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adays big shots are able to play with a country to sacrifice it just for the sake of more money leave a comment posted in emerging patterns tags crisis euro europe greece grexit posted by zyxo april 20 2015 datamining for marketing a real simple explanation of lift in using dataminig models for marketing campaigns a definition of lift could be lift is a measure of the performance of a targeting model association rule at predicting or classifying cases as having an enhanced response with respect to the population as a whole measured against a random choice targeting model wikipedia yeah wright now in plain language for a normal human being lift means how much times is my model better than a random selection example divide you customer database at random in 3 equal parts part i part ii and part iii when you use no model at all take a random selection a of 10 000 persons out of part i send them an email in an effort to sell something let s assume that 2 of them bought you product result no model 2 use your first datamining model model m1 to select 10 000 persons out of part ii send them the same email let s assume that 6 of them bought your product result m1 6 use another datamining model model m2 to select 10 000 persons out of part iii send them the same email let s assume that 10 of them bought your product result m2 10 it is straightforward to see that model m1 does 3 times better than without a model and model m2 does 5 times better formula lift result of model x divided by result of no model at all hence lift of first model m1 6 2 3 lift of second model m2 10 2 5 _________________________________________________________________________________________________ associated posts datamining what is a good lift put a crowbar under your marketing campaign datamining for marketing campaigns interpretation of lift leave a comment posted in data mining marketing tags campaign data mining lift marketing model posted by zyxo november 19 2014 will i die from ebola will i die from ebola who knows will ebola be stopped eliminated who knows anyway i do not want to die from ebola at all i would very much like that doctors and other health workers arrive at totally wiping out that terrible disease that is why i actually helped them not by going there on the field i m not that enthousiastic but simply by donating some money if you also do not want to die form ebola join me in helping them donate a few dollars pounds euros and no you do not have to be altruistic to act in that way egoism is a very good reason to help others protect yourself join the fight against ebola leave a comment posted in emerging patterns our universe tags altruism death ebola egoism fight posted by zyxo july 4 2014 soccer rules are unfair and illogical when i type this the germany national soccer team has eliminated the french and brazil is going to play against columbia in the quarterfinals of the world cup soccer in brazil it is really weird that the matchresults of the most popular sport in the world are extremely influenced by unfair illogical rules and coïncidences time let us begin with time a soccer game basically consists of two halfs of 45 minutes thus 90 minutes of playing time no soccer has two types of time 1 playing time this is the time between a a whistle blow of the referee indicating the beginning of actual playing time or a player bringing the ball into play e g throw in and b something happening that causes the play to stop ball going outside the field boundaries a player who commits a fault a goal 2 non playing time or dead time this is the contrary of playing time the time between something happening that causes the play to stop and a whistle blow of the referee or a player bringing the ball into play since the total amount of time always equals 90 minutes during the non playing time the players have the opportunity to stall which means to act non sportsmanlike and steal playing time from the opponent this is typical behaviour towards the end of the game of the leading team example when the goalkeeper catches the ball he can chose to immediately return the ball into play or wait several seconds there is a limit to that but not fixed it depends totally on the currend mood of the referee solution 1 the goalkeeper only is allowed to punch the ball not to cath and immobilise it so the game would not be halted better and more general solution 2 only take the actual playing time into account and stop the clock during the non playing time eventually setting a limit on the actual playing time to 2 times 30 minutes solution one and two are not mutually exclusive and preferably be applied both there are exceptions like injuries in case of which extra time is added to the end but the players never know up front how much this will be throw in i already mentioned this when a player sends the ball outside the field boundaries an opponent must bring back the ball into play by throwing it in with both hands over his head in europe soccer is called football meaning that it is a game where you predominantly use your feet to play the ball in fact you can use any part of your body except your arms and hands so it is completely illogical to use hands to bring the ball back into play solution 3 replace throw ins by a simple free kick from the spot where the ball has left the field this solution would immediately remediate the next weird fact if someone sends the ball outside the field crossing the goal line close to the corner the result is a corner kick for the opponing team but if the ball leaves the field on the other side of the corner flag crossing the end of the sideline the result is only a throw in with a free kick the result would be similar in accordance to the similarity of what happens in both cases penalty kicks when a player commits a relatively severe fault inside the penalty area the opponent team can take a penalty kick 11 meters from the goal all field players must stay outside the penalyt area as penalty kicks result in a goal in 85 of the cases the weak point here is the referee judgment that consists of two parts 1 is the fault severe enough 2 was the fault committed inside the penalty area so in the doubtful cases it is up to the referee to decide to give the opponent team a 85 chance of scoring a goal which can be very close to influencing the game solution 4 apply the same set of rules to every free kick with no distiction for penalty kicks always taken from the spot where the fault was committed no field player between the ball and the goal all opponents must stay at least 9 15 meters from the ball exception if the ball is less than 9 15 meters from the goal opponents may stay on the goal line red cards now comes the complete unfairness of an important rule if a player commits a severe fault explicitely hurting or endagering an opponent the referee can punish him with a yellow warning or red card the second yellow means automatically red the latter means that he has to leave the game and his team now counts one person less the big problem is the following if the red card is given during the first minute of the game the receiving team loses a player for almost 90 minutes if the red card is given during the last minute for an equally severe fault punition is quasi non existant solution 5 each and every fault is punished with some non playing time in order not to exaggerate the interruptions we can use a threshold of for example three minutes depending