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ng posted in 2016 political events politics tagged bernie sanders democratic national committed democtratic convention donald trump emmanuel saez hillary clinton inequality thomas piketty leave a comment piketty on the u s presidential race posted on 2016 02 20 by lasttechage piketty makes upbeat comments on bernie sanders and what he implies about us inequality trends just to pass on a very optimistic comment from thomas piketty on our on going struggle against the american convergence to a government controlled by an emerging aristocracy fig 1 thomas piketty published an opinion piece in the guardian in the 2016 feb 14 on line edition of the guardian piketty published an opinion piece on the u s election he is shown in fig 1 picture from here he discussed the phenomenon of bernie sanders having anything more than a tiny token part of the process we use here to get candidates nominated by the parties he reviews the position america had as the world leader in the growth of equality right up to the end of the 1970s and our horrible decent since then he discusses bernie sanders and what he might mean his final sentence however new forms of political mobilization and crowdfunding can prevail and push america into a new political cycle we are far from gloomy prophecies about the end of history hugely positive considering piketty s comment in his book c21 capital in the twenty first century he ends his book observing that the convergence to total inequality is not deterministic which is nice way of saying this is where the momentum from the recent past is pushing our ship of state his current upbeat tone became even clearer when compared another one of his comments the world does not have to regress to an aristocratic feudal state although he thought it very unlikely that we the people of the world would change this future end result my rephrasing we now resume our annual blog pause for autumn and winter charles j armentrout ann arbor 2016 feb 20 this is listed under politics a post in the politics 2016 thread have a comment click on the title of this post go to bottom let us know related posts click the index button under the banner picture posted in 2016 political events politics tagged capital in the twenty first century income inequality minimum wage progressive tax thomas piketty leave a comment of time and physics posted on 2015 12 20 by lasttechage physics and timepath are compatible views the past is real the future messy probability the now separates them well trained reputable physicists have published claims that the past is fixed the future is just like the past but stretches in the other direction and that the present now is the point that joins the two some even publish that it is possible to travel through time are such positions sensible or as we believe are they ideological beliefs supported by wishful thinking this is our concluding post in the 4 part series that introduces our timepath picture of reality timepath is not yet a model with new predictions ready for physics testing it is a pre hypothesis a suggestion of how to view world processes to remove the feelings of strangeness generated by for example quantum ideas we begin by discussing the three physics worldviews paradigms and compare how they mutually interact the timepath description follows along with a discussion of how the quantum paradigm and timepath views can work together click any image for full resolution overview the three paradigms of physics this section is a quick summary of the three distinct physics worldviews the newtonian view of the classically famous 3 laws of motion the relativistic view with its special description and its cosmological general extension the quantum view that accounts well for the atomic world of the ultra small a more complete description for non technical general audiences can be found in our physics in 3 paradigms pdf newtonian paradigm np isaac newton s laws form the oldest paradigm in physics that that actually works np was developed in the mid 1660s it was released several decades later as the 3 famous laws that students learn in their first classes in physics np is deductive and causal in that current interactions cause subsequent motion np is also called deterministic it described and explained activities in ways not possible before fig 1 australia s sydney harbor nearly every object in the sidney harbor view fig 1 owes its existence to the success of np analysis all the constructed things we use today bridges complex buildings vehicles lighting aircraft etc show newton s success they connect the beginnings of np accurate descriptions of planetary orbits to modern explorations of our local environments underseas ground to atmosphere and near earth space np is our foundation paradigm to understand the world for this reason it is called classical physics relativistic paradigm rp special relativity sr the initial form of rp was released in 1905 and extended np to high velocities and accelerations in inertial reference frames only sr is the attempt to find the form of physics laws that can be expressed exactly the same way in all inertial frames independent of any relative velocity valid laws must be covariant it assumes that the speed of light has the same numeric value in each reference these two requirements covariant laws and invariant light speed led to startling predictions the length of a moving object is always less than its proper length the duration of a time interval like the time between successive clock ticks is always longer than the proper duration if there is in inertial frame where two events are detected to occurring simultaneously they will not occur simultaneously in any other moving frame sr has been strenuously examined through extremely detailed tests because it has passed every one of these test sr now is generally accepted but to the old np physicists it did not feel like physics sure it made new predictions but it seemed closer to a philosophical discussion general relativity gr is the upgrade to sr and is its natural successor gr combines the speed of light and simultaneity with gravitational mass to describe the universe as a whole gr predicted that accumulations of mass will warp straight lines through space and was immediately used to explain the classical anomaly in the precession of mercury s orbit as well as the bending of star light around our sun in its gr form rp has passed the myriad tests of its predictions physicist john wheeler 1911 2008 is often quoted to have said mass tells space time how to curve and space time tells mass how to move fig 2 the andromeda galaxy m31 about 20 years ago the structure and behavior of the andromeda galaxy fig 2 was found to differ a bit from gr calculations a fact that led to the proposal of dark matter so far no one has observed dark matter does this invalidate gr think about this neutrinos started as a math tool to let quantum relations work but if neutrinos were only a math contrivance quantum mechanics would be as acceptable as epicycles or phlogiston twenty six years after being proposed cowen and reins link detected their very real existence frankly i am not worried about dark matter our understanding of galactic dynamics and the universe as a whole is based on the success of gr theory although the sr subset of the rp is accepted by nearly everyone its gr generalization still makes some physicists squirm even though it has passed every challenge