convert more of the new players who have come in with free to play into actual paying customers the thing i m wondering now is how it makes sense to have players who take this deal a single 6 50 purchase of 400 tp the worst exchange rate and one that i would ordinarily never recommend will cover it own most of the content from 1 40 you re missing part of the trollshaws and then most of the content from 50 65 with the mandatory expansions sales of content might not be the game s primary source of revenue for this to make sense eq2x broker purchase access meanwhile over in eq2x non subscribers who pay for the one time silver account upgrade are now permitted to purchase stuff from the broker at no additional charge silver players were originally not permitted to use the broker at all and an earlier compromise required the use of a broker token about 15 cents per to either buy or sell anything in practical terms this change removes one of the major roadblocks to playing the game normally as a nonsubscriber any player may now pick up a pair of bags such as the 40 slot mottled leather backpack or sumac strong box for a relatively attainable amount of gold useful items such as crafting harvesting tools and mastercrafted weapons are now also available without a real money token purchase at the same time subscribers and silver members who pay to sell stuff win because this dramatically increases the market of players who are able to and therefore interested in purchasing their wares sony might even see more token sales with this change before it did not matter that i had a bunch of sellable stuff sitting in my bank because i had no way to spend the gold i could get if i did manage to sell anything now i have an incentive to list my goods so that i can turn around and use the gold to buy other things that i want this everyone wins approach is how free to play models are supposed to work and it s really encouraging to see soe taking a step in the right direction on this front posted by green armadillo at 10 42 pm 4 comments labels business models eq2 lotro monday october 11 2010 the value of emblems with patch 4 01 looming i d been agonizing over whether to purchase heirloom maces for my planned enhancement shaman alt this class prefers slow swinging maces over the fast daggers i already own for other characters but none of the other classes i plan to play would want to use them on the other hand the maces are costly at the argent tournament overpriced compared to other heirlooms and my current supply of emblems would not buy even one at the newly increased level 85 prices in the end i decided to take the maces and i also traded in all the emblems on my warrior for the heirloom staff to use on my second server in principle both characters could or perhaps even should have used the emblems justice points for actual gear for themselves instead that said the thing i realized as i pondered this question was that it s only virtual money i got a good deal if i actually end up using the things and if i don t my losses are digital points that i m going to earn more of anyway sometimes it s worth remembering that posted by green armadillo at 9 01 am 2 comments labels my characters pvd wow friday october 8 2010 re pricing ddo around sales turbine has announced plans to raise the prices on the existing races and classes in ddo as part of an announcement that the game s two new races will be significantly more expensive than the current ones my guess is that the change was prompted by the game s frequent and probably lucrative policy on sale discounts if you re throwing around 50 off sales every 2 3 months you re going to adjust your regular prices to account for that mitigating price discrimination in ddo here are the new prices effective when update 7 hits later this month name old price new price other notes warforged race 595 tp 795 tp vip rental drow race 795 tp 995 tp easily unlocked on a per server basis favored soul class 795 tp 895 tp difficult unlock on a per server basis monk class 795 tp 995 tp vip rental new half elf race n a 1195 tp vip rental new half orc race n a 1295 tp vip rental both new races n a 1995 tp vip rental the favored soul got a smaller price increase because it is a relative pain for vip subscribers to unlock and the others went up by 200 tp across the board this increase might be as much motivated by covering the 500 tp jump from what races and classes cost now to what the half orc costs if you pay full price as with any strong desire to pocket an additional 200 tp more to the point all of the existing races and classes have been discounted by 50 as part of sales in both july and september and are routinely discounted by 20 25 in regular weekly sales these sales have been very successful the producers stated that the first day of the pax sale in september was the game s best sales day ever but also mean that players are flat out paying 50 of what the store designers originally intended with the new model it looks like they re expecting to make the bundled price so a player who picks up one of the races at a premium for just buying the one on sale for 20 off is paying closer to the what they were expecting anyway no impulse purchases on races my guess is that players don t make impulse purchases of character options such as races and classes the way they do with content or consumables ddo s complicated and unforgiving character system strongly encourages players to put a lot of thought into any new characters they roll up if you re putting that much preparation and attention into it anyway waiting for a month or two to start that new alt is a relatively small inconvenience in exchange for 50 off by contrast you usually determine that you need to buy more adventure packs when you hit a certain level and find that you need more content this is a more immediate need and therefore more likely to convince the player to go ahead and pay full price or at least a less impressive sale discount price the other quirk to this increased use of sale pricing is that it really hits players who aren t willing to plan ahead the half orc race alone if bought individually at the worst turbine point exchange rate costs nearly 20 the same race purchased for 50 off using points obtained at the