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the (35), polity (18), and (18), usa (10), political (8), for (8), data (7), state (6), regime (6), coup (6), csp (5), pitf (5), authority (4), competition (4), change (4), through (4), inscr (4), 2020 (4), coding (3), factional (3), this (3), score (3), global (3), january (3), 2025 (3), polity5 (3), instability (3), democracy (3), project (3), scores (3), resources (3), updates (3), fragility (3), series (2), that (2), measures (2), polcomp (2), dropped (2), adverse (2), violence (2), case (2), would (2), 2021 (2), list (2), note (2), its (2), date (2), high (2), was (2), considered (2), from (2), such (2), coups (2), with (2), funding (2), task (2), force (2), automated (2), further (2), are (2), problem (2), set (2), india (2), annual (2), index (2), war (2), conflict (2), trends (2), vienna, 22180, 202, 236, 9298, 2022, users, should, aware, patterns, behaviors, involving, interaction, events, between, within, non, entities, practices, rather, than, promises, proclamations, 2016, changed, according, model, placed, onset, systematic, sustained, possible, worst, collapse, central, dataset, lists, attempted, successful, 2018, available, page, full, countries, covered, narratives, click, here, identifies, all, code, changes, covers, entire, period, since, independence, 1776, early, narrative, united, states, risk, impending, demonstrated, observed, below, threshold, scale, anocracy, end, year, returned, beginning, july, 2024, due, supreme, court, ruling, granting, presidency, broad, legal, immunity, noted, experiencing, transition, least, latter, coded, exrec, competitive, elections, exconst, unlimited, executive, restricted, democ, autoc, longer, lies, cusp, autocracy, has, experienced, presidental, event, point, drop, 1994, datasets, were, generously, supported, government, our, association, financial, support, terminated, february, after, consultant, michael, ward, developed, algorithm, created, bit, dilemma, updated, used, compare, verify, scoring, outputs, other, embargoed, delayed, until, new, mechanism, found, implemented, notice, regarding, controlled, facts, misinformation, principal, tools, autocratic, video, book, subnational, crime, matrix, etat, ivd, conventional, igo, membership, terrorist, bombings, casualty, failure, major, episodes, populations, forcibly, displaced, development, research, analytics, societal, systems, africa, country, reports, analysis, virtual, library, third, world, report, publications, contact, people, mission, about, home,

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index home about mission people resources contact us publications global report third world war virtual library analysis global conflict trends polity project country reports regime trends conflict in africa war list state fragility index political instability task force societal systems analytics research and development inscr data forcibly displaced populations major episodes of political violence pitf state failure problem set high casualty terrorist bombings membership of conventional igo s polity iv annual polity ivd case coups d etat state fragility matrix state fragility annual crime in india india subnational problem set video book controlled facts and misinformation are the principal tools of autocratic authority notice regarding polity project updates from 1994 2020 csp inscr data resources such as the polity and coups datasets were generously supported with funding from the us government through our association with the political instability task force pitf that financial support was terminated on 29 february 2020 after pitf consultant michael d ward d developed an algorithm for automated coding of polity scores ai for the pitf this created a bit of a dilemma for further updates to the polity data series updated scores would be used to compare and verify the automated scoring outputs as such further updates of polity and other csp inscr data resources are embargoed and or delayed until a new funding mechanism is found and implemented note the usa dropped below the democracy threshold 6 on the polity scale in 2020 and was considered an anocracy 5 at the end of the year 2020 the usa score for 2021 returned to democracy 8 beginning on 1 july 2024 due to the us supreme court ruling granting the us presidency broad legal immunity the usa is noted by the polity project as experiencing a regime transition through at least 20 january 2025 as of the latter date the usa is coded exrec 8 competitive elections exconst 1 unlimited executive authority and polcomp 6 factional restricted competition polity scores democ 4 autoc 4 polity 0 the usa is no longer considered a democracy and lies at the cusp of autocracy it has experienced a presidental coup and an adverse regime change event 8 point drop in its polity score users of the polity data series should be aware that polity measures patterns of authority demonstrated and observed in political behaviors involving interaction events between and within state and non state entities polity measures political practices rather than promises or proclamations in 2016 csp changed the coding for political competition in the usa to factional competition i e polcomp 7 this coding change dropped the usa s polity score to 8 according to the pitf global model this change to factional competition placed the usa at high risk of impending political instability i e adverse regime change and or onset of systematic and sustained political violence possible worst case would be the collapse of central authority the csp coup dataset lists an attempted coup coup 2 for the usa on 6 january 2021 and a successful coup coup 1 on 20 january 2025 note the polity5 regime narrative for the united states identifies all polity code changes and covers the entire period since its date of independence in 1776 through early 2025 for the full list of countries covered by polity5 regime narratives click here polity5 data through 2018 is available on the inscr data page vienna va 22180 usa 202 236 9298 csp 2022