during the past 100 years it is in continuous daily use the gps location devices use gr calculations in every measurement without gr gps could not work as with its np predecessor rp provides accurate deductive predictions from causal relationships both are deterministic world views if you can specify something s initial state and keep it fully isolated from everything else you can know with perfect precision what will be happening at any time after the starting point quantum paradigm qp the physics discipline that underlies the qp is quantum mechanics qm which describes an atom as a tiny positive central nucleus surrounded by a definitely shaped though diffuse cloud of negative electrons since you cannot distinguish between identical electrons no prediction can be made for any particular one this means that qp can not provide deterministically predictive descriptions only most likely ones fig 3 artist s image of the calculated dz2 atomic orbital qm s diffuse but definite cloud is the density of the probability in which the various states that the collection of electrons could exist the gaseously diffuse probability is called the state s wave function and has required decades to understand assuming we actually do so now wave function calculations proved precise explanations for what we observe and accurate predictions about what we should expect we can picture these as in fig 3 our artistic conception of the dz2 wave function for the orbital electron distribution in an atom it shows a distinct though blurry solid against a background of all the general probabilities in the atom s environment continue reading posted in general tagged being and becoming chris fuchs david mermin epistomology general relativity heisenberg uncertainty principle newtonian physics physics paradigms quantum physics relativistic physics special relativity wojciech zurek leave a comment we have moved posted on 2015 11 26 by lasttechage the site you have reached is lasttechage wordpress com this location is now dormant but will stay open for the foreseeable near future for current posts and comments please go to what will appear as an identical site http lasttechage com all our new post pdf files and updates will appear at this new and active site the new site should look exactly like the one you are currently linked into except for updates and any new work if you detect any other differences between this and the new site please send an email thanks for stopping by hope you enjoy your stay lasttechage charles j armentrout ann arbor 2015 nov 26 posted in uncategorized tagged charles j armentrout lasttechage leave a comment obama decides on keystone xl posted on 2015 11 06 by lasttechage obama announced at 11 00 nov 6 in 2015 that the contentious keystone xl program has been rejected this is written minutes after president obama publicly announced his administration s rejection of the keystone upgrade project lasttechage has been following this since the original keystone pipeline was approved built and immediately called obsolete the president gave 3 justifications for his rejection of the project obama rejected the hype from both the far right far left and shadings in between he rejected right wing claim that kxl would generate huge job opportunities for the foreseeable future he is right there would be construction jobs but no long range possibilities of new jobs the 2010 keystone line generated few long term jobs the kxl would probably have generated fewer yet obama has already have achieved 5 unemployment in the face of congressional opposition and congress appears unwilling to pass his legislation to generate job increases as much as 30 times higher than kxl would have no worry about true job loss he rejected the left wing claim that kxl would by itself cause devastating climate catastrophe by encouraging more raping of the alberta wildlife he is right the u s does not have the power over the canadian athabasca fields we would not even influence the canadian population always suspicious of u s motives canadians must take care of the alberta ecological disaster themselves it will be really interesting to watch trudeau with his new policies there will be no test of the climate disaster hypothesis thank goodness continue reading posted in natural resources tagged keystone xl obama obama rejects xl leave a comment time path probability begins it posted on 2015 08 11 by lasttechage the probables in the potential future use bayesian hooks into the events of now to continuously form reality we continue discussing the time path with a closer look at what must be happening when potential events become real events we examine the natural flow of probable uncertainties that seem to be at play in a sense we try to clarify by emphasizing probability a topic most people find hard to visualize fig 1 time path visualization dots indicate events fig 1 is a visualization image meant to focus the discussion on the structure of time activity flows like this from right to left in the image click any image for full resolution the future is an undetermined swirl of potential actions converging toward events probability is the only reality the now is the focus of where things happen now is the coalescence of probabilities into actualized events or vanished alternatives the occurrence point where things possible become things actual the past is the record of actual events that have happened happening events push realized ones out of the becoming now and into the actualized past click for a list of our discussions about the time path the time path is a speculative view developed from my own and many other viewpoints this is a post in the time path ontology chain i suspect that you should read the previous time path posts to get the full visualization i am solely responsible for any errors or misstatements is time really like the flight of an arrow it certainly feels like we are rushing forwards toward something in the future really why not backwards into the past instead this is a reasonable question if events truly are flowing toward the future because basic physics allows actions to work equally well forwards or backwards we grew up with the imagery of flowing time that it is hard to discard continue reading posted in general tagged conditional probability future jason rosenhouse let s make a deal marilyn vos savant monty hall problem now potential future time time line time ontology time path leave a comment time path exploring the past posted on 2015 07 29 by lasttechage how can we know that this which caused that what it depends on how we use the timepath we continue where we stopped our discussion in time path the flow of time and discuss how we identify what happened in the past the timepath visualization of fig 1 helps us understand the past click any figure for full resolution fig 1 a vertical slice across the timepath establishes an instant for examination our timepath is formed out of the the past the unchanging record of events that have occurred the now where possible actions are actualized to the events that form reality and the future the open possibilities for potential actions that could become realized in the now the horizontal direction is time direction leading from the now when such things started into the past a vertical slice separates the timepath into left and right regions the perfectly thin slice is an instantaneous 3 dimensional image of the entire universe the moment now is an example of such a slice we...