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that is the responsibility of the department of war which ultimately answers to the president who also is elected once again however anthropic s position is that an unaccountable amodei can unilaterally restrict what its models are used for it s worth noting that there are reports that anthropic s concerns may be broader than just fully autonomous weapons from semafor anthropic is one of the few frontier large language models available for classified use by the us government because it is available through amazon s top secret cloud and through palantir s artificial intelligence platform which is how its claude chatbot ended up appearing on the screens of officials who were monitoring the seizure of then venezuelan president nicolás maduro soon after the maduro raid during a regular check in that palantir holds with anthropic an anthropic official discussed the operation with a palantir senior executive who gathered from the exchange that the ai startup disapproved of its technology being used for that purpose the palantir executive was alarmed by the implication of anthropic s inquiry that the company might resist the use of its technology in a us military operation and reported the conversation back to the pentagon a senior defense department official said anthropic denied it objected to whatever involvement claude may have had in the maduro raid but the semafor story resonates given the trend in some tech circles to resist any involvement in military operations and to that end one could argue that this stand off is ending as it should anthropic and its models will be removed from the department of war tech stack and an alternative will take their place north korea and nuclear weapons amodei has been outspoken about other aspects of ai and national security from bloomberg in january anthropic chief executive officer dario amodei said selling advanced artificial intelligence chips to china is a blunder with incredible national security implications as the us moves to allow nvidia corp to sell its h200 processors to beijing it would be a big mistake to ship these chips amodei said in an interview with bloomberg editor in chief john micklethwait at the world economic forum in davos switzerland i think this is crazy it s a bit like selling nuclear weapons to north korea this rather raises the stakes of a messy procurement decision consider the implications if we take amodei s analogy literally start with iran beyond the fact that iran has been responsible for the deaths of thousands of americans throughout the middle east and beyond one of the arguments for the u s intervention is that iran continues to pursue nuclear weapons capabilities it s north korea that shows why north korea doesn t need to buy nuclear weapons because they already have them and it certainly makes any sort of potential military action against them considerably more complicated nuclear weapons make you an effective lawyer in the nonexistent 1 court of international law in short nuclear weapons meaningfully tilt the balance of power the extent that ai is of equivalent importance is the extent to which the united states has far more interest in not only what anthropic lets it do with its models but also what anthropic is allowed to do period this i think gives important context to the designation of anthropic as a supply chain risk secretary of war pete hegseth said on x in conjunction with the president s directive for the federal government to cease all use of anthropic s technology i am directing the department of war to designate anthropic a supply chain risk to national security effective immediately no contractor supplier or partner that does business with the united states military may conduct any commercial activity with anthropic this would decimate anthropic at a bare minimum the company relies on cloud hosting from aws microsoft and google all of which have contracts with the department of war i imagine the same applies to nvidia fortunately for the company hegseth s declaration does seem out of step with the law which limits hegseth s authority to work covered by u s government contracts in other words aws could still serve anthropic models as long as it doesn t use anthropic models for any of its services offered to the u s government regardless this is an extreme measure that has been met with near universal dismay even amongst people who are sympathetic to the idea that a private company should not have veto power over the u s military why would the u s government want to kneecap one of its ai champions in fact amodei already answered the question if nuclear weapons were developed by a private company and that private company sought to dictate terms to the u s military the u s would absolutely be incentivized to destroy that company the reason goes back to the question of international law north korea and the rest international law is ultimately a function of power might makes right there are some categories of capabilities like nuclear weapons that are sufficiently powerful to fundamentally affect the u s s freedom of action we can bomb iran but we can t north korea to the extent that ai is on the level of nuclear weapons or beyond is the extent that amodei and anthropic are building a power base that potentially rivals the u s military anthropic talks a lot about alignment this insistence on controlling the u s military however is fundamentally misaligned with reality current ai models are obviously not yet so powerful that they rival the u s military if that is the trajectory however and no one has been more vocal in arguing for that trajectory than amodei then it seems to me the choice facing the u s is actually quite binary option 1 is that anthropic accepts a subservient position relative to the u s government and does not seek to retain ultimate decision making power about how its models are used instead leaving that to congress and the president option 2 is that the u s government either destroys anthropic or removes amodei note that i m not making the very good argument put forward by anduril founder palmer luckey about the importance of democratic oversight luckey wrote on x this gets to the core of the issue more than any debate about specific terms do you believe in democracy should our military be regulated by our elected leaders or corporate executives the fact that this is a debate over ai does not change the underlying calculus the same problems apply to definitions and use of ethically fraught but important capabilities like surveillance systems or autonomous weapons it is easy to say but they will have cutouts to operate with autonomous systems for defensive use but you immediately get into the same issues and more what is autonomous what is defensive what about defending an asset during an offensive action or parking a carrier group off the coast of a nation that considers us to be offensive at the end of the day you have to believe that the american experiment is still ongoing that people have the right to elect and unelect the authorities making these decisions that our imperfect constitutional republic is still good enough to run a country without outsourcing the real levers of power to billionaires and corpos and their shadow advisors i still believe and that is why bro just agree the ai won t be involved in autonomous weapons or mass surveillance why can t you agree it is so simple please bro is an untenable position that the united states cannot possibly