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irst denial the religious leaders and tv personalities they respect say that it is a misunderstanding at best and a horrid lie at worst second denial they say that even if it starts to happen god will take care of it will protect the righteous the world will survive and the blessed will be left to enjoy its beauty frequently both assertions are made continue reading posted in natural resources politics pres trump tagged billy graham climate change climate change denialists donald trump evangelical christian katharine hayhoe paris agreement on climate change skeptical science tim walberg 3 comments climate shift denialists 1 business and politics posted on 2017 06 27 by lasttechage trump and other denialists reject climate change why on june 1 pres trump pulled the u s out of the international paris agreement on climate change and pushed climate change into one of the major stories of the year this has opened many more questions than can be covered in any single post we consider only that small facet of the climate change argument about why many business and political leaders deny it is happening this is the first of two discussions on why leaders deny that earth s climate is changing at an unnatural rate in climate shift denialists 2 we will discuss why some religious leaders might become denialists climate shift is real a prologue human caused climate change is happening right now and we will start with that it is a feature of chaos shift events that effects once done can never be reversed the sea level is rising now example islands coastal towns bays and bayous are being swallowed by the ocean and scoured with its currents and tides even if the level drops in a century or so these features will never be same again weather is becoming fiercer all who die because of extended day temperatures of 120 to 140 f 50 60 c will be lost forever although real and currently happening it is strongly disputed in the us we start with the fact of its existence definitions weather what happens every day it is like a snapshot across the your street today your image shows part of a bakery a white panel truck and a blue suv tomorrow you see a different part of the bakery a florist shop bicyclists and a pickup climate the long average of the weather it is like adding together a series of snaps of your street scene if you average a large number of pictures the incidental traffic no matter how large will be removed and all the shops become apparent fig 1 climate escalator world average temperature rose 0 18 c 0 324 f every decade since 1970 skeptical science features the world temperature graph by dana nuccitelli fig 1 is from the author s youtube presentation click the image for a readable version world weather is the jagged green line world climate is the straight red line temperature changes are just one of the indicators of our shifting climate others such as desertification and rising sea coasts may have more impact on us as a species check the skeptical science website for the 10 top alt facts used by denialists fig 2 katharine hayhoe environmental scientist dr katharine hayhoe fig 2 of texas tech university is one of the many scientists who talk about the climate shift problem watch as she discusses various climate facts false and true to a group of interested people it is climate that is shifting the weather will just grow more violent as the change continues so q why do americans doubt climate change a their leaders and tv talking heads tell them to q why do people in authority deny what is happening a motives of business execs and politicians are easy religious leaders the second post will be my very personal answer to christians in denial climate shift is real b why are business leaders climate denialists business resistance is totally understandable check the relation between stock prices and executive compensation this an issue is about how people work the people who run large businesses are among the highest compensated in the world many fought their way up to extreme wealth many were born to it if stock goes down in the short term terrible things happen so corporate planning strategies usually have a 3 6 month timeline continue reading posted in natural resources politics pres trump tagged charles koch climate change climate change denialists donald trump jane mayer katharine hayhoe koch brothers paris agreement skeptical science ted cruz tim walberg leave a comment donald trump is man child maybe posted on 2017 05 24 by lasttechage is donald trump a child in a man s body or something more disturbing this question has been discussed a lot how would you interpret all the public aspects of donald trump fig 1 fig 1 6 faces of president trump trump is a man child in recent weeks this interpretation has been discussed a lot here are a couple examples fig 2 david brooks oped columnist new york times columnist david brooks fig 2 wrote when the world is led by a child 2017 may 15 and lists 3 issues that challenge donald trump but which most people solve by the end of puberty this is an informative read control and focus of attention trump s attention span is controlled by his short term impulsive shifts his churning thoughts can jumble together threads of thought into any statement trump is still a 7 year old boy who is bouncing around the classroom my comment he appears unable to actually study anything sense of self most adults achieve some understanding of themselves but trump need s perpetual outside approval to stabilize his sense of self so he tells fabulist tales about himself my comment people who doubt their own adequacy need continuous reinforcement these are symptoms of deep feelings of inferiority theory of mind most people develop a bit of empathy or some at least some understanding of how others respond to events it appears donald trump never generated a model of how the rest of us think continue reading posted in politics pres trump tagged alison gopnik david brooks donald trump man child michael a cohen leave a comment president trump triumph of chaos posted on 2017 03 11 by lasttechage against all reasonable odds donald trump rose from a discounted republican candidate to take the president s oath of office how did this happen how is because trump is the product of self focused personal ambition and pushed himself forward at exactly the right time the real puzzlement is why did it happen against all expectations and so quickly too maybe trump s election is no big deal after all the sky has not yet fallen conditions have not actually changed all that much nice idea but you cannot immediately identify what happened to our stability nor even that a stability change occurred you can see the event clearly but only after the passage of time the issue we live in a chaotic world where present reality emerges when the tangle of uncountable things that could happen condenses into those that actually do fig 1 swearing in 2017 jan 20 the 20th century lifestyle ended in 2016 nov 08 not 2000 jan 01 but the new 21st century paradigm may well have begun 2017 jan 20 fig 1 trump happened because we were ripe for chaotic social change we are experiencing a societal chaos shift first a techno break to discuss what we mean by chaotic orbits and shifts in our social life patterns next section the donald trump phenomena you may skip to there if you wish think of our social structure as a basically stable system with gentle shifts among its interconnected parts for example our states