on the severity of the fault one for a minor fault up to 10 minutes can be given for one single fault this does not entirely solves the problem of the most severe error during the last minute but this can be compensated by for example punishing two players instead of one and last unfairness referee judgment a lot of rules are fuzzy in soccer perhaps not in the written rules but certainly in the way they are interpreted by the referee in a manner considered by the referee to be careless reckless or using excessive force in hockey they use video referrals to prevent severe influencing of the match result bij the umpire solution 6 this should also be the case in the most important soccer matches conclusion if fifa would apply these solutions soccer would become a much more fun game to watch much more logical much more fair the results would be much less function of accidental events referee moods or judging errors but on the other hand the saying goes soccer is emotion and passion the major part of these emotions occur after the game when fans of both teams discuss what happened during the game and because of the unfairnesses and illogical rules and decisions there is always a lot to discuss this part of soccer would not be the same any more and perhaps it is exactly this part that is responsible for the enormous popularity of what at the end only is some people playing with a ball 2 comments posted in our universe tags 2014 fifa world cup fifa free kick game penalty referee rules soccer posted by zyxo december 18 2013 real explanation of it problems this really happened do to privacy policy i only give you the final section of the problem history about the problem the problem seems to be solved but we at least i don t really know how the problem doesn t come from any long comments in the code i sent you we use this macro on daily basis for years and it was not even working when i deleted the only comment in this macro when i got this message i tried te relaunch sas nok i tried to delete as much files as possible in different work directories on the unix machine nok the real explanation as stated by this expert dear collegues i know the reason of the problems it s what we call the it ghost a species of creatures from the 5th dimension which are migrating this time of the year from the betelgeuze area to the crab nebula and are eventually teleporting through the earth on this occasion they can influence the spin of some charm quarks causing computer processes to behave erratically with no obvious reason a positronic energy field of 5 000 trillion petavolt around the earth should solve the problem leave a comment posted in emerging patterns knowledge managemnt our universe uncategorized posted by zyxo april 13 2013 10 items every man should have here is my very personal list of what a man should have to be happy i am aware that a lot of you will not agree on all 10 items and i am ok with that i can easily imagine a dozen other things that could add to my happiness but somehow i feel the 10 ones below are well my top 10 to avoid any misunderstanding 1 and 2 i do not consider as things but persons in a random order 1 wife husband 2 daughter son 3 leatherman victorinox 4 computer laptop smartphone tablet 5 hair or hat 6 car 7 bicycle 8 toolset 9 garden 10 job and now a bit more elaborated wife husband well a human being is not meant to be alone you can do a lot of things together with friends or colleagues but at night just before going to sleep you want to put your mask aside and then you need someone to really talk to someone to be your true self with someone to share your real sorrows your real happinesses daughter son we are here because all our ancesters each and every single one of them had offspring so if we do not have any son or daughter it finishes here we can discuss whether this is a good or bad thing but if we do not want to stop our ancestor line here we should follow their example and pass our genes on to the next generation leatherman victorinox there is always something to repair some rope to cut some screw to tighten a can to open or whatever if you have some good quality multi tool in you pocket like a leatherman or victorinox you feel a lot more powerful a lot more master of the situation a lot more man computer laptop tablet in the good old days people learned to read and write nowadays kids learn to computer to intenet if you do not want to be looked at as someone outdated and useless you should be able to communicate with others with kids using their technology i have no email address is not acceptable any more even if you are older than 70 smartphone there is always something to look up some mail to read some stock price to check a picture to take a place to locate or whatever if you have some good quality multi tool in you pocket like a iphone or samsung galaxy you feel a lot more powerful a lot more master of the situation a lot more man for me my smartphone is as an it version of a leatherman hair or hat this is very personal it does not mean i do not like bald people i just means i do not want to be bald i still have hair but the day all my hairs will have left me i definitely will want to be able to cover my head car unless you have plenty of time and nothing much to do or you live in a big city where you get around faster on a bicycle than in a car that car is very useful to save you a lot of time you also can transport a lot more in your car than on your bicycle and for some people a fancy car comes handy to compensate for a small you know what bicycle unless you live in the country with little or no traffic you need a bicycle for distances less than 5 km a bicycle is faster than a car especially in town add the time to walk to your car eventually open your garage drive and confront the traffic jams circle around for a place to park in that time you already would have been at your destination with your bicycle toolset a leatherman comes handy but when you have big jobs to do you need the proper tools otherwise you will ruin it a drill a few types of sawing machines some hammers some screwdrivers preferable a good electric one an angle grinder and many more when you have been a handy harry for some decades you need a big car to transport all your tools to help rebuilding your kids place garden when i lived in a appartment i hated it to have to leave my property in order to get some fresh air when you step outside in your very own garden and hear the birds sing see the green of the lawn the flowers the vegetables in your kitchen garden and know you are still at home and all this is yours it helps a lot to feel happy job ok points 1 to 9 kost a lot of money money that you inherited or that s just a gift from your parents is worth as much as the money your actually worked for but the latter feels a lot better it means you are able to do something that other people value and are willing to pay for the money you earn does not only have its own value but it also shows your value have other suggestions let me know 2 comments posted in our universe tags bicycle car garden hat iphone job leatherman samsung galaxy son tools wife posted by zyxo september 4 2012 which body improvement would you prefer just for fun i m curious what you will chose take our poll 3 comments posted in emerging patterns evolution our universe tags body improvements eternal life invulnerability superman posted by zyxo september 4 2012 the big data disease artificial intelligence data mining knowle...