accept again i think this is a good argument the one i am putting forward however is much more basic and brutal and doesn t have anything to do with belief or not in the american experiment although i m with luckey in that regard it simply isn t tolerable for the u s to allow for the development of an independent power structure which is exactly what ai has the potential to undergird that is expressly seeking to assert independence from u s control complex systems i don t for the record want anthropic to be destroyed and i want them to be a u s ai champion i also for the record don t trust amodei s judgment in terms of either national security or ai security in terms of national security i already commented on amodei s davos comments on x last year i laid out in ai promise and chip precariousness why i believed a systemic view of the u s china rivalry entailed some painful tradeoffs when it came to chips and china the important takeaway that is relevant to this article is that taiwan is the flashpoint in both scenarios a pivot to asia is about gearing up to defend taiwan from a potential chinese invasion or embargo a retrenchment to the americas is about potentially granting or acknowledging china as the hegemon of asia which would inevitably lead to taiwan s envelopment by china this is needless to say a discussion where i tread gingerly not least because i have lived in taipei off and on for over two decades and of course there is the moral component entailed in taiwan being a vibrant democracy with a population that has no interest in reunification with china to that end the status quo has been simultaneously absurd and yet surprisingly sustainable taiwan is an independent country in nearly every respect with its own border military currency passports and pertinent to tech economy increasingly dominated by tsmc at the same time taiwan has not declared independence and the official position of the united states is to acknowledge that china believes taiwan is theirs without endorsing either that position or taiwanese independence chinese and taiwanese do in my experience handle this sort of ambiguity much more easily than do americans still gray zones only go so far what has been just as important are realist factors like military strength once in favor of taiwan now decidedly in favor of china economic ties extremely deep between taiwan and china and china and the u s and war waging credibility here the ukraine conflict and the resultant china russia relationship looms large thanks to the sharing of military technology and overland supply chains for oil and food that have resulted even as the u s has depleted itself that by extension gets at another changing factor the hollowing out of american manufacturing under pax americana has been directly correlated with china s dominance of the business of making things the most essential war fighting capability still there is or rather was a critical factor that might give china pause the importance of tsmc chips undergird every aspect of the modern economy the rise of ai and the promise of the massive gains that might result only make this need even more pressing and as long as china needs tsmc chips they have a powerful incentive to leave taiwan alone the key thing to consider is the opposite scenario cutting china off from advanced chips doesn t just reduce the likelihood that chinese companies are dependent on a u s based ecosystem it also reduces the cost of destroying tsmc more than that if ai becomes as capable as amodei says it will the equivalent or more of nuclear weapons then it actually becomes game theory optimal for china to do exactly that if china can t have ai then it is at least under current circumstances relatively easy to make sure that nobody does amodei is as the quote above notes cognizant of china as a threat generally it concerns me that he consistently fails to acknowledge that the implication of his recommended course of action in terms of chip controls is to risk destroying ai for everybody then again amodei isn t really a fan of ai for everybody he and anthropic have been vocal opponents of open source models and were major drivers of what i considered a very misguided biden executive order about ai like the taiwan situation i think these positions evince a failure to think systematically first were there only closed ai systems then unimaginable power would be vested in the owners of those systems it seems that amodei thinks that power should be wielded by him at a minimum i would prefer that it be wielded by the u s government second the idea that ai safety can only be guaranteed by a limited number of responsible stewards ignores the massive incentives that exist to build other models this was clear years ago when only a few companies were working on ai models and has been proven out by what has happened in reality so far third in a world of ai proliferation the best defense against ai will be ai this means that more ai is actually safer than limited ai which means open source is ultimately safer there is certainly room for disagreement on these points what concerns me about amodei and anthropic in particular is the consistent pattern of being singularly focused on being the one winner with all of the power with limited consideration of how everyone else may react to that situation or to be more blunt the reality that other people exist and they have guns and missiles and yes nuclear weapons might still makes right and i personally would rather not hand over the future of humanity to a person and a company that seems to consistently forget that fact who to entrust i do think this post on x from ramez naam is the most optimistic way to frame the debate this weekend i do have tremendous discomfort about ai s surveillance capabilities in particular there are a lot of safeguards we thought we had that were actually mostly due to the friction entailed in overcoming them ai even more than computers and the internet is a friction solvent and i completely understand why anthropic s pushback on this specific point resonates broadly the way to address this new reality however is with new laws and through strengthening accountable oversight cheering or even demanding that an unelected executive decide how and where such powerful capabilities can be used is the road an even more despotic future our adversaries meanwhile will certainly be developing autonomous fighting capabilities and yes i admit my chip prescriptions make this more likely much sooner tradeoffs are hard the u s will need to move in this direction if we are to remain the ultimate source of international law and by the u s i mean a democratically elected president and congress not a san francisco executive i don t want that and more pertinently the ones with guns aren t going to tolerate it anthropic needs to align itself with that reality i wrote a follow up to this article in this daily update yes the hague exists its subject to all of the same limitations as the united nations thin is in tuesday february 17 2026 listen to podcast watch on youtube listen to this post log in to listen there was in the early days of computing no debate about thick clients versus thin when a computer was the size of a room there were no clients you scheduled time or submitted jobs and got back the results when it was your turn a few years later however thin clients in the form of a monitor and keyboard arrived there is no computer in this image...
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