of inequality and economic opportunity were essentially stable in american us society from ww ii until a bit after 1981 one key feature of chaotic stability is the pendulum swing effect you can see it in the voting records voters first want slightly conservative leaders then slightly liberal leaders then again then again you could think of this as the occasional but almost regular oscillation about an average center with more than one kind of political influence thread you get a quasi stable orbit rather than an oscillation about a conceptual center for our political stability visualize chaotic orbits suppose there were only 3 activity threads that influence the state of society each of these would be independent of the others except for cause and effect interactions between the results from each thread we visualize this as the concept graph in fig 2 each of the three influence threads is an axis direction vector fig 2 now moves in a chaotic orbit about the fixed point attractor the blue swirling line is the path of the net effect due the pendulum swings in each thread this path through the concept graph is like a jet airplane s contrail our current location now is the round yellow endpoint notice the fixed point as the apparent center of the motion choose 3 conceptually independent influence threads that show pendulum swinging influence 1 anxiety over living conditions influence 2 ethnicity for inclusion in social acceptance includes biases in race religion even wealth influence 3 inequality economic gain or loss of earnings potential compared to other segments of society other kinds of inequality exist too these are lasttechage names for markers recently identified by yascha mounk and roberto foa as the signs of deconsolidation of democracy in world politics foa and mounk s ideas have been discussed by for example amanda taub new york times and jonathan rauch atlantic monthly although anxiety ethnicity and inequality seem to be useful to trace donald trump s rise there are certainly many thousands of such threads that influence the direction of social change for simple visualization the choice of any three does not matter in a world of 7 billion people there may be thousands of millions of mutually interacting independently swinging threads affecting social stability if there is a forcing function at work on some of the the influences dimensions the fixed point will move small pushing forces usually cause small drifts in a system s fixed point and fig 1 does display a slight drift in its center as the now point moves in its orbit a chaos shift can happen if the push is strong enough if the pushing influences are too large the direction of the motion of now through concept space may abruptly shift the fixed point attractor to an unpredictable location fig 3 shows a such a chaos shift with our diagram an observer must wait at least one full orbit to estimate the position the new fixed attractor point fig 3 a strong push of the influences causes shift to new indeterminate attractor an unpredictable jump in the orbit s fixed point is much more likely than a minor shift in its position if the active now value has drifted too far from its attractor or if the forcing function is too large or too abrupt but chaotic systems are not predictable not causal so a chaos shift might just happen chaotic orbit effects happen for almost every system you can image not just politics for any system plot each influence as in fig 1 the system average will show some type of chaotic orbit see james gleick s 1987 bestselling popular discussion chaos or melanie mitchell s 2009 complexity a guided tour one of the best popularized discussions of chaos and complexity theory donald trump s election is a chaos shift and is still in process fig 4 president trump 2017 today we still have people saying the trump presidency fig 4 is not a disaster in progress we do not see any parts of the sky falling so government will end up as it always does after all the best predictors of the future are the past trends well not in our chaotic world where myriad probabilities converge to form reality but the current state must orbit its quasi fixed point at least once before its details can be identified continue reading posted in politics pres trump tagged amanda taub chaos shift chaotic orbits charles kock david koch donald trump jonathan rauch roberto foa slow war yascha mounk leave a comment trump invites brit theresa may over for tea posted on 2016 11 10 by lasttechage breaking new just from politico president elect trump invites british prime minister for a visit donald trump b 1948 president to be united states of america ms may is an attractive woman think about what the donald said about the most important quality for a woman to have is her good ass my main advice would be for her to step over to the british museum and borrow an old suit of knight s armor its just the thing to wear for this meeting theresa may b 1956 prime minister united kingdom leader of the conservative party think about it the donald says he always grabs a woman s pussy because he can this indicates the dire need for armored suits to avoid an international incident i would hate to have a war with our british allies charles j armentrout ann arbor 2016 november 10 this is listed under politics in the politics pres trump thread have a comment click on the title of this post go to bottom let us know related posts click the index button under the banner picture posted in politics pres trump tagged donald trump theresa may 1 comment quench the bern yet the fires rage posted on 2016 07 26 by lasttechage bernie sanders has been quenched but populist passions still burn in both parties by june 2016 bernie sanders appeared to have lost in his push for the democratic nomination and in early july he formally backed the heir apparent hillary clinton and hc is the nominee this is due to the fact of super delegates chosen by the party leadership and to the coordinated efforts by the party and the liberal media to reject him and his issues fig 1 sen bernie sanders 2016 bernie sanders campaigned to end the inequality that has grown in the american experience like a metastasized cancer spreading throughout the body politic leaving necrotic waste where once healthy industry flourished inequality in opportunity and income is the basis of unrest that permeates american political reality in these days following the brexit vote it is apparent that such unrest underlies much of the developed world the social fires are not extinguished when sanders made his endorsement speech 2016 jul 12 a large block of his supporters stood and walked out of the hall this spring and summer we has seen the populist rise of bernie sanders the numerous deaths of black people by the police the killing of the police on our city streets and the apparent populist rise of donald trump il duce wanna be to presidential nominee for our very rightist republican party are these events related our viewpoint probably yes certainly they bubble out of the same nasty brew that is our past history of course the various events are not directly related but the experiences of our present are correlated by common past happenings re phrase this the events that formed our reality during the past several generations are the preconditions that guide the determination of now current events become the prior events that shape the cloud of probability from which future reality precipitates ...
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