best rate 6900 tp 50 offered about once a month including this week costs under 5 though i maintain that the free to play version of the ddo model is the better deal for attentive players the all inclusive vip rental subscription will start to become more attractive for players who don t want to be bothered with watching for all these sales at any rate this is a straight up price hike to previously created content which is not costing the developers any more than it did before the increase turbine is also apparently willing to charge inattentive players as much as a full expansion costs in other games for the two new races alone i m generally a big fan of the ddo business model but there s no sugar coating this announcement whether taking our medicine higher list prices results in better health more content in the future remains to be seen two lotro addenda if there are any concerned lotro players reading this i think you re pretty safe for now there s no room in the lore for new player races and it would be hard to justify increasing prices on existing classes that are included in the moria expansion which frankly shouldn t be sold separately to begin with since such purchases are wasted when you are forced to upgrade at level 50 if turbine does add new classes to lotro though expect prices in the 1200 1500 tp range also doc holiday linked an article on joystiq containing some news about lotro s first month of free to play posted by green armadillo at 10 24 am 7 comments labels business models ddo lotro wednesday october 6 2010 4 01 ptr heirloom prices increased 5x a week ago i took a look at the test server pricing on existing items in order to determine whether players who current have emblems stone keeper shards etc should buy now these prices apparently were not final in particular heirlooms are now going to be much more expensive and pvd advises readers to buy their heirlooms asap the changes justice point costs for existing pve heirlooms have increased by five fold jp costs on other items have remained mostly constant suggesting that this particular change was deliberate and not merely some across the board tweak to the exchange rate we should have seen this change coming because level 85 dungeons will award the same justice point currency that we will get for our old emblems in the patch the current prices are more in line with what level 85 dungeon rewards cost in jp the intent is presumably that heirlooms will be as easy to get at level 85 as they initially were at level 80 when wrath launched the wintergrasp side is even worse prices on these heirlooms increased by 6 79 fold this appears to have been part of a broader sanity check pass on new honor point pricing so further changes may happen level 60 and 70 pvp gear prices have decreased dramatically probably to account for the fact that new honor points are more valuable and therefore will be awarded in drastically smaller numbers the old pvp mounts have also had their prices slashed 4 fold and now seem more reasonable compared to the other items we can see the good news is that argent tournament heirloom prices have not changed though this could change in the future my gut says that it might not the tournament uses a separate currency that is only available through the current level 80 quests and one heroic dungeon an item that costs 60 seals will still require you to complete 60 daily quests because there won t be level 85 daily quests that award 3 seals also unlocking the vendor to spend these seals requires completion of a lengthy daily quest gated rep grind and there s no reason for blizzard to discourage players from signing up for this if they really want to buy now prices could change again but my advice to readers is now to buy any and all heirlooms you can afford if you have any interest in using them the worst thing that can happen if you do this is for you to end up with a full arsenal of heirlooms the alternative is a real risk that these items will be harder to obtain in the future i ve got several hundred emblems on my mage right now which will net me either half a dozen heirlooms or a single piece of patch 4 0 level 85 dungeon gear the heirlooms will stay with my account indefinitely while the gear will presumably be trashed in patch 4 1 frequent dungeon runners will still end up with heirlooms because of the hard cap on justice points but these players have even less of a need to have a piece of gear waiting for them as a reward for past efforts finally anyone looking to cash out stone keeper shards should bear in mind that these can only redeemed when your faction controls wintergrasp don t wait til the last minute if your faction loses the majority of wintergrasp battles posted by green armadillo at 9 06 am 1 comments labels cataclysm preview pvd wintergrasp wow tuesday october 5 2010 brewfest 2010 haul this year s uninspiring edition of brewfest will draw to a close tomorrow morning before daily dungeon quests reset marking the final chance to zerg coren direbrew for the year my two characters each killed direbrew the requisite 16 times generally in under 30 seconds per kill i m not sure whether this year s 32 kills is more or less than last year since last year s version had players kill direbrew five times per run this yielded 32 emblems of frost for each character which will convert into 370 56 justice points possibly as early as next tuesday my mage who owns the ram from the 2007 guaranteed ram racing event received three of the now worthless remote control that was previously used to teleport to direbrew s lair before the dungeon finder did that for you i saved one as a souvenir i also netted two of direbrew s previously rare boe epic maces which i suppose i ll save in case i ever have an alliance character high enough to use them my warrior who dinged 80 during the event lucked out and received the coveted brewfest kodo mount on one level this is a huge waste as the character in question is a tauren with access to all the other kodos he could want on the other hand the brew kodo looks much cooler than the other kodos that are available and it seems like blizzard set player height such that a tauren on their own racial mount is less likely to hit their head on a doorjam and have